Category Archives: Event Previews

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker (01-13-2024)

Jan 8, 2024
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#6] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1, -504) vs. [#10] Johnny Walker (21-7-0, +359)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (1-0-1, 1 NC)
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-07-30: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (37-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (37-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#16MW] Paul Craig (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -504 79.29%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2160.24 +228.44 73.95%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2151.48 +219.07 72.29%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2252.70 +234.45 79.41%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2028.94 +153.19 66.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 84, Johnny Walker 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 7-3
.

Flyweight (125)
[#6] Manel Kape (19-6-0, -242) vs. [#10] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1, +193)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #39 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#133FLY] Felipe dos Santos (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#46FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#244BW] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (15-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (15-7-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#36FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2
2022-03-26: W vs. [#46FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -242 67.46%
Elo K170 Matheus Nicolau 1799.59 +1.16 50.13%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1808.32 +55.36 56.03%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1868.67 +108.98 65.19%
WHR Manel Kape 1805.79 +116.38 62.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 126, Matheus Nicolau 273
Previous Match-up Record: Matheus Nicolau leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#52] Jim Miller (36-17-0, -113) vs. [*] Gabriel Benitez (23-10-0, -109)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#144FW] Jesse Butler (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#72FW] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Donald Cerrone (36-17-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Benitez (1-2-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Charlie Ontiveros (11-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 1
2022-02-19: L vs. [#66FW] David Onama (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1
2021-07-17: L vs. [#27FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jim Miller -113 50.42%
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1721.27 +271.05 77.53%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1715.40 +239.57 74.05%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1792.47 +288.68 84.05%
WHR Jim Miller 1659.89 +211.90 72.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 224, Gabriel Benitez 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington (12-16-2023)

Dec 11, 2023
Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#5DD/#2P4P] Leon Edwards (21-3-0, -142) vs. [*] Colby Covington (17-3-0, +117)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
2021-06-12: W vs. [*] Nate Diaz (21-13-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (2-1-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-09-19: W vs. [*] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Leon Edwards -142 56.01%
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2466.73 +177.91 69.27%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2360.91 +113.24 62.15%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2423.69 +127.00 67.50%
WHR Leon Edwards 2174.71 +143.34 65.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 273, Colby Covington 651
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Leon Edwards leads 4-2
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (26-5-0, -177) vs. [#5] Brandon Royval (15-6-0, +144)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #10 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #29 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#2FLY/#3DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-07-30: W vs. [*] Alex Perez (24-7-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
2021-08-21: W vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (3-0-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#10FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [#36FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -177 60.92%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 2080.56 +186.18 70.07%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 1984.72 +166.76 67.48%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 2050.83 +198.81 75.85%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 1958.65 +172.29 68.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 161, Brandon Royval 245
Previous Match-up Record: Alexandre Pantoja leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 3-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Shavkat Rakhmonov (17-0-0, -596) vs. [#8] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1, +417)
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#14WW] Geoff Neal (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-06-25: W vs. [#16WW] Neil Magny (28-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2022-02-05: W vs. [#42WW] Carlston Harris (19-5-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#13WW] Kevin Holland (25-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2021-12-18: L vs. [#3WW] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shavkat Rakhmonov -596 81.57%
Elo K170 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2176.90 +166.93 68.19%
Elo Modified Shavkat Rakhmonov 2133.61 +135.74 64.43%
Glicko-1 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2237.18 +178.07 73.59%
WHR Shavkat Rakhmonov 2157.60 +202.68 71.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shavkat Rakhmonov 287, Stephen Thompson 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez (12-09-2023)

Dec 4, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#11] Yadong Song (20-8-1, -364) vs. [#18] Chris Gutierrez (20-5-2, +275)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#25BW] Ricky Simon (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5
2022-09-17: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#72BW] Heili Alateng (16-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -364 74.62%
Elo K170 Yadong Song 1965.20 +108.42 62.14%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1936.41 +126.63 63.51%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 1985.53 +146.44 69.91%
WHR Yadong Song 1842.05 +136.13 65.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 224, Chris Gutierrez 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12] Khalil Rountree (12-6-0, -236) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (37-18-0, +188)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #30 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#16LHW] Ryan Spann (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -236 66.92%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1904.80 +115.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1848.88 +89.78 59.70%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1923.01 +113.14 65.73%
WHR Anthony Smith 1765.30 +18.37 52.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 119, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#30] Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, -255) vs. [*] Su Mudaerji (16-5-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#129FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#65FLY] Jake Hadley (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#16FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#123FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Allan Nascimento -255 68.37%
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1648.13 +228.47 73.96%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1698.60 +265.11 76.14%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1762.65 +323.38 86.55%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1740.02 +345.78 82.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 329, Su Mudaerji 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

UFC Austin: Prelims Undercard Predictions and Analysis

Dec 1, 2023
A. J. Riot

Welcome, fight fans, to another thrilling evening of Ultimate Fighting Championship action! Taking center stage this Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023, at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas, is an epic Lightweight clash between the formidable Beneil Dariush and the relentless Arman Tsarukyan. This main event is a chess match of strategy and skill, guaranteed to have you on the edge of your seat.

But that’s not all. UFC Austin has rounded up an impressive undercard featuring Rob Font’s warm welcome to Deiveson Figueiredo into the Bantamweight division. We’ll also be witnessing the return of Kelvin Gastelum to the Welterweight ring as he squares off with Sean Brady.

Strap in, folks—it will be a night of high-octane, world-class MMA action. So, without further ado, let’s dive into our prelims undercard predictions and analysis.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan (12-02-2023)

Nov 27, 2023
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#5] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1, +220) vs. [#15] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0, -282)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#111LW] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -282 70.25%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2196.34 +147.43 66.23%
Elo Modified Beneil Dariush 2149.24 +122.66 63.11%
Glicko-1 Beneil Dariush 2173.64 +80.54 61.39%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 2017.67 +2.17 50.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 175, Arman Tsarukyan 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Beneil Dariush leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#12] Bobby Green (31-14-1, +196) vs. [#28] Jalin Turner (13-7-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (20-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-29: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#41LW] Jared Gordon (20-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#82LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jalin Turner -247 67.81%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1987.99 +276.38 77.95%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1945.00 +160.29 66.86%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 2031.98 +149.20 70.24%
WHR Bobby Green 1868.54 +59.88 56.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 56, Jalin Turner 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1, +118) vs. [#11] Rob Font (20-7-0, -144)
Rob Font is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#59BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2004.69 +113.57 62.69%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1963.69 +96.69 60.43%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2029.42 +90.54 62.74%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1876.76 +97.00 60.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 315, Rob Font 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

UFC Fight Night: Previews And Odds For The Card’s Most Intriguing Fights

Nov 20, 2023
A. J. Riot

UFC Fight Night is set to take fans back to the UFC APEX for the final time this year, with some highly anticipated matchups scheduled for this coming Saturday.

In this article, we take a look at the six of the most interesting fights on the card, as well as the odds attached to them ahead of one of the last events of 2023.

Michael Morales vs. Jake Matthews

Michael Morales is -305 for a victory over Jake Matthews, who’s +245 to win this bout.

The fighters are very similar as they move at the same speed and register just about the same accuracy and distance defense, though Matthews’ defense from distance is lower. On another note, he has way more experience than his upcoming opponent as this will be his 19th fight in UFC while Morales only has four under his belt.

It does read as if Matthews is an aged veteran, but he’s only 29. He’s our favorite for this one given the huge difference in experience.

Read More…

UFC returns to Canada: UFC 297 Preview

Nov 15, 2023
oleg

On Saturday, January 20th 2024, Ultimate Fighting Championship will return to Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Canada with a big card. Two title belts will be on the line, with newly crowned middleweight king Sean Strickland taking on South Africa’s Dricus Du Plessis in his first attempted title defense.  Meanwhile, Raquel Pennington and Mayra Bueno Silva will battle it out for the Women’s bantamweight title, which was vacated by the recently retired Amanda Nunes.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig (11-18-2023)

Nov 13, 2023
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Brendan Allen (22-5-0, -289) vs. [#17] Paul Craig (17-6-1, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#37MW] Bruno Silva (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3
2022-10-01: W vs. [#41LHW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2
2023-01-21: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -289 70.77%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2060.02 +235.76 74.59%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2066.88 +226.93 72.98%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2141.48 +237.48 79.69%
WHR Brendan Allen 1930.45 +98.55 61.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Paul Craig 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Michael Morales (15-0-0, -263) vs. [#52] Jake Matthews (19-6-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#33WW] Max Griffin (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#226WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#114WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#148WW] Darrius Flowers (12-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-12-17: L vs. [#67WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#76WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Morales -263 68.98%
Elo K170 Michael Morales 1826.39 +78.16 58.83%
Elo Modified Michael Morales 1826.35 +73.40 57.96%
Glicko-1 Michael Morales 1887.61 +88.90 62.52%
WHR Michael Morales 1798.42 +140.05 65.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Morales 140, Jake Matthews 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#140] Jordan Leavitt (11-2-0, +196) vs. [#240] Chase Hooper (12-3-1, -249)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#332LW] Victor Martinez (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Knees) in 2:33 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#44LW] Paddy Pimblett (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#173LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#556LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#59FW] Steve Garcia (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-05-21: W vs. [#169FW] Felipe Dias Colares (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -249 67.86%
Elo K170 Jordan Leavitt 1680.43 +224.96 73.65%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1660.58 +156.05 66.45%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1673.48 +144.39 69.66%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1600.17 +105.77 61.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 266, Chase Hooper 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira (11-11-2023)

Nov 6, 2023
Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1] Alex Pereira (8-2-0, -144) vs. [*] Jiri Prochazka (29-3-1, +119)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #24 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5
2021-05-01: W vs. [#24LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -144 56.38%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2199.88 +157.24 67.22%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 2166.26 +150.40 65.89%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2308.96 +242.64 80.17%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2146.51 +162.22 67.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 105, Jiri Prochazka 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0, -106) vs. [#7] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0, -116)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#10HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-07-30: W vs. [#13HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-8-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -116 51.06%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 2123.87 +158.88 67.39%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 2107.56 +144.90 65.35%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2218.63 +191.51 75.07%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 2054.35 +129.48 64.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Tom Aspinall 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Mackenzie Dern (13-3-0, -200) vs. [#8] Jessica Andrade (24-12-0, +162)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (0-3-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-05-06: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#4FLY/#10DD/#6P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -200 63.59%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1668.75 +52.63 55.98%
Elo Modified Mackenzie Dern 1685.20 +49.40 55.39%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1693.06 +103.43 64.46%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1652.99 +35.31 54.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 175, Jessica Andrade 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Read More…

UFC 295:Prochazka vs Pereira match preview

Nov 6, 2023
A. J. Riot

The much-anticipated UFC 295 is set to take place at Madison Square Garden in New York City on November 11, featuring a headline bout between Jiří Procházka and Alex Pereira for the vacant light heavyweight title. Originally slated as the co-main event, this matchup was elevated to the main event after Jon Jones’ untimely pectoral injury, adding an extra layer of intrigue to an already stacked card.

The shift in the main event brought an electrifying showdown between two of the light heavyweight division’s most formidable finishers. Jiří Procházka, a former champion with an awe-inspiring record, looks to reclaim the title he was forced to vacate due to injury.

On the other side of the Octagon stands Alex Pereira, a knockout artist with victories over some of the division’s best. The odds for this highly-anticipated matchup currently stands at Pereira -145 and Procházka +122, reflecting the close nature of this contest.

Read More…