Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan (2020-08-01)

26 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Middleweight (186)
[#11] Derek Brunson (20-7-0, 186.0lb, +268) vs. [#21] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-0-0, 185.5lb, -347)
Derek Brunson is the All-Time #49 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derek Brunson (2-1-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#16MW] Ian Heinisch (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#19MW] Elias Theodorou (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#1MW/#9DD/#7P4P] Israel Adesanya (19-0-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#30MW] Brad Tavares (17-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#110MW] Jack Marshman (23-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#183MW] Charles Byrd (10-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edmen Shahbazyan -347 74.07%
Elo K170 Derek Brunson 2000.88 +187.59 70.21%
Elo Modified Derek Brunson 1983.56 +215.96 72.02%
Glicko-1 Derek Brunson 2012.88 +191.09 75.02%
WHR Derek Brunson 1873.20 +213.47 72.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derek Brunson 350, Edmen Shahbazyan 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (126)
[#6] Jennifer Maia (17-6-1, 124.5lb, +126) vs. [#9] Joanne Calderwood (14-4-0, 126.0lb, -152)
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#2FLY/#7P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#14FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (24-17-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#21FLY] Alexis Davis (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#22FLY] Andrea Lee (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#2FLY/#7P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#20FLY] Ariane Lipski (13-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanne Calderwood -152 57.68%
Elo K170 Jennifer Maia 1586.22 +40.85 54.65%
Elo Modified Jennifer Maia 1582.17 +50.25 55.48%
Glicko-1 Jennifer Maia 1564.14 +60.38 58.60%
WHR Jennifer Maia 1523.15 +28.78 53.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jennifer Maia 273, Joanne Calderwood 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#17] Vicente Luque (18-7-1, 170.5lb, -205) vs. [#40] Randy Brown (12-3-0, 170.5lb, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#51WW] Niko Price (14-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3
2019-11-02: L vs. [#8WW] Stephen Thompson (15-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#25WW] Mike Perry (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#73WW] Warlley Alves (13-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [#88WW] Bryan Barberena (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 3
2018-07-14: L vs. [#51WW] Niko Price (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -205 64.30%
Elo K170 Vicente Luque 1923.53 +184.57 69.92%
Elo Modified Vicente Luque 1899.29 +137.77 64.64%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 1973.80 +177.03 73.48%
WHR Vicente Luque 1844.77 +142.37 65.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 84, Randy Brown 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 4-1
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Lightweight (156)
[#34] Lando Vannata (11-4-2, 155.5lb, -159) vs. [#48] Bobby Green (25-10-1, 156.0lb, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (2-1-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#76LW] Yancy Medeiros (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#106LW] Marc Diakiese (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#899LW] Marcos Mariano (6-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#70LW] Clay Guida (35-20-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#17LW] Francisco Trinaldo (26-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#42LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lando Vannata -159 58.75%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1679.64 +136.55 65.11%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1687.55 +126.16 63.47%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 1711.38 +111.97 65.58%
WHR Bobby Green 1639.24 +103.52 61.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lando Vannata 168, Bobby Green 42
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 0-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#34] Trevin Giles (12-2-0, 185.0lb, +178) vs. [#43] Kevin Holland (17-5-0, 184.0lb, -222)

Last 3 Fights: Trevin Giles (1-2-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#52MW] James Krause (27-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#40MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-13-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2019-05-18: L vs. [#36MW] Zak Cummings (23-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:01 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#122MW] Anthony Hernandez (7-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 1:39 of round 1
2019-10-18: L vs. [#26MW] Brendan Allen (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [#102MW] Alessio Di Chirico (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -222 65.71%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1715.86 +47.57 55.41%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1704.61 +66.31 57.21%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 1749.42 +82.98 61.72%
WHR Kevin Holland 1667.29 +98.11 61.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Giles 175, Kevin Holland 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (140)
[*] Frankie Saenz (13-6-0, 136.0lb, +206) vs. [#103BW] Jonathan Martinez (11-3-0, 140.5lb, -259)

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Saenz (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#28BW] Marlon Vera (16-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [*] Enrique Briones (16-8-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#21BW] Merab Dvalishvili (11-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (2-1-0)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#54BW] Andre Ewell (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#147BW] Pingyuan Liu (15-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:53 of round 3
2019-02-09: W vs. [#427BW] Wuliji Buren (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -259 68.82%
Elo K170 Frankie Saenz 1489.65 +76.93 58.70%
Elo Modified Jonathan Martinez 1523.50 +26.41 52.89%
Glicko-1 Jonathan Martinez 1562.30 +71.40 60.13%
WHR Frankie Saenz 1433.57 +10.70 51.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frankie Saenz 497, Jonathan Martinez 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#83BW] Joseph Nathan Maness (11-1-0, 144.5lb, +221) vs. [#352] Johnny Munoz Jr. (10-0-0, 145.5lb, +105)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Nathan Maness (2-1-0)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#1015FW] Kellen VanCamp (3-3-0) via TKO in 1:39 of round 1
2019-05-24: L vs. [#42BW] Taylor Lapilus (16-3-0) via TKO in 1:22 of round 3
2018-09-21: W vs. [#106BW] Jesse Arnett (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:53 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Munoz Jr. (3-0-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#1586FW] Ian King (4-4-0) via SUB in 3:33 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [#1175BW] Rentsen Otgontulga (4-2-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 49-47)
2018-09-28: W vs. [#1493BW] Uriel Cossio Dominguez (5-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:59 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Johnny Munoz Jr. +221 61.02%
Elo K170 Joseph Nathan Maness 1572.90 +103.95 61.66%
Elo Modified Joseph Nathan Maness 1582.77 +61.19 56.66%
Glicko-1 Joseph Nathan Maness 1571.08 +58.28 58.31%
WHR Joseph Nathan Maness 1510.77 +75.89 58.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Nathan Maness 182, Johnny Munoz Jr. 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (146)
[#101] Jamall Emmers (17-5-0, 146.0lb, +140) vs. [#261BW] Vince Cachero (7-2-0, 145.0lb, +310)

Last 3 Fights: Jamall Emmers (2-1-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#83FW] Giga Chikadze (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-01-31: W vs. [#193FW] Rafael Barbosa (12-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:39 of round 3
2019-06-20: W vs. [#294FW] Jay Cucciniello (8-2-0) via TKO in 4:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vince Cachero (1-2-0)
2020-01-31: W vs. [#671BW] Marvin Garcia (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-08-30: L vs. [#323BW] Liudvik Sholinian (8-1-1) via SD ()
2019-03-22: L vs. [#39BW] Casey Kenney (14-2-1) via KO (Knee) in 1:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamall Emmers +310 63.07%
Elo K170 Jamall Emmers 1528.04 +160.33 67.54%
Elo Modified Jamall Emmers 1604.51 +177.74 68.53%
Glicko-1 Jamall Emmers 1658.16 +240.34 79.96%
WHR Jamall Emmers 1577.19 +212.01 72.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamall Emmers 147, Vince Cachero 183
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Chris Gutierrez (15-4-1, 135.5lb, -310) vs. [#312] Cody Durden (11-2-0, 135.5lb, +250)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (3-0-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#436FW] Vince Morales (9-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 4:27 of round 2
2019-08-10: W vs. [#82BW] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#421BW] Ryan MacDonald (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (3-0-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [*] John Sweeney (6-3-0) via TKO in 1:20 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#734BW] Varon Webb (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
2019-11-01: W vs. [#1547BW] Dre Miley (7-3-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chris Gutierrez -310 72.57%
Elo K170 Chris Gutierrez 1722.04 +295.36 79.40%
Elo Modified Chris Gutierrez 1662.72 +223.86 72.71%
Glicko-1 Chris Gutierrez 1685.84 +216.27 77.64%
WHR Chris Gutierrez 1590.56 +216.32 72.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gutierrez 63, Cody Durden 14
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Derek Brunson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Derek Brunson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Derek Brunson vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jennifer Maia vs. Joanne Calderwood
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-8-1