Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov (2020-06-20)

14 Jun , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0, -332) vs. [#10] Alexander Volkov (31-7-0, +259)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #38 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#7HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [#19HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [*] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#85HW+] Greg Hardy (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 3
2018-03-17: W vs. [#14HW+] Fabricio Werdum (23-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -332 73.39%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2049.87 +89.61 60.09%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2055.19 +74.07 58.03%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2128.70 +83.82 61.84%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 2020.68 +150.00 66.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 147, Alexander Volkov 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#6] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, +112) vs. [#20] Shane Burgos (13-1-0, -138)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#34FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#82LW] Michael Johnson (19-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#17FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#57FW] Makwan Amirkhani (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2019-05-04: W vs. [#24FW] Cub Swanson (26-11-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#398LW] Kurt Holobaugh (17-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Burgos -138 55.14%
Elo K170 Josh Emmett 1954.97 +74.15 58.39%
Elo Modified Josh Emmett 1925.19 +107.02 61.50%
Glicko-1 Josh Emmett 1992.69 +139.91 69.11%
WHR Josh Emmett 1884.44 +91.81 60.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 343, Shane Burgos 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Raquel Pennington (10-8-0, -139) vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-5-1, +114)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #46 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (1-2-0)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (12-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (1-2-0)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#13BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [*] Cat Zingano (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#7BW] Sara McMann (12-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raquel Pennington -139 55.44%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1485.54 +141.90 65.66%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1463.43 +69.96 57.60%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1434.04 +4.39 50.63%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1485.75 +86.15 59.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 154, Marion Reneau 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raquel Pennington leads 3-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#28] Belal Muhammad (16-3-0, -147) vs. [#38] Lyman Good (21-5-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#89WW] Takashi Sato (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#55MW] Curtis Millender (18-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#21WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Lyman Good (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#66WW] Chance Rencountre (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 3
2019-02-02: L vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2018-11-03: W vs. [#103WW] Ben Saunders (22-13-2) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Belal Muhammad -147 56.80%
Elo K170 Belal Muhammad 1899.03 +96.91 60.89%
Elo Modified Belal Muhammad 1862.03 +32.92 53.60%
Glicko-1 Lyman Good 1896.07 +2.04 50.29%
WHR Lyman Good 1882.88 +59.38 56.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 287, Lyman Good 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#39] Jim Miller (31-14-0, +193) vs. [#59] Roosevelt Roberts (10-1-0, -241)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#24LW] Scott Holtzman (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#56LW] Clay Guida (35-19-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:58 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#505LW] Jason Gonzalez (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Roosevelt Roberts (2-1-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#231LW] Brok Weaver (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2019-11-09: W vs. [#108LW] Alexander Yakovlev (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#73LW] Vinc Pichel (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roosevelt Roberts -241 67.43%
Elo K170 Roosevelt Roberts 1737.41 +60.68 56.89%
Elo Modified Roosevelt Roberts 1718.21 +46.59 55.08%
Glicko-1 Roosevelt Roberts 1747.96 +17.03 52.45%
WHR Jim Miller 1666.39 +8.91 51.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 126, Roosevelt Roberts 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#56] Clay Guida (35-19-0, +182) vs. [#75] Bobby Green (24-10-1, -225)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #31 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#39LW] Jim Miller (31-14-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:58 of round 1
2019-05-11: W vs. [#424LW] B.J. Penn (16-14-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#5LW] Charles Oliveira (29-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-2-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#17LW] Francisco Trinaldo (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#42LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#130WW] Erik Koch (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bobby Green -225 66.12%
Elo K170 Clay Guida 1651.43 +74.87 58.47%
Elo Modified Clay Guida 1656.03 +59.16 56.44%
Glicko-1 Clay Guida 1668.72 +46.19 56.61%
WHR Clay Guida 1634.70 +56.53 56.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 322, Bobby Green 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#8] Brianna Van Buren (9-2-0, -210) vs. [#20] Tecia Torres (10-5-0, +171)

Last 3 Fights: Brianna Van Buren (3-0-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#14SW] Livinha Souza (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-03: W vs. [#76SW] Kailin Curran (6-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 2
2019-05-03: W vs. [#40SW] Juliana Lima (10-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (0-3-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#10SW] Marina Rodriguez (12-0-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#3SW/#7DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brianna Van Buren -210 64.73%
Elo K170 Brianna Van Buren 1578.63 +190.44 70.48%
Elo Modified Brianna Van Buren 1572.25 +167.00 67.50%
Glicko-1 Brianna Van Buren 1572.91 +156.25 71.08%
WHR Brianna Van Buren 1551.73 +137.08 65.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brianna Van Buren 343, Tecia Torres 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#71] Marc-Andre Barriault (11-4-0, +109) vs. [#151] Oskar Piechota (11-3-1, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (0-3-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#67MW] Jun Yong Park (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#18MW] Krzysztof Jotko (22-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#63MW] Andrew Sanchez (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Oskar Piechota (0-3-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#88MW] Punahele Soriano (7-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 1
2019-08-10: L vs. [#59MW] Rodolfo Vieira (7-0-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:26 of round 2
2018-07-06: L vs. [#41MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-13-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Oskar Piechota -135 54.55%
Elo K170 Marc-Andre Barriault 1412.86 +25.78 52.94%
Elo Modified Marc-Andre Barriault 1492.11 +32.76 53.58%
Glicko-1 Marc-Andre Barriault 1497.48 +61.04 58.70%
WHR Oskar Piechota 1457.44 +46.44 55.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marc-Andre Barriault 182, Oskar Piechota 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#15] Cortney Casey (9-7-0, +104) vs. [#30] Gillian Robertson (7-4-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#59FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:36 of round 1
2019-02-17: L vs. [#3FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#15SW] Angela Hill (12-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#17FLY] Maycee Barber (8-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2019-07-27: W vs. [#39FLY] Sarah Frota (9-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:13 of round 2
2019-02-23: W vs. [#56BW] Veronica Macedo (6-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:27 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gillian Robertson -128 53.38%
Elo K170 Cortney Casey 1433.20 +57.70 56.55%
Elo Modified Cortney Casey 1460.36 +56.59 56.16%
Glicko-1 Cortney Casey 1471.60 +76.30 60.81%
WHR Cortney Casey 1438.53 +94.17 60.59%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cortney Casey 35, Gillian Robertson 246
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#118] Matt Frevola (8-1-1, -114) vs. [#139] Frank Camacho (23-8-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (2-0-1)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#119LW] Luis Pena (8-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#175LW] Jalin Turner (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-03: D vs. [#32LW] Lando Vannata (11-4-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Frank Camacho (1-2-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#15LW] Beneil Dariush (18-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Nick Hein (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2018-09-08: L vs. [#21WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matt Frevola -114 50.42%
Elo K170 Matt Frevola 1614.03 +141.07 65.58%
Elo Modified Matt Frevola 1587.71 +119.54 62.79%
Glicko-1 Matt Frevola 1549.71 +74.60 60.57%
WHR Matt Frevola 1537.93 +32.61 53.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Frevola 252, Frank Camacho 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#8] Roxanne Modafferi (24-16-0, -130) vs. [#13] Lauren Murphy (12-4-0, +105)
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#17FLY] Maycee Barber (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#6FLY] Jennifer Maia (17-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#18FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Murphy (2-1-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#21FLY] Andrea Lee (11-4-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#59FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Elbows) in 1:46 of round 3
2018-06-01: L vs. [#8BW] Sijara Eubanks (5-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roxanne Modafferi -130 53.67%
Elo K170 Roxanne Modafferi 1544.06 +62.63 57.10%
Elo Modified Roxanne Modafferi 1515.96 +72.95 57.92%
Glicko-1 Roxanne Modafferi 1525.78 +102.73 64.37%
WHR Roxanne Modafferi 1467.43 +80.76 59.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roxanne Modafferi 154, Lauren Murphy 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Stored DD Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes vs. Alexander Volkov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Curtis Blaydes vs. Alexander Volkov
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2020-6-17

Completion time: 2020-06-17T12:06:38.9030741-04:00