Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns (2020-05-30)

25 May , 2020,
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[*] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1, 170.5lb, -186) vs. [#9] Gilbert Burns (18-3-0, 170.5lb, +154)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#24WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#55WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Tyron Woodley 62.28%
Elo K170 Tyron Woodley 2247.91 +118.23 63.18%
Elo Modified Tyron Woodley 2185.79 +80.41 58.71%
Glicko-1 Tyron Woodley 2251.86 +69.91 59.93%
WHR Gilbert Burns 2036.36 +250.28 75.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 455, Gilbert Burns 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (259)
[#12] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0, 255.5lb, -110) vs. [#27] Augusto Sakai (14-1-1, 259.5lb, -114)

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#43HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#28HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#26HW+] Marcin Tybura (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#70HW+] Chase Sherman (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Augusto Sakai 50.42%
Elo K170 Blagoy Ivanov 1855.20 +95.84 60.78%
Elo Modified Blagoy Ivanov 1931.69 +175.41 68.31%
Glicko-1 Blagoy Ivanov 2001.18 +201.28 76.9%
WHR Blagoy Ivanov 1866.91 +95.43 60.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blagoy Ivanov 210, Augusto Sakai 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (150)
[#169] Spike Carlyle (9-1-0, 150.0lb, +120) vs. [#170] Billy Quarantillo (13-2-0, 149.5lb, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Spike Carlyle (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#264FW] Aalon Cruz (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1807LW] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#596WW] Matthew Colquhoun (7-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#236FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2019-07-23: W vs. [#247FW] Kamuela Kirk (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [*] Adrian Vilaca (8-3-0) via KO in 4:32 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Billy Quarantillo 56.63%
Elo K170 Billy Quarantillo 1670.65 +143.40 65.82%
Elo Modified Billy Quarantillo 1685.99 +105.25 61.32%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1751.74 +132.13 68.15%
WHR Billy Quarantillo 1870.58 +94.99 60.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Spike Carlyle 91, Billy Quarantillo 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (157)
[#68] Roosevelt Roberts (9-1-0, 156.0lb, -342) vs. [#185] Brok Weaver (15-4-0, 157.5lb, +265)

Last 3 Fights: Roosevelt Roberts (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#108LW] Alexander Yakovlev (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#72LW] Vinc Pichel (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#413LW] Thomas Gifford (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Brok Weaver (3-0-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#375LW] Rodrigo Vargas (11-4-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Knee) in 4:02 of round 1
2019-08-13: W vs. [#521WW] Devin Smyth (9-2-0) via UD ()
2019-02-07: W vs. [*] James Freeman (6-3-0) via DQ in 3:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Roosevelt Roberts 73.84%
Elo K170 Roosevelt Roberts 1674.92 +94.32 60.61%
Elo Modified Roosevelt Roberts 1686.21 +234.14 73.59%
Glicko-1 Roosevelt Roberts 1707.96 +310.12 85.63%
WHR Roosevelt Roberts 1767.46 +351.00 83.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roosevelt Roberts 203, Brok Weaver 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#40] Hannah Cifers (10-4-0, 115.5lb, +317) vs. [#41] Mackenzie Dern (7-1-0, 115.5lb, -419)

Last 3 Fights: Hannah Cifers (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#15SW] Angela Hill (12-8-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:26 of round 2
2019-08-17: W vs. [#67SW] Jodie Esquibel (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#100FLY] Polyana Viana (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#13SW] Amanda Ribas (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#68FLY] Amanda Bobby Cooper (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#34SW] Ashley Yoder (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Mackenzie Dern 77.09%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1373.66 +49.24 55.60%
Elo Modified Mackenzie Dern 1406.65 +83.74 59.06%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1368.89 +64.22 59.14%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1442.64 +221.63 73.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hannah Cifers 126, Mackenzie Dern 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (126)
[#2/#9P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (13-3-0, 126.0lb, +114) vs. [#14] Antonina Shevchenko (8-1-0, 125.5lb, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Jennifer Maia (17-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#9FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Antonina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#47FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2
2019-04-20: L vs. [#7FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (24-16-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#45FLY] Ji Yeon Kim (9-2-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Antonina Shevchenko 55.52%
Elo K170 Katlyn Chookagian 1667.14 +243.83 75.28%
Elo Modified Katlyn Chookagian 1696.58 +207.11 71.23%
Glicko-1 Katlyn Chookagian 1660.77 +152.25 70.61%
WHR Antonina Shevchenko 1567.37 +30.02 53.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Katlyn Chookagian 112, Antonina Shevchenko 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#65] Daniel Rodriguez (11-2-0, 170.0lb, +180) vs. [*] Gabriel Green (9-2-0, 170.5lb, +270)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#76WW] Tim Means (29-12-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-12-19: W vs. [#548WW] Jackie Gosh (8-3-0) via in of round 1
2019-07-30: W vs. [#809WW] Rico Farrington (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Green (3-0-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [*] Richard LeRoy (7-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:52 of round 2
2018-04-13: W vs. [#1101FW] Javier Garcia (5-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:03 of round 3
2018-01-20: W vs. [*] Chris Padilla (9-4-0) via Technical Submission in ? of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Daniel Rodriguez 56.91%
Elo K170 Daniel Rodriguez 1594.10 +85.40 59.63%
Elo Modified Daniel Rodriguez 1615.05 +46.64 55.09%
Glicko-1 Daniel Rodriguez 1652.81 +63.02 58.97%
WHR Gabriel Green 1730.37 +36.05 54.9%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Rodriguez 105, Gabriel Green 644
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (206)
[#29] Klidson Abreu (15-4-0, 206.0lb, +105) vs. [#73] Jamahal Hill (7-0-0, 205.5lb, -129)

Last 3 Fights: Klidson Abreu (1-2-0)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#28LHW] Shamil Gamzatov (14-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#34LHW] Sam Alvey (33-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#20LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (13-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#110LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-23: W vs. [#220LHW] Alexander Poppeck (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2
2019-02-16: W vs. [#455HW+] William Vincent (6-9-0) via TKO in 5:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Jamahal Hill 53.59%
Elo K170 Klidson Abreu 1615.95 +89.09 60.04%
Elo Modified Klidson Abreu 1690.81 +125.92 63.44%
Glicko-1 Klidson Abreu 1738.64 +196.80 75.64%
WHR Jamahal Hill 1726.18 +16.46 51.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Klidson Abreu 203, Jamahal Hill 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (126)
[#31] Brandon Royval (10-4-0, 125.5lb, +148) vs. [#45] Tim Elliott (15-10-1, 126.0lb, -179)
Tim Elliott is the All-Time #48 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2019-11-22: W vs. [#185FLY] Nate Williams (30-19-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:23 of round 1
2019-05-03: W vs. [#147BW] Joby Sanchez (13-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:17 of round 1
2018-11-09: L vs. [#48BW] Casey Kenney (13-2-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (1-2-0)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#6FLY] Askar Askarov (11-0-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#1FLY/#10DD] Deiveson Figueiredo (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#69FLY] Mark De La Rosa (11-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:41 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Tim Elliott 61.40%
Elo K170 Tim Elliott 1634.98 +118.61 63.23%
Elo Modified Tim Elliott 1619.49 +74.25 58.06%
Glicko-1 Tim Elliott 1653.96 +72.29 60.26%
WHR Brandon Royval 1653.63 +92.47 60.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 190, Tim Elliott 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (136)
[#48] Casey Kenney (13-2-1, 136.0lb, -279) vs. [#120] Louis Smolka (16-6-0, 136.0lb, +222)

Last 3 Fights: Casey Kenney (2-1-0)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#22BW] Merab Dvalishvili (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 29-28)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#162LW] Manny Bermudez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#37BW] Ray Borg (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#438BW] Ryan MacDonald (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#12FLY] Matt Schnell (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#83BW] Su Mudaerji (12-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Casey Kenney 70.32%
Elo K170 Casey Kenney 1681.65 +151.99 66.69%
Elo Modified Casey Kenney 1707.80 +180.76 68.81%
Glicko-1 Casey Kenney 1716.78 +167.48 72.40%
WHR Casey Kenney 1711.56 +86.87 59.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Casey Kenney 105, Louis Smolka 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Casey Kenney leads 2-1
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Chris Gutierrez (14-4-1, 145.5lb, -113) vs. [#419] Vince Morales (9-4-0, 145.5lb, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#84BW] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#438BW] Ryan MacDonald (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-30: L vs. [#13BW] Raoni Barcelos (15-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Vince Morales (1-2-0)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#123BW] Benito Lopez (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#486BW] Aiemann Zahabi (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#16BW] Yadong Song (16-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Odds Favorite Chris Gutierrez 50.9%
Elo K170 Chris Gutierrez 1700.07 +341.01 82.60%
Elo Modified Chris Gutierrez 1632.20 +255.03 75.33%
Glicko-1 Chris Gutierrez 1639.78 +275.68 83.02%
WHR Vince Morales 1478.96 +25.20 52.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gutierrez 294, Vince Morales 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Tyron Woodley
Highest Stored DD Rating: Tyron Woodley
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Tyron Woodley vs. Gilbert Burns
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Tyron Woodley vs. Gilbert Burns
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2020-5-30

Completion time: 2020-05-30T20:26:09.1792886-04:00