Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 18: Hermansson vs. Cannonier (09-28-2019)

23 Sep , 2019,
jcs

Middleweight (185)
[#6] Jack Hermansson (20-4-0, -243) vs. [#10] Jared Cannonier (12-4-0, +194)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (3-0-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#8MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-7-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#18MW] David Branch (22-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#45MW] Gerald Meerschaert (29-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#17MW] Anderson Silva (34-10-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-11-03: W vs. [#18MW] David Branch (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 2
2018-05-19: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jack Hermansson – Win%: 67.56
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jack Hermansson (2095.81) [+327.88] – Win%: 81.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jack Hermansson (2110.72) [+344.92] – Win%: 81.91
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jack Hermansson (2049.01) [+235.32] – Win%: 85.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 154, Jared Cannonier 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#18] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1, +110) vs. [#30] Gilbert Burns (16-3-0, -136)

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#5WW] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#28WW] Alex Oliveira (20-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 2
2017-07-16: L vs. [#8WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#42WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#643LW] Mike Davis (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#46LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gilbert Burns – Win%: 54.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Gilbert Burns (1933.83) [+39.94] – Win%: 54.55
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gunnar Nelson (1959.08) [+41.29] – Win%: 54.50
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Gunnar Nelson (1939.74) [+34.77] – Win%: 56.50
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gunnar Nelson 196, Gilbert Burns 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#28] Ovince St. Preux (23-13-0, +186) vs. [#31] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-2-0, -233)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #43 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#16LHW] Nikita Krylov (25-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#49LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (3-0-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#75LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-02-23: W vs. [#41LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#33LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michal Oleksiejczuk – Win%: 66.67
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1766.10) [+154.14] – Win%: 66.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1784.37) [+132.79] – Win%: 64.14
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1745.40) [+91.39] – Win%: 66.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 168, Michal Oleksiejczuk 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#191] John Phillips (21-9-0, -114) vs. [#202] Alen Amedovski (8-1-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: John Phillips (0-3-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#102MW] Jack Marshman (23-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#43MW] Kevin Holland (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 3
2018-03-17: L vs. [#127MW] Charles Byrd (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alen Amedovski (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#25MW] Krzysztof Jotko (21-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#491MW] Ibrahim Mane (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#184MW] Will Fleury (6-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): John Phillips – Win%: 50.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alen Amedovski (1420.00) [+42.76] – Win%: 54.87
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alen Amedovski (1480.01) [+22.50] – Win%: 52.46
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): John Phillips (1445.04) [+22.76] – Win%: 54.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Phillips 196, Alen Amedovski 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#33] Khalil Rountree (8-4-0, -138) vs. [#44] Ion Cutelaba (14-4-0, +113)

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#33MW] Eryk Anders (12-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#24LHW] Johnny Walker (17-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:57 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#150LHW] Gokhan Saki (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#8LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#75LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:25 of round 1
2017-06-10: W vs. [#111LHW] Henrique da Silva (15-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Khalil Rountree – Win%: 55.25
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ion Cutelaba (1593.48) [+75.28] – Win%: 58.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ion Cutelaba (1640.24) [+74.81] – Win%: 58.12
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ion Cutelaba (1609.35) [+67.58] – Win%: 62.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 168, Ion Cutelaba 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#9] Macy Chiasson (5-0-0, -461) vs. [#14] Lina Lansberg (9-4-0, +346)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (3-0-0)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#17BW] Sarah Moras (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-02: W vs. [#46BW] Gina Mazany (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#22BW] Pannie Kianzad (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lina Lansberg (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [#24BW] Tonya Evinger (19-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#10BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#46BW] Gina Mazany (5-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Macy Chiasson – Win%: 78.56
Elo Favorite (Standard): Macy Chiasson (1533.35) [+106.02] – Win%: 61.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Macy Chiasson (1690.81) [+233.37] – Win%: 73.53
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Macy Chiasson (1584.49) [+121.98] – Win%: 71.57
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Macy Chiasson 147, Lina Lansberg 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Macy Chiasson leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#81] Makhmud Muradov (22-5-0, -157) vs. [#89] Alessio Di Chirico (12-3-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Makhmud Muradov (3-0-0)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#282MW] Wendell de Oliveira Marqu (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:56 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [#326MW] Alberto Emiliano Pereira (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:34 of round 1
2019-04-06: W vs. [#331MW] Tato Primera (10-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (2-1-0)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#43MW] Kevin Holland (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#100MW] Julian Marquez (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-12-16: W vs. [*] Oluwale Bamgbose (6-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:14 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Makhmud Muradov – Win%: 58.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Makhmud Muradov (1729.09) [+185.22] – Win%: 69.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): Makhmud Muradov (1745.79) [+220.87] – Win%: 72.45
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Makhmud Muradov (1747.15) [+230.03] – Win%: 85.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Makhmud Muradov 63, Alessio Di Chirico 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#28] Alex Oliveira (20-7-1, -188) vs. [#116] Nicolas Dalby (17-3-1, +156)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (1-2-0)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#25WW] Mike Perry (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#18WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 2
2018-09-22: W vs. [#219WW] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nicolas Dalby (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-06-29: NC vs. [#164WW] Ross Houston (8-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#147WW] Alex Lohore (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:47 of round 4
2018-12-08: W vs. [#353WW] Philip Mulpeter (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Oliveira – Win%: 62.56
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Oliveira (1745.33) [+123.26] – Win%: 63.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Oliveira (1756.14) [+68.83] – Win%: 57.48
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alex Oliveira (1722.79) [+47.74] – Win%: 59.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 154, Nicolas Dalby 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Oliveira leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#203WW] Mark O. Madsen (8-0-0, -460) vs. [#432] Danilo Belluardo (12-4-0, +343)

Last 3 Fights: Mark O. Madsen (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [NA] Patrick Nielsen (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#360WW] Thibaud Larchet (12-5-1) via UD ()
2018-12-15: W vs. [#437MW] Matthew Bonner (5-5-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Danilo Belluardo (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: L vs. [#157LW] Joel Alvarez (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-09: W vs. [#595LW] Denilson Neves de Oliveir (15-8-0) via UD ()
2018-11-17: W vs. [#1285LW] Elia Madau (4-5-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mark O. Madsen – Win%: 78.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mark O. Madsen (1520.18) [+129.61] – Win%: 64.38
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mark O. Madsen (1549.17) [+136.25] – Win%: 64.48
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Mark O. Madsen (1504.43) [+72.33] – Win%: 63.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mark O. Madsen 112, Danilo Belluardo 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#54] Ismail Naurdiev (18-3-0, -175) vs. [#74] Siyar Bahadurzada (24-7-1, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Ismail Naurdiev (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#44WW] Chance Rencountre (15-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#40WW] Michel Prazeres (26-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#435WW] Paulistenio Rocha (15-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Siyar Bahadurzada (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#43WW] Curtis Millender (17-5-0) via UD ()
2018-04-21: W vs. [*] Luan Chagas (15-3-1) via KO (Kick to the Body and Punch) in 2:40 of round 2
2017-09-02: W vs. [*] Rob Wilkinson (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ismail Naurdiev – Win%: 60.92
Elo Favorite (Standard): Siyar Bahadurzada (1755.40) [+79.75] – Win%: 59.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Siyar Bahadurzada (1778.04) [+85.51] – Win%: 59.25
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Siyar Bahadurzada (1769.12) [+94.89] – Win%: 67.53
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismail Naurdiev 84, Siyar Bahadurzada 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#107] Marc Diakiese (13-3-0, -139) vs. [#135] Lando Vannata (10-3-2, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Marc Diakiese (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#153LW] Joseph Duffy (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#65LW] Nasrat Haqparast (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#16LW] Dan Hooker (18-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:42 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (1-1-1)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#958LW] Marcos Mariano (6-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:55 of round 1
2018-11-03: D vs. [#150LW] Matt Frevola (7-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-07-07: L vs. [#33LW] Drakkar Klose (11-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marc Diakiese – Win%: 55.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marc Diakiese (1527.47) [+55.44] – Win%: 56.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marc Diakiese (1602.25) [+114.35] – Win%: 62.26
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Marc Diakiese (1564.16) [+91.01] – Win%: 67.11
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marc Diakiese 196, Lando Vannata 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#69] Jack Shore (11-0-0, -180) vs. [#130] Nohelin Hernandez (10-3-0, +150)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Shore (3-0-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#527BW] Scott Malone (6-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:28 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [#287BW] Mike Ekundayo (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 3
2018-09-29: W vs. [#240FLY] Weslley Maia (4-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nohelin Hernandez (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#24BW] Marlon Vera (15-5-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:25 of round 2
2018-11-09: W vs. [#235FW] Kyle Reyes (15-6-0) via SD ()
2018-09-28: W vs. [#580BW] Rolando Velasco (13-6-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jack Shore – Win%: 61.64
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jack Shore (1651.37) [+160.27] – Win%: 67.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jack Shore (1699.81) [+280.15] – Win%: 77.32
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jack Shore (1699.29) [+275.15] – Win%: 88.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Shore 154, Nohelin Hernandez 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#191] Brandon Davis (10-7-0, -147) vs. [#1224] Giga Chikadze (8-2-0, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Davis (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#66BW] Kyung Ho Kang (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#1221BW] Randy Costa (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 2
2018-09-08: L vs. [#8FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (17-1-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [NA] Damien Manzanares (0-3-0) via Submission (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1
2019-03-23: W vs. [NA] Damien Manzanares (0-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:45 of round 1
2018-08-11: W vs. [NA] Clay Baines (2-31-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:12 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Brandon Davis – Win%: 56.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brandon Davis (1373.19) [+172.90] – Win%: 68.78
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brandon Davis (1441.10) [+219.43] – Win%: 72.32
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Brandon Davis (1399.72) [+181.34] – Win%: 81.82
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Davis 42, Giga Chikadze 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jack Hermansson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jack Hermansson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jack Hermansson vs. Jared Cannonier
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jack Hermansson vs. Jared Cannonier
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-9-23