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Fight Matrix

Ten biggest point-based upsets in MMA history

Posted on June 28, 2008 by Oleg

We’ve compiled a list of the 10 biggest MMA upsets in recent history. The significance of upsets on this list is measured not by the betting odds, but by the difference in the Fightmatrix.com point standing between the two fighters, normalized for weight class differences.

  1. Gabriel Gonzaga W Mirko Filipovic (UFC 70, Apr 21 2007) @ -186.18
  2. Matt Serra W Georges St. Pierre (UFC 69, Apr 7 2007) @ -155.02
  3. Quinton Jackson W Chuck Liddell (UFC 71, May 26 2007) @ -142.45
  4. Mark Hunt W Wanderlei Silva (Pride Shockwave 2004, Dec 31 2004) @ -140.3
  5. Keith Jardine W Chuck Liddell (UFC 76, Sep 22 2007 ) @ -127.90
  6. Mark Coleman W Mauricio Rua (Pride 31, Feb 26 2006) @ -126.49
  7. Cheick Kongo W Mirko Filipovic (UFC 75, Sep 8 2007) @ -114.57
  8. Forrest Griffin W Mauricio Rua (UFC 76, Sep 22 2007) @ -108.48
  9. Eduardo Dantas W Shinichi Kojima (Shooto, Nov 8 2007) @ -103.79
  10. Sokoudjou W Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Pride 33, Feb 24 2007) @ -98.48

Interesting to note that with exception of 2 fights, this list is all comprised of heavy and light-heavyweights. Also, Mirko Filipovic, Chuck Liddell, and Mauricio Rua were all victims of huge upsets on more than one occasion.

A good bet for our gamblers…

Posted on June 27, 2008 by Jason

Here are the odds we dug up for the Griffin/Aurelio match-up:

Tyson Griffin -350 vs. Marcus Aurelio +250

Translated to an implied chance of winning, these odds suggest Griffin has a 78% chance of prevailing in the bout.

As for the FightMatrix points system, the difference between these two fighters is practically nothing.

Rank Fighter Record Points
14 Marcus Aurelio
Last Fight: 4/2/2008 [UFC]
16-5-0
102
15 Tyson Griffin
Last Fight: 2/2/2008 [UFC]
11-1-0
100

We’re not necessarily declaring Aurelio as the winner, but we know a good bet when we see one.

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 [#3 SW] Sukai China [#4 SW] Jo Arai
Last Fight Date: 5/04/2026 [DEEP]
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Last Opponent: [#23 SW] Daichi Kitakata
Last 5: L L W L W
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 [#6 SW] Sora Sugiyama [#10 SW] Goal Makino
Last Fight Date: 9/20/2026 [DEEP]
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Last 5: W W W L W
Last Fight Date: 9/06/2026 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#42 SW] Toshiya Takashima
Last 5: W W W W W
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 [#4 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev [#16 FW] Kyoma Akimoto
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[#18 W125]  Lucia Szabova [#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev
[#1 FW]  Alexander Volkanovski [#18 LW]  Renato Carneiro
[#13 LW]  Tom Nolan [#26 WW]  Jacobe Smith
[#1 LW]  Justin Gaethje [#102 W125]  Tainara Lisboa
[#2 LW]  Ilia Topuria [#10 LW]  Benoit St. Denis

The Ultimate Fighter 7 Finale review

Posted on June 22, 2008 by Oleg

Seven seasons old, and still going strong, The Ultimate Fighter has become somewhat of a farm system for the UFC.  This season didn’t produce a very high yield:  of the 32 competitors initially appearing on the cast, only seven were scheduled for a bout in the live finale. (One of those scheduled bouts, Tim Credeur vs Cale Yarborough, did not happen as Credeur was banned from competition by Nevada State Athletic Committee due to taking prescription drug Adderall several days prior to the fight.)  The rest of the card was mostly filled with UFC veterans, many of whom were in a must-win situation.

Dante Rivera vs Matthew Riddle (185 lbs)

TUF back-story: A friendly rivalry between a veteran Rivera and a rookie Riddle culminated with Rivera claiming he will retire should he lose this fight, and Riddle promising to have a retirement plaque ready to present to Dante after the bout.

The fight itself turns out to be pretty boring, with most of the bout taking place clinched against the fence.  Riddle gets a takedown towards the end of every round, and achieves mount on more than one occasion.  Ending each round in dominant position is enough to give Riddle the bout, 29-28 on one judge’s scorecard and 30-27 on the other two.  I don’t understand the UFC’s reasoning behind starting out the televised broadcast with this bout.

The aftermath:  Cooler heads prevail, and the retirement plaque never rears its ugly head.  Nevertheless, Rivera is not a UFC caliber fighter.  Riddle is very raw and green but shows potential.

Fight grade: 2/5

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MMA Rankings Updated: 6/22/08

Posted on June 22, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Minor bugfix affecting movement of those around the starter debut level.  This will cause some fluctuations in lower ranked fighters.
  • Effects from quite a few shows: UFC TUF 7, KOTC Canada, Shooto Disco 5, RAW Combat, SportFight 23, Banner Promotions, etc.
  • Effects from some older shows/bouts added.

This is a pretty big update, affecting just about every division!  A few minor shows were missed because the results were not available when I ran the latest update (Invincible, Phoenix Fight, GCM, FX3)

Top Ten Welterweights outside of UFC

Posted on June 21, 2008 by Oleg

Last week, I examined the top contenders of the UFC’s Welterweight Division. Now, let’s look at the ten highest-ranked welterweights currently competing in other MMA organizations. The first two names on this list, WEC welterweight champion Carlos Condit and his uncrowned Elite XC counterpart Jake Shields, are in a virtual tie – with Condit ahead by mere fractions of a percent due to more recent activity. Both men demonstrated the ability to perform at a very high level, and either could potentialy be ranked in the top five, however with all remaining top ten fighters locked into UFC contracts, Shields and Condit are held back by not being able to fight competitors at or above their level.

The remainder of this list is comprised of veterans who’ve been around the block many times, never quite reaching the top of their weightclass but ready to give any top contender a tough matchup. Several hold championship titles in smaller promotions, and most are familiar faces to American fans, having appeared in the UFC, IFL, and the now defunct BodogFIGHT league. Keep Reading

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Fightmatrix.com recognized by NABC

Posted on June 20, 2008 by Oleg

Fightmatrix.com MMA rankings are now officially recognized by the North American Boxing Council (http://nabc.net/) 

A word from the NABC President:

The NABC was the first boxing organization to sanction a MMA title fight when Jessie Chilton defeated Eddie Sanchez at Legends of Fighting 8 in Indianapolis to win the NABC 185lb MMA championship. NABC mixed martial arts championship matches have also been held by California Xtreme Fighting and have been televised on the HDNet cable channel and on Cage Fury Fighting Championships pay per view broadcasts.

The NABC has never charged MMA promoters or fighters for sanctioning title matchs. Our revenue model is based on sponsorships which allows us to bring greater exposure to fighters at no cost to them.

Your creation of an unbiased computerized MMA ratings system which isn’t influenced by promotions or broadcasters is another step to provide exposure to fighters at no cost to them and I’ll help pass the word along that it should be recognized as an official ranking.

Best Regards,
Ed Hutchison
President, NABC

Thanks Mr. Hutchison & NABC!

MMA Rankings Updated: 6/15/08

Posted on June 16, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Effects from EliteXC, Adrenaline 1, and DREAM 4.

Elite XC ‘Return of the King’ Review

Posted on June 14, 2008 by Oleg

Two weeks after their abysmal CBS debut, Elite XC returned with another card – this one broadcast on Showtime.  The event featured the first defense of the Elite XC’s newly minted 160 lbs title, with champion KJ Noons taking on the challenger Yves Edwards.  Other UFC and Pride FC veterans making an appearance on this card were Murilo ‘Ninja’ Rua, Nick Diaz, and Ron Waterman.  The commentary was provided by Mauro Ranallo and Stephen Quadros, as well as former pro-wrestler Bill Goldberg.

Keep Reading

UFC’s Welterweight Division

Posted on June 13, 2008 by Oleg

In the past week, a major change of guard occurred in the UFC’s storied welterweight division, as the long time former champion Matt Hughes was dismantled and knocked out by Thiago ‘Pitbull’ Alves. With Alves establishing himself as the top contender to the winner of the upcoming title bout between the seemingly unstoppable champion Georges St. Pierre and the challenger Jon Fitch (currently on a record-tying eight win streak in the UFC), it’s a good time to take a step back and look at the current state of the 170 lbs weight class.

Between stars like St. Pierre, veterans such as Hughes & Matt Serra, top contenders like Alves and Fitch, and newcomers such as Dan Hardy & David Baron, UFC has a tight lock on the welterweight division. According to the latest Fightmatrix.com ranking, all of the Top 5, 8 of the Top 10, and 14 of the Top 20 welterweights in the world are currently under UFC contract. The division is so deep that there are over 30 ranked welterweights competing in the UFC today! Here’s a look at the top echelon of the 170 division:

The Champion: [#1] Georges St. Pierre

MMA Record: 16-2 (10-2 UFC)

Last bout: Defeated Matt Serra by TKO at UFC 83

Next bout: A title defense against Jon Fitch at UFC 87

The Canadian superstar has come a long way since earning a decision victory over Karo Parisyan in his Octagon debut. After losing his first title shot to then-champion Matt Hughes, St.Pierre steamrolled his opponents, stopping most in the first or second round. Georges finally received another shot at Hughes, and stopped him in the second round to win his first UFC title. He suffered a setback with an upset loss to Matt Serra in the following bout, but avenged his loss and regained the belt in UFC 83 (the first UFC event held in Canada). St. Pierre will look toward making his first title defense when he takes on Jon Fitch at UFC 87.

Keep Reading

Archive Update

Posted on June 9, 2008 by Oleg

Fightmatrix.com MMA ranks archive has been updated with the rankings as of June 1, 2008.

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