Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar (07-27-2019)

Posted on July 22, 2019 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#10P4P] Max Holloway (20-4-0, -411) vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1, +317)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#6P4P] Dustin Poirier (25-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2017-12-02: W vs. [#4FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#34FW] Cub Swanson (25-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#28FW] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 77.03
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2246.96) [+155.78] – Win%: 67.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2203.94) [+139.69] – Win%: 64.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 105, Frankie Edgar 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-4
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0, -674) vs. [#3] Felicia Spencer (7-0-0, +466)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (18-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#5FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-11-16: W vs. [#24FW] Pam Sorenson (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:23 of round 4
2018-07-21: W vs. [#60FW] Helena Kolesnyk (5-2-0) via Submission (rear Naked Choke) in 1:47 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cristiane Justino – Win%: 83.13
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cristiane Justino (1801.65) [+282.57] – Win%: 78.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cristiane Justino (1801.09) [+232.65] – Win%: 73.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 210, Felicia Spencer 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#46] Niko Price (13-2-0, +232) vs. [#54] Geoff Neal (11-2-0, -289)

Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#77WW] Tim Means (28-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:50 of round 1
2018-09-08: L vs. [#63WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#76WW] Randy Brown (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (3-0-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#32WW] Belal Muhammad (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#133LW] Frank Camacho (23-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [*] Brian Camozzi (7-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Geoff Neal – Win%: 71.15
Elo Favorite (Standard): Geoff Neal (1749.14) [+29.06] – Win%: 53.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Niko Price (1759.76) [+31.17] – Win%: 53.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Niko Price 140, Geoff Neal 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-21-2019)

Posted on July 21, 2019 by Jason

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, March 14th 2026: Pancrase 361

[#4 SW] Yuta Miyazawa

[#9 SW] Kanji Funada

Last Fight Date: 11/09/2025 [Pancrase]
Last Opponent: [#32 SW] Tateo Iino
Last 5: W W L W W

Last Fight Date: 4/27/2025 [Pancrase]
Last Opponent: [#51 SW] Takafumi Ato
Last 5: W W W W W

Friday, March 20th 2026: PFL Madrid: Van Steenis vs. Edwards 2

[#8 MW] Costello Van Steenis (-132)

[#12 MW] Fabian Edwards (+107)

Last Fight Date: 7/19/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#13 MW] Johnny Eblen
Last 5: W L W W W

Last Fight Date: 8/21/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#27 MW] Dalton Rosta
Last 5: W L W W W

Sunday, April 12th 2026: RIZIN LANDMARK 13 in FUKUOKA

[#25 W115] Natalia Kuziutina

[#7 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki

Last Fight Date: 8/16/2025 [Ural Fighting Championship]
Last Opponent: [#77 W115] Rose Conceicao
Last 5: W W W W W

Last Fight Date: 11/23/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#14 W105] Ye Ji Lee
Last 5: W L W L W

Featured Fighters

[#242 LW]	Rustambek Nurzhanov	[#18 FW]	Kyoma Akimoto
[#840 LW]	Daniel Holt	[#2 LW]	Charles Oliveira
[#1 LW]	Ilia Topuria	[#5 LW]	Max Holloway
[#362 HW]	Tony Lopez	[#43 LW]	Drew Dober
[#46 FW]	Patrick Mix	[#1 WW]	Islam Makhachev

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 4: dos Anjos vs. Edwards (07-20-2019)

Posted on July 15, 2019 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Rafael dos Anjos (29-11-0, +106) vs. [#13] Leon Edwards (17-3-0, -131)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#33WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#5DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#18WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-03-17: W vs. [*] Peter Sobotta (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Leon Edwards – Win%: 53.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2119.56) [+26.40] – Win%: 53.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (2085.70) [+65.62] – Win%: 57.13
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 63, Leon Edwards 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Alexey Oleynik (59-12-1, +128) vs. [#45] Walt Harris (12-7-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-09-15: W vs. [#15HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#65HW+] Junior Albini (14-6-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#88HW+] Sergey Spivak (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#120HW+] Daniel Spitz (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexey Oleynik (1756.64) [+162.34] – Win%: 67.74
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexey Oleynik (1789.45) [+83.42] – Win%: 59.03
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Oleynik 91, Walt Harris 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexey Oleynik leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#125] Juan Adams (5-1-0, -114) vs. [#144] Greg Hardy (4-1-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (2-1-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#84HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#205HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2018-07-31: W vs. [#264HW+] Shawn Teed (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#317HW+] Dmitry Smoliakov (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 1
2019-01-19: L vs. [#134HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via DQ (Illegal Knee to Grounded Fighter) in 2:28 of round 2
2018-09-29: W vs. [NA] Ray Jones (0-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:53 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 50.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Adams (1371.43) [+66.20] – Win%: 57.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Greg Hardy (1502.08) [+34.06] – Win%: 53.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Adams 77, Greg Hardy 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-14-2019)

Posted on July 14, 2019 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 13: De Randamie vs. Ladd (07-13-2019)

Posted on July 9, 2019 by Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#7DD/#8P4P] Germaine de Randamie (8-3-0, +142) vs. [#4] Aspen Ladd (8-0-0, -170)
Germaine de Randamie is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Germaine de Randamie (3-0-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-05-08: W vs. [*] Anna Elmose (3-2-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 3:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#12BW] Sijara Eubanks (4-3-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#19BW] Tonya Evinger (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 1
2017-10-21: W vs. [#11BW] Lina Lansberg (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aspen Ladd – Win%: 60.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aspen Ladd (1648.70) [+30.39] – Win%: 53.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aspen Ladd (1700.58) [+66.11] – Win%: 57.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Germaine de Randamie 245, Aspen Ladd 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Ricky Simon (16-1-0, -329) vs. [*] Urijah Faber (34-10-0, +261)
Urijah Faber is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (3-0-0)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#29BW] Rani Yahya (26-10-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#18BW] Montel Jackson (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#31BW] Merab Dvalishvili (9-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Urijah Faber (1-2-0)
2016-12-17: W vs. [*] Brad Pickett (25-14-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2016-09-10: L vs. [#13BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-06-04: L vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ricky Simon – Win%: 73.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ricky Simon (1833.17) [+0.43] – Win%: 50.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ricky Simon (1809.50) [+10.41] – Win%: 51.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 154, Urijah Faber 938
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Josh Emmett (14-2-0, +141) vs. [#14] Mirsad Bektic (13-1-0, -168)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#22FW] Michael Johnson (19-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#8FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-16-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2
2017-12-16: W vs. [#15FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mirsad Bektic (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#15FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#244LW] Godofredo Castro (14-6-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:47 of round 1
2017-03-04: L vs. [#19FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mirsad Bektic – Win%: 60.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Josh Emmett (1870.60) [+5.47] – Win%: 50.63
Elo Favorite (Modified): Josh Emmett (1862.54) [+70.67] – Win%: 57.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 105, Mirsad Bektic 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Reasons To Love MMA

Posted on July 9, 2019 by A. J. Riot

MMA (Mixed Martial Arts) is a hugely popular sport, and it seems to be gaining momentum all the time. Just what is it, though, that makes it so well loved the world over? Why do people love to watch – and participate in – this kind of sport? There are many different reasons; read on to find out what just some of them are.

Skilled Fighters

The fighters who take part in MMA are highly skilled. Of course, the same could be said of boxers, or other types of martial artists, but there is something special and certainly unique about the fighters in MMA. These are people who have mastered, as the name suggests, many different types of martial arts, and they know exactly how to use their skills to good effect.

It’s fun to find a favorite fighter and follow their career. You might even go to watch their matches when you can, and you can use Unibet to see what the odds are of them winning. That makes the fight even more exciting, and it is a thrill to watch.

It’s For Everyone

The great thing about MMA is that it really is for everyone. Men and women alike enjoy this particular sport, and can watch it together, all enjoying the fight for the skill and the fun they are experiencing.

Even more interestingly, MMA is for all participants too. Again, men and women can both take part – although in separate fights – making it a much more inclusive sport than many others. There are many famous female MMA fighters, such as Ronda Rousey.

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Spinanga

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-07-2019)

Posted on July 7, 2019 by Jason

Notable Info

Men’s Lightweight expanded to Top 750 (from 700).
Men’s Bantamweight expanded to Top 550 (from 500).
Men’s Strawweight expanded to Top 35 (from 30).

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos (07-06-2019)

Posted on July 1, 2019 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (24-1-0, -669) vs. [#6] Thiago Santos (21-6-0, +466)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#2LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#13LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [#28LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2
2018-09-22: W vs. [#38LHW] Eryk Anders (12-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 83.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2406.65) [+357.14] – Win%: 83.64
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2407.56) [+355.16] – Win%: 82.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 126, Thiago Santos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (17-4-0, -353) vs. [#3/#10DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0, +278)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Holly Holm is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (17-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#5FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#18BW] Bethe Correia (10-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:09 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Amanda Nunes – Win%: 74.65
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1984.89) [+442.75] – Win%: 88.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Amanda Nunes (1938.10) [+373.22] – Win%: 83.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 189, Holly Holm 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 7-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#4] Jorge Masvidal (33-13-0, +187) vs. [#12] Ben Askren (19-0-0, -232)
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #32 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ben Askren is the All-Time #33 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#7WW] Darren Till (17-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2
2017-11-04: L vs. [#9WW] Stephen Thompson (14-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (27-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Askren (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#17WW] Robbie Lawler (28-13-0) via Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2017-11-24: W vs. [#111WW] Shinya Aoki (43-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:57 of round 1
2017-09-02: W vs. [#37MW] Zebaztian Kadestam (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ben Askren – Win%: 66.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Askren (2200.38) [+173.66] – Win%: 68.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ben Askren (2158.83) [+100.22] – Win%: 60.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jorge Masvidal 112, Ben Askren 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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casino utan svensk licens

All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (07-01-2019)

Posted on July 1, 2019 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-30-2019)

Posted on June 30, 2019 by Jason

Notable Info

Men’s Featherweight rankings expanded to 650 (from 600).
Women’s Flyweight rankings expanded to 75 (from 60).
Women’s Atomweight rankings expanded to 20 (from 15).

UFC 239 Preview

Posted on June 27, 2019 by Oleg

It’s been almost a year since I’ve done a UFC event preview blog. We are now halfway through 2019 – which will be remembered in MMA history as the start of the UFC & ESPN partnership – and quickly coming up on what is shaping up to be the biggest card of the year so far, assuming all the fighters make it to the opening bell without suffering injuries, failing USADA tests, or any other mishaps.

As UFC 239 approaches, the odds for the two champions on the card, Jon Jones and Amanda Nunes, are getting longer. Jones opened as roughly a -900 favorite against the aging Thiago Santos, but is now closer to -650. Nunes’ dip is less pronounced, going from about -375 to -330 in her bout with dangerous striker Holly Holm. Once fight night rolls round and you want to know a trusted source based on first-hand experiences for UFC betting, look no further than my top sportsbooks lists of sites which are given ratings from users and editors.

The appetizer to the main events, Ben Askren, has seen his odds improve. Initially a -215 favorite against Jorge Masvidal, Askren’s been bet up to -350. Bettors likely see Masvidal, who was taken down four times by Demian Maia, having a huge problem staying off the mat against Askren’s Olympic-level wrestling.

With all that in mind, here is a brief preview of the UFC 239 main card:

(C) [#1 LHW] Jon Jones vs [#6 LHW] Thiago Santos for the UFC Light Heavyweight title

While Jon ‘Bones’ Jones is unarguably one of, if not the greatest fighter in the history of the sport, he is just as unarguably one of the most controversial. Whatever trouble Jones manages to get himself into seems to always roll off him like water off a duck’s back – whether it be PED failures, lawsuits or running afoul of the law, he comes out of every scandal virtually unscathed – only to soon become entangled again in a new set of shenanigans. While his troubles have not been an overall significant detriment to his career, they forced him to take an occasional break from action. Because of this Jones has only fought once a year dating back to 2014. This trend has now been turned around, as he will be defending his title for the second time this year and taking his third fight overall in seven months since regaining the title in a rematch with Alexander Gustaffson at the end of 2018.

Jon’s slated opponent Thiago “Marreta” Santos, much like his previous opponent Anthony Smith, started out his UFC career as a middleweight and had a somewhat spotty record prior to moving up to 205 lbs and winning three in a row before getting a shot at Jones. There, the similarities end. While Anthony Smith is a well rounded fighter who is equally adept at taking his opponents out with strikes as he is at making them tap out, the Brazilian Hammer Santos focuses almost exclusively on destroying his opposition with a wide array of strikes thrown with the most damaging intentions. And while Smith was very passive and almost timid in his fight with Jones, which allowed Jon to effectively neutralize Anthony and cruise to a one-sided decision, I don’t feel that Santos will change his ultra-aggressive style for anyone. Unfortunately for Thiago, his aggression may very well play right into Jon’s hand. Marreta’s path to victory is clear: throw everything including the kitchen sink at Bones in hopes of dealing concussive damage. The longer this fight goes on, the less likely are the odds that Santos lands a knockout strike. And I just can’t pick someone whose best chance is a striker’s chance, to beat Jon Jones. Nor have I seen the type of takedown defense or ground skill from Santos that would allow him to survive until the final bell without Bones choking him out or destroying his face with brutal elbows from the top position as he’s done to many of his past opponents.

The real burning question headed into this fight is how many picograms of Turinabol will show up in Jon’s bloodstream this time around. I wonder if there are any sportsbooks taking prop bets on this action.

Prediction: Jon Jones by submission or TKO (ground and pound).

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 3: N’Gannou vs. dos Santos (06-29-2019)

Posted on June 26, 2019 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (13-3-0, -260) vs. [#4] Junior dos Santos (21-5-0, +209)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (2-1-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#10HW+] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#8HW+] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2018-07-07: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (3-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#26HW+] Tai Tuivasa (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-07-14: W vs. [#14HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Francis Ngannou – Win%: 69.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2119.78) [+73.54] – Win%: 58.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2127.20) [+90.78] – Win%: 59.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 132, Junior dos Santos 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Junior dos Santos leads 3-2
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Flyweight (125)
[#1] Jussier Formiga (23-5-0, +152) vs. [#2] Joseph Benavidez (27-5-0, -182)
Jussier Formiga is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #6 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jussier Formiga (3-0-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#5FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#57BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#121BW] Ben Nguyen (16-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:43 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#4FLY] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#44BW] Alex Perez (22-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#57BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Benavidez – Win%: 61.92
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (1983.70) [+9.59] – Win%: 51.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (1978.27) [+22.41] – Win%: 52.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jussier Formiga 98, Joseph Benavidez 161
Previous Match-up Record: Joseph Benavidez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 6-4
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Welterweight (170)
[#16] Demian Maia (26-9-0, -198) vs. [#22] Anthony Rocco Martin (16-4-0, +164)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #16 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (1-2-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#64WW] Lyman Good (20-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2018-05-19: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Rocco Martin (3-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#62WW] Sergio Moraes (14-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#78WW] Jake Matthews (14-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:19 of round 3
2018-10-06: W vs. [#49WW] Ryan LaFlare (14-3-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Demian Maia – Win%: 63.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Rocco Martin (1999.61) [+19.58] – Win%: 52.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Rocco Martin (1995.08) [+34.50] – Win%: 53.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 147, Anthony Rocco Martin 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Contender Series 2019: Week 2 (06-25-2019)

Posted on June 25, 2019 by Jason

Middleweight (178)
[#552WW] Miguel Baeza (6-0-0, 169.5lb) vs. [#553WW] Victor Reyna (10-4-0, 178.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (3-0-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#1908WW] Matthew Colquhoun (4-3-0) via KO in 3:31 of round 1
2017-09-01: W vs. [#957WW] Leo Valdivia (5-4-0) via SD ()
2017-04-07: W vs. [NA] Augustus DAngelo (2-2-0) via TKO in 1:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Victor Reyna (2-1-0)
2018-07-21: L vs. [#185MW] Hayward Charles (17-13-0) via TKO in 0:21 of round 1
2017-12-01: W vs. [#445WW] Daniel Rodriguez (8-2-0) via SD ()
2017-04-20: W vs. [#709BW] Andrew Perez (9-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Miguel Baeza (1366.01) [+57.75] – Win%: 56.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Miguel Baeza (1381.30) [+75.16] – Win%: 58.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miguel Baeza 192, Victor Reyna 339
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#170] Alton Cunningham (7-1-0, 205.5lb) vs. [#250] Tony Johnson (7-2-0, 203.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Alton Cunningham (2-1-0)
2018-12-07: W vs. [#320LHW] Erick Murray (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 2
2018-10-27: W vs. [#621MW] B.J. Lacy (17-26-3) via TKO in 0:53 of round 1
2018-07-10: L vs. [#154MW] Bevon Lewis (6-2-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tony Johnson (3-0-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#456LHW] Jaquis Williams (7-10-0) via MD ()
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Mike Ortega (2-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:49 of round 2
2013-02-02: W vs. [#942WW] Justin Baesman (18-21-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 28-29)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alton Cunningham (1347.65) [+69.38] – Win%: 57.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alton Cunningham (1445.63) [+207.72] – Win%: 71.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alton Cunningham 200, Tony Johnson 241
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (146)
[#125] Justin Gonzales (9-0-0, 146.0lb) vs. [#471WW] Zach Zane (12-7-0, 146.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gonzales (3-0-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#1380FW] Bruno Ferreira (8-2-0) via TKO in of round 1
2018-12-01: W vs. [#332FW] Drew Brokenshire (18-9-0) via DEC ()
2018-05-19: W vs. [NA] Andy Brossett (2-6-0) via TKO in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Zach Zane (3-0-0)
2019-03-22: W vs. [#1707WW] Kealii Kanekoa (2-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:23 of round 1
2019-02-13: W vs. [NA] Kris Berberich (2-5-0) via SUB in 2:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#1813LW] Cesar Gonzalez (2-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Justin Gonzales (1599.04) [+202.55] – Win%: 71.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): Justin Gonzales (1648.20) [+236.34] – Win%: 73.78
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gonzales 59, Zach Zane 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-23-2019)

Posted on June 23, 2019 by Jason

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 12: Moicano vs. Korean Zombie (06-22-2019)

Posted on June 17, 2019 by Jason

Featherweight (146)
[#9] Renato Carneiro (13-2-1, 146.0lb, -205) vs. [#63] Chan Sung Jung (14-5-0, 146.0lb, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#4FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2
2018-08-04: W vs. [#30FW] Cub Swanson (25-11-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2018-04-07: W vs. [#10FW] Calvin Kattar (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (1-2-0)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#26FW] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 5
2017-02-04: W vs. [#98LW] Dennis Bermudez (17-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:49 of round 1
2013-08-03: L vs. [#4FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Renato Carneiro – Win%: 64.30
Elo Favorite (Standard): Renato Carneiro (1915.42) [+203.66] – Win%: 71.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Renato Carneiro (1867.95) [+158.87] – Win%: 66.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 140, Chan Sung Jung 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#70] Bryan Barberena (14-6-0, 170.5lb, -276) vs. [#153] Randy Brown (10-3-0, 170.0lb, +221)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (1-2-0)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#25WW] Vicente Luque (16-6-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:54 of round 3
2018-08-25: W vs. [*] Jake Ellenberger (31-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 1
2017-09-02: L vs. [#13WW] Leon Edwards (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (1-2-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#46WW] Niko Price (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 2
2017-11-04: W vs. [#188WW] Mickey Gall (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2017-02-11: L vs. [#33WW] Belal Muhammad (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Bryan Barberena – Win%: 70.20
Elo Favorite (Standard): Bryan Barberena (1637.58) [+144.40] – Win%: 65.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Bryan Barberena (1653.51) [+122.41] – Win%: 63.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Barberena 125, Randy Brown 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#46] Andre Ewell (14-5-0, 135.0lb, -109) vs. [#216FW] Anderson dos Santos (20-7-0, 135.5lb, -113)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Ewell (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#20BW] Nathaniel Wood (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 3
2018-09-22: W vs. [#87BW] Renan Barao (34-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-06-15: W vs. [#300BW] Dinis Paiva (11-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:36 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Anderson dos Santos (2-1-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#108FW] Nad Narimani (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#478BW] Aleandro Caetano (17-5-1) via UD ()
2018-07-21: W vs. [#243BW] Wanderley da Silva Ferrei (9-3-0) via TKO in 4:10 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anderson dos Santos – Win%: 50.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andre Ewell (1528.40) [+45.47] – Win%: 55.18
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andre Ewell (1506.43) [+1.68] – Win%: 50.18
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Ewell 175, Anderson dos Santos 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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