MMA – Page 13 – Fight Matrix

Predicting Fight Outcomes: How Data Analytics in MMA and Casino Games Intersect

Posted on February 28, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is an unpredictable sport where a single moment can determine victory. Fans, analysts, and even fighters rely on data to assess matchups, predict fight outcomes, and understand performance trends. Similarly, the world of social casino gaming incorporates statistical modeling to create engaging and dynamic experiences. While one is a combat sport and the other is a form of entertainment, both fields leverage analytics to make informed decisions.

For those who enjoy number-driven insights, platforms like Spree provide a range of entertainment options where probability and analytics come into play. But how exactly does data influence both MMA and social casino games? Let’s break it down.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 27, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Upset Alert? Fighters the Ranking Systems Disagree On – March 2025

Posted on February 27, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is a competitive sport where fighter rankings play an important role in ranking fighter status and future fights. Different systems of rankings, however, yield differing results, leaving some fascinating contradictions in the assessment of fighters. FightMatrix, being one of the leading MMA ranking websites, utilizes a blend of objective criteria along with prediction metrics to come up with fighter standings.

This article will look at fights across multiple weight classes for which there are significant differences between ranking systems like Betting Odds, Elo, and WHR, why these discrepancies occur, and what they can mean for upcoming bouts.

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The Evolution of Champions: Fighters Who Ruled Different Weight Divisions

Posted on February 27, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Source: Pixabay.com

Dominating several weight classes is one of the most spectacular feats in combat sports. Successfully switching across divisions cements a fighter’s reputation as one of the most significant of the modern era. However, this accomplishment is uncommon because of the particular difficulties of physical adaptations to shifting competition.

To achieve greatness, plenty of notable fighters have ascended the ranks and demonstrated their abilities in a variety of weight classes. The fighter must modify their overall strategy, training, and fighting style when they move from one size to another in weight. While some fighters adjusted to the physical requirements associated with ease, others found it difficult. Fans and commentators argue where these multi-division winners stand among the greatest in history as the MMA and boxing rankings change in tandem with these transfers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev (03-01-2025)

Posted on February 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#8UFC] Manel Kape (20-7-0, -240) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Asu Almabayev (21-2-0, +195)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#32FLY] Bruno Silva (14-7-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabayev (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#207FLY] Jose Johnson (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#134FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-240		67.55%
Elo K170	Asu Almabayev	1906.15	+92.32	62.98%
Elo Modified	Asu Almabayev	1867.33	+54.36	57.76%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1889.32	+0.11	50.02%
WHR	Manel Kape	1810.43	+47.02	56.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 77, Asu Almabayev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Asu Almabayev leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#100][#51UFC] Cody Brundage (10-6-0, +141) vs. [#238][#70UFC] Julian Marquez (9-5-0, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#106MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#23MW] Bo Nickal (7-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (0-3-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-03-04: L vs. [#56MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Julian Marquez	-170		60.27%
Elo K170	Cody Brundage	1418.18	+93.47	63.14%
Elo Modified	Cody Brundage	1396.06	+4.68	50.67%
Glicko-1	Julian Marquez	1397.10	+20.82	52.99%
WHR	Cody Brundage	1390.71	+60.37	58.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 231, Julian Marquez 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Brundage leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#31][#21UFC] William Gomis (14-2-0, -218) vs. [#85][#43UFC] Hyder Amil (10-0-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#32FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#414BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#242FW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#132FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#936FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-08-15: W vs. [#784LW] Emrah Sonmez (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	William Gomis	-218		65.58%
Elo K170	William Gomis	1851.45	+174.98	73.25%
Elo Modified	William Gomis	1722.26	+73.41	60.41%
Glicko-1	William Gomis	1733.70	+67.07	59.53%
WHR	William Gomis	1659.21	+25.17	53.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Gomis 154, Hyder Amil 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (02-24-2025)

Posted on February 24, 2025 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (02-23-2025)

Posted on February 23, 2025 by Jason

The Role of Advanced Analytics in Predicting Fight Outcomes

Posted on February 20, 2025 by A. J. Riot

On January 19, 2025, Umar Nurmagomedov, cousin of the legendary Khabib clashed with the reigning UFC bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili in an attempt to claim the bantamweight throne. Even though Umar entered the fight as a -334 favorite, the bout ended in Merab’s convincing victory via a unanimous decision. Considering the fact that Merab has been one of the most dominant bantamweights in mixed martial arts (MMA) over the last few years, his underdog status before the fight proves to be rather surprising. Merab confirmed his solid status and proved the sportsbooks to be wrong. This case shows that there are always attractive opportunities for MMA bets, as sportsbooks cannot predict all the outcomes properly. After all, fighting is often more unpredictable than other popular sports, such as ice hockey. However, they still have a very professional approach to predicting fight outcomes in the unpredictable sport of MMA. In this article, we will explore it in more detail, focusing on the role of advanced analytics.

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The Business of MMA: Sponsorships, Endorsements, and Fighter Branding

Posted on February 20, 2025 by A. J. Riot

As well as with any other sports, MMA advertising is a lucrative option for businesses willing to reach new audiences. Moreover, it seems to be going through some nice times in terms of popularity, which makes MMA marketing and athlete endorsements look even more promising. However, when talking about MMA business and its potential, it’s important to underline the different nature of its audience, which actually becomes its main advantage for those willing to promote themselves this way.

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The Similarities Between UFC Fighters and Elite Horse Jockeys: Training, Endurance & Performance

Posted on February 18, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Photo by Rodolfo Clix: https://www.pexels.com/photo/person-wearing-red-head-gear-1575381/

At first glance, UFC fighters and elite horse jockeys seem like worlds apart. On one hand, we have a high-intensity combat sport, and probably one of the most brutal sports out there, and on the other hand we have precision-based tests of skills and endurance, where athletes need to change their lifestyle in order to compete in the big league.

Now, don’t get me wrong, all sports are difficult in their own way, but UFC and horse jockeys are probably one of the top contenders for being one of the hardest-working athletes.

To be honest, if you take a closer look, you’ll find that these two groups of athletes share more similarities than you might expect. First of all, they both demand exceptional physical conditioning, strategic thinking (fast), and an almost inhuman level of endurance.

This inspired us to compare elite horse racing jockeys, and some of the most successful UFC fighters and find more similarities.

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How to Get Started with MMA Betting: A Beginner’s Guide to Smart Wagering

Posted on February 17, 2025 by A. J. Riot

MMA betting is not just a roll of the dice. It’s strategy, understanding and a sport that thrives on uncertainty. From the octagon to the betting slip, the excitement of MMA is in the details. For beginners, getting into MMA betting can be as exciting as it is intimidating. But with the right knowledge you can bet smart and enjoy every minute of the action.

A good place to start is to understand how MMA betting works. Unlike team sports where home advantage or lineup changes come into play, MMA is two fighters only. This creates a unique dynamic where stats, styles and momentum matter more than ever. You can bet on outright winners, method of victory and even how long the fight will last. Knowing these options is key to making an informed bet.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues (02-15-2025)

Posted on February 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0, +152) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0, -184)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#68MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gregory Rodrigues	-184		62.01%
Elo K170	Jared Cannonier	1959.16	+106.65	64.88%
Elo Modified	Jared Cannonier	1924.11	+33.41	54.79%
Glicko-1	Jared Cannonier	1961.48	+15.14	52.18%
WHR	Jared Cannonier	1865.10	+51.89	57.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 175, Gregory Rodrigues 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#16][#12UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-8-0, +313) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1, -417)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#73FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#183FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#55FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Youssef Zalal	-417		76.91%
Elo K170	Calvin Kattar	1874.77	+91.45	62.87%
Elo Modified	Calvin Kattar	1863.66	+74.96	60.62%
Glicko-1	Calvin Kattar	1913.70	+39.14	55.61%
WHR	Youssef Zalal	1773.62	+19.24	52.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 308, Youssef Zalal 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#68][#35UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-4-0, -148) vs. [*] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#298LW] Vinc Pichel (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#213LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#212WW] Evan Elder (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ismael Bonfim	-148		56.87%
Elo K170	Ismael Bonfim	1858.94	+287.23	83.93%
Elo Modified	Ismael Bonfim	1850.07	+246.48	80.52%
Glicko-1	Ismael Bonfim	1894.65	+260.64	81.77%
WHR	Ismael Bonfim	1823.27	+239.80	79.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 287, Nazim Sadykhov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Biggest Fights Ever Hosted in Australia

Posted on February 10, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Source: Unsplash

Australia has become a premier destination for hosting some of the most electrifying combat sports events in recent years. The Land Down Under has become a staple on the UFC’s yearly calendar and the Octagon returned in February as Sean Strickland attempted to dethrone Dricus Du Plessis as Middleweight Champion in Sydney. Elsewhere, boxing has headed to the country a whole host of times in recent years, while WWE even put on a Premium Live Event there for the first time ever in February last year.

So, with more and more huge bouts heading down under in recent years, which fighters are the planet’s biggest names aiming to walk in the footsteps of? Here are the biggest clashes ever to be hosted in Australia.

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Read All About The 10 Most Shocking Knockouts in UFC History

Posted on February 10, 2025 by A. J. Riot

The UFC has experienced tremendous growth in recent years, captivating millions of fans with its electrifying action and unpredictable moments. Once considered a niche combat sport, it has evolved into a global phenomenon, airing in more than 170 countries and broadcast in 50 languages.

While the adrenaline rush for spectators is undeniable, few moments in the Octagon generate more excitement than a jaw-dropping knockout. Those split-second finishes—leaving fans in awe and fighters cemented in history—have played a pivotal role in elevating the sport’s profile and driving record-breaking revenue. With that in mind, we’ve compiled a list of the 10 most shocking knockouts in UFC history.

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Top 6 Fighters with the Most Consecutive UFC Title Defenses

Posted on February 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Credit

Consecutive UFC title defenses are a true mark of greatness in mixed martial arts. Only a handful of champions have managed to hold onto their titles while defeating the best fighters in the world, time and time again.

These athletes not only reach the summit of their division but then fend off a constant stream of hungry contenders eager to dethrone them. Their consistent dominance also makes them key figures in the world of UFC betting BetUS, where fans follow the odds closely when these champions step into the Octagon. Let’s explore the top UFC champions who achieved this remarkable feat, showcasing their dominance and resilience in the Octagon.

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