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Fight Matrix
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Brendan Allen Replaces Anthony Hernandez Against Reinier de Ridder in Vancouver UFC Main Event

Posted on September 22, 2025 by A. J. Riot

 https://unsplash.com/photos/a-couple-of-men-standing-next-to-each-other-jDYXl-VxsS0

The UFC’s October card in Vancouver has taken on a new look after a shake-up at the top of the bill. An injury to Anthony Hernandez has forced the middleweight contender out of his scheduled fight against Reinier de Ridder, leaving the promotion to turn to Brendan Allen as the replacement headliner. With the bout set for October 18 at Rogers Arena, both athletes will now compete with significant implications for the middleweight title picture.

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Current MMA Rankings Updated (09-21-2025)

Posted on September 21, 2025 by Jason

UFC 321 Preview: Aspinall vs Gane

Posted on September 20, 2025 by Oleg

On Sat, Oct 25 at 2:00 PM EDT, UFC 321 – Aspinall vs Gane will take place in Etihad Arena, Yas Island, UAE.  The main event will feature (C) [#2 HW] Tom Aspinall taking on [#1 HW] Ciryl Gane for the undisputed UFC Heavyweight Championship. Aspinall, the former interim title holder, was promoted to undisputed champion when the former champ Jon Jones announced his retirement.

You may wonder why Cyril Gane is ranked higher than the champion; the likely reason is his recent activity – or rather, Aspinall’s inactivity.  As Tom Aspinall has not stepped into the Octagon for over a year, his FightMatrix.com rating has started to decay, putting him just slightly below the more recently active Gane. If we examine other rating formulas, Elo K-170 and Elo Modified also have Gane slightly ahead of Aspinall, while Glicko-1 and WHR systems give the edge to Tom.

Read on for the breakdown of the opponents careers, and our prediction for this exciting matchup. And if you would like to place a wager on this fight, Massachusetts sports betting sites are ready to accept your bet.

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Minute Winners vs Moment Winners: Why Rematches Correct Thin Margins

Posted on September 19, 2025 by A. J. Riot

First fights can lie a little. A knockdown steals a round that was even. A late scramble masks twenty good minutes of control. While everyone waits, fans scroll clips, skim stats, or bounce between tabs, maybe even vavada.global, then the walkouts end and the cage door shuts. From there the math is simple: minutes add up, moments try to erase them.

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Sports Bookies 101: What “Direct” Really Means

Posted on September 19, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Scroll any big fight week and you will see rankings, injury notes, and odds moving by the hour. Fans compare recent form, strength of schedule, and finishing rates before they even look at a line.

You will also see ads for “direct” betting websites, platforms that say they operate without agents. If you want a neutral primer on what these sites claim and how they differ, read up and find out more here. Use it as a feature checklist, not an endorsement, then pressure test each point against how MMA markets actually work.

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Common Mistakes to Avoid When Betting on Fights

Posted on September 18, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Most gambling sites today must work without tricks, downloads, or limited access. The same goes for casino gaming sites. Users who visit these platforms expect the full range of betting options to be ready in the browser, with no hidden steps or blocked features.

That means being able to check live fight odds, compare fighter records, and view betting markets for MMA, boxing, kickboxing, or other fight sports without needing to sign up or pay first. The same applies to casino game sections.

Sites that offer slots, card games, and roulette must keep those games free to try and simple to load. There should be no software installation or long wait before gameplay starts. Platforms that offer clean access with no paywall help users learn about betting without confusion. That is one of the main standards now expected across both betting and casino games. (Source: https://www.gamesville.com)

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How to Experience UFC Fight Night Like a Pro

Posted on September 16, 2025 by A. J. Riot

If you’re looking for how to watch UFC events like Fight Night with the comfort, clarity, and excitement of a seasoned fan, there are more options today than ever before. Whether you’re interested in budget-friendly choices, high-end VIP experiences, or something in between, this guide will help you understand the different ways to access UFC content and events — from live broadcasts and PPV to attending in person. For fans managing tight timelines or budgets, there are even fast cash options for UFC fans to help cover last-minute ticket prices or pay-per-view costs.

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The Dirtiest Rule Breakers in UFC History

Posted on September 11, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed martial arts is a sport built on three primary foundations: respect, discipline, and rules. These foundations are in place to ensure fair competition and the safety of fighters given the nature of physical contact. Despite these rules, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), have seen some moments where competitors broke and completely shattered those established guidelines. These fighters were willing to do whatever it took to gain an edge.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva (09-13-2025)

Posted on September 9, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#5][#5UFC] Diego Lopes (26-7-0, +224) vs. [#16][#11UFC] Jean Silva (16-2-0, -279)
Diego Lopes is the All-Time #49 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#8FW] Brian Ortega (16-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#19FW] Dan Ige (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#16BW] Bryce Mitchell (18-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2
2025-02-22: W vs. [#283FW] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#78LW] Drew Dober (27-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Silva -279 70.46%
Elo K170 Diego Lopes 2006.94 +75.00 60.63%
Elo Modified Diego Lopes 1991.72 +55.63 57.94%
Glicko-1 Diego Lopes 2058.65 +46.30 56.63%
WHR Jean Silva 1964.33 +35.44 55.08%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Lopes 30.7, Jean Silva 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Lopes 154, Jean Silva 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#14][#13UFC] Rob Font (22-8-0, -183) vs. [#91][#48UFC] David Martinez (12-1-0, +151)
Rob Font is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (2-1-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#28BW] Jean Matsumoto (17-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#21BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: David Martinez (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#774BW] Saimon Oliveira (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:38 of round 1
2024-10-01: W vs. [#237BW] Xavier Franklin (6-1-0) via UD ()
2023-05-28: W vs. [#550FW] Jose Zarauz (26-11-1) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 4:17 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -183 61.87%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1995.61 +324.28 86.61%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1910.01 +196.45 75.60%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1965.07 +206.80 76.68%
WHR Rob Font 1777.37 +72.27 60.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rob Font 38.2, David Martinez 27.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 203, David Martinez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#36][#20UFC] Jared Gordon (21-7-0, -268) vs. [#75][#40UFC] Rafa Garcia (17-4-0, +218)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#67LW] Thiago Moises (19-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2024-06-22: L vs. [#40LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-11-11: W vs. [*] Mark O. Madsen (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#306LW] Vinc Pichel (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#15LW] Grant Dawson (23-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:42 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#148LW] Clay Guida (38-25-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jared Gordon -268 69.84%
Elo K170 Jared Gordon 1846.67 +37.21 55.33%
Elo Modified Jared Gordon 1852.88 +70.86 60.06%
Glicko-1 Jared Gordon 1905.48 +104.30 64.57%
WHR Jared Gordon 1839.09 +134.35 68.43%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jared Gordon 37.0, Rafa Garcia 31.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 119, Rafa Garcia 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 4, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Dana White Confirms White House UFC Fight Night in 2026

Posted on September 4, 2025 by A. J. Riot

UFC CEO Dana White has confirmed that the White House will host a future Fight Night, with a potential date being set for July 4th next year, which will mark the 250th anniversary of the United States’ Independence.

The event could well take place on the South Lawn at the White House, which can apparently host as many as 25,000 spectators, but one wonders whether such a large gathering would be allowed in, given the security implications of such a crowd.

White enjoys a good relationship with US President Donald Trump, and such an occasion helps both their causes. On the one hand, it helps Trump garner support from the masses of UFC fans across the country, and for White, this helps bring even more exposure and gravitas to his organization, which is already truly massive worldwide.

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All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (09-02-2025)

Posted on September 2, 2025 by Jason

Will Conor McGregor Fight Again in The UFC?

Posted on September 2, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Conor McGregor is one of the most talked-about figures in combat sports. The former two-weight UFC champion, a global phenomenon and a deeply contentious figure, has unquestionably transcended mixed martial sports. However, as time passes and other challengers gain notice, a key issue remains: will McGregor return to active competition, or has his fighting career ended quietly?

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho (09-06-2025)

Posted on September 1, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4][#4UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0, +107) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Caio Borralho (17-1-0, -129)
Nassourdine Imavov is the All-Time #41 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#5MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-09-28: W vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#16MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#16MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-04: W vs. [#29MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (28-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Caio Borralho -129 53.83%
Elo K170 Nassourdine Imavov 2200.63 +104.36 64.58%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 2158.26 +83.89 61.84%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 2224.47 +108.34 65.10%
WHR Nassourdine Imavov 2038.88 +2.77 50.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nassourdine Imavov 30.5, Caio Borralho 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 217, Caio Borralho 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#23][#15UFC] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0, +165) vs. [#34][#19UFC] Mauricio Ruffy (12-1-0, -202)

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#213LW] Kyle Prepolec (18-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:35 of round 2
2024-09-28: L vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-03-09: L vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Ruffy (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#46LW] Bobby Green (32-17-1) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:07 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#239WW] James Llontop (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Jamie Mullarkey (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mauricio Ruffy -202 63.93%
Elo K170 Benoit St. Denis 1896.72 +79.88 61.30%
Elo Modified Benoit St. Denis 1901.16 +91.71 62.90%
Glicko-1 Benoit St. Denis 1972.61 +83.80 61.83%
WHR Mauricio Ruffy 1837.85 +42.39 56.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Benoit St. Denis 29.7, Mauricio Ruffy 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Benoit St. Denis 119, Mauricio Ruffy 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#72][#38UFC] Mason Jones (16-2-0, -157) vs. [#182][#72UFC] Bolaji Oki (10-2-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#280LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-22-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-25: W vs. [#137WW] Michael Pagani (8-2-0) via UD ()
2024-02-23: W vs. [#386LW] Bryce Logan (13-9-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 2:45 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bolaji Oki (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#443LW] Michael Aswell (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#47LW] Chris Duncan (14-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#209FW] Timothy Cuamba (9-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mason Jones -157 58.42%
Elo K170 Mason Jones 1772.30 +189.77 74.88%
Elo Modified Mason Jones 1796.08 +207.87 76.79%
Glicko-1 Mason Jones 1817.61 +263.45 82.00%
WHR Mason Jones 1774.90 +256.35 81.39%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mason Jones 30.3, Bolaji Oki 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 126, Bolaji Oki 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (08-31-2025)

Posted on August 31, 2025 by Jason

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