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Fight Matrix

Who Has The Most Knockouts In UFC History?

Posted on November 19, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Knockouts aren’t just flashy finishes. They define careers, help shape mixed martial arts, and energize the fans. Achieving the most knockouts in UFC history isn’t just a numbers game. It is somewhat of a market of timing, endurance, power, and, of course, the ability to close a fight in style.

In this post, we will talk about how knockout records change over time, who holds the top spots, and why the knockout artists matter so much in the Octagon and outside of it.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker (11-22-2025)

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0, -459) vs. [*] Dan Hooker (24-12-0, +346)
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #44 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#9DD][#2LW] Charles Oliveira (36-11-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#11LW] Beneil Dariush (23-7-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#81LW] Joaquim Silva (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#7LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#26LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#111LW] Claudio Puelles (12-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 4:06 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -459 78.55%
Elo K170 Arman Tsarukyan 2302.61 +188.29 74.72%
Elo Modified Arman Tsarukyan 2198.80 +217.76 77.79%
Glicko-1 Arman Tsarukyan 2263.95 +262.34 81.91%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 2116.40 +243.57 80.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Arman Tsarukyan 29.1, Dan Hooker 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arman Tsarukyan 588, Dan Hooker 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#3][#3UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0, +173) vs. [#11][#11UFC] Ian Garry (16-1-0, -211)
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #7 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #45 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#4WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#8WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#17WW] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#7WW] Carlos Prates (23-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#9WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#12MW] Michael Page (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ian Garry -211 64.94%
Elo K170 Belal Muhammad 2336.56 +196.37 75.59%
Elo Modified Belal Muhammad 2266.87 +177.12 73.49%
Glicko-1 Belal Muhammad 2315.39 +179.30 73.74%
WHR Ian Garry 2062.98 +45.01 56.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Belal Muhammad 37.4, Ian Garry 28.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 196, Ian Garry 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ian Garry leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#14][#10UFC] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0, -231) vs. [#21][#15UFC] Alonzo Menifield (17-5-1, +188)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #34 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#4LHW] Carlos Ulberg (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#15LHW] Johnny Walker (22-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#16LHW] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#31LHW] Oumar Sy (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#68LHW] Julius Walker (7-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#12LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (16-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Volkan Oezdemir -231 66.77%
Elo K170 Volkan Oezdemir 1817.43 +39.30 55.63%
Elo Modified Volkan Oezdemir 1825.42 +65.55 59.32%
Glicko-1 Volkan Oezdemir 1906.69 +134.72 68.47%
WHR Volkan Oezdemir 1873.61 +149.07 70.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Volkan Oezdemir 36.2, Alonzo Menifield 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 364, Alonzo Menifield 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Volkan Oezdemir leads 3-2
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 13, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 10, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1LW][#1LWUFC] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0, -268) vs. [#9DD][#10P4P][#1][#1UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0, +216)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #16 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jack Della Maddalena is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#16WW] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-09-16: W vs. [#32WW] Kevin Holland (28-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -268 69.70%
Elo K170 Islam Makhachev 2566.47 +263.13 81.97%
Elo Modified Islam Makhachev 2497.98 +320.87 86.38%
Glicko-1 Islam Makhachev 2635.51 +364.77 89.09%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2426.71 +422.60 91.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.0, Jack Della Maddalena 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 301, Jack Della Maddalena 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1, -125) vs. [#1DD][#1P4P][#1SW][#1SWUFC] Weili Zhang (26-3-0, +103)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-0-1)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#6P4P][#7DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (11-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-46)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 2086.40 +25.06 53.60%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 2045.83 +23.24 53.34%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 2068.42 +38.72 55.55%
WHR Weili Zhang 1954.66 +47.56 56.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valentina Shevchenko 37.7, Weili Zhang 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 189, Weili Zhang 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 3-2
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5][#5UFC] Leon Edwards (22-5-0, +170) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Carlos Prates (22-7-0, -207)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (1-2-0)
2025-03-22: L vs. [#10DD][#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 4
2024-07-27: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#12WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#18WW] Geoff Neal (16-7-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#21WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Prates -207 64.54%
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2257.47 +246.31 80.50%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2190.21 +193.58 75.30%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2231.63 +132.64 68.21%
WHR Carlos Prates 2005.14 +21.43 53.08%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 34.2, Carlos Prates 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Carlos Prates 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 6, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Bonfim (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 3, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#21][#18UFC] Randy Brown (20-6-0, +127) vs. [#24][#21UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#43WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#28WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#67WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#75WW] Kalinn Williams (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2024-07-13: W vs. [#141WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Bonfim -157 58.10%
Elo K170 Gabriel Bonfim 1975.70 +13.93 52.00%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1989.30 +87.25 62.30%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 2065.36 +117.96 66.35%
WHR Randy Brown 1865.24 +42.94 56.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Randy Brown 35.3, Gabriel Bonfim 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 196, Gabriel Bonfim 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Randy Brown leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[#27][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#66][#30UFC] Matt Schnell (17-10-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#85FLY] Alibi Idiris (10-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [#596FLY] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-8-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#138FLY] Jimmy Flick (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#165BW] Cody Durden (17-9-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Morales -242 67.31%
Elo K170 Joseph Morales 1817.04 +277.84 83.19%
Elo Modified Joseph Morales 1772.78 +258.87 81.61%
Glicko-1 Joseph Morales 1805.68 +288.52 84.03%
WHR Joseph Morales 1774.54 +375.43 89.67%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joseph Morales 31.2, Matt Schnell 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Morales 84, Matt Schnell 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Muslim Salikhov (22-5-0, +149) vs. [#64][#44UFC] Uros Medic (11-3-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#37WW] Carlos Leal (22-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#132WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 3:49 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#53WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#580WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-01-11: L vs. [#47WW] Punahele Soriano (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1
2024-04-27: W vs. [#76WW] Tim Means (33-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Uros Medic -186 61.82%
Elo K170 Muslim Salikhov 1946.97 +379.87 89.90%
Elo Modified Muslim Salikhov 1906.75 +286.63 83.89%
Glicko-1 Muslim Salikhov 1953.35 +309.43 85.59%
WHR Muslim Salikhov 1795.88 +210.00 77.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Muslim Salikhov 41.4, Uros Medic 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 105, Uros Medic 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 31, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama (11-01-2025)

Posted on October 27, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#15][#10UFC] Steve Garcia (18-5-0, -121) vs. [#19][#14UFC] David Onama (14-2-0, -100)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#46FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#54LW] Kyle Nelson (17-6-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#182FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#20FW] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#574FW] Roberto Romero (8-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#86FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Garcia -121 52.26%
Elo K170 Steve Garcia 1915.52 +52.52 57.50%
Elo Modified Steve Garcia 1904.40 +46.37 56.63%
Glicko-1 Steve Garcia 1970.38 +48.69 56.96%
WHR Steve Garcia 1875.46 +76.21 60.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Garcia 33.4, David Onama 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 112, David Onama 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0, -140) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Ante Delija (26-6-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ante Delija (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#79HW+] Yorgan De Castro (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2024-04-04: L vs. [#17HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (14-4-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 2:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Waldo Cortes-Acosta -140 55.63%
Elo K170 Ante Delija 1872.44 +43.48 56.22%
Elo Modified Ante Delija 1883.77 +24.77 53.56%
Glicko-1 Ante Delija 1949.56 +68.28 59.70%
WHR Ante Delija 1869.92 +96.40 63.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.1, Ante Delija 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70, Ante Delija 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#62][#42UFC] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0, -139) vs. [*] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#35WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-10-12: W vs. [#88WW] Niko Price (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#104WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#41WW] Max Griffin (20-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#77WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#125WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-8-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Themba Gorimbo -139 55.79%
Elo K170 Themba Gorimbo 1652.70 +19.55 52.81%
Elo Modified Jeremiah Wells 1687.53 +13.30 51.91%
Glicko-1 Jeremiah Wells 1727.12 +66.42 59.44%
WHR Jeremiah Wells 1591.08 +35.73 55.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Themba Gorimbo 34.8, Jeremiah Wells 39.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Themba Gorimbo 329, Jeremiah Wells 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 23, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane (10-25-2025)

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1][#1UFC] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0, +310) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0, -398)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #18 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Tom Aspinall is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [*] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -398 76.61%
Elo K170 Ciryl Gane 2212.11 +38.61 55.53%
Elo Modified Ciryl Gane 2150.21 +4.70 50.68%
Glicko-1 Tom Aspinall 2252.71 +28.21 54.05%
WHR Tom Aspinall 2112.27 +57.81 58.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ciryl Gane 35.5, Tom Aspinall 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 322, Tom Aspinall 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Virna Jandiroba (22-3-0, +117) vs. [#15P4P][#5][#5UFC] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0, -140)
Virna Jandiroba is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-03-30: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -140 55.86%
Elo K170 Virna Jandiroba 1936.57 +230.23 79.01%
Elo Modified Virna Jandiroba 1909.80 +221.84 78.19%
Glicko-1 Virna Jandiroba 1896.93 +195.39 75.49%
WHR Virna Jandiroba 1837.61 +215.10 77.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Virna Jandiroba 37.4, Mackenzie Dern 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 196, Mackenzie Dern 287
Previous Match-up Record: Mackenzie Dern leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Virna Jandiroba leads 5-3
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0, +144) vs. [#6][#5UFC] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0, -174)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#20HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (19-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-03-09: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -174 60.77%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 2039.56 +14.32 52.06%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 2086.54 +49.66 57.10%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2197.94 +72.56 60.29%
WHR Alexander Volkov 2061.88 +83.61 61.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.0, Jailton Almeida 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 322, Jailton Almeida 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jailton Almeida leads 3-2
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen (10-18-2025)

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8][#7UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0, -196) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Brendan Allen (25-7-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#9MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#23WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#19MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#9P4P][#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Reinier de Ridder -196 63.43%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 2095.33 +86.75 62.23%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 2051.28 +65.22 59.28%
Glicko-1 Reinier de Ridder 2107.48 +66.11 59.40%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1974.39 +54.36 57.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 35.1, Brendan Allen 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 84, Brendan Allen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Kevin Holland (28-14-0, +110) vs. [#60][#41UFC] Mike Malott (12-2-1, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#34WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#48WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#118WW] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#168WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -132 54.43%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1859.21 +96.31 63.52%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1855.48 +96.96 63.60%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 1948.80 +158.52 71.35%
WHR Kevin Holland 1815.83 +55.68 57.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.9, Mike Malott 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 91, Mike Malott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#7P4P][#8DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0, -237) vs. [#14P4P][#9][#7UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0, +192)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#9P4P][#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#13SW] Jessica Andrade (26-15-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#20BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#32BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -237 67.24%
Elo K170 Manon Fiorot 1894.95 +109.13 65.21%
Elo Modified Manon Fiorot 1876.91 +80.52 61.38%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1880.81 +81.29 61.49%
WHR Manon Fiorot 1833.98 +106.55 64.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Manon Fiorot 35.6, Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 161, Jasmine Jasudavicius 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 9, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot (10-11-2025)

Posted on October 7, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-11-0, +103) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0, -125)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#3P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#43LW] Ludovit Klein (23-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#34WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2227.10 +126.49 67.44%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2236.28 +133.72 68.35%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2306.84 +142.21 69.40%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2123.44 +85.57 62.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.0, Mateusz Gamrot 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 105, Mateusz Gamrot 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1, +227) vs. [#19][#18UFC] Montel Jackson (15-2-0, -283)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (19-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -283 70.72%
Elo K170 Montel Jackson 1969.71 +15.47 52.22%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1965.31 +33.55 54.81%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 2002.60 +5.10 50.73%
WHR Montel Jackson 1963.94 +109.03 65.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Deiveson Figueiredo 37.8, Montel Jackson 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 161, Montel Jackson 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24][#21UFC] Vicente Luque (23-11-1, +375) vs. [#21LW][#14LWUFC] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0, -526)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#105LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#81LW] Marc Diakiese (18-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joel Alvarez -526 79.96%
Elo K170 Joel Alvarez 1973.41 +122.34 66.91%
Elo Modified Joel Alvarez 1963.34 +94.48 63.27%
Glicko-1 Joel Alvarez 2060.11 +167.67 72.42%
WHR Joel Alvarez 2000.06 +261.11 81.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vicente Luque 33.9, Joel Alvarez 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 126, Joel Alvarez 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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North America – Prospect Watch: October 2025

Posted on October 2, 2025 by Jason

Criteria

  • Fighters have a nationality belonging to a country in North America.
  • Never fought in a “big league” organization.
    • This is a manually managed list, which currently contains 37 organizations (some defunct).
  • Wins+(Draws*0.5) / Losses+(Draws*0.5) >= 5
    • Fighters must have at least 5 times as many wins as losses, with draws adding a half-point each to both sides of the equation.
    • Minimum of 5 wins.
  • Fought in the last 450 days.
  • Less than 30 years old.
    • We do not have birth dates for all fighters.
  • Fighters are ranked by their cumulative rank positions of R (standard rating), P4P rating, DD rating, WHR rating, and the above equation.

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