MMA Statistics – Page 7

Fight Matrix Program – PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants (10-19-2024)

Posted on October 14, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0, -304) vs. [#10] Renan Ferreira (13-3-0, +227)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #7 ranked Heavyweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Stipe Miocic (20-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Renan Ferreira (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#14HW+] Ryan Bader (31-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2023-11-24: W vs. [#11HW+] Denis Goltsov (35-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2023-08-18: W vs. [#77HW+] Maurice Greene (11-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Francis Ngannou	-304		71.10%
Elo K170	Francis Ngannou	2348.99	+414.44	91.58%
Elo Modified	Francis Ngannou	2324.70	+383.08	90.07%
Glicko-1	Francis Ngannou	2461.72	+393.23	90.58%
WHR	Francis Ngannou	2176.44	+203.35	76.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 1001, Renan Ferreira 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (27-2-0, +101) vs. [#2/#7DD/#9P4P] Larissa Pacheco (23-4-0, -127)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#5FW] Cat Zingano (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [#4FW] Arlene Blencowe (16-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#15FW] Sinead Kavanagh (9-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Larissa Pacheco (3-0-0)
2023-11-24: W vs. [#6FW] Marina Mokhnatkina (11-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-18: W vs. [#10FW] Olena Kolesnyk (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:14 of round 1
2023-06-16: W vs. [#25FW] Amber Leibrock (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Larissa Pacheco	-127		52.93%
Elo K170	Cristiane Justino	1963.55	+176.07	73.37%
Elo Modified	Cristiane Justino	1967.15	+155.03	70.94%
Glicko-1	Cristiane Justino	2042.11	+203.17	76.31%
WHR	Cristiane Justino	1987.08	+184.79	74.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 378, Larissa Pacheco 330
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#7] Johnny Eblen (15-0-0, -597) vs. [#14] Fabian Edwards (13-3-0, +391)
Johnny Eblen is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Eblen (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#10LHW] Impa Kasanganay (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#14MW] Fabian Edwards (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 3
2023-02-04: W vs. [#31MW] Anatoly Tokov (32-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Fabian Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-03-22: W vs. [#29MW] Aaron Jeffery (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#7MW] Johnny Eblen (15-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 3
2023-05-12: W vs. [*] Gegard Mousasi (49-9-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Johnny Eblen	-597		80.78%
Elo K170	Johnny Eblen	2138.82	+253.61	81.15%
Elo Modified	Johnny Eblen	2065.88	+186.25	74.50%
Glicko-1	Johnny Eblen	2146.28	+197.48	75.71%
WHR	Johnny Eblen	2005.68	+207.98	76.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Eblen 238, Fabian Edwards 211
Previous Match-up Record: Johnny Eblen leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 10, 2024 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira (10-12-2024)

Posted on October 7, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0, +174) vs. [#7] Tatsuro Taira (16-0-0, -212)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #36 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#19FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#17FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#161FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#146FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tatsuro Taira	-212		65.05%
Elo K170	Brandon Royval	1975.18	+71.16	60.10%
Elo Modified	Tatsuro Taira	1890.84	+39.41	55.65%
Glicko-1	Tatsuro Taira	1954.71	+56.53	58.07%
WHR	Tatsuro Taira	1868.86	+89.29	62.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 231, Tatsuro Taira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#29] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0, -173) vs. [#30] Brad Tavares (20-9-0, +142)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#71MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#150MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#22MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#27MW] Chris Weidman (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jun Yong Park	-173		60.53%
Elo K170	Jun Yong Park	1741.38	+42.76	56.12%
Elo Modified	Jun Yong Park	1787.40	+70.69	60.03%
Glicko-1	Jun Yong Park	1831.45	+104.68	64.62%
WHR	Jun Yong Park	1741.93	+79.86	61.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 308, Brad Tavares 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#24] Grant Dawson (21-2-1, -403) vs. [*] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#121LW] Joe Solecki (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#25LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#68LW] Damir Ismagulov (26-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#119LW] Clay Guida (38-24-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#286LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#29LW] Drakkar Klose (15-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Grant Dawson	-403		76.44%
Elo K170	Grant Dawson	1980.01	+198.85	75.86%
Elo Modified	Grant Dawson	1946.71	+196.16	75.57%
Glicko-1	Grant Dawson	1987.73	+199.54	75.92%
WHR	Grant Dawson	1852.73	+133.77	68.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 133, Rafa Garcia 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 4, 2024 by Jason

We struck out last week, but that was an Underdog play. We have another one of those and an unsurprising “Safe” play this week!

Without further delay…. here are the particulars and bets…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree (10-05-2024)

Posted on September 30, 2024 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#6P4P] Alex Pereira (11-2-0, -516) vs. [#8] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0, +370)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #18 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#16LHW] Anthony Smith (38-20-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#51HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alex Pereira	-516		79.74%
Elo K170	Alex Pereira	2285.08	+383.74	90.11%
Elo Modified	Alex Pereira	2248.01	+376.65	89.73%
Glicko-1	Alex Pereira	2376.35	+462.46	93.48%
WHR	Alex Pereira	2157.07	+356.75	88.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 98, Khalil Rountree 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#2/#8P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-8-0, -183) vs. [*] Julianna Pena (11-5-0, +151)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #31 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#16BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#7FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#9FW] Sara McMann (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Raquel Pennington	-183		61.87%
Elo K170	Raquel Pennington	1850.31	+119.69	66.57%
Elo Modified	Raquel Pennington	1788.98	+61.43	58.75%
Glicko-1	Julianna Pena	1773.92	+5.02	50.72%
WHR	Julianna Pena	1759.76	+89.61	62.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 259, Julianna Pena 798
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julianna Pena leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Jose Aldo (32-8-0, +143) vs. [#24] Mario Bautista (14-2-0, -174)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #26 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#17BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#16BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (3-0-0)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#82BW] DaMon Blackshear (14-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-11: W vs. [*] Guido Cannetti (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mario Bautista	-174		60.67%
Elo K170	Jose Aldo	2100.98	+178.86	73.69%
Elo Modified	Jose Aldo	2092.23	+179.06	73.71%
Glicko-1	Jose Aldo	2145.13	+205.35	76.53%
WHR	Jose Aldo	2015.17	+219.95	78.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 154, Mario Bautista 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Return of… This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 26, 2024 by Jason

We ran a series of these articles for about three months earlier in the year, changing the parameters and offerings as we went. Learned quite a bit along the way…

So I thought it’d be interesting to try again, running with the latest parameters and starting with a clean slate.

Without further delay…. here are the particulars and bets…

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis (09-28-2024)

Posted on September 23, 2024 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Renato Carneiro (19-5-1, +218) vs. [#17] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#16LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#53LW] Drew Dober (27-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#40LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#71LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Benoit St. Denis	-272		69.92%
Elo K170	Renato Carneiro	1997.08	+52.63	57.52%
Elo Modified	Renato Carneiro	1984.31	+38.77	55.56%
Glicko-1	Renato Carneiro	2046.80	+33.15	54.76%
WHR	Renato Carneiro	1911.47	+47.84	56.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 168, Benoit St. Denis 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#6] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0, -225) vs. [#11] Brendan Allen (24-5-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#13MW] Roman Dolidze (13-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#23MW] Paul Craig (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-06-24: W vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Nassourdine Imavov	-225		66.04%
Elo K170	Brendan Allen	2130.54	+113.17	65.73%
Elo Modified	Brendan Allen	2063.38	+74.49	60.56%
Glicko-1	Brendan Allen	2136.30	+86.22	62.16%
WHR	Brendan Allen	1948.37	+29.73	54.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 112, Brendan Allen 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#24] Joanderson Brito (17-3-1, -267) vs. [#97] William Gomis (13-2-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#66FW] Jack Shore (17-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#63FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-6-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#156FW] Westin Wilson (17-9-0) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#408BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#332LW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#173FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joanderson Brito	-267		69.55%
Elo K170	Joanderson Brito	1947.55	+229.55	78.94%
Elo Modified	Joanderson Brito	1930.17	+268.04	82.39%
Glicko-1	Joanderson Brito	2009.15	+351.54	88.32%
WHR	Joanderson Brito	1887.20	+292.73	84.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 147, William Gomis 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Role of Statistics in Predicting Fight Outcomes

Posted on September 19, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Unlocking the full potential of combat sports analysis hinges on mastering the core data. Every piece of player history, from their accuracy and volume of strikes to the number of successful takedowns and a fighter’s record of wins and losses, are vital performance indicators that can help you accurately predict the outcome of a game.

Statistical analysis of fighter data can help provide more accurate game predictions. Machine learning models identify patterns among players, making it easier to bet on the best fighters.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 306: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili (09-07-2024)

Posted on September 9, 2024 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#5DD/#8P4P] Sean OMalley (18-1-0, -119) vs. [#2/#9P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (17-4-0, -102)
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #14 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#10BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
2022-10-22: W vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#7BW] Jose Aldo (32-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean OMalley	-119		51.83%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2264.39	+68.02	59.67%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2239.06	+113.15	65.73%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2315.91	+100.11	64.02%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2112.02	+65.87	59.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 189, Merab Dvalishvili 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1, -115) vs. [#3/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1, -106)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (2-0-1)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#3FLY/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: W vs. [#3FLY/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-10-15: W vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (1-1-1)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: L vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-06-11: W vs. [#6FLY] Taila Santos (22-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexa Grasso	-115		50.96%
Elo K170	Valentina Shevchenko	1891.71	+8.87	51.28%
Elo Modified	Alexa Grasso	1869.75	+7.59	51.09%
Glicko-1	Alexa Grasso	1884.97	+20.41	52.94%
WHR	Alexa Grasso	1828.75	+22.24	53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 364, Valentina Shevchenko 364
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#5] Brian Ortega (16-3-0, +150) vs. [#14] Diego Lopes (25-6-0, -182)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#6FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#6FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#3FW/#9DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#20FW] Dan Ige (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#49FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#77FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Diego Lopes	-182		61.73%
Elo K170	Brian Ortega	2101.94	+159.82	71.51%
Elo Modified	Brian Ortega	2058.56	+111.04	65.46%
Glicko-1	Brian Ortega	2118.05	+100.55	64.08%
WHR	Brian Ortega	1969.36	+100.17	64.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 203, Diego Lopes 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady (09-07-2024)

Posted on September 2, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Gilbert Burns (22-7-0, +155) vs. [#9] Sean Brady (16-1-0, -187)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#6WW] Jack Della Maddalena (17-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-05-06: L vs. [#1WW/#4P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#25WW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW/#4P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2021-11-20: W vs. [#28WW] Michael Chiesa (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean Brady	-187		62.42%
Elo K170	Sean Brady	2075.64	+21.15	53.04%
Elo Modified	Sean Brady	2064.65	+47.87	56.84%
Glicko-1	Sean Brady	2104.20	+42.61	56.10%
WHR	Sean Brady	1953.16	+62.81	58.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 182, Sean Brady 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jessica Andrade (26-12-0, +229) vs. [#10] Natalia Silva (17-5-1, -291)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#8SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-4-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Natalia Silva (3-0-0)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#30FLY] Andrea Lee (13-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#97FLY] Victoria Leonardo (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Head Kick) in 2:58 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Natalia Silva	-291		70.99%
Elo K170	Jessica Andrade	1780.94	+30.15	54.33%
Elo Modified	Natalia Silva	1778.14	+45.95	56.57%
Glicko-1	Natalia Silva	1795.32	+104.40	64.59%
WHR	Natalia Silva	1725.25	+62.80	58.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 147, Natalia Silva 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Andrade leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#31] Kyle Nelson (16-5-1, +165) vs. [#37] Steve Garcia (16-5-0, -201)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#82FW] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:00 of round 1
2023-09-16: W vs. [#88FW] Fernando Padilla (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#237FW] Blake Bilder (8-2-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#104FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [#78FW] Melquizael Costa (21-7-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:01 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#156FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-12-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Steve Garcia	-201		63.89%
Elo K170	Kyle Nelson	1776.20	+14.56	52.09%
Elo Modified	Steve Garcia	1766.76	+6.67	50.96%
Glicko-1	Steve Garcia	1836.40	+45.06	56.45%
WHR	Steve Garcia	1731.04	+14.89	52.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Nelson 161, Steve Garcia 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho (08-24-2024)

Posted on August 19, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8] Jared Cannonier (17-7-0, +161) vs. [#17] Caio Borralho (16-1-0, -195)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#6MW] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [#10MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#25MW] Paul Craig (17-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-04: W vs. [#51MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (26-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#43MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:49 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Caio Borralho	-195		63.30%
Elo K170	Jared Cannonier	2059.60	+63.30	59.01%
Elo Modified	Jared Cannonier	2003.55	+7.98	51.15%
Glicko-1	Caio Borralho	2043.98	+14.21	52.04%
WHR	Caio Borralho	1963.37	+74.02	60.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 77, Caio Borralho 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Angela Hill (17-13-0, -115) vs. [#12] Tabatha Ricci (10-2-0, -106)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#36SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2023-11-04: W vs. [#16SW] Denise Gomes (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)

Last 3 Fights: Tabatha Ricci (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#14SW] Tecia Pennington (13-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#10SW] Gillian Robertson (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Angela Hill	-115		50.96%
Elo K170	Angela Hill	1644.04	+50.12	57.16%
Elo Modified	Angela Hill	1675.95	+65.53	59.32%
Glicko-1	Angela Hill	1689.00	+90.04	62.68%
WHR	Angela Hill	1559.72	+2.80	50.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 98, Tabatha Ricci 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#29] Gerald Meerschaert (36-17-0, +229) vs. [#48] Edmen Shahbazyan (13-4-0, -290)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (1-2-0)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#82MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Technical Submission (Face Crank) in 4:23 of round 2
2023-08-19: L vs. [#50MW] Andre Petroski (11-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#23MW] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#149MW] A.J. Dobson (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1
2023-05-20: L vs. [#26MW] Anthony Hernandez (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-12-10: W vs. [*] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:41 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Edmen Shahbazyan	-290		70.98%
Elo K170	Gerald Meerschaert	1657.96	+33.27	54.77%
Elo Modified	Gerald Meerschaert	1711.07	+62.76	58.93%
Glicko-1	Gerald Meerschaert	1779.01	+97.94	63.73%
WHR	Gerald Meerschaert	1684.20	+53.33	57.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 161, Edmen Shahbazyan 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya (08-17-2024)

Posted on August 12, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0, -135) vs. [#2] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0, +111)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2023-09-09: L vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1LHW/#10DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: L vs. [#1LHW/#10DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#5MW] Robert Whittaker (26-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#12MW] Derek Brunson (24-9-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 4:59 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Israel Adesanya	-135		54.79%
Elo K170	Dricus Du Plessis	2298.00	+179.85	73.80%
Elo Modified	Dricus Du Plessis	2207.53	+90.93	62.79%
Glicko-1	Dricus Du Plessis	2282.76	+117.22	66.26%
WHR	Dricus Du Plessis	2108.87	+37.77	55.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 343, Dricus Du Plessis 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#6] Kai Kara-France (24-11-0, +185) vs. [#7] Steve Erceg (12-2-0, -230)
Kai Kara-France is the All-Time #22 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Steve Erceg is the All-Time #49 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (1-2-0)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#5FLY] Amir Albazi (17-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3
2022-03-26: W vs. [#14FLY] Askar Askarov (15-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#66FLY] Matt Schnell (16-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#46FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Steve Erceg	-230		66.51%
Elo K170	Kai Kara-France	1758.95	+13.33	51.92%
Elo Modified	Kai Kara-France	1789.53	+63.05	58.98%
Glicko-1	Kai Kara-France	1860.60	+103.35	64.45%
WHR	Kai Kara-France	1769.69	+36.26	55.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Kara-France 441, Steve Erceg 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#6] Mateusz Gamrot (24-2-0, -287) vs. [#17] Dan Hooker (23-12-0, +226)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #41 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#23WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-16-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#10LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#15LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#15LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#88LW] Claudio Puelles (12-5-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-03-19: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:33 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mateusz Gamrot	-287		70.74%
Elo K170	Mateusz Gamrot	2175.49	+189.13	74.81%
Elo Modified	Mateusz Gamrot	2124.08	+193.75	75.31%
Glicko-1	Mateusz Gamrot	2191.11	+253.05	81.10%
WHR	Mateusz Gamrot	2061.85	+223.97	78.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 161, Dan Hooker 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs Spivac 2 (08-10-2024)

Posted on August 5, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Marcin Tybura (25-8-0, +100) vs. [#9] Sergey Spivak (16-4-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#14HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2023-07-22: L vs. [#1HW+/#6P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-02-04: W vs. [#29HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#12HW+] Derrick Lewis (28-12-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-08-06: W vs. [#35HW+] Augusto Sakai (16-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sergey Spivak	-121		52.26%
Elo K170	Marcin Tybura	1922.76	+104.07	64.55%
Elo Modified	Marcin Tybura	1933.26	+104.20	64.56%
Glicko-1	Marcin Tybura	1980.32	+110.65	65.41%
WHR	Marcin Tybura	1836.85	+61.03	58.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 147, Sergey Spivak 343
Previous Match-up Record: Marcin Tybura leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergey Spivak leads 4-3
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Chris Gutierrez (20-6-2, +191) vs. [#64] Javid Basharat (14-1-0, -235)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#11BW] Yadong Song (21-9-1) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#70BW] Heili Alateng (17-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#17BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Javid Basharat (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#50BW] Aiemann Zahabi (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#34BW] Victor Henry (24-6-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#169FLY] Mateus Mendonca (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Javid Basharat	-235		67.12%
Elo K170	Chris Gutierrez	1797.47	+126.65	67.46%
Elo Modified	Chris Gutierrez	1759.67	+72.95	60.35%
Glicko-1	Chris Gutierrez	1790.74	+72.57	60.30%
WHR	Javid Basharat	1668.35	+13.03	51.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gutierrez 245, Javid Basharat 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#34] Youssef Zalal (14-5-1, -356) vs. [#165] Jarno Errens (14-5-1, +273)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#44FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-19: W vs. [NA] Vadim Zadnipryanyi (0-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2023-01-20: W vs. [*] Jake Childers (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jarno Errens (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#402FW] Steven Nguyen (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#108FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#96FW] William Gomis (13-2-0) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Youssef Zalal	-356		74.43%
Elo K170	Youssef Zalal	1639.06	+217.22	77.74%
Elo Modified	Youssef Zalal	1682.23	+207.27	76.73%
Glicko-1	Youssef Zalal	1735.88	+234.68	79.43%
WHR	Youssef Zalal	1682.68	+202.14	76.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Youssef Zalal 140, Jarno Errens 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov (08-03-2024)

Posted on July 29, 2024 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0, +213) vs. [#20] Umar Nurmagomedov (17-0-0, -266)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#14BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-9-1) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#10BW] Yadong Song (21-9-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#87BW] Bekzat Almakhan (12-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#48BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#20FLY] Nathan Maness (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 30-26)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-266		69.46%
Elo K170	Cory Sandhagen	2170.16	+160.75	71.61%
Elo Modified	Cory Sandhagen	2096.99	+88.05	62.41%
Glicko-1	Cory Sandhagen	2171.29	+99.80	63.98%
WHR	Umar Nurmagomedov	1979.87	+7.73	51.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 364, Umar Nurmagomedov 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#25] Sharabutdin Magomedov (13-0-0, -255) vs. [#45] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-8-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#330MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3
2023-10-21: W vs. [#40MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-11: W vs. [NA] Kushal Vyas (10-16-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#16MW] Kevin Holland (26-11-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1
2024-03-09: L vs. [#18MW] Michel Pereira (32-11-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-08-26: W vs. [#71WW] Chidi Njokuani (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sharabutdin Magomedov	-255		68.80%
Elo K170	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1864.62	+212.71	77.29%
Elo Modified	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1870.19	+196.45	75.60%
Glicko-1	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1937.06	+241.12	80.03%
WHR	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1887.43	+267.00	82.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sharabutdin Magomedov 42, Michal Oleksiejczuk 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Marlon Vera (24-9-1, +139) vs. [#9] Deiveson Figueiredo (23-3-1, -168)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#1BW/#4DD/#7P4P] Sean OMalley (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#16BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#3BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#28BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#14BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Deiveson Figueiredo	-168		59.97%
Elo K170	Deiveson Figueiredo	2092.10	+92.52	63.01%
Elo Modified	Deiveson Figueiredo	2054.09	+52.27	57.46%
Glicko-1	Deiveson Figueiredo	2130.44	+57.72	58.23%
WHR	Deiveson Figueiredo	1968.28	+79.81	61.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 147, Deiveson Figueiredo 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Deiveson Figueiredo leads 2-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 (07-20-2024)

Posted on July 22, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#4DD/#2P4P] Leon Edwards (22-3-0, -219) vs. [#3] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0, +178)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #41 ranked Absolute fighter.
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#4WW] Colby Covington (17-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (3-0-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#8WW] Gilbert Burns (22-7-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#9WW] Sean Brady (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#17WW] Vicente Luque (22-10-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Leon Edwards	-219		65.61%
Elo K170	Leon Edwards	2511.81	+146.49	69.92%
Elo Modified	Leon Edwards	2428.91	+127.03	67.51%
Glicko-1	Leon Edwards	2475.92	+98.88	63.86%
WHR	Leon Edwards	2197.26	+76.98	60.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 224, Belal Muhammad 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#2] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0, -386) vs. [#4] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0, +297)
Tom Aspinall is the All-Time #30 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #23 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#8HW+] Marcin Tybura (25-8-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Jailton Almeida (21-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-07-23: W vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tom Aspinall	-386		75.92%
Elo K170	Curtis Blaydes	2095.51	+9.74	51.40%
Elo Modified	Tom Aspinall	2083.63	+3.46	50.50%
Glicko-1	Curtis Blaydes	2176.97	+6.01	50.86%
WHR	Tom Aspinall	2040.57	+12.12	51.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Aspinall 259, Curtis Blaydes 140
Previous Match-up Record: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tom Aspinall leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#19] Bobby Green (32-15-1, -123) vs. [#27] Paddy Pimblett (21-3-0, +101)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#68LW] Jim Miller (37-18-0) via UD (29-27, 30-25, 29-26)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#17LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (21-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#96LW] Tony Ferguson (25-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#57LW] Jared Gordon (20-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#227LW] Jordan Leavitt (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bobby Green	-123		52.57%
Elo K170	Paddy Pimblett	1926.89	+17.54	52.52%
Elo Modified	Paddy Pimblett	1929.69	+36.86	55.29%
Glicko-1	Bobby Green	1970.21	+4.50	50.65%
WHR	Paddy Pimblett	1895.57	+71.84	60.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 105, Paddy Pimblett 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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