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Will OneFC Become the “One” Where Careers and Legacies Die?

Posted on January 9, 2019 by Jason

With the recent acquisitions of Eddie Alvarez and Demetrious Johnson, One Championship signed two proven legends still in their prime, or at worst, not far removed from it.

That’s the good part.  The bad part is that this may be the start of a trend — one that sees mid to mid-late career high profile fighters leave the UFC for a smooth descent to their careers.

Many will likely see this as a positive, mostly because UFC is a bit of a monopoly as it pertains to the upper echelon of the sport.  However, monopolies can be good in a sport where matchmaking on the lesser levels of the sport is mediocre at best.

This type of lackluster matchmaking is truly on display in Alvarez’s and Johnson’s next fights, neither of which are coming back from major injury or inactivity.

Last 4 Opponents + OneFC Scheduled Bouts

Eddie Alvarez (#4 LW) Demetrious Johnson (#2 FLY)
McGregor (#6 WW) Elliott (#9 FLY)
Poirier (#16 LW) Reis (#7 FLY)
Gaethje (#9 LW) Borg (#4 FLY)
Poirier (#5 LW) Cejudo (#2 FLY)
Nastyukhin (#196 WW) Wakamatsu (#354 BW)

Historical ranks used are from the Generated Historical Rankings set previous to the bout.

Now, I don’t know about you… but it feels like something is wrong with this picture.

Not only is OneFC headquartered on the opposite side of the globe and not only are they responsible for their wonky divisional structure that nobody really 100% understands (at least not the last time I looked) but the opposition quality that Alvarez & Johnson are facing is extremely lacking.  This isn’t the type of crappy matchmaking that plagues the lower levels of MMA — it is far worse.  I seriously doubt that a commission would sanction this match anywhere in the US, outside of say.. one located on a Native American reservation in Montana.

Boxing catches grief, because giant favorites are a common theme, especially on undercards.  MMA is not boxing and upsets happen much more frequently.  I have intimate knowledge of the rating system and database over at BoxRec, as well as the ones used here, obviously, and I estimate that upsets on the relevant level happen about 2.5 times as much in MMA, than they do in boxing.  Having said that, what happens if Alvarez or Johnson lose?  After all, shit happens.  What happens if they win?  Who cares?

I hope the money is worth it.

 

2018 Awards: Men’s Fighters of the Year

Posted on January 8, 2019 by Jason

As a recap, most “Fighter of the Year” awards on other sites are really “Breakout Fighter of the Year” awards in that fighters who win, were usually not top fighters in the beginning of the year, but became so by the end of the year.

A fighter like this can and has won our FotY awards, but our award is more about maintaining a high standing during the award year by performing well a sufficient number of times and against a sufficient quality of opponents.  It is more comparable to a season MVP in major team sports, not a playoffs/surprise MVP.

 

Winner: Daniel Cormier

I like easy decisions.  Cormier picked up three wins, all in title fights and is now a double champion.  What more can you ask for?

 

Runner-Up: Khabib Nurmagomedov

After Cormier, it gets fuzzy.. you’re basically looking for fighters with two or more wins in major title fights and Nurmagomedov fits the bill.

 

3rd Place: Dustin Poirier

Wins over two highly ranked fighters in a calendar year is a larger rarity than you might think and I hate considering fighters for such a distinction if they only fought once.  Poirier had about as good of year as you can, without challenging for or defending a major title.

2018 Awards: Women’s Fighters of the Year

Posted on January 7, 2019 by Jason

As a recap, most “Fighter of the Year” awards on other sites are really “Breakout Fighter of the Year” awards in that fighters who win, were usually not top fighters in the beginning of the year, but became so by the end of the year.

A fighter like this can and has won our FotY awards, but our award is more about maintaining a high standing during the award year by performing well a sufficient number of times and against a sufficient quality of opponents.  It is more comparable to a season MVP in major team sports, not a playoffs/surprise MVP.

 

Winner: Amanda Nunes

Only two fights in the calendar year, but is now a double champion and cemented her place in the Top 3 All-Time (Women).

 

Runner-Up: Valentina Shevchenko

Like Nunes, she only fought twice in 2018, but also like Nunes, beat one of the best female fighters of all-time and picked up a championship in doing so.

 

3rd Place: Jessica Andrade

The third position isn’t as definitive as the top two, as you argue other fighters here, such as Ayaka Hamasaki.  However, Andrade has probably established herself as the best non-champion on the female side of the sport.

2018 Awards: Rookies of the Year

Posted on January 6, 2019 by Jason

Men: Rafal Kijanczuk

You can’t argue with a 7-0 record in a calendar year and his opposition has been very good for a rookie fighter.  We got the most recent win in the DB just a few minutes ago, so I expect him to get in or near the Top 100 on the next update.

Honorable Mentions: Khamzat Chimaev

 

Women: Kayla Harrison

It is tough to get excited over a fighter without an officially recognized division, but her 2018 performances have been good enough to net her this award.

Honorable Mention: Kay Hansen

2018 Awards: Most Noteworthy Match of the Year

Posted on January 5, 2019 by Jason

Most Noteworthy Match of the Year:

Henry Cejudo SD(5) Demetrious Johnson

The “most noteworthy” match of the year isn’t about box office or popularity, instead it is a pretty basic calculation — a sum of quality.  This year’s choice is hard to argue against.. a #1 P4P fighter vs. a strong top contender for “the” title.  It is a shame that Johnson is going to One, where it seems his career will likely wither away.

2018 Awards: Comeback & Most Improved Fighter of the Year

Posted on January 3, 2019 by Jason

As a refresher, our “Comeback” award is about coming back from inactivity or major injury (that we know about) and in doing so, really impressing.  You can see more details at the bottom of the post about specific qualifiers.

Comeback Fighter of the Year: Magomed Magomedkerimov

Magomedkerimov comes back in 2018 from nearly 2 years of inactivity, puts up a 5-0 record for 2018 and wins the $1 million prize over Ray Cooper III, who is our most improved fighter of the year.  Chad Mendes had this award in the bag, but his recent loss and retirement freed up the award.

Most Improved Fighter of the Year: Ray Cooper III

A relative unknown, Ray Cooper III went from a basically unranked fighter, to a Top 50 fighter.  Cooper and Magomedkerimov fed off of each other in these awards to some extent, but both are deserving.

2018 Awards: Upsets of the Year

Posted on January 2, 2019 by Jason

Note: We have two ways that we derive biggest “upsets” based on points difference between winner and loser.

“Most Noteworthy” (X minus Y)
“Most Lopsided” (X divided by Y)

 

Most Noteworthy: Vadim Nemkov SD(3) Phil Davis

Nemkov, a virtual unknown, manages to take a close decision over the perennial Top 10, Phil Davis.

 

Most Lopsided: Jared Cannonier TKO(2) David Branch

About 2.5 years prior, Cannonier fought at 241 pounds.  Here, in his Middleweight debut, pulled off quite an impressive upset.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega (12-08-2018)

Posted on December 3, 2018 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#2P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0, -127) vs. [#2] Brian Ortega (14-0-0, +102)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #36 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-12-10: W vs. [#8LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:50 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#20FW] Cub Swanson (25-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#9FW] Renato Carneiro (13-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 53.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2319.31) [+173.07] – Win%: 68.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2279.17) [+195.86] – Win%: 70.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 371, Brian Ortega 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#8DD/#9P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (15-3-0, -338) vs. [#3SW/#6DD/#5P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-2-0, +260)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #26 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#17FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-01-28: W vs. [*] Julianna Pena (8-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1-2-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#11SW] Tecia Torres (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 73.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1729.36) [+75.56] – Win%: 58.54
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1733.65) [+45.28] – Win%: 54.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 308, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#16] Alex Oliveira (20-5-1, +127) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (16-3-1, -150)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#159WW] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#23WW] Carlos Condit (30-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-02: L vs. [#21WW] Yancy Medeiros (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2017-07-16: L vs. [#8WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#44WW] Alan Jouban (16-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2
2016-05-08: W vs. [#38WW] Albert Tumenov (20-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:15 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gunnar Nelson – Win%: 57.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Oliveira (1978.87) [+133.12] – Win%: 64.75
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Oliveira (1969.51) [+113.43] – Win%: 62.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 77, Gunnar Nelson 510
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 142: dos Santos vs. Tuivasa (12-02-2018)

Posted on November 30, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Junior dos Santos (19-5-0, -155) vs. [#16] Tai Tuivasa (8-0-0, +129)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#20HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (16-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#2HW+/#10DD/#10P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1
2016-04-10: W vs. [*] Ben Rothwell (36-10-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (3-0-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#28HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#184HW+] Cyril Asker (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:18 of round 1
2017-11-18: W vs. [#269LHW] Rashad Coulter (9-4-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 4:35 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Junior dos Santos – Win%: 58.19
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2007.00) [+344.27] – Win%: 82.82
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2030.07) [+324.79] – Win%: 80.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 140, Tai Tuivasa 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Mark Hunt (13-13-1, -105) vs. [#50] Justin Willis (7-1-0, -119)
Mark Hunt is the All-Time #23 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mark Hunt (1-2-0)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-11-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-02-10: L vs. [#6HW+] Curtis Blaydes (10-2-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-06-10: W vs. [#4HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Justin Willis (3-0-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#97HW+] Chase Sherman (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#162HW+] Allen Crowder (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 1
2017-07-16: W vs. [*] James Mulheron (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Justin Willis – Win%: 51.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mark Hunt (1688.47) [+104.39] – Win%: 61.70
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mark Hunt (1736.54) [+117.90] – Win%: 62.63
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mark Hunt 77, Justin Willis 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Mauricio Rua (25-11-0, +355) vs. [#35] Tyson Pedro (7-2-0, -479)
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #6 ranked Light Heavyweight and #32 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#3LHW] Anthony Smith (31-13-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:29 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [#37LHW] Gian Villante (17-10-0) via TKO in 0:59 of round 3
2016-05-14: W vs. [#4LHW] Corey Anderson (11-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Pedro (1-2-0)
2018-06-23: L vs. [#16LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 2:54 of round 1
2018-02-10: W vs. [#97LHW] Saparbek Safarov (8-2-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:54 of round 1
2017-09-09: L vs. [#8LHW] Ilir Latifi (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tyson Pedro – Win%: 79.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mauricio Rua (1814.54) [+283.79] – Win%: 78.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mauricio Rua (1801.95) [+225.82] – Win%: 72.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mauricio Rua 132, Tyson Pedro 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – The Ultimate Fighter 28 Finale (11-30-2018)

Posted on November 29, 2018 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#3] Rafael dos Anjos (28-10-0, 170.0lb, +218) vs. [#6] Kamaru Usman (13-1-0, 170.5lb, -274)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #30 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#7WW] Robbie Lawler (28-12-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (21-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (25-9-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#33WW] Emil Meek (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-16: W vs. [#32WW] Sergio Moraes (14-3-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kamaru Usman – Win%: 69.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2133.11) [+11.38] – Win%: 51.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (2098.08) [+14.69] – Win%: 51.61
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 174, Kamaru Usman 195
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (264)
[#75] Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (8-1-0, 260.0lb, -145) vs. [#122] Justin Frazier (10-2-0, 264.0lb, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (3-0-0)
2017-10-14: W vs. [#369HW+] Martin Buday (4-1-0) via UD ()
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Yuri Gorbenko (11-46-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2017-07-14: W vs. [#299HW+] Dritan Barjamaj (14-16-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Frazier (3-0-0)
2018-03-17: W vs. [#556HW+] Reggie Cato (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 1
2017-12-29: W vs. [NA] Parnell Davis (8-6-0) via Submission (Forearm Choke) in 1:00 of round 1
2017-08-12: W vs. [#418LHW] Carlton Little Sr. (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa – Win%: 56.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (1530.78) [+47.52] – Win%: 55.40
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (1542.01) [+31.19] – Win%: 53.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa 412, Justin Frazier 258
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#12BW] Pannie Kianzad (10-3-0, 145.0lb, -105) vs. [#7] Macy Chiasson (2-0-0, 144.5lb, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Pannie Kianzad (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#79BW] Kerry Hughes (3-4-0) via UD ()
2018-05-04: W vs. [#51BW] Bianca Daimoni (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-13: L vs. [#7BW] Sarah Kaufman (20-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-0-0)
2018-05-04: W vs. [#52FW] Allison Schmidt (1-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-21: W vs. [NA] Miranda Dearing (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Macy Chiasson – Win%: 51.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Pannie Kianzad (1492.20) [+116.54] – Win%: 63.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Macy Chiasson (1561.49) [+35.03] – Win%: 53.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pannie Kianzad 174, Macy Chiasson 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 140: Ponzinibbio vs. Magny (11-17-2018)

Posted on November 12, 2018 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Neil Magny (21-6-0, +256) vs. [#17] Santiago Ponzinibbio (26-3-0, -327)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#149WW] Craig White (14-9-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:32 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#21WW] Carlos Condit (30-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#3WW] Rafael dos Anjos (28-10-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (3-0-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#27WW] Mike Perry (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-16: W vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (16-3-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2017-02-19: W vs. [#84WW] Nordine Taleb (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Santiago Ponzinibbio – Win%: 73.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Santiago Ponzinibbio (2040.49) [+0.41] – Win%: 50.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Santiago Ponzinibbio (2049.16) [+41.64] – Win%: 54.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 174, Santiago Ponzinibbio 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#12] Darren Elkins (24-6-0, +212) vs. [#14] Ricardo Lamas (18-7-0, -264)
Darren Elkins is the All-Time #43 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Ricardo Lamas is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#9FW] Alexander Volkanovski (18-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#19FW] Michael Johnson (19-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
2017-07-22: W vs. [#40FW] Dennis Bermudez (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Lamas (1-2-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#11FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-12-16: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (13-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:33 of round 1
2017-07-29: W vs. [#58FW] Jason Knight (20-6-0) via TKO in 4:34 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ricardo Lamas – Win%: 69.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darren Elkins (1909.10) [+135.45] – Win%: 64.99
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darren Elkins (1862.30) [+41.29] – Win%: 54.50
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Elkins 126, Ricardo Lamas 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ricardo Lamas leads 4-3
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#54] Khalil Rountree (7-3-0, -265) vs. [#61] Johnny Walker (14-3-0, +213)

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#108LHW] Gokhan Saki (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2017-12-30: L vs. [#50LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-16: W vs. [#44LHW] Paul Craig (10-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (3-0-0)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#105LHW] Henrique da Silva (14-5-0) via UD ()
2018-03-17: W vs. [#478MW] Cheick Kone (17-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1
2018-03-11: W vs. [#209HW+] Jedrzej Mackowiak (6-2-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Khalil Rountree – Win%: 69.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): Johnny Walker (1557.28) [+117.06] – Win%: 63.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Johnny Walker (1605.26) [+117.18] – Win%: 62.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 133, Johnny Walker 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 139: Zombie vs. Rodriguez (11-10-2018)

Posted on November 5, 2018 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[*] Chan Sung Jung (14-4-0, -149) vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (10-2-0, +126)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (2-1-0)
2017-02-04: W vs. [#41FW] Dennis Bermudez (16-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:49 of round 1
2013-08-03: L vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 4
2012-05-15: W vs. [#3LW/#10DD] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:07 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-01-15: W vs. [*] B.J. Penn (16-12-2) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 2
2016-08-06: W vs. [#90FW] Alex Caceres (14-11-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chan Sung Jung – Win%: 57.48
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yair Rodriguez (1812.39) [+20.22] – Win%: 52.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chan Sung Jung (1792.67) [+25.55] – Win%: 52.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chan Sung Jung 644, Yair Rodriguez 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#16] Donald Cerrone (33-11-0, +185) vs. [#25] Mike Perry (12-3-0, -230)

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (1-2-0)
2018-06-23: L vs. [#14WW] Leon Edwards (16-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#20WW] Yancy Medeiros (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2017-10-21: L vs. [#4WW] Darren Till (17-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#14LW] Paul Felder (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#41WW] Max Griffin (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2017-12-16: L vs. [#17WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (26-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mike Perry – Win%: 66.51
Elo Favorite (Standard): Donald Cerrone (1881.16) [+101.79] – Win%: 61.42
Elo Favorite (Modified): Donald Cerrone (1869.95) [+133.52] – Win%: 64.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 140, Mike Perry 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#10P4P] Raquel Pennington (9-6-0, +146) vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (7-3-0, -173)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #49 ranked Women’s fighter.
Germaine de Randamie is the All-Time #41 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2016-11-12: W vs. [*] Miesha Tate (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-08-20: W vs. [#33BW] Elizabeth Phillips (7-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Germaine de Randamie (3-0-0)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#2FW/#5DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-05-08: W vs. [*] Anna Elmose (3-2-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 3:46 of round 1
2015-03-14: W vs. [#15FW] Larissa Pacheco (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Germaine de Randamie – Win%: 60.92
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raquel Pennington (1573.67) [+64.25] – Win%: 57.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Raquel Pennington (1604.14) [+68.58] – Win%: 57.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 182, Germaine de Randamie 637
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Germaine de Randamie leads 1-0
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 138: Volkan vs. Smith (10-27-2018)

Posted on October 22, 2018 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2] Volkan Oezdemir (15-2-0, -190) vs. [#4] Anthony Smith (30-13-0, +156)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (2-1-0)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#10DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (21-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#13LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-4-0) via TKO in 0:22 of round 1
2017-05-28: W vs. [#25LHW] Misha Cirkunov (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#19LHW] Mauricio Rua (25-11-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:29 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [*] Rashad Evans (21-8-1) via KO (Knee) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-02-03: L vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (19-6-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:03 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Volkan Oezdemir – Win%: 62.65
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Smith (1949.98) [+135.74] – Win%: 65.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Smith (1974.20) [+196.21] – Win%: 70.24
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 280, Anthony Smith 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#18] Michael Johnson (18-13-0, -566) vs. [#115] Artem Lobov (13-14-1, +401)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Johnson (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#33FW] Andre Fili (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#12FW] Darren Elkins (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
2017-07-07: L vs. [#9LW] Justin Gaethje (19-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Artem Lobov (1-2-0)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#33FW] Andre Fili (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#21FW] Cub Swanson (25-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2016-11-19: W vs. [#181BW] Teruto Ishihara (10-6-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Johnson – Win%: 80.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Johnson (1836.06) [+396.81] – Win%: 85.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Johnson (1775.81) [+331.59] – Win%: 81.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Johnson 63, Artem Lobov 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Johnson leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#25] Misha Cirkunov (13-4-0, -474) vs. [#30] Patrick Cummins (10-5-0, +350)

Last 3 Fights: Misha Cirkunov (1-2-0)
2017-12-16: L vs. [#5LHW] Glover Teixeira (27-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-05-28: L vs. [#2LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:28 of round 1
2016-12-10: W vs. [#18LHW] Nikita Krylov (24-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Patrick Cummins (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#3LHW] Corey Anderson (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-07-22: W vs. [#31LHW] Gian Villante (16-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-04-08: W vs. [#6LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Misha Cirkunov – Win%: 78.79
Elo Favorite (Standard): Misha Cirkunov (1626.45) [+2.20] – Win%: 50.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Misha Cirkunov (1656.38) [+28.90] – Win%: 53.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Misha Cirkunov 315, Patrick Cummins 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 208: Fedor vs. Sonnen (10-13-2018)

Posted on October 10, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#22] Chael Sonnen (30-15-1, +206) vs. [#26] Fedor Emelianenko (37-5-0, -258)
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #4 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Chael Sonnen (2-1-0)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#37HW+] Quinton Jackson (38-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#173HW+] Wanderlei Silva (35-14-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-01-21: L vs. [*] Tito Ortiz (20-12-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (2-1-0)
2018-04-28: W vs. [#51HW+] Frank Mir (18-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2017-06-24: L vs. [#13HW+] Matt Mitrione (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 1
2016-06-17: W vs. [#36LHW] Fabio Maldonado (24-12-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Fedor Emelianenko – Win%: 68.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Chael Sonnen (1932.16) [+68.13] – Win%: 57.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chael Sonnen (1932.04) [+47.09] – Win%: 55.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chael Sonnen 266, Fedor Emelianenko 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Fedor Emelianenko leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#11] Ben Henderson (25-8-0) vs. [#39] Saad Awad (23-9-0)
Ben Henderson is the All-Time #3 ranked Lightweight and #28 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Henderson (1-2-0)
2018-04-06: W vs. [#272LW] Roger Huerta (24-11-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 2
2017-09-23: L vs. [#7LW] Patricky Freire (20-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-11-19: L vs. [#15LW] Michael Chandler (18-4-0) via SD (48-46, 48-47, 46-48)

Last 3 Fights: Saad Awad (3-0-0)
2018-06-29: W vs. [#301WW] Ryan Couture (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:29 of round 1
2018-01-26: W vs. [#143LW] J.J. Ambrose (29-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-03: W vs. [#446LW] Zach Freeman (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Henderson (1841.60) [+89.73] – Win%: 60.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ben Henderson (1911.34) [+152.74] – Win%: 66.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Henderson 190, Saad Awad 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#15] Cheick Kongo (28-10-2) vs. [#43] Timothy Johnson (12-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Cheick Kongo (3-0-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#46HW+] Javy Ayala (10-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 1
2017-05-19: W vs. [#45HW+] Augusto Sakai (12-1-1) via SD ()
2017-02-18: W vs. [#74HW+] Oli Thompson (18-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Timothy Johnson (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#182HW+] Marcelo Golm (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-22: L vs. [#42HW+] Junior Albini (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:51 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#48HW+] Daniel Omielanczuk (20-9-1) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Cheick Kongo (1873.85) [+271.84] – Win%: 77.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cheick Kongo (1835.19) [+194.40] – Win%: 70.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cheick Kongo 154, Timothy Johnson 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cheick Kongo leads 1-0
.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 207: Mitrione vs. Bader (10-12-2018)

Posted on October 9, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Ryan Bader (25-5-0, -267) vs. [#13] Matt Mitrione (13-5-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (3-0-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#17HW+] Muhammed Lawal (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:15 of round 1
2017-11-03: W vs. [#9LHW] Linton Vassell (18-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 2
2017-06-24: W vs. [#1LHW] Phil Davis (19-4-0) via SD (49-46, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Mitrione (3-0-0)
2018-02-16: W vs. [#19HW+] Roy Nelson (23-15-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#26HW+] Fedor Emelianenko (37-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 1
2016-07-16: W vs. [#74HW+] Oli Thompson (18-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ryan Bader – Win%: 69.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ryan Bader (2239.18) [+335.29] – Win%: 82.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ryan Bader (2174.67) [+288.64] – Win%: 77.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 153, Matt Mitrione 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#19] Roy Nelson (23-15-0) vs. [#30] Sergei Kharitonov (28-7-0)
Sergei Kharitonov is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roy Nelson (1-2-0)
2018-02-16: L vs. [#13HW+] Matt Mitrione (13-5-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-23: W vs. [#46HW+] Javy Ayala (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-26)
2017-04-15: L vs. [#8HW+] Alexander Volkov (30-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Kharitonov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-05-24: NC vs. [#104HW+] Anton Vyazigin (11-2-0)
2018-02-25: W vs. [#162HW+] Joey Beltran (17-15-0) via UD ()
2017-07-22: W vs. [#41HW+] Geronimo dos Santos (41-20-1) via SUB in 2:13 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergei Kharitonov (1798.45) [+146.13] – Win%: 66.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergei Kharitonov (1821.22) [+78.29] – Win%: 58.49
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roy Nelson 238, Sergei Kharitonov 141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Kharitonov leads 3-2
.

Lightweight (155)
[#1023] Kevin Ferguson Jr. (3-1-0) vs. [NA] Corey Browning (3-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Ferguson Jr. (3-0-0)
2018-04-13: W vs. [#1859WW] Devon Brock (1-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:34 of round 1
2017-11-10: W vs. [NA] Fred Freeman (2-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2017-05-19: W vs. [NA] Darryal Griffin (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Corey Browning (1-2-0)
2018-06-16: L vs. [#906LW] Michael McDonald (5-3-0) via SUB in of round 2
2016-04-29: L vs. [*] Aaron Hall (3-5-0) via SUB in of round 1
2016-02-13: W vs. [NA] Randy Stamey (2-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:19 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Ferguson Jr. 182, Corey Browning 118
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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