MMA Statistics – Page 2

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape (12-13-2025)

Posted on December 8, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#5][#5UFC] Brandon Royval (17-8-0, +239) vs. [#9][#8UFC] Manel Kape (21-7-0, -297)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #13 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Manel Kape is the All-Time #28 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#2DD][#5P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#3FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#6FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#13FLY] Asu Almabayev (23-3-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:16 of round 3
2024-12-14: W vs. [#28FLY] Bruno Silva (15-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (16-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-297		71.71%
Elo K170	Manel Kape	1920.99	+5.59	50.81%
Elo Modified	Manel Kape	1902.81	+105.83	64.78%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1972.63	+131.12	68.02%
WHR	Manel Kape	1898.38	+159.14	71.42%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Royval 33.3, Manel Kape 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 168, Manel Kape 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Royval leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#26][#17UFC] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0, +213) vs. [#68][#37UFC] Kevin Vallejos (16-1-0, -265)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#25FW] David Onama (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-27: L vs. [*] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Alex Caceres (21-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Vallejos (3-0-0)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#145FW] Danny Silva (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#184FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2024-09-24: W vs. [#573FW] Cam Teague (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Vallejos	-265		69.44%
Elo K170	Giga Chikadze	1744.52	+26.05	53.74%
Elo Modified	Giga Chikadze	1743.26	+20.24	52.91%
Glicko-1	Giga Chikadze	1794.55	+27.02	53.88%
WHR	Kevin Vallejos	1697.52	+7.93	51.14%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Giga Chikadze 37.3, Kevin Vallejos 24.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Giga Chikadze 231, Kevin Vallejos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#61][#38UFC] Cesar Almeida (7-1-0, +143) vs. [#66] Cezary Oleksiejczuk (16-3-0, -173)

Last 3 Fights: Cesar Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#111MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:16 of round 1
2024-10-05: W vs. [#112MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26MW] Roman Kopylov (14-5-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Cezary Oleksiejczuk (3-0-0)
2025-09-02: W vs. [#238MW] Theo Haig (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1
2025-02-15: W vs. [#76LHW] Tom Breese (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [#271MW] Piotr Strus (16-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cezary Oleksiejczuk	-173		60.62%
Elo K170	Cezary Oleksiejczuk	1805.34	+202.50	76.24%
Elo Modified	Cezary Oleksiejczuk	1824.67	+145.71	69.82%
Glicko-1	Cezary Oleksiejczuk	1914.28	+188.01	74.69%
WHR	Cezary Oleksiejczuk	1789.25	+39.26	55.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cesar Almeida 37.7, Cezary Oleksiejczuk 25.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cesar Almeida 336, Cezary Oleksiejczuk 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on December 4, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (12-06-2025)

Posted on December 1, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1][#1UFC] Merab Dvalishvili (21-4-0, -434) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Petr Yan (19-5-0, +329)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Petr Yan is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via Submission (North-South Choke) in 4:42 of round 3
2025-01-18: W vs. [#3BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (19-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#22BW] Marcus McGhee (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#10BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#6BW] Yadong Song (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Merab Dvalishvili	-434		77.71%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2435.76	+296.48	84.64%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2399.39	+231.58	79.13%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2479.12	+260.06	81.71%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2236.74	+188.48	74.74%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Merab Dvalishvili 34.9, Petr Yan 32.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 63, Petr Yan 133
Previous Match-up Record: Merab Dvalishvili leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Merab Dvalishvili leads 5-3
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0, -242) vs. [#14P4P][#3][#3UFC] Joshua Van (15-2-0, +197)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #2 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Joshua Van is the All-Time #37 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#6FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 3
2024-12-07: W vs. [#26FLY] Kai Asakura (21-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2024-05-04: W vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#27FLY] Bruno Silva (15-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
2025-03-08: W vs. [#49FLY] Rei Tsuruya (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexandre Pantoja	-242		67.75%
Elo K170	Alexandre Pantoja	2220.85	+240.75	79.99%
Elo Modified	Alexandre Pantoja	2141.08	+218.18	77.83%
Glicko-1	Alexandre Pantoja	2236.29	+271.35	82.67%
WHR	Alexandre Pantoja	2063.03	+314.88	85.97%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexandre Pantoja 35.6, Joshua Van 24.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 161, Joshua Van 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[#7DD][#7P4P][#2][#2UFC] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2, +107) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Tatsuro Taira (17-1-0, -130)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #23 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-1-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#12FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (17-8-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#73FLY] Hyun Sung Park (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:06 of round 2
2024-10-12: L vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (17-8-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#31FLY] Alex Perez (25-10-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tatsuro Taira	-130		53.91%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	2005.76	+122.13	66.89%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	2030.96	+134.72	68.47%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2118.58	+140.09	69.13%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	1997.34	+138.45	68.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Moreno 32.0, Tatsuro Taira 25.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 252, Tatsuro Taira 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0
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The Evolution of Modern Fight Strategy: How Data Is Transforming MMA Performance

Posted on November 24, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Why Analytics Matter More Than Ever in Combat Sports

Mixed martial arts has entered a new era—one where instinct and toughness still matter, but data-driven strategy now plays an equally powerful role. Athletes, coaches, and analysts increasingly rely on statistics, fight history, and performance metrics to understand strengths, expose weaknesses, and build smarter game plans. And as fans explore the sport from new angles, many also turn to digital platforms for entertainment—some even choose to Join Winna today and explore endless online gaming fun, reflecting how online experiences continue to intersect with the fast-paced world of combat sports.

Websites dedicated to rankings, historical records, and matchup analytics play a major role in shaping public perception and fighter evaluation. Fans no longer rely solely on “the eye test”—they want numbers, breakdowns, and patterns they can track over time.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 20, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Who Has The Most Knockouts In UFC History?

Posted on November 19, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Knockouts aren’t just flashy finishes. They define careers, help shape mixed martial arts, and energize the fans. Achieving the most knockouts in UFC history isn’t just a numbers game. It is somewhat of a market of timing, endurance, power, and, of course, the ability to close a fight in style.

In this post, we will talk about how knockout records change over time, who holds the top spots, and why the knockout artists matter so much in the Octagon and outside of it.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker (11-22-2025)

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0, -459) vs. [*] Dan Hooker (24-12-0, +346)
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #44 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#9DD][#2LW] Charles Oliveira (36-11-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#11LW] Beneil Dariush (23-7-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#81LW] Joaquim Silva (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#7LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#26LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#111LW] Claudio Puelles (12-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 4:06 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Arman Tsarukyan	-459		78.55%
Elo K170	Arman Tsarukyan	2302.61	+188.29	74.72%
Elo Modified	Arman Tsarukyan	2198.80	+217.76	77.79%
Glicko-1	Arman Tsarukyan	2263.95	+262.34	81.91%
WHR	Arman Tsarukyan	2116.40	+243.57	80.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Arman Tsarukyan 29.1, Dan Hooker 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arman Tsarukyan 588, Dan Hooker 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#3][#3UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0, +173) vs. [#11][#11UFC] Ian Garry (16-1-0, -211)
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #7 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #45 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#4WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#8WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#17WW] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#7WW] Carlos Prates (23-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#9WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#12MW] Michael Page (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ian Garry	-211		64.94%
Elo K170	Belal Muhammad	2336.56	+196.37	75.59%
Elo Modified	Belal Muhammad	2266.87	+177.12	73.49%
Glicko-1	Belal Muhammad	2315.39	+179.30	73.74%
WHR	Ian Garry	2062.98	+45.01	56.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Belal Muhammad 37.4, Ian Garry 28.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 196, Ian Garry 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ian Garry leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#14][#10UFC] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0, -231) vs. [#21][#15UFC] Alonzo Menifield (17-5-1, +188)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #34 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#4LHW] Carlos Ulberg (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#15LHW] Johnny Walker (22-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#16LHW] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#31LHW] Oumar Sy (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#68LHW] Julius Walker (7-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#12LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (16-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Volkan Oezdemir	-231		66.77%
Elo K170	Volkan Oezdemir	1817.43	+39.30	55.63%
Elo Modified	Volkan Oezdemir	1825.42	+65.55	59.32%
Glicko-1	Volkan Oezdemir	1906.69	+134.72	68.47%
WHR	Volkan Oezdemir	1873.61	+149.07	70.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Volkan Oezdemir 36.2, Alonzo Menifield 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 364, Alonzo Menifield 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Volkan Oezdemir leads 3-2
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 13, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 10, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1LW][#1LWUFC] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0, -268) vs. [#9DD][#10P4P][#1][#1UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0, +216)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #16 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jack Della Maddalena is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#16WW] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-09-16: W vs. [#32WW] Kevin Holland (28-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-268		69.70%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2566.47	+263.13	81.97%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2497.98	+320.87	86.38%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2635.51	+364.77	89.09%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2426.71	+422.60	91.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.0, Jack Della Maddalena 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 301, Jack Della Maddalena 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1, -125) vs. [#1DD][#1P4P][#1SW][#1SWUFC] Weili Zhang (26-3-0, +103)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-0-1)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#6P4P][#7DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (11-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-46)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Valentina Shevchenko	-125		53.00%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	2086.40	+25.06	53.60%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	2045.83	+23.24	53.34%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	2068.42	+38.72	55.55%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1954.66	+47.56	56.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valentina Shevchenko 37.7, Weili Zhang 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 189, Weili Zhang 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 3-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#5][#5UFC] Leon Edwards (22-5-0, +170) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Carlos Prates (22-7-0, -207)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (1-2-0)
2025-03-22: L vs. [#10DD][#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 4
2024-07-27: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#12WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#18WW] Geoff Neal (16-7-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#21WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Carlos Prates	-207		64.54%
Elo K170	Leon Edwards	2257.47	+246.31	80.50%
Elo Modified	Leon Edwards	2190.21	+193.58	75.30%
Glicko-1	Leon Edwards	2231.63	+132.64	68.21%
WHR	Carlos Prates	2005.14	+21.43	53.08%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 34.2, Carlos Prates 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Carlos Prates 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 6, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Bonfim (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 3, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#21][#18UFC] Randy Brown (20-6-0, +127) vs. [#24][#21UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#43WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#28WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#67WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#75WW] Kalinn Williams (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2024-07-13: W vs. [#141WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gabriel Bonfim	-157		58.10%
Elo K170	Gabriel Bonfim	1975.70	+13.93	52.00%
Elo Modified	Randy Brown	1989.30	+87.25	62.30%
Glicko-1	Randy Brown	2065.36	+117.96	66.35%
WHR	Randy Brown	1865.24	+42.94	56.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Randy Brown 35.3, Gabriel Bonfim 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 196, Gabriel Bonfim 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Randy Brown leads 2-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#27][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#66][#30UFC] Matt Schnell (17-10-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#85FLY] Alibi Idiris (10-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [#596FLY] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-8-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#138FLY] Jimmy Flick (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#165BW] Cody Durden (17-9-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joseph Morales	-242		67.31%
Elo K170	Joseph Morales	1817.04	+277.84	83.19%
Elo Modified	Joseph Morales	1772.78	+258.87	81.61%
Glicko-1	Joseph Morales	1805.68	+288.52	84.03%
WHR	Joseph Morales	1774.54	+375.43	89.67%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joseph Morales 31.2, Matt Schnell 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Morales 84, Matt Schnell 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Muslim Salikhov (22-5-0, +149) vs. [#64][#44UFC] Uros Medic (11-3-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#37WW] Carlos Leal (22-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#132WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 3:49 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#53WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#580WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-01-11: L vs. [#47WW] Punahele Soriano (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1
2024-04-27: W vs. [#76WW] Tim Means (33-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Uros Medic	-186		61.82%
Elo K170	Muslim Salikhov	1946.97	+379.87	89.90%
Elo Modified	Muslim Salikhov	1906.75	+286.63	83.89%
Glicko-1	Muslim Salikhov	1953.35	+309.43	85.59%
WHR	Muslim Salikhov	1795.88	+210.00	77.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Muslim Salikhov 41.4, Uros Medic 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 105, Uros Medic 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 31, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama (11-01-2025)

Posted on October 27, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#15][#10UFC] Steve Garcia (18-5-0, -121) vs. [#19][#14UFC] David Onama (14-2-0, -100)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#46FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#54LW] Kyle Nelson (17-6-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#182FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#20FW] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#574FW] Roberto Romero (8-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#86FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Steve Garcia	-121		52.26%
Elo K170	Steve Garcia	1915.52	+52.52	57.50%
Elo Modified	Steve Garcia	1904.40	+46.37	56.63%
Glicko-1	Steve Garcia	1970.38	+48.69	56.96%
WHR	Steve Garcia	1875.46	+76.21	60.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Garcia 33.4, David Onama 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 112, David Onama 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0, -140) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Ante Delija (26-6-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ante Delija (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#79HW+] Yorgan De Castro (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2024-04-04: L vs. [#17HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (14-4-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 2:17 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	-140		55.63%
Elo K170	Ante Delija	1872.44	+43.48	56.22%
Elo Modified	Ante Delija	1883.77	+24.77	53.56%
Glicko-1	Ante Delija	1949.56	+68.28	59.70%
WHR	Ante Delija	1869.92	+96.40	63.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.1, Ante Delija 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70, Ante Delija 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#62][#42UFC] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0, -139) vs. [*] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#35WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-10-12: W vs. [#88WW] Niko Price (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#104WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#41WW] Max Griffin (20-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#77WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#125WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-8-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Themba Gorimbo	-139		55.79%
Elo K170	Themba Gorimbo	1652.70	+19.55	52.81%
Elo Modified	Jeremiah Wells	1687.53	+13.30	51.91%
Glicko-1	Jeremiah Wells	1727.12	+66.42	59.44%
WHR	Jeremiah Wells	1591.08	+35.73	55.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Themba Gorimbo 34.8, Jeremiah Wells 39.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Themba Gorimbo 329, Jeremiah Wells 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 23, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane (10-25-2025)

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1][#1UFC] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0, +310) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0, -398)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #18 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Tom Aspinall is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [*] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tom Aspinall	-398		76.61%
Elo K170	Ciryl Gane	2212.11	+38.61	55.53%
Elo Modified	Ciryl Gane	2150.21	+4.70	50.68%
Glicko-1	Tom Aspinall	2252.71	+28.21	54.05%
WHR	Tom Aspinall	2112.27	+57.81	58.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ciryl Gane 35.5, Tom Aspinall 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 322, Tom Aspinall 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Virna Jandiroba (22-3-0, +117) vs. [#15P4P][#5][#5UFC] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0, -140)
Virna Jandiroba is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-03-30: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mackenzie Dern	-140		55.86%
Elo K170	Virna Jandiroba	1936.57	+230.23	79.01%
Elo Modified	Virna Jandiroba	1909.80	+221.84	78.19%
Glicko-1	Virna Jandiroba	1896.93	+195.39	75.49%
WHR	Virna Jandiroba	1837.61	+215.10	77.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Virna Jandiroba 37.4, Mackenzie Dern 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 196, Mackenzie Dern 287
Previous Match-up Record: Mackenzie Dern leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Virna Jandiroba leads 5-3
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0, +144) vs. [#6][#5UFC] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0, -174)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#20HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (19-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-03-09: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jailton Almeida	-174		60.77%
Elo K170	Jailton Almeida	2039.56	+14.32	52.06%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkov	2086.54	+49.66	57.10%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkov	2197.94	+72.56	60.29%
WHR	Alexander Volkov	2061.88	+83.61	61.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.0, Jailton Almeida 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 322, Jailton Almeida 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jailton Almeida leads 3-2
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