MMA Statistics – Page 17

Stat of the Day: Loss Streaks after Win Streaks

Posted on October 1, 2023 by Jason

After recently realizing that Tony Ferguson had won 12 straight fights, and then lost 6 straight… I started to think, has something like this ever happened before in Pro MMA? And then I started to wonder if anything WORSE than this had happened?

Though, it is tough to grade “worse” in this case. If a fighter wins 15 straight, then loses 6, that’s probably worse. But what if they won 8, then lost 8, is that worse? You get my point.

Here are some good finds…

Kevin Asplund has a mighty impressive case, winning 15 straight, then dropping 5, then winning 1, then dropping 5 more in a row.
Allan Zuniga may actually beat Tony, if you count his fight in TUF 22. His career is especially weird, where he starts out at 13-0, loses the TUF fight, then loses 5 pro fights and has not fought since.
Mitsuhisa Sunabe has an active streak to watch. He won 16 in a row before his current 4 fight losing streak.
How about Johnnie Roades? This guy won 6 straight, then lost 11 in a row!

Did I miss anyone? Let me know in the comments!

Note: Draws and no contests were ignored.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot (09-23-2023)

Posted on September 18, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#7] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0, -146) vs. [#11] Mateusz Gamrot (22-2-0, +117)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#3LW] Justin Gaethje (25-4-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#19WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2021-12-04: W vs. [#74LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:20 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#28LW] Jalin Turner (13-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#5LW] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#13LW] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rafael Fiziev	-146		56.29%
Elo K170	Mateusz Gamrot	2080.59	+103.45	61.60%
Elo Modified	Mateusz Gamrot	2023.94	+53.79	55.86%
Glicko-1	Mateusz Gamrot	2066.72	+8.13	51.17%
WHR	Mateusz Gamrot	1978.82	+12.03	51.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 189, Mateusz Gamrot 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#11] Dan Ige (17-6-0, +131) vs. [#30] Bryce Mitchell (15-1-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#47FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#43FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2
2022-06-04: L vs. [#13FW] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#4FW] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#19FW] Edson Barboza (23-11-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#58FW] Andre Fili (22-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bryce Mitchell	-161		58.76%
Elo K170	Dan Ige	1943.22	+121.59	63.54%
Elo Modified	Dan Ige	1887.08	+66.79	57.26%
Glicko-1	Dan Ige	1940.62	+113.28	65.75%
WHR	Bryce Mitchell	1780.65	+5.52	50.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 105, Bryce Mitchell 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2, -312) vs. [#37] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-11-0, +235)
Michelle Waterson-Gomez is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#6SW] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-11-05: L vs. [#8SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
2022-03-05: W vs. [#3SW] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (0-3-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#17SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#8SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2021-05-08: L vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marina Rodriguez	-312		71.72%
Elo K170	Marina Rodriguez	1603.41	+228.45	73.96%
Elo Modified	Marina Rodriguez	1595.79	+155.11	66.35%
Glicko-1	Marina Rodriguez	1569.11	+135.07	68.52%
WHR	Marina Rodriguez	1556.11	+148.01	66.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 140, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 168
Previous Match-up Record: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 (09-16-2023)

Posted on September 11, 2023 by Jason

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-0, +143) vs. [#2/#5DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-0, -175)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#2FLY/#5DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-10-15: W vs. [#16FLY] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#22FLY] Joanne Wood (16-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-06-11: W vs. [#8FLY] Taila Santos (19-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#13FLY] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:00 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Valentina Shevchenko	-175		60.73%
Elo K170	Valentina Shevchenko	1896.04	+17.27	51.97%
Elo Modified	Alexa Grasso	1872.50	+13.55	51.48%
Glicko-1	Alexa Grasso	1893.34	+36.88	55.29%
WHR	Alexa Grasso	1826.87	+31.26	53.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 196, Valentina Shevchenko 196
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#7] Kevin Holland (25-9-0, -114) vs. [#21] Jack Della Maddalena (15-2-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#26WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
2023-04-08: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3
2022-12-03: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#89WW] Bassil Hafez (8-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#34WW] Randy Brown (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-11-19: W vs. [#96WW] Danny Roberts (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Holland	-114		50.42%
Elo K170	Kevin Holland	1995.99	+53.67	56.10%
Elo Modified	Kevin Holland	1994.71	+132.24	64.08%
Glicko-1	Kevin Holland	2067.29	+162.30	71.79%
WHR	Kevin Holland	1853.11	+67.55	57.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 49, Jack Della Maddalena 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#276] Raul Rosas Jr. (7-1-0, -565) vs. [#463] Terrence Mitchell (15-3-0, +373)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#147BW] Christian Rodriguez (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#500FW] Jay Perrin (11-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:44 of round 1
2022-09-20: W vs. [#591FW] Mando Gutierrez (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Terrence Mitchell (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#125BW] Cameron Saaiman (9-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2023-04-28: W vs. [#1229BW] Christian Alexander (1-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#2405FW] Skyler Schlosser (4-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:00 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Raul Rosas Jr.	-565		80.07%
Elo K170	Terrence Mitchell	1385.92	+23.26	52.65%
Elo Modified	Raul Rosas Jr.	1408.75	+38.06	54.16%
Glicko-1	Raul Rosas Jr.	1411.69	+13.75	51.98%
WHR	Raul Rosas Jr.	1380.51	+21.30	52.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raul Rosas Jr. 161, Terrence Mitchell 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland (09-09-2023)

Posted on September 4, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0, -606) vs. [#8] Sean Strickland (27-5-0, +417)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#59MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-5-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Israel Adesanya	-606		81.61%
Elo K170	Israel Adesanya	2253.11	+236.14	74.63%
Elo Modified	Israel Adesanya	2239.36	+232.60	73.46%
Glicko-1	Israel Adesanya	2286.67	+217.10	77.72%
WHR	Israel Adesanya	2106.25	+155.67	67.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Sean Strickland 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 2-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0, -204) vs. [#8] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0, +166)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#18HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#6HW+] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3
2022-02-12: W vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexander Volkov	-204		64.09%
Elo K170	Alexander Volkov	1975.43	+170.75	68.57%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkov	1995.43	+163.30	67.15%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkov	2079.41	+199.98	75.97%
WHR	Alexander Volkov	1937.97	+200.93	71.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 182, Tai Tuivasa 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#7] Manel Kape (18-6-0, -381) vs. [#133] Felipe dos Santos (8-0-0, +280)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#32FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#70FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [#55FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-6-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felipe dos Santos (3-0-0)
2022-11-04: W vs. [#310FLY] Hugo Paiva (6-2-0) via UD ()
2022-05-29: W vs. [#521BW] Rafael Montouro Ribeiro (7-3-0) via SD ()
2022-03-06: W vs. [#87FLY] Marcos Degli (9-4-0) via Submission in 0:33 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-381		75.05%
Elo K170	Manel Kape	1772.48	+296.09	79.46%
Elo Modified	Manel Kape	1786.23	+308.51	79.42%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1859.08	+398.22	90.83%
WHR	Manel Kape	1791.15	+296.98	79.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 266, Felipe dos Santos 309
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Korean Zombie (08-26-2023)

Posted on August 21, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2] Max Holloway (24-7-0, -829) vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0, +522)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chan Sung Jung is the All-Time #22 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#5FW] Arnold Allen (19-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (15-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (1-2-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 4
2021-06-19: W vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#8FW] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Max Holloway	-829		84.73%
Elo K170	Max Holloway	2251.02	+261.18	76.73%
Elo Modified	Max Holloway	2221.35	+267.34	76.32%
Glicko-1	Max Holloway	2304.21	+327.37	86.81%
WHR	Max Holloway	2112.96	+299.21	79.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 133, Chan Sung Jung 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-4
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#14] Ryan Spann (21-8-0, -151) vs. [#16] Anthony Smith (36-18-0, +123)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#9LHW] Nikita Krylov (30-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:38 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#25LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#28LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#14LHW] Ryan Spann (21-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ryan Spann	-151		57.29%
Elo K170	Ryan Spann	1830.17	+13.92	51.59%
Elo Modified	Anthony Smith	1824.77	+7.39	50.81%
Glicko-1	Anthony Smith	1921.70	+36.11	55.18%
WHR	Anthony Smith	1771.60	+38.06	54.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 168, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Smith leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#18] Alex Caceres (21-13-0, +186) vs. [*] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0, -237)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#55FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#102FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2022-03-12: L vs. [#22FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: L vs. [#7FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#19FW] Edson Barboza (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3
2021-05-01: W vs. [#32FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Giga Chikadze	-237		66.79%
Elo K170	Alex Caceres	1877.02	+46.52	55.29%
Elo Modified	Alex Caceres	1870.24	+54.97	55.99%
Glicko-1	Alex Caceres	1908.47	+39.80	55.70%
WHR	Alex Caceres	1764.82	+65.01	57.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 84, Giga Chikadze 588
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Caceres leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 292: Sterling vs. O’Malley (08-19-2023)

Posted on August 14, 2023 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD/#4P4P] Aljamain Sterling (23-3-0, -271) vs. [#5] Sean OMalley (16-1-0, +210)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #3 ranked Bantamweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #47 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#4BW] Henry Cejudo (16-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2022-10-22: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2022-04-09: W vs. [#7BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#7BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: NC vs. [#9BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-7-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#74BW] Raulian Paiva (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Aljamain Sterling	-271		69.36%
Elo K170	Aljamain Sterling	2421.37	+456.30	88.94%
Elo Modified	Aljamain Sterling	2238.19	+332.51	81.08%
Glicko-1	Aljamain Sterling	2299.89	+330.10	86.99%
WHR	Aljamain Sterling	2071.10	+249.05	75.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 105, Sean OMalley 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aljamain Sterling leads 2-1
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (23-3-0, -335) vs. [#8] Amanda Lemos (13-2-1, +252)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2SW/#3DD/#5P4P] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 2:28 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [*] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (2-1-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
2022-07-16: W vs. [#25SW] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2022-04-23: L vs. [#7SW] Jessica Andrade (24-12-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Weili Zhang	-335		73.05%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	1950.32	+141.33	65.60%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	1906.17	+127.08	63.56%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	1938.25	+144.01	69.61%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1824.92	+170.62	68.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 280, Amanda Lemos 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#8] Marlon Vera (21-8-1, -190) vs. [#9] Pedro Munhoz (20-7-0, +156)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #41 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Pedro Munhoz is the All-Time #28 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#3BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#14BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:17 of round 4
2022-04-30: W vs. [#11BW] Rob Font (20-7-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#17BW] Chris Gutierrez (19-5-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-02: NC vs. [#5BW] Sean OMalley (16-1-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#14BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marlon Vera	-190		62.65%
Elo K170	Marlon Vera	2007.59	+84.88	59.57%
Elo Modified	Marlon Vera	2033.27	+118.05	62.64%
Glicko-1	Marlon Vera	2115.58	+158.82	71.39%
WHR	Marlon Vera	1920.56	+89.23	60.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 147, Pedro Munhoz 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marlon Vera leads 3-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos (08-12-2023)

Posted on August 7, 2023 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Vicente Luque (21-9-1, +105) vs. [#16] Rafael dos Anjos (32-14-0, -129)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #44 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #28 ranked Welterweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#9WW] Geoff Neal (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2022-04-16: L vs. [#3WW/#10P4P] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#24WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#78MW] Bryan Barberena (18-11-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:20 of round 2
2022-07-09: L vs. [#7LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2022-03-05: W vs. [#22LW] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rafael dos Anjos	-129		53.59%
Elo K170	Rafael dos Anjos	1990.24	+21.03	52.40%
Elo Modified	Rafael dos Anjos	1948.85	+6.68	50.73%
Glicko-1	Vicente Luque	1992.87	+6.28	50.90%
WHR	Rafael dos Anjos	1890.04	+49.95	55.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 371, Rafael dos Anjos 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#38] Cub Swanson (28-13-0, +197) vs. [#63] Hakeem Dawodu (13-3-1, -245)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#13BW] Jonathan Martinez (18-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#65FW] Darren Elkins (27-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2021-05-01: L vs. [*] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (1-2-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#98FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#78FW] Michael Trizano (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#11FW] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Hakeem Dawodu	-245		67.83%
Elo K170	Hakeem Dawodu	1725.57	+22.34	52.55%
Elo Modified	Cub Swanson	1720.20	+58.98	56.42%
Glicko-1	Cub Swanson	1745.94	+92.19	62.96%
WHR	Cub Swanson	1662.72	+80.30	59.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 301, Hakeem Dawodu 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-6-0, +165) vs. [#19] Khalil Rountree (11-6-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (0-3-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-03-26: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#26LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#130LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2
2021-09-04: W vs. [#44LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:30 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Khalil Rountree	-208		64.14%
Elo K170	Khalil Rountree	1724.86	+88.66	59.99%
Elo Modified	Khalil Rountree	1691.92	+46.97	55.12%
Glicko-1	Khalil Rountree	1722.77	+39.99	55.73%
WHR	Khalil Rountree	1689.95	+126.73	64.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Daukaus 245, Khalil Rountree 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font (08-05-2023)

Posted on July 31, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (140)
[#3BW] Cory Sandhagen (16-4-0, -285) vs. [#11BW] Rob Font (20-6-0, +218)

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Vera (21-8-1) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#10BW] Yadong Song (20-8-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2021-10-30: L vs. [#7BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#55BW] Adrian Yanez (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#8BW] Marlon Vera (21-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-12-04: L vs. [*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cory Sandhagen	-285		70.18%
Elo K170	Cory Sandhagen	2129.03	+196.73	71.07%
Elo Modified	Cory Sandhagen	2051.79	+154.87	66.33%
Glicko-1	Cory Sandhagen	2124.23	+139.08	69.01%
WHR	Cory Sandhagen	1929.05	+90.60	60.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 133, Rob Font 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 4-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Jessica Andrade (24-11-0, +333) vs. [#11FLY] Tatiana Suarez (9-0-0, -464)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (1-2-0)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#4SW/#7DD/#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (11-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2
2023-01-21: W vs. [#10FLY] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#42FLY] Montana De La Rosa (12-8-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#2SW/#3DD/#5P4P] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tatiana Suarez	-464		78.08%
Elo K170	Tatiana Suarez	1793.16	+120.31	63.40%
Elo Modified	Tatiana Suarez	1821.73	+137.71	64.63%
Glicko-1	Tatiana Suarez	1815.78	+163.62	71.95%
WHR	Tatiana Suarez	1779.50	+129.58	64.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 91, Tatiana Suarez 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#24] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-3-0, -152) vs. [#26] Dustin Jacoby (18-7-1, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (3-0-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#37LHW] Devin Clark (14-8-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:28 of round 2
2022-11-19: W vs. [#30LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2
2022-07-09: W vs. [#130LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#17LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#19LHW] Khalil Rountree (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#50LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:13 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kennedy Nzechukwu	-152		57.24%
Elo K170	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1712.34	+47.48	55.40%
Elo Modified	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1745.01	+22.09	52.42%
Glicko-1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1793.10	+3.90	50.56%
WHR	Dustin Jacoby	1765.48	+24.58	52.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 91, Dustin Jacoby 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 (07-29-2023)

Posted on July 24, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#3] Dustin Poirier (29-7-0, -135) vs. [#4] Justin Gaethje (24-4-0, +110)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2021-12-11: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 3
2021-07-10: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (22-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#7LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via NC in 3:22 of round 1
2021-11-06: W vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dustin Poirier	-135		54.67%
Elo K170	Dustin Poirier	2339.16	+67.27	57.62%
Elo Modified	Dustin Poirier	2268.61	+83.13	59.00%
Glicko-1	Dustin Poirier	2371.95	+140.17	69.15%
WHR	Dustin Poirier	2132.55	+144.85	65.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 259, Justin Gaethje 133
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2MW] Alex Pereira (7-2-0, -102) vs. [#2] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-1, -122)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #10 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#9MW] Sean Strickland (27-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (1-1-1)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#5LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-05-14: W vs. [#10LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3
2021-10-30: L vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jan Blachowicz	-122		52.11%
Elo K170	Jan Blachowicz	2201.23	+303.60	80.01%
Elo Modified	Jan Blachowicz	2180.16	+236.23	73.77%
Glicko-1	Jan Blachowicz	2286.45	+292.90	84.37%
WHR	Jan Blachowicz	2024.04	+35.90	54.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 112, Jan Blachowicz 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#28] Tony Ferguson (25-8-0, +251) vs. [#29] Bobby Green (29-14-1, -340)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#15WW] Nate Diaz (21-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:52 of round 4
2022-05-07: L vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-05-15: L vs. [#5LW] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#69LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#26LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2
2022-02-26: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bobby Green	-340		73.06%
Elo K170	Tony Ferguson	1863.13	+124.81	63.88%
Elo Modified	Tony Ferguson	1836.84	+113.18	62.14%
Glicko-1	Tony Ferguson	1888.29	+120.28	66.65%
WHR	Tony Ferguson	1702.31	+10.14	51.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 322, Bobby Green 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 3-2
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura (07-22-2023)

Posted on July 17, 2023 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Tom Aspinall (12-3-0, -470) vs. [#14] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0, +337)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#8HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#24HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (19-6-0) via UD ()
2022-08-20: W vs. [#19HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tom Aspinall	-470		78.27%
Elo K170	Marcin Tybura	1977.38	+127.34	64.15%
Elo Modified	Marcin Tybura	1983.11	+124.75	63.32%
Glicko-1	Marcin Tybura	2024.15	+112.09	65.60%
WHR	Tom Aspinall	1847.90	+30.41	53.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Aspinall 364, Marcin Tybura 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tom Aspinall leads 3-2
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#36] Molly McCann (13-5-0, -342) vs. [#21BW] Julija Stoliarenko (10-7-2, +252)

Last 3 Fights: Molly McCann (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (11-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:37 of round 1
2022-07-23: W vs. [#89SW] Hannah Goldy (6-3-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#35FLY] Luana Carolina (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 1:52 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Julija Stoliarenko (1-2-0)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#18FW] Chelsea Chandler (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-07-02: W vs. [#37BW] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:42 of round 1
2022-02-05: L vs. [*] Alexis Davis (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Molly McCann	-342		73.14%
Elo K170	Molly McCann	1468.57	+212.20	72.50%
Elo Modified	Molly McCann	1494.35	+186.60	69.36%
Glicko-1	Molly McCann	1491.10	+242.25	80.13%
WHR	Molly McCann	1432.03	+205.63	71.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Molly McCann 252, Julija Stoliarenko 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#34] Nathaniel Wood (19-5-0, -192) vs. [#51] Andre Fili (22-9-0, +156)

Last 3 Fights: Nathaniel Wood (2-1-0)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#44FW] Charles Jourdain (14-6-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#134FW] Charles Rosa (14-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-10-24: L vs. [*] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#52FW] Bill Algeo (17-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#50FW] Joanderson Brito (15-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2021-06-26: NC vs. [#54FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Nathaniel Wood	-192		62.73%
Elo K170	Nathaniel Wood	1756.98	+38.28	54.36%
Elo Modified	Nathaniel Wood	1771.47	+126.60	63.51%
Glicko-1	Nathaniel Wood	1802.69	+162.35	71.80%
WHR	Nathaniel Wood	1738.08	+143.65	65.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nathaniel Wood 322, Andre Fili 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva (07-15-2023)

Posted on July 10, 2023 by Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Holly Holm (15-6-0, -163) vs. [#7] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1, +132)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#12BW] Yana Santos (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#3BW] Irene Aldana (14-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (3-0-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-8-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:45 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#21BW] Stephanie Egger (8-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1
2022-04-16: W vs. [#68BW] Yanan Wu (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Holly Holm	-163		58.98%
Elo K170	Holly Holm	1669.35	+132.00	64.64%
Elo Modified	Holly Holm	1718.29	+151.50	66.00%
Glicko-1	Holly Holm	1712.99	+118.38	66.41%
WHR	Holly Holm	1753.37	+215.80	72.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 112, Mayra Bueno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#43] Jun Yong Park (16-5-0, -151) vs. [#57] Albert Duraev (16-4-0, +125)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#122MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#222MW] Joseph Holmes (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#52MW] Eryk Anders (15-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Albert Duraev (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#62MW] Chidi Njokuani (22-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#42WW] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-10-30: W vs. [#56MW] Roman Kopylov (10-2-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jun Yong Park	-151		57.51%
Elo K170	Albert Duraev	1864.86	+139.12	65.38%
Elo Modified	Albert Duraev	1819.88	+105.21	61.32%
Glicko-1	Albert Duraev	1845.43	+118.88	66.47%
WHR	Albert Duraev	1727.35	+60.07	56.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 161, Albert Duraev 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[*] Walt Harris (13-10-0, -207) vs. [#188] Josh Parisian (15-6-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (0-3-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-10-24: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-05-16: L vs. [*] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#116HW+] Jamal Pogues (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#361HW+] Alan Baudot (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#53HW+] Dontale Mayes (10-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:26 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Walt Harris	-207		63.94%
Elo K170	Walt Harris	1597.91	+290.91	79.07%
Elo Modified	Walt Harris	1650.79	+320.62	80.28%
Glicko-1	Walt Harris	1698.05	+362.82	88.98%
WHR	Walt Harris	1590.49	+291.66	79.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Walt Harris 770, Josh Parisian 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Examining Key Stats in MMA: Who Wins and Why?

Posted on July 5, 2023 by A. J. Riot

Mixed martial arts (MMA) is a complex, fast-paced sport that combines various disciplines, testing its competitors’ physical prowess and strategic acumen. This multidimensional nature of MMA directly influences betting odds, with bookmakers considering numerous factors when determining odds for a fight.

The sport is rich in statistics that are pivotal in comprehending fighters’ strengths, weaknesses, and overall performance, and these stats often play a significant role in shaping MMA betting odds. Through analyzing data from FightMatrix and other similar platforms, this discussion attempts to unravel the most indicative predictors of victory in MMA, from strike accuracy to takedown defense.

These metrics don’t just inform fight strategies, but also heavily influence betting odds. With a comprehensive look at these factors, we can start to demystify the factors that contribute to a fighter’s success and the underlying mechanisms of MMA betting odds.

Examining Knockout Ratio in MMA

MMA’s knockout ratio is a powerful statistical tool that can shed light on a fighter’s potential for winning matches decisively. This metric, defined as the proportion of a fighter’s victories achieved via knockout or technical knockout, speaks volumes about their striking power and precision.

Fighters with a high knockout ratio are often perceived as more dominant competitors who can finish bouts without relying on judges’ decisions. By analyzing this ratio, we can identify fighters who pose a substantial threat to their opponents from the outset, increasing their winning odds.

However, a high knockout ratio should not overshadow other key skills; an MMA match’s unpredictable nature requires well-rounded competence. Nonetheless, a fighter with a high knockout ratio can be seen as a formidable adversary, heightening their victory potential.

Taking a Closer Look at Striking Accuracy

Striking accuracy in MMA is a critical statistic that reflects a fighter’s precision in landing their strikes – punches, kicks, elbows, or knees – on their opponent. High striking accuracy often signifies superior technique, timing, and spatial awareness, essential attributes for an effective offense.

This statistic can significantly impact fights as fighters with higher striking accuracy can inflict more damage, control the pace of the bout, and more effectively neutralize their opponents’ tactics. Moreover, it can alter the dynamics of a fighter’s career; consistent striking accuracy may increase their chances of winning, enhance their reputation, and potentially earn them more lucrative fights.

While it’s just one facet of the multifaceted MMA, striking accuracy serves as a clear indicator of a competitor’s offensive prowess and tactical efficiency.

Investigating Submission Success Rate

The submission success rate in MMA is a valuable statistic that quantifies a fighter’s effectiveness in forcing their opponents to tap out. This metric, defined as the number of successful submissions relative to total attempts, can reveal much about a fighter’s ground game and grappling skills.

A high submission success rate often indicates a fighter’s adeptness in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, wrestling, or judo, demonstrating their ability to control opponents and exploit vulnerabilities on the ground. Those who excel in this statistic can often shift the tide of a fight, catching adversaries off-guard with a swift and precise submission attempt.

While striking prowess often grabs the limelight, the submission success rate highlights the crucial and potentially fight-ending prowess of those most adept in the art of grappling and submission.

Understanding the Significance of Takedown Defense

Takedown defense in MMA reflects a fighter’s ability to resist and counter their opponent’s attempts to take the fight to the ground. High takedown defense indicates strong grappling skills, balance, and tactical awareness, allowing fighters to maintain their preferred fight domain, usually standing.

Techniques utilized in takedown defense include sprawling (throwing the legs back to prevent a double-leg takedown), undercooking (inserting an arm under the opponent’s arm), and using the cage to stay upright. These techniques help fighters evade or counter grappling advances, providing opportunities to retaliate.

Takedown defense is particularly crucial when facing wrestling-centric opponents, as it can disrupt their game plan, forcing them to stand and strike. Thus, understanding these stats and techniques helps illustrate the tactical layers that unfold within the Octagon.

Conclusion

Knockout ratio, striking accuracy, submission success rate, and takedown defense have all significantly impacted MMA success. Therefore, fighters and aspiring champions must pay close attention to each factor if they hope to rise to the top of the ranks.

Through effective physical conditioning, thorough practice, and tactical preparation, even amateur fighters can have a competitive edge against those with more experience. With that being said, an understanding of all the variables discussed in this post can help any fighter achieve great success in their respective sports.

Additionally, by putting this knowledge into practice during training sessions and leveraging it for in-ring performance, a fighter will be well on their way to glory inside the Octagon.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez (07-08-2023)

Posted on July 3, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#3DD/#4P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (25-2-0, -446) vs. [#3] Yair Rodriguez (15-3-0, +320)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.
Yair Rodriguez is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#2P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (24-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#9FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#7FW] Josh Emmett (18-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-07-16: W vs. [#6FW] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-11-13: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (24-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexander Volkanovski	-446		77.42%
Elo K170	Alexander Volkanovski	2348.27	+196.57	71.05%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkanovski	2286.57	+192.90	69.94%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkanovski	2379.20	+203.91	76.38%
WHR	Alexander Volkanovski	2229.99	+224.49	73.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 147, Yair Rodriguez 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Volkanovski leads 5-2
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#1DD/#5P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-6-2, -199) vs. [#3] Alexandre Pantoja (25-5-0, +162)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#2FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#5FLY] Kai Kara-France (24-11-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3
2022-01-22: L vs. [#2FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#30FLY] Alex Perez (24-7-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
2021-08-21: W vs. [#6FLY] Brandon Royval (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2
2021-02-06: W vs. [#7FLY] Manel Kape (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Moreno	-199		63.55%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	2152.39	+201.01	71.47%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	2105.28	+183.70	69.08%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2200.56	+198.84	75.86%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	2017.75	+88.98	60.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 168, Alexandre Pantoja 343
Previous Match-up Record: Alexandre Pantoja leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 5-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#134] Bo Nickal (4-0-0, -1389) vs. [#176] Tresean Gore (4-2-0, +752)

Last 3 Fights: Bo Nickal (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#187MW] Jamie Pickett (13-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2022-09-27: W vs. [#389MW] Donovan Beard (7-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2022-08-09: W vs. [#505MW] Zachary Borrego (5-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tresean Gore (1-2-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#140MW] Josh Fremd (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 2
2022-07-09: L vs. [#160MW] Cody Brundage (8-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2022-02-05: L vs. [#108WW] Bryan Battle (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bo Nickal	-1389		88.82%
Elo K170	Tresean Gore	1398.15	+2.07	50.24%
Elo Modified	Bo Nickal	1541.16	+104.92	61.29%
Glicko-1	Bo Nickal	1437.05	+9.78	51.41%
WHR	Tresean Gore	1408.09	+69.43	57.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bo Nickal 126, Tresean Gore 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (07-02-2023)

Posted on July 2, 2023 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov (07-01-2023)

Posted on June 26, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#9] Sean Strickland (26-5-0, -176) vs. [#59] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-4-1, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (1-2-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#19MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#4MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#2MW] Alex Pereira (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Abusupiyan Magomedov (3-0-0)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#119MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick and Punches) in 0:19 of round 1
2020-12-19: W vs. [#149MW] Cezariusz Kesik (13-3-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2
2019-05-04: W vs. [NA] Slavis Simeunovic (0-2-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:47 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean Strickland	-176		60.77%
Elo K170	Sean Strickland	1978.24	+212.66	72.54%
Elo Modified	Sean Strickland	1983.32	+193.42	69.99%
Glicko-1	Sean Strickland	2002.55	+141.71	69.33%
WHR	Sean Strickland	1910.21	+103.18	61.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 168, Abusupiyan Magomedov 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16] Grant Dawson (19-1-1, +113) vs. [#50] Damir Ismagulov (24-2-0, -138)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-0-1)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#55LW] Mark O. Madsen (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 3
2022-04-30: W vs. [#69LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-10-23: D vs. [#126LW] Ricky Glenn (22-7-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Damir Ismagulov (2-1-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#12LW] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#59LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#127LW] Rafael Alves (20-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Damir Ismagulov	-138		55.25%
Elo K170	Grant Dawson	2029.16	+117.18	63.07%
Elo Modified	Grant Dawson	1996.58	+122.89	63.14%
Glicko-1	Grant Dawson	2050.51	+146.03	69.86%
WHR	Grant Dawson	1923.71	+118.55	63.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 238, Damir Ismagulov 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#25] Max Griffin (19-9-0, +189) vs. [#64] Michael Morales (14-0-0, -236)

Last 3 Fights: Max Griffin (2-1-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#44WW] Tim Means (32-15-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#12WW] Neil Magny (28-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-07-10: W vs. [*] Carlos Condit (32-14-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#239WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#96WW] Trevin Giles (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2021-09-21: W vs. [#145WW] Nikolay Veretennikov (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Michael Morales	-236		66.99%
Elo K170	Max Griffin	1829.29	+114.76	62.81%
Elo Modified	Max Griffin	1845.40	+122.60	63.10%
Glicko-1	Max Griffin	1891.01	+105.70	64.76%
WHR	Michael Morales	1752.80	+39.94	54.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Griffin 245, Michael Morales 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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