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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov (02-03-2024)

Posted on January 29, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Roman Dolidze (12-2-0, +137) vs. [#16] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0, -166)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#14MW] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-10-29: W vs. [#101MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#20MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#3MW/#10DD] Sean Strickland (28-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#24WW] Joaquin Buckley (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nassourdine Imavov -166 59.66%
Elo K170 Roman Dolidze 1847.82 +85.04 59.59%
Elo Modified Roman Dolidze 1852.88 +78.54 58.51%
Glicko-1 Roman Dolidze 1913.44 +72.56 60.29%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1786.42 +24.46 52.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 322, Nassourdine Imavov 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Roman Dolidze leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#27] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1, -145) vs. [#29] Drew Dober (27-12-0, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#93LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#10LW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-15-0) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#74FW] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#132LW] Ricky Glenn (22-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
2023-05-06: L vs. [#37LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1
2022-12-17: W vs. [#18LW] Bobby Green (31-15-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Renato Carneiro -145 56.44%
Elo K170 Drew Dober 1846.41 +1.48 50.17%
Elo Modified Drew Dober 1838.24 +12.80 51.40%
Glicko-1 Drew Dober 1882.69 +13.02 51.87%
WHR Drew Dober 1807.30 +20.07 52.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 448, Drew Dober 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Renato Carneiro leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#32] Randy Brown (17-5-0, -241) vs. [#44] Muslim Salikhov (19-4-0, +192)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#134WW] Wellington Turman (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#12WW] Jack Della Maddalena (16-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-10-01: W vs. [#46WW] Francisco Trinaldo (29-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#29WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#81WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [*] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -241 67.35%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1877.87 +74.15 58.39%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1844.86 +61.88 56.73%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1852.55 +32.15 54.62%
WHR Muslim Salikhov 1713.57 +22.59 52.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 224, Muslim Salikhov 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis (01-20-2024)

Posted on January 15, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#8P4P] Sean Strickland (28-5-0, -138) vs. [#5] Dricus Du Plessis (20-2-0, +113)
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#2MW/#9DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#67MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-6-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#16MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#10MW] Derek Brunson (24-9-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 4:59 of round 2
2022-12-10: W vs. [#25MW] Darren Till (18-5-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:43 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Strickland -138 55.25%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2232.01 +79.61 58.99%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2192.23 +47.49 55.18%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2294.37 +101.78 64.24%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2113.40 +79.66 59.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 133, Dricus Du Plessis 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD] Raquel Pennington (15-8-0, +138) vs. [#5] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1, -167)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#3BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#10FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [*] Macy Chiasson (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-15: NC vs. [#4BW] Holly Holm (15-6-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-8-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:45 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#33BW] Stephanie Egger (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mayra Bueno Silva -167 59.81%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1822.71 +285.41 78.65%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1766.56 +199.65 70.56%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1715.38 +120.52 66.68%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1649.09 +119.86 63.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 371, Mayra Bueno Silva 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#18] Neil Magny (28-11-0, +248) vs. [#81] Mike Malott (10-1-1, -329)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #39 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#11WW] Ian Garry (13-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#46WW] Philip Rowe (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (3-0-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#217WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#197WW] Yohan Lainesse (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -329 72.74%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 1898.42 +200.92 71.46%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 1834.21 +124.04 63.25%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 1861.26 +121.85 66.85%
WHR Mike Malott 1809.52 +67.08 57.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 154, Mike Malott 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker (01-13-2024)

Posted on January 8, 2024 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#6] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1, -504) vs. [#10] Johnny Walker (21-7-0, +359)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (1-0-1, 1 NC)
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-07-30: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (37-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (37-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#16MW] Paul Craig (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -504 79.29%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2160.24 +228.44 73.95%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2151.48 +219.07 72.29%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2252.70 +234.45 79.41%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2028.94 +153.19 66.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 84, Johnny Walker 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 7-3
.

Flyweight (125)
[#6] Manel Kape (19-6-0, -242) vs. [#10] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1, +193)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #39 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#133FLY] Felipe dos Santos (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#46FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#244BW] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (15-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (15-7-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#36FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2
2022-03-26: W vs. [#46FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -242 67.46%
Elo K170 Matheus Nicolau 1799.59 +1.16 50.13%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1808.32 +55.36 56.03%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1868.67 +108.98 65.19%
WHR Manel Kape 1805.79 +116.38 62.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 126, Matheus Nicolau 273
Previous Match-up Record: Matheus Nicolau leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#52] Jim Miller (36-17-0, -113) vs. [*] Gabriel Benitez (23-10-0, -109)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#144FW] Jesse Butler (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#72FW] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Donald Cerrone (36-17-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Benitez (1-2-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Charlie Ontiveros (11-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 1
2022-02-19: L vs. [#66FW] David Onama (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1
2021-07-17: L vs. [#27FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jim Miller -113 50.42%
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1721.27 +271.05 77.53%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1715.40 +239.57 74.05%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1792.47 +288.68 84.05%
WHR Jim Miller 1659.89 +211.90 72.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 224, Gabriel Benitez 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix 2023 Awards – Upsets of the Year

Posted on January 1, 2024 by Jason

In case you didn’t know, we have our own list of annual awards we issue.  They’ve all been posted for 2023.

There is a lot of fine print on that page, so please read.  Furthermore, please be aware that the awards are at minimum, strongly guided by the data.

If time allows, I’d like to provide some commentary for each award in the coming weeks.  This post covers the upsets of the year, of which we post four.  All four are 100% objective.

Those four flavors are:

  1. “Most Noteworthy (FM)” – Largest difference (by subtraction) in pre-fight ratings using the standard rating points.*
  2. “Most Noteworthy (Glicko)” – Largest difference (by subtraction) in pre-fight ratings using the Glicko rating points.*
  3. “Most Noteworthy (GlickoNoReq)” – Largest difference (by subtraction) in pre-fight ratings using the Glicko rating points.
  4. “Most Lopsided” – Largest difference (by division) in pre-fight ratings using the standard rating points.*

#1, #2, and #4 do not include all fights (hence the asterisk).  See the Awards page for more details.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington (12-16-2023)

Posted on December 11, 2023 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#5DD/#2P4P] Leon Edwards (21-3-0, -142) vs. [*] Colby Covington (17-3-0, +117)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
2021-06-12: W vs. [*] Nate Diaz (21-13-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (2-1-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-09-19: W vs. [*] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Leon Edwards -142 56.01%
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2466.73 +177.91 69.27%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2360.91 +113.24 62.15%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2423.69 +127.00 67.50%
WHR Leon Edwards 2174.71 +143.34 65.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 273, Colby Covington 651
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Leon Edwards leads 4-2
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (26-5-0, -177) vs. [#5] Brandon Royval (15-6-0, +144)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #10 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #29 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#2FLY/#3DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-07-30: W vs. [*] Alex Perez (24-7-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
2021-08-21: W vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (3-0-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#10FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [#36FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -177 60.92%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 2080.56 +186.18 70.07%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 1984.72 +166.76 67.48%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 2050.83 +198.81 75.85%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 1958.65 +172.29 68.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 161, Brandon Royval 245
Previous Match-up Record: Alexandre Pantoja leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 3-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Shavkat Rakhmonov (17-0-0, -596) vs. [#8] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1, +417)
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#14WW] Geoff Neal (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-06-25: W vs. [#16WW] Neil Magny (28-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2022-02-05: W vs. [#42WW] Carlston Harris (19-5-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#13WW] Kevin Holland (25-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2021-12-18: L vs. [#3WW] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shavkat Rakhmonov -596 81.57%
Elo K170 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2176.90 +166.93 68.19%
Elo Modified Shavkat Rakhmonov 2133.61 +135.74 64.43%
Glicko-1 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2237.18 +178.07 73.59%
WHR Shavkat Rakhmonov 2157.60 +202.68 71.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shavkat Rakhmonov 287, Stephen Thompson 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez (12-09-2023)

Posted on December 4, 2023 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#11] Yadong Song (20-8-1, -364) vs. [#18] Chris Gutierrez (20-5-2, +275)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#25BW] Ricky Simon (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5
2022-09-17: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#72BW] Heili Alateng (16-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -364 74.62%
Elo K170 Yadong Song 1965.20 +108.42 62.14%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1936.41 +126.63 63.51%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 1985.53 +146.44 69.91%
WHR Yadong Song 1842.05 +136.13 65.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 224, Chris Gutierrez 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12] Khalil Rountree (12-6-0, -236) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (37-18-0, +188)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #30 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#16LHW] Ryan Spann (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -236 66.92%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1904.80 +115.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1848.88 +89.78 59.70%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1923.01 +113.14 65.73%
WHR Anthony Smith 1765.30 +18.37 52.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 119, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#30] Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, -255) vs. [*] Su Mudaerji (16-5-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#129FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#65FLY] Jake Hadley (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#16FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#123FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Allan Nascimento -255 68.37%
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1648.13 +228.47 73.96%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1698.60 +265.11 76.14%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1762.65 +323.38 86.55%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1740.02 +345.78 82.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 329, Su Mudaerji 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan (12-02-2023)

Posted on November 27, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#5] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1, +220) vs. [#15] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0, -282)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#111LW] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -282 70.25%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2196.34 +147.43 66.23%
Elo Modified Beneil Dariush 2149.24 +122.66 63.11%
Glicko-1 Beneil Dariush 2173.64 +80.54 61.39%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 2017.67 +2.17 50.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 175, Arman Tsarukyan 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Beneil Dariush leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#12] Bobby Green (31-14-1, +196) vs. [#28] Jalin Turner (13-7-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (20-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-29: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#41LW] Jared Gordon (20-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#82LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jalin Turner -247 67.81%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1987.99 +276.38 77.95%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1945.00 +160.29 66.86%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 2031.98 +149.20 70.24%
WHR Bobby Green 1868.54 +59.88 56.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 56, Jalin Turner 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#3FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1, +118) vs. [#11] Rob Font (20-7-0, -144)
Rob Font is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#59BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2004.69 +113.57 62.69%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1963.69 +96.69 60.43%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2029.42 +90.54 62.74%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1876.76 +97.00 60.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 315, Rob Font 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig (11-18-2023)

Posted on November 13, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Brendan Allen (22-5-0, -289) vs. [#17] Paul Craig (17-6-1, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#37MW] Bruno Silva (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3
2022-10-01: W vs. [#41LHW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2
2023-01-21: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -289 70.77%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2060.02 +235.76 74.59%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2066.88 +226.93 72.98%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2141.48 +237.48 79.69%
WHR Brendan Allen 1930.45 +98.55 61.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Paul Craig 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Michael Morales (15-0-0, -263) vs. [#52] Jake Matthews (19-6-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#33WW] Max Griffin (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#226WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#114WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#148WW] Darrius Flowers (12-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-12-17: L vs. [#67WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#76WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Morales -263 68.98%
Elo K170 Michael Morales 1826.39 +78.16 58.83%
Elo Modified Michael Morales 1826.35 +73.40 57.96%
Glicko-1 Michael Morales 1887.61 +88.90 62.52%
WHR Michael Morales 1798.42 +140.05 65.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Morales 140, Jake Matthews 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#140] Jordan Leavitt (11-2-0, +196) vs. [#240] Chase Hooper (12-3-1, -249)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#332LW] Victor Martinez (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Knees) in 2:33 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#44LW] Paddy Pimblett (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#173LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#556LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#59FW] Steve Garcia (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-05-21: W vs. [#169FW] Felipe Dias Colares (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -249 67.86%
Elo K170 Jordan Leavitt 1680.43 +224.96 73.65%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1660.58 +156.05 66.45%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1673.48 +144.39 69.66%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1600.17 +105.77 61.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 266, Chase Hooper 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira (11-11-2023)

Posted on November 6, 2023 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1] Alex Pereira (8-2-0, -144) vs. [*] Jiri Prochazka (29-3-1, +119)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #24 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5
2021-05-01: W vs. [#24LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -144 56.38%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2199.88 +157.24 67.22%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 2166.26 +150.40 65.89%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2308.96 +242.64 80.17%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2146.51 +162.22 67.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 105, Jiri Prochazka 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0, -106) vs. [#7] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0, -116)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#10HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-07-30: W vs. [#13HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-8-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -116 51.06%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 2123.87 +158.88 67.39%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 2107.56 +144.90 65.35%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2218.63 +191.51 75.07%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 2054.35 +129.48 64.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Tom Aspinall 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 1-0
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Mackenzie Dern (13-3-0, -200) vs. [#8] Jessica Andrade (24-12-0, +162)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (0-3-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-05-06: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#4FLY/#10DD/#6P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -200 63.59%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1668.75 +52.63 55.98%
Elo Modified Mackenzie Dern 1685.20 +49.40 55.39%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1693.06 +103.43 64.46%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1652.99 +35.31 54.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 175, Jessica Andrade 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis (11-04-2023)

Posted on October 30, 2023 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0, -488) vs. [#11] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0, +352)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#108HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2
2022-09-10: W vs. [#138LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#23HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (21-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#8HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -488 78.95%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1914.35 +85.22 59.61%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 1933.26 +103.81 61.17%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 2020.43 +144.43 69.67%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1888.44 +133.23 64.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 175, Derrick Lewis 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Nicolas Dalby (22-5-1, +384) vs. [#68] Gabriel Bonfim (15-0-0, -537)

Last 3 Fights: Nicolas Dalby (3-0-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#43WW] Muslim Salikhov (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#143MW] Warlley Alves (14-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [*] Claudio Silva (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#117WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159WW] Mounir Lazzez (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-09-06: W vs. [#172WW] Trey Waters (8-1-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 4:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Bonfim -537 80.31%
Elo K170 Nicolas Dalby 1902.94 +112.85 62.61%
Elo Modified Nicolas Dalby 1860.66 +53.02 55.78%
Glicko-1 Nicolas Dalby 1883.37 +20.32 52.92%
WHR Gabriel Bonfim 1883.13 +147.29 66.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nicolas Dalby 140, Gabriel Bonfim 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Rodrigo Nascimento (11-1-0, -192) vs. [#53] Dontale Mayes (10-6-0, +155)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#22HW+] Ilir Latifi (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#62LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-07-17: W vs. [*] Alan Baudot (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#71HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-02-25: L vs. [#31HW+] Augusto Sakai (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Hamdy Abdelwahab (6-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodrigo Nascimento -192 62.63%
Elo K170 Rodrigo Nascimento 1708.31 +236.40 74.65%
Elo Modified Rodrigo Nascimento 1667.58 +124.89 63.34%
Glicko-1 Rodrigo Nascimento 1652.43 +79.00 61.18%
WHR Rodrigo Nascimento 1629.37 +140.72 65.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Nascimento 168, Dontale Mayes 154
Previous Match-up Record: Rodrigo Nascimento leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (10-22-2023)

Posted on October 22, 2023 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Islam Makhachev’s second win over Alexander Volkanovski put him in rare ratings air.
    • His post-fight Elo/Glicko ratings are the 2nd highest in MMA history, only beaten by Kamaru Usman’s ratings after his second victory over Colby Covington.
    • His Fight Matrix “standard” rating is also the 2nd highest ever, just behind Israel Adesanya’s after his second fight with Alex Pereira.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 294 (10-21-2023)

Posted on October 16, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#1DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0, -260) vs. [#4/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0, +208)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #14 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #7 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#4LW/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#2LW/#6DD] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2
2022-02-26: W vs. [#13LW] Bobby Green (31-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#2FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#1FW] Max Holloway (25-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -260 68.98%
Elo K170 Islam Makhachev 2455.71 +65.06 57.38%
Elo Modified Islam Makhachev 2390.30 +64.15 56.97%
Glicko-1 Islam Makhachev 2498.59 +65.68 59.34%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2358.00 +86.02 59.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 252, Alexander Volkanovski 105
Previous Match-up Record: Islam Makhachev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#2WW/#9P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-3-0, +225) vs. [#7] Khamzat Chimaev (12-0-0, -283)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #11 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (1-2-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#1P4P] Leon Edwards (21-3-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#1P4P] Leon Edwards (21-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#11WW] Kevin Holland (25-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#39WW] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -283 70.60%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2305.20 +231.30 74.21%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2282.87 +196.37 70.26%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2382.80 +192.31 75.16%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2141.97 +94.38 60.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 217, Khamzat Chimaev 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1, -361) vs. [#9] Johnny Walker (21-7-0, +273)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-1)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-07-30: W vs. [#13LHW] Anthony Smith (37-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2022-03-12: W vs. [#12LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Anthony Smith (37-18-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#17MW] Paul Craig (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-09-10: W vs. [#26LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -361 74.49%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2160.52 +228.44 73.95%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2151.75 +219.08 72.29%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2253.08 +234.40 79.40%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2037.57 +138.18 65.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 315, Johnny Walker 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 7-3
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Yusuff (10-14-2023)

Posted on October 9, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#20] Edson Barboza (23-11-0, +135) vs. [#27] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0, -164)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#29FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#11FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#9FW] Giga Chikadze (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#267FW] Don Shainis (15-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#28FW] Alex Caceres (21-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#5FW] Arnold Allen (19-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sodiq Yusuff -164 59.34%
Elo K170 Sodiq Yusuff 1880.83 +63.97 57.25%
Elo Modified Sodiq Yusuff 1891.05 +54.90 55.98%
Glicko-1 Sodiq Yusuff 1907.61 +18.38 52.64%
WHR Sodiq Yusuff 1788.59 +3.42 50.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 182, Sodiq Yusuff 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jennifer Maia (21-9-1, -150) vs. [#17] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0, +122)
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#19FLY] Casey ONeill (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#36FLY] Maryna Moroz (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#3FLY/#7DD/#5P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#15FLY] Amanda Ribas (11-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#18FLY] Andrea Lee (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jennifer Maia -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Jennifer Maia 1699.69 +224.17 73.58%
Elo Modified Jennifer Maia 1701.38 +179.55 68.70%
Glicko-1 Jennifer Maia 1687.62 +179.46 73.75%
WHR Jennifer Maia 1588.14 +110.58 62.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jennifer Maia 210, Viviane Araujo 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jennifer Maia leads 4-2
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#13] Jonathan Martinez (18-4-0, -111) vs. [#57] Adrian Yanez (16-4-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#22BW] Said Nurmagomedov (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#37FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#112BW] Vince Morales (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#10BW] Rob Font (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [*] Tony Kelley (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-11-20: W vs. [#37BW] Davey Grant (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -111 50.10%
Elo K170 Jonathan Martinez 1958.75 +259.83 76.62%
Elo Modified Jonathan Martinez 1942.85 +291.33 78.17%
Glicko-1 Jonathan Martinez 1980.85 +285.55 83.80%
WHR Jonathan Martinez 1821.41 +216.79 72.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 217, Adrian Yanez 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Adrian Yanez leads 2-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 300 (10-07-2023)

Posted on October 3, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#19] Usman Nurmagomedov (17-0-0, -1346) vs. [#32] Brent Primus (12-3-0, +643)

Last 3 Fights: Usman Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [*] Ben Henderson (30-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-11-18: W vs. [#25LW] Patricky Freire (25-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-07-22: W vs. [#135LW] Christopher Gonzalez (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brent Primus (2-1-0)
2023-05-12: W vs. [#67LW] Mansour Barnaoui (20-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-06-24: L vs. [#17LW] Alexandr Shabliy (23-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2021-10-16: W vs. [*] Ben Henderson (30-12-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Usman Nurmagomedov -1346 87.36%
Elo K170 Usman Nurmagomedov 1916.92 +38.41 54.38%
Elo Modified Usman Nurmagomedov 1908.77 +19.23 52.10%
Glicko-1 Usman Nurmagomedov 1978.37 +38.94 55.58%
WHR Usman Nurmagomedov 1902.24 +85.35 59.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Usman Nurmagomedov 211, Brent Primus 148
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Cristiane Justino (26-2-0, -546) vs. [#5] Cat Zingano (14-4-0, +350)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Cat Zingano is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#8FW] Arlene Blencowe (15-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#12FW] Sinead Kavanagh (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2021-05-21: W vs. [*] Leslie Smith (12-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (3-0-0)
2023-03-31: W vs. [#15FW] Leah McCourt (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#22FW] Pam Sorenson (9-6-0) via UD (29-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-04-09: W vs. [NA] Olivia Parker (4-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cristiane Justino -546 79.18%
Elo K170 Cristiane Justino 1946.37 +380.37 85.04%
Elo Modified Cristiane Justino 1946.69 +328.65 80.83%
Glicko-1 Cristiane Justino 2013.60 +407.14 91.24%
WHR Cristiane Justino 1945.06 +361.32 83.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 532, Cat Zingano 190
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cat Zingano leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Ryan Bader (31-7-0, -186) vs. [#12] Linton Vassell (23-8-0, +139)
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (40-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2022-05-06: W vs. [*] Cheick Kongo (31-12-2) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-01-29: W vs. [#16HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Linton Vassell (3-0-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#16HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (12-3-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:03 of round 1
2022-04-15: W vs. [#28HW+] Tim Johnson (16-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2021-11-12: W vs. [#39HW+] Tyrell Fortune (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Bader -186 60.84%
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2197.20 +205.47 71.89%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2197.86 +230.04 73.24%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2257.24 +237.61 79.70%
WHR Ryan Bader 2025.44 +101.19 61.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 245, Linton Vassell 211
Previous Match-up Record: Ryan Bader leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green (10-07-2023)

Posted on October 2, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#14] Grant Dawson (20-1-1, -396) vs. [#15] Bobby Green (30-14-1, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#54LW] Mark O. Madsen (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 3
2022-04-30: W vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#51LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#27LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -396 75.82%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 2086.64 +233.58 74.40%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 2032.86 +206.76 71.20%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 2098.90 +206.02 76.60%
WHR Grant Dawson 1976.29 +216.11 72.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 98, Bobby Green 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#31] Joseph Pyfer (11-2-0, -412) vs. [#72] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-5-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [#499MW] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#211MW] Osman Diaz (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#152MW] Claudio Ribeiro (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-02-19: L vs. [#43WW] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#134MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -412 76.52%
Elo K170 Joseph Pyfer 1605.00 +51.48 55.85%
Elo Modified Abdul Razak Alhassan 1617.49 +0.31 50.03%
Glicko-1 Joseph Pyfer 1693.71 +9.20 51.32%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1620.63 +23.05 52.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Pyfer 182, Abdul Razak Alhassan 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Alex Morono (23-8-0, +159) vs. [#43] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (33-15-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:09 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#30WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#69WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#77WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2
2022-09-03: L vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -197 63.20%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1826.35 +107.10 61.99%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1866.43 +160.51 66.88%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1932.49 +159.24 71.43%
WHR Alex Morono 1754.85 +114.87 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 147, Joaquin Buckley 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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