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The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 9 Review

Posted on November 10, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 9, Mike Ricci defeated Dom Waters in a three-round unanimous decision, giving Team Carwin their fourth win and tying the tally at 4-4 in the first round bouts.

Quarter-Final matchups were announced, and two of them will be pitting teammates against each other:

[#72 MW] Bristol Marunde vs [#327 MW] Neil Magny
[#142 WW] Igor Araujo vs [NR] Colton Smith
[#441 WW] Joey Rivera vs [#496 WW] John Manley
[#164 WW] Mike Ricci vs [#489 WW] Mike Hill

The current win tally is Team Carwin 4, Team Nelson 4 in head-to-head matchups.

Here’s who remains:

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated

Posted on November 4, 2012 by Jason

The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 8 Review

Posted on November 4, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 8, Team Nelson keeps control of the matchups, and pulls ahead for the first time as John Manley forced a tapout from James Chaney with a guillotine choke in the first round. James ‘The Snake’ Chaney lived up to his nickname, biting Manley to try to escape the choke.

Dana White visited the fighters in the TUF house, giving his patented “do you want to be a fighter” speech, and threatening that all the fighters won’t get a slot at the finale if they don’t step up their performances. Judging by the fact that there are 12 bouts already lined-up for the December 15th live finale, the fighters didn’t take heed to his words and Dana lives up to his promise.

Next week, Dom Waters takes on Mike Ricci in the remaining first-round matchup.

The current win tally is Team Carwin 3, Team Nelson 4.

Here’s who remains:

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated

Posted on October 28, 2012 by Jason

 

 

The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 7 Review

Posted on October 27, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 7, Coach Nelson once again leaves the match-making to chance and his fighters. This time it works out better for the team, with some help from the judges, as Mike Hill scores a split decision win after going three rounds with Matt Secor. Another bizzare decision – this is the theme for the season. As usual, Dana White is exasperated and furious with the judges.

The current win tally is Team Carwin 3, Team Nelson 3.

Here’s who remains:

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated

Posted on October 21, 2012 by Jason

The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 6 Recap

Posted on October 21, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 6, Team Nelson scores another upset as Colton Smith takes a majority decision over Eddy Ellis. Once again, Dana White is not happy with the judges’ scores, and feels the fight should have gone to the third round.

The current win tally is Team Carwin 3, Team Nelson 2. Looks like more wacky matchmaking is ahead for Team Nelson in the next episode, meaning they will likely not keep control of match-ups for long.

Here’s who remains:

Keep Reading

UFC 153 / Odds vs. Ratings

Posted on October 18, 2012 by Jason

If you’ve been following recent updates, most notably those associated with the Upcoming Events page, you already know that we now display a meta-odds feature — average odds from about a dozen sports books.

I thought it would be interesting to compare results of UFC 152 and how we stacked up versus the gamblers.  We ended up doing pretty good , though this is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds.  Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary rating that is primarily focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.  Either way, both systems have their place in determining who to expect to win the fight.

Back again, to see if we could repeat the success with UFC 153… and here we go.

Note: Moraes/Forte and Marcello/Madadi are excluded as at least one fighter in each was unranked/inactive.

Ratings vs. Gamblers Scoreboard

Fight Odds Favorite Ratings Favorite “Who won”
Silva vs. Bonnar Silva (-1005 / Epic) Silva (9.4x^ / Ungodly) Tie
Nogueira vs. Herman Nogueira (-241 / Moderate) Nogueira (3.4x / Massive) Ratings
Teixeiravs. Maldonado Teixeira (-492 / Large) Teixeira (3.1x / Very Large) Tie
Fitch vs. Silva Silva (-185 / Small) Fitch (1.61x / Moderate) Ratings
Davis vs. Prado Davis (-383 / Large) Davis (10.46x / Ungodly) Ratings
Maia vs. Story Maia (-124 / Pick’Em) Maia (2.09x / Large) Ratings
Bezerra vs. Sicilia Bezerra (-234 / Moderate) Bezerra (1.08x / Pick’Em) Gamblers
Tibau vs. Trinaldo Tibau (-135 / Very Small) Tibau (1.83x / Moderate)^ Tie
Brandao vs. Gambino Brandao (-247 / Moderate) Brandao (1.34x / Very Small) Gamblers
Camozzi vs. Cane Cane (-150 / Very Small) Camozzi (1.17x^ / Pick’Em) Ratings

^ – Pre-fight divisional difference was not factored into rating difference.

Keep Reading

The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 5 Recap

Posted on October 15, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 5, Team Carwin widens the lead as Igor Araujo takes a controversial majority decision over Nick Herron-Webb, in a close fight which Dana White claimed should have gone to the third round.

The current win tally is Team Carwin 3, Team Nelson 1.

Here’s who remains:

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated

Posted on October 14, 2012 by Jason

Community Adjustment: Update

Posted on October 11, 2012 by Jason

Just over a year ago, we rolled out a community adjustment and posted a blog entry about it.

Although the adjustment was helping, the problem is actually getting worse at a faster rate than before.  It’s also now spreading into the female ranks.

As such, we will be rolling an adjustment out every six months and upon the next update, will roll out a retroactive adjustment to the Japanese community effective 7/1/2012.

The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 4 Recap

Posted on October 8, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 4, Coach Nelson employed a bizzare approach to matchmaking, having his fighters draw straws to determine who gets to fight this week. Julian Lane drew the short straw and chose Bristol Marunde as his opponent. The results were disastrous, with tentative Lane losing an unanimous decision in an uneventful two-rounder. Team Carwin regains the lead as well the control of matchmaking.

The current win tally is Team Carwin 2, Team Nelson 1.

Here’s who remains:

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated!

Posted on October 7, 2012 by Jason

The Ultimate Fighter 16, Episode 3 Recap

Posted on October 1, 2012 by Oleg

In Episode 3, Team Nelson tied the score with a huge upset win, as Nelson’s second-to-last pick Joey ‘Boom Boom’ Rivera outworked Sam Alvey, Carwin’s top pick and the overall top rank of the season. Rivera earned a majority decision after two rounds, with the scores of 20-18, 20-18, 19-19.

The current win tally is Team Carwin 1, Team Nelson 1.

All rankings are approximate as-of Episode 2 airing.

[#71 MW] Sam Alvey [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [#149 WW] Leo Kuntz by TKO
Episode 3: lost to [#441 WW] Joey Rivera by majority decision

[#72 MW] Bristol Marunde [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [#174 MW] George Lockhart by submission

[#129 WW] Eddy Ellis [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [NR] David Michaud by submission

[#142 WW] Igor Araujo [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [#300 MW] Cortez Coleman by submission

[#147 WW] Nick Herron-Webb [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [#133 MW] Tim Ruberg by submission

[#215 WW] James Chaney [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [NR] Jerel Clark by submission

[#164 LW] Mike Ricci [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [#83 MW] Jason South by TKO

[#292 WW] Cameron Diffley [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [NR] Zane Kamaka by submission
Episode 2: lost to [#327 MW] Neil Magny by unanimous decision

[#327 MW] Neil Magny [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [NR] Frank Camacho by unanimous decision
Episode 2: defeated [#292 WW] Cameron Diffley by unanimous decision

[#441 WW] Joey Rivera [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [#386 LW] Saad Awad by majority decision
Episode 3: defeated [#71 MW] Sam Alvey by majority decision

[#489 WW] Mike Hill [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [NR] Lev Magen by TKO

[#496 WW] John Manley [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [#186 WW] Ricky Legere Jr by unanimous decision

[#460 LW] Julian Lane [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [NR] Diego Bautista by unanimous decision

[NR] Dom Waters [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [#132 WW] Kevin Nowaczyk by TKO

[NR] Colton Smith [Team Nelson]
Episode 1: defeated [#325 MW] Jesse Barrett by unanimous decision

[NR] Matt Secor [Team Carwin]
Episode 1: defeated [#304 WW] Max Griffin by submission

Current MMA Rankings Updated

Posted on September 30, 2012 by Jason

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