MMA Ranks – Page 42 – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal (2020-07-11)

Posted on July 9, 2020 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#3DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0, -250) vs. [#2] Jorge Masvidal (35-13-0, +199)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#4WW] Colby Covington (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
2019-03-02: W vs. [#6WW] Tyron Woodley (19-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#12WW] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:05 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kamaru Usman	-250		68.11%
Elo K170	Kamaru Usman	2396.13	+176.08	69.09%
Elo Modified	Kamaru Usman	2317.36	+101.19	60.90%
Glicko-1	Kamaru Usman	2384.93	+27.47	53.95%
WHR	Kamaru Usman	2146.61	+63.71	57.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 210, Jorge Masvidal 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0
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Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0, -217) vs. [#2/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0, +176)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #7 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#3BW] Jose Aldo (28-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Chad Mendes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#7FW] Frankie Edgar (23-8-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#3LW/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (26-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexander Volkanovski	-217		65.38%
Elo K170	Alexander Volkanovski	2308.02	+119.40	63.31%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkanovski	2269.35	+115.50	62.38%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkanovski	2338.08	+89.98	62.67%
WHR	Alexander Volkanovski	2101.19	+50.64	55.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 210, Max Holloway 210
Previous Match-up Record: Alexander Volkanovski leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 2-1
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#3] Jose Aldo (28-6-0, +180) vs. [#4] Petr Yan (14-1-0, -224)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Petr Yan is the All-Time #40 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#25LW] Renato Carneiro (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:43 of round 3
2019-06-08: W vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Petr Yan	-224		65.94%
Elo K170	Petr Yan	2060.78	+70.94	58.03%
Elo Modified	Petr Yan	2050.13	+23.41	52.56%
Glicko-1	Jose Aldo	2118.97	+27.90	54.01%
WHR	Petr Yan	1993.22	+59.83	56.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 210, Petr Yan 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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WHR Ratings Updated (Again)

Posted on July 6, 2020 by Jason

Thanks to computerrank over at BoxRec, WHR framework has been updated to allow for explicit scoring of win types (like Glicko and standard system). See the FAQ for more info.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-05-2020)

Posted on July 5, 2020 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-28-2020)

Posted on June 28, 2020 by Jason

WHR Career Histories of Fighters who set All-Time WHR Records

Posted on June 27, 2020 by Jason

One more fancy graph. WHR histories for all fighters who set all-time highest WHR records during their career.

In other words… fighters that (by WHR standards) were “the best fighters ever” at some point when they fought. Josh Barnett is a bit of a surprise… otherwise, names we all expect.

WHR History: Jones, Cormier, Miocic

Posted on June 27, 2020 by Jason

Three guys whose careers have been associated with one another… If Jones/Miocic ever happens, it will all come full circle.

WHR Heavyweight History: Top 10 All-Time Heavyweights

Posted on June 25, 2020 by Jason

While WHR’s superiority as a current ranking system is in question, its ability to view the historical scene is probably unparalleled. To demonstrate, I took the Top 10 Heavyweights from the All-Time Rankings and dumped their WHR ratings, fight-by-fight, into a chart.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker (2020-06-27)

Posted on June 21, 2020 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#3/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (25-6-0, -204) vs. [#7] Dan Hooker (20-8-0, +167)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #12 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#3P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (28-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#32WW] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#10LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#11LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#114WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dustin Poirier	-204		64.18%
Elo K170	Dustin Poirier	2256.46	+184.10	69.87%
Elo Modified	Dustin Poirier	2201.67	+225.37	72.84%
Glicko-1	Dustin Poirier	2259.25	+242.58	80.16%
WHR	Dustin Poirier	2130.87	+224.95	73.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 294, Dan Hooker 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#29] Mike Perry (13-6-0, -285) vs. [#149] Mickey Gall (6-2-0, +227)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#21WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2019-08-10: L vs. [#19WW] Vicente Luque (18-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#37WW] Alex Oliveira (21-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#339WW] Salim Touahri (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#63WW] Diego Sanchez (30-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 2
2018-08-25: W vs. [#206MW] George Sullivan (18-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mike Perry	-285		70.76%
Elo K170	Mike Perry	1697.47	+206.64	71.99%
Elo Modified	Mike Perry	1726.18	+204.26	70.97%
Glicko-1	Mike Perry	1783.74	+249.09	80.75%
WHR	Mike Perry	1682.91	+204.61	71.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 196, Mickey Gall 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#28] Brendan Allen (14-3-0, -304) vs. [#66] Kyle Daukaus (9-0-0, +248)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#49MW] Tom Breese (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#44MW] Kevin Holland (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-07-16: W vs. [#254MW] Aaron Jeffery (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (3-0-0)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#168MW] Nolan Norwood (12-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:36 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#255MW] Stephen Regman (9-5-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 0:50 of round 2
2019-06-25: W vs. [#261WW] Michael Lombardo (11-2-0) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brendan Allen	-304		72.36%
Elo K170	Brendan Allen	1818.28	+198.59	71.25%
Elo Modified	Brendan Allen	1825.72	+152.53	66.10%
Glicko-1	Brendan Allen	1901.40	+219.83	78.00%
WHR	Brendan Allen	1748.31	+133.58	64.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 119, Kyle Daukaus 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-21-2020)

Posted on June 21, 2020 by Jason

WHR Rating Update (Again)

Posted on June 17, 2020 by Jason

Notable Info

Bug related to draws in WHR framework is fixed (thanks to computerrank over at BoxRec). Also went back to the original plan of lumping non-unanimous decisions in with draws (see the Glicko post for supporting info).

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov (2020-06-20)

Posted on June 14, 2020 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0, -332) vs. [#10] Alexander Volkov (31-7-0, +259)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #38 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#7HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [#19HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [*] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#85HW+] Greg Hardy (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 3
2018-03-17: W vs. [#14HW+] Fabricio Werdum (23-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Curtis Blaydes	-332		73.39%
Elo K170	Curtis Blaydes	2049.87	+89.61	60.09%
Elo Modified	Curtis Blaydes	2055.19	+74.07	58.03%
Glicko-1	Curtis Blaydes	2128.70	+83.82	61.84%
WHR	Curtis Blaydes	2020.68	+150.00	66.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 147, Alexander Volkov 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#6] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, +112) vs. [#20] Shane Burgos (13-1-0, -138)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#34FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#82LW] Michael Johnson (19-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#17FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#57FW] Makwan Amirkhani (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2019-05-04: W vs. [#24FW] Cub Swanson (26-11-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#398LW] Kurt Holobaugh (17-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Shane Burgos	-138		55.14%
Elo K170	Josh Emmett	1954.97	+74.15	58.39%
Elo Modified	Josh Emmett	1925.19	+107.02	61.50%
Glicko-1	Josh Emmett	1992.69	+139.91	69.11%
WHR	Josh Emmett	1884.44	+91.81	60.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 343, Shane Burgos 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Raquel Pennington (10-8-0, -139) vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-5-1, +114)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #46 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (1-2-0)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (12-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (1-2-0)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#13BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [*] Cat Zingano (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#7BW] Sara McMann (12-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Raquel Pennington	-139		55.44%
Elo K170	Raquel Pennington	1485.54	+141.90	65.66%
Elo Modified	Raquel Pennington	1463.43	+69.96	57.60%
Glicko-1	Raquel Pennington	1434.04	+4.39	50.63%
WHR	Raquel Pennington	1485.75	+86.15	59.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 154, Marion Reneau 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raquel Pennington leads 3-1
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-14-2020)

Posted on June 14, 2020 by Jason

WHR RATING UPDATE (#2)

Posted on June 12, 2020 by Jason

Notable Info

After recent changes were made, extensive testing of the w2 value suggests value used in WHR be changed to 42 (from 10). WHR ratings updated.

WHR Rating Update

Posted on June 9, 2020 by Jason

Notable Info

It turns out the WHR system that we recently rolled out does not properly handle draws — for every draw, it was adding a win AND loss. Since I lumped close decisions in with draws based on the research I did w/ the Glicko system, this caused a pretty large ratings issue. I started noticing strange patterns of fighters in draws and close decisions who both lost considerable points directly after the fight.
Further research is required to determine if this is a systemic problem or an implementation problem. In the interim, I updated the WHR ratings and tossed out all draws, along with no contests and disqualifications. Before, we were also treating split & majority decisions as draws in the WHR ratings, but we will now treat those as wins (for now). Furthermore, I increased the accuracy as the ratings now run until the convergence is below 0.00001 (vs. 1.0). Technically, this paints a more “accurate” picture.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo (2020-06-13)

Posted on June 9, 2020 by Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#3] Jessica Eye (15-7-0, +108) vs. [#8] Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-1, -132)
Jessica Eye is the All-Time #43 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Eye (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#11FLY] Viviane Araujo (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#2FLY/#6P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (2-0-1)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#10SW] Marina Rodriguez (12-0-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-02-17: W vs. [#15FLY] Cortney Casey (9-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#42FLY] Poliana Botelho (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cynthia Calvillo	-132		54.20%
Elo K170	Jessica Eye	1640.33	+34.72	53.96%
Elo Modified	Cynthia Calvillo	1636.08	+33.72	53.68%
Glicko-1	Cynthia Calvillo	1620.39	+56.47	58.06%
WHR	Jessica Eye	1601.28	+10.37	51.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Eye 182, Cynthia Calvillo 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#31] Marvin Vettori (13-4-1, -236) vs. [#40] Karl Roberson (9-2-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#63MW] Andrew Sanchez (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#58MW] Cezar Ferreira (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#1MW/#7P4P] Israel Adesanya (19-0-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Karl Roberson (2-1-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#77MW] Roman Kopylov (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2019-07-13: W vs. [#76MW] Wellington Turman (16-3-0) via UD ()
2019-01-19: L vs. [#6LHW] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marvin Vettori	-236		67.15%
Elo K170	Marvin Vettori	1779.04	+37.70	54.29%
Elo Modified	Marvin Vettori	1816.14	+25.40	52.78%
Glicko-1	Marvin Vettori	1851.64	+56.88	58.11%
WHR	Karl Roberson	1755.09	+18.43	52.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 245, Karl Roberson 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Merab Dvalishvili (10-4-0, -865) vs. [#119] Gustavo Lopez (11-4-0, +567)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#39BW] Casey Kenney (14-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 29-28)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#79BW] Brad Katona (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#363BW] Terrion Ware (17-11-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Gustavo Lopez (3-0-0)
2019-08-23: W vs. [#496BW] Joey Ruquet (7-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:45 of round 1
2019-03-29: W vs. [#322BW] Jose Alday (12-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
2018-12-07: W vs. [*] Vicente Marquez Enriquez (4-6-0) via SUB in 0:50 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Merab Dvalishvili	-865		85.67%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	1744.39	+318.21	81.06%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	1763.62	+330.41	80.95%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	1781.70	+331.43	87.08%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	1644.58	+355.18	83.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 119, Gustavo Lopez 295
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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