This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Both parlays still in the green!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev (11-08-2025)
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1LW][#1LWUFC] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0, -268) vs. [#9DD][#10P4P][#1][#1UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0, +216)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #16 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jack Della Maddalena is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#16WW] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-09-16: W vs. [#32WW] Kevin Holland (28-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -268 | 69.70% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2566.47 | +263.13 | 81.97% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2497.98 | +320.87 | 86.38% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2635.51 | +364.77 | 89.09% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2426.71 | +422.60 | 91.93% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.0, Jack Della Maddalena 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 301, Jack Della Maddalena 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1, -125) vs. [#1DD][#1P4P][#1SW][#1SWUFC] Weili Zhang (26-3-0, +103)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-0-1)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#6P4P][#7DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (11-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-46)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Valentina Shevchenko | -125 | 53.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Weili Zhang | 2086.40 | +25.06 | 53.60% |
| Elo Modified | Weili Zhang | 2045.83 | +23.24 | 53.34% |
| Glicko-1 | Weili Zhang | 2068.42 | +38.72 | 55.55% |
| WHR | Weili Zhang | 1954.66 | +47.56 | 56.80% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valentina Shevchenko 37.7, Weili Zhang 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 189, Weili Zhang 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 3-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#5][#5UFC] Leon Edwards (22-5-0, +170) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Carlos Prates (22-7-0, -207)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (1-2-0)
2025-03-22: L vs. [#10DD][#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 4
2024-07-27: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#12WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#18WW] Geoff Neal (16-7-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#21WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Carlos Prates | -207 | 64.54% | |
| Elo K170 | Leon Edwards | 2257.47 | +246.31 | 80.50% |
| Elo Modified | Leon Edwards | 2190.21 | +193.58 | 75.30% |
| Glicko-1 | Leon Edwards | 2231.63 | +132.64 | 68.21% |
| WHR | Carlos Prates | 2005.14 | +21.43 | 53.08% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 34.2, Carlos Prates 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Carlos Prates 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Both parlays still in the green!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Bonfim (11-08-2025)
Welterweight (170)
[#21][#18UFC] Randy Brown (20-6-0, +127) vs. [#24][#21UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0, -157)
Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#43WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#28WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#67WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#75WW] Kalinn Williams (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2024-07-13: W vs. [#141WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Gabriel Bonfim | -157 | 58.10% | |
| Elo K170 | Gabriel Bonfim | 1975.70 | +13.93 | 52.00% |
| Elo Modified | Randy Brown | 1989.30 | +87.25 | 62.30% |
| Glicko-1 | Randy Brown | 2065.36 | +117.96 | 66.35% |
| WHR | Randy Brown | 1865.24 | +42.94 | 56.15% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Randy Brown 35.3, Gabriel Bonfim 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 196, Gabriel Bonfim 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Randy Brown leads 2-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#27][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#66][#30UFC] Matt Schnell (17-10-0, +191)
Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#85FLY] Alibi Idiris (10-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [#596FLY] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-8-0) via SD ()
Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#138FLY] Jimmy Flick (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#165BW] Cody Durden (17-9-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joseph Morales | -242 | 67.31% | |
| Elo K170 | Joseph Morales | 1817.04 | +277.84 | 83.19% |
| Elo Modified | Joseph Morales | 1772.78 | +258.87 | 81.61% |
| Glicko-1 | Joseph Morales | 1805.68 | +288.52 | 84.03% |
| WHR | Joseph Morales | 1774.54 | +375.43 | 89.67% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joseph Morales 31.2, Matt Schnell 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Morales 84, Matt Schnell 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Muslim Salikhov (22-5-0, +149) vs. [#64][#44UFC] Uros Medic (11-3-0, -186)
Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#37WW] Carlos Leal (22-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#132WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 3:49 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#53WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#580WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-01-11: L vs. [#47WW] Punahele Soriano (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1
2024-04-27: W vs. [#76WW] Tim Means (33-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Uros Medic | -186 | 61.82% | |
| Elo K170 | Muslim Salikhov | 1946.97 | +379.87 | 89.90% |
| Elo Modified | Muslim Salikhov | 1906.75 | +286.63 | 83.89% |
| Glicko-1 | Muslim Salikhov | 1953.35 | +309.43 | 85.59% |
| WHR | Muslim Salikhov | 1795.88 | +210.00 | 77.01% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Muslim Salikhov 41.4, Uros Medic 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 105, Uros Medic 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama (11-01-2025)
Featherweight (145)
[#15][#10UFC] Steve Garcia (18-5-0, -121) vs. [#19][#14UFC] David Onama (14-2-0, -100)
Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#46FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#54LW] Kyle Nelson (17-6-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#182FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: David Onama (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#20FW] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#574FW] Roberto Romero (8-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#86FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Steve Garcia | -121 | 52.26% | |
| Elo K170 | Steve Garcia | 1915.52 | +52.52 | 57.50% |
| Elo Modified | Steve Garcia | 1904.40 | +46.37 | 56.63% |
| Glicko-1 | Steve Garcia | 1970.38 | +48.69 | 56.96% |
| WHR | Steve Garcia | 1875.46 | +76.21 | 60.79% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Garcia 33.4, David Onama 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 112, David Onama 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0, -140) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Ante Delija (26-6-0, +115)
Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ante Delija (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#79HW+] Yorgan De Castro (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2024-04-04: L vs. [#17HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (14-4-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 2:17 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Waldo Cortes-Acosta | -140 | 55.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Ante Delija | 1872.44 | +43.48 | 56.22% |
| Elo Modified | Ante Delija | 1883.77 | +24.77 | 53.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Ante Delija | 1949.56 | +68.28 | 59.70% |
| WHR | Ante Delija | 1869.92 | +96.40 | 63.53% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.1, Ante Delija 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70, Ante Delija 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#62][#42UFC] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0, -139) vs. [*] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1, +117)
Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#35WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-10-12: W vs. [#88WW] Niko Price (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#104WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#41WW] Max Griffin (20-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#77WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#125WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-8-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Themba Gorimbo | -139 | 55.79% | |
| Elo K170 | Themba Gorimbo | 1652.70 | +19.55 | 52.81% |
| Elo Modified | Jeremiah Wells | 1687.53 | +13.30 | 51.91% |
| Glicko-1 | Jeremiah Wells | 1727.12 | +66.42 | 59.44% |
| WHR | Jeremiah Wells | 1591.08 | +35.73 | 55.12% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Themba Gorimbo 34.8, Jeremiah Wells 39.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Themba Gorimbo 329, Jeremiah Wells 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Both parlays still in the green!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane (10-25-2025)
Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1][#1UFC] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0, +310) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0, -398)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #18 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Tom Aspinall is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [*] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tom Aspinall | -398 | 76.61% | |
| Elo K170 | Ciryl Gane | 2212.11 | +38.61 | 55.53% |
| Elo Modified | Ciryl Gane | 2150.21 | +4.70 | 50.68% |
| Glicko-1 | Tom Aspinall | 2252.71 | +28.21 | 54.05% |
| WHR | Tom Aspinall | 2112.27 | +57.81 | 58.24% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ciryl Gane 35.5, Tom Aspinall 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 322, Tom Aspinall 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Virna Jandiroba (22-3-0, +117) vs. [#15P4P][#5][#5UFC] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0, -140)
Virna Jandiroba is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-03-30: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -140 | 55.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Virna Jandiroba | 1936.57 | +230.23 | 79.01% |
| Elo Modified | Virna Jandiroba | 1909.80 | +221.84 | 78.19% |
| Glicko-1 | Virna Jandiroba | 1896.93 | +195.39 | 75.49% |
| WHR | Virna Jandiroba | 1837.61 | +215.10 | 77.53% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Virna Jandiroba 37.4, Mackenzie Dern 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 196, Mackenzie Dern 287
Previous Match-up Record: Mackenzie Dern leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Virna Jandiroba leads 5-3
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0, +144) vs. [#6][#5UFC] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0, -174)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#20HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (19-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-03-09: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jailton Almeida | -174 | 60.77% | |
| Elo K170 | Jailton Almeida | 2039.56 | +14.32 | 52.06% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Volkov | 2086.54 | +49.66 | 57.10% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Volkov | 2197.94 | +72.56 | 60.29% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkov | 2061.88 | +83.61 | 61.80% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.0, Jailton Almeida 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 322, Jailton Almeida 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jailton Almeida leads 3-2
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Both parlays still in the green!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen (10-18-2025)
Middleweight (185)
[#8][#7UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0, -196) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Brendan Allen (25-7-0, +162)
Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#9MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#23WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#19MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#9P4P][#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Reinier de Ridder | -196 | 63.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Reinier de Ridder | 2095.33 | +86.75 | 62.23% |
| Elo Modified | Reinier de Ridder | 2051.28 | +65.22 | 59.28% |
| Glicko-1 | Reinier de Ridder | 2107.48 | +66.11 | 59.40% |
| WHR | Reinier de Ridder | 1974.39 | +54.36 | 57.76% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 35.1, Brendan Allen 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 84, Brendan Allen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Kevin Holland (28-14-0, +110) vs. [#60][#41UFC] Mike Malott (12-2-1, -132)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#34WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#48WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#118WW] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#168WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mike Malott | -132 | 54.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Kevin Holland | 1859.21 | +96.31 | 63.52% |
| Elo Modified | Kevin Holland | 1855.48 | +96.96 | 63.60% |
| Glicko-1 | Kevin Holland | 1948.80 | +158.52 | 71.35% |
| WHR | Kevin Holland | 1815.83 | +55.68 | 57.94% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.9, Mike Malott 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 91, Mike Malott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#7P4P][#8DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0, -237) vs. [#14P4P][#9][#7UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0, +192)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#9P4P][#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#13SW] Jessica Andrade (26-15-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#20BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#32BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Manon Fiorot | -237 | 67.24% | |
| Elo K170 | Manon Fiorot | 1894.95 | +109.13 | 65.21% |
| Elo Modified | Manon Fiorot | 1876.91 | +80.52 | 61.38% |
| Glicko-1 | Manon Fiorot | 1880.81 | +81.29 | 61.49% |
| WHR | Manon Fiorot | 1833.98 | +106.55 | 64.87% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Manon Fiorot 35.6, Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 161, Jasmine Jasudavicius 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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