This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#25)
Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry (08-15-2026)
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1P4P][#1][#1UFC] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0, -357) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Ian Garry (17-1-0, +279)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#7WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#12LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#10WW] Belal Muhammad (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#3WW] Carlos Prates (24-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [*] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -357 | 74.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2597.15 | +328.45 | 86.88% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2519.16 | +315.48 | 86.01% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2649.55 | +393.66 | 90.60% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2442.81 | +350.33 | 88.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.8, Ian Garry 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 273, Ian Garry 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Mackenzie Dern (16-5-0, -263) vs. [#11P4P][#5][#5UFC] Gillian Robertson (17-8-0, +207)
Mackenzie Dern is the All-Time #50 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#18SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#10SW] Amanda Lemos (15-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#72SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -263 | 68.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Mackenzie Dern | 1840.66 | +80.73 | 61.41% |
| Elo Modified | Mackenzie Dern | 1809.16 | +46.00 | 56.58% |
| Glicko-1 | Mackenzie Dern | 1825.60 | +30.04 | 54.31% |
| WHR | Mackenzie Dern | 1688.65 | +29.06 | 54.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mackenzie Dern 33.4, Gillian Robertson 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 294, Gillian Robertson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gillian Robertson leads 3-1
.
Flyweight (125)
[#26][#19UFC] Charles Johnson (19-9-0, +280) vs. [#39][#24UFC] Jose Ochoa (9-2-0, -380)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (1-2-0)
2026-06-27: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 3
2026-03-14: W vs. [#44FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#19FLY] Alex Perez (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#97FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#132FLY] Cody Durden (18-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jose Ochoa | -380 | 75.04% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Johnson | 1678.72 | +123.75 | 67.09% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Johnson | 1643.52 | +61.20 | 58.72% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Johnson | 1643.95 | +41.64 | 55.96% |
| WHR | Jose Ochoa | 1620.89 | +16.48 | 52.37% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Johnson 35.6, Jose Ochoa 25.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 49, Jose Ochoa 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
When FightMatrix and the Sportsbooks Disagree, Who Is Usually Right?
On the surface, MMA rankings and betting odds both seem to answer the same question: Which fighter is most likely to win? In fact, they measure different aspects. Statistical systems assess outcomes and competitiveness, while sportsbooks value a particular matchup by considering style, circumstances, and anticipated betting volume.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld (08-08-2026)
Lightweight (155)
[#10][#9UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (26-4-0, +120) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Quillan Salkilld (12-1-0, -146)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2026-04-11: W vs. [#68LW] Esteban Ribovics (15-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2025-10-11: L vs. [#9DD][#3LW] Charles Oliveira (37-11-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:48 of round 2
2025-05-31: W vs. [#53LW] Ludovit Klein (24-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#17LW] Beneil Dariush (23-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
2026-01-31: W vs. [#141LW] Jamie Mullarkey (18-9-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:02 of round 1
2025-10-25: W vs. [#67LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Quillan Salkilld | -146 | 56.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2078.89 | +112.78 | 65.68% |
| Elo Modified | Mateusz Gamrot | 2083.63 | +145.68 | 69.82% |
| Glicko-1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2152.24 | +168.17 | 72.47% |
| WHR | Mateusz Gamrot | 1997.84 | +151.02 | 70.46% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Gamrot 35.6, Quillan Salkilld 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 119, Quillan Salkilld 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Quillan Salkilld leads 1-0
.
Lightweight (155)
[#45][#26UFC] Diego Ferreira (19-7-0, -172) vs. [*] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0, +141)
Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#40LW] Alexander Hernandez (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 2
2025-01-18: L vs. [#21LW] Grant Dawson (24-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#62LW] Mateusz Rebecki (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [*] Cub Swanson (32-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:36 of round 3
2024-03-23: L vs. [#12FW] Youssef Zalal (18-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [#114FW] Damon Jackson (23-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diego Ferreira | -172 | 60.38% | |
| Elo K170 | Diego Ferreira | 1799.42 | +249.54 | 80.79% |
| Elo Modified | Diego Ferreira | 1826.04 | +232.29 | 79.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Diego Ferreira | 1885.28 | +288.56 | 84.04% |
| WHR | Diego Ferreira | 1704.91 | +166.36 | 72.26% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Ferreira 41.5, Billy Quarantillo 37.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 329, Billy Quarantillo 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Billy Quarantillo leads 2-1
.
Featherweight (145)
[#102][#49UFC] Yadier Del Valle (10-1-0, -694) vs. [*] Darren Elkins (29-12-0, +486)
Last 3 Fights: Yadier Del Valle (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#82FW] Jordan Leavitt (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#318FW] Isaac Dulgarian (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#743FW] Connor Matthews (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#109FW] Julian Erosa (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-10-19: W vs. [*] Daniel Pineda (28-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#159LW] T.J. Brown (21-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:23 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Yadier Del Valle | -694 | 83.66% | |
| Elo K170 | Darren Elkins | 1651.46 | +61.79 | 58.80% |
| Elo Modified | Darren Elkins | 1656.83 | +17.07 | 52.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Darren Elkins | 1685.13 | +44.24 | 56.33% |
| WHR | Yadier Del Valle | 1637.60 | +82.33 | 61.63% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadier Del Valle 30.0, Darren Elkins 42.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadier Del Valle 168, Darren Elkins 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading
Reading the Tape: What Historical Rankings Teach You About Evidence Over Hype
Every fight week produces two versions of the same fighter. There’s the one in the promo package: unstoppable, reinvented under a new camp, carrying “the best training footage of his career” according to a coach whose job depends on saying so. And there’s the one in the database: a 33-year-old coming off two split decisions against opponents ranked outside the top fifteen, whose last stoppage win came four years and one weight class ago. Broadcast night is built to make you forget the second fighter exists. The promo package, to be fair, is doing its job; its job is selling the fight, and it is very good at its job.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Medic vs Rodriguez (08-01-2026)
Welterweight (170)
[#18][#15UFC] Uros Medic (13-3-0, -356) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0, +283)
Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (3-0-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#24WW] Geoff Neal (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:19 of round 1
2025-11-08: W vs. [#33WW] Muslim Salikhov (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-08-09: W vs. [#620WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (29-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#83WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-10-12: W vs. [#73WW] Alex Morono (24-13-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Uros Medic | -356 | 74.93% | |
| Elo K170 | Daniel Rodriguez | 1975.72 | +135.27 | 68.54% |
| Elo Modified | Daniel Rodriguez | 1932.38 | +91.33 | 62.85% |
| Glicko-1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 1987.45 | +60.63 | 58.64% |
| WHR | Uros Medic | 1807.07 | +36.23 | 55.20% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Uros Medic 33.2, Daniel Rodriguez 39.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uros Medic 161, Daniel Rodriguez 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9][#8UFC] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-2, +238) vs. [#27][#19UFC] Navajo Stirling (10-0-0, -354)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #11 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (0-2-1)
2025-12-06: D vs. [#11LHW] Bogdan Guskov (18-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-03-22: L vs. [#3LHW] Carlos Ulberg (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Navajo Stirling (3-0-0)
2026-06-20: W vs. [#38LHW] Ion Cutelaba (20-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 2
2026-03-28: W vs. [#92LHW] Bruno Lopes (14-3-0) via NC in 4:05 of round 2
2025-09-27: W vs. [#58LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Navajo Stirling | -354 | 72.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Jan Blachowicz | 1924.38 | +106.57 | 64.87% |
| Elo Modified | Jan Blachowicz | 1983.92 | +142.73 | 69.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Jan Blachowicz | 2075.59 | +174.08 | 73.15% |
| WHR | Jan Blachowicz | 1922.49 | +165.10 | 72.12% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jan Blachowicz 43.4, Navajo Stirling 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 238, Navajo Stirling 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#23][#15UFC] Marcin Tybura (27-11-0, +252) vs. [#36LHW][#23LHWUFC] Aleksandar Rakic (14-6-0, -313)
Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (1-2-0)
2026-03-28: L vs. [#22HW+] Tyrell Fortune (18-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: L vs. [#20HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-03-22: W vs. [*] Mick Parkin (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (0-3-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#19LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:11 of round 1
2024-10-26: L vs. [#2LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (22-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (32-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Aleksandar Rakic | -313 | 72.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Aleksandar Rakic | 1782.12 | +101.11 | 64.15% |
| Elo Modified | Aleksandar Rakic | 1806.51 | +87.16 | 62.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Aleksandar Rakic | 1856.82 | +111.54 | 65.52% |
| WHR | Aleksandar Rakic | 1697.31 | +78.92 | 61.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcin Tybura 40.7, Aleksandar Rakic 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 126, Aleksandar Rakic 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
What FightMatrix Rankings Reveal About UFC Favorites and Underdogs
Mathematical ranking systems can reveal far more about UFC matchups than public opinion alone. By looking at raw rating points instead of hype, you can better understand competitive gaps across every weight class and see where betting markets may have priced fights inaccurately.
Combat sports markets often move with popular narratives and star power. Objective ranking models cut through that noise by focusing on measurable performance instead. Studying those rankings gives you a clearer picture of where genuine value may exist when assessing upcoming fights.
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#22)
Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov (07-25-2026)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2][#2UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1, -534) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1, +389)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #19 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-1-0)
2025-10-04: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:20 of round 1
2025-03-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#34LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Guskov (2-0-1)
2025-12-06: D vs. [#9LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-07-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Nikita Krylov (31-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [#65LHW] Billy Elekana (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Magomed Ankalaev | -534 | 80.46% | |
| Elo K170 | Magomed Ankalaev | 2209.49 | +335.13 | 87.31% |
| Elo Modified | Magomed Ankalaev | 2195.27 | +286.65 | 83.89% |
| Glicko-1 | Magomed Ankalaev | 2293.96 | +304.82 | 85.25% |
| WHR | Magomed Ankalaev | 1995.69 | +128.49 | 67.69% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Ankalaev 34.1, Bogdan Guskov 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 294, Bogdan Guskov 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 2-1
.
Flyweight (125)
[#10][#10UFC] Steve Erceg (14-4-0, -122) vs. [*] Ramazonbek Temirov (19-3-0, +100)
Steve Erceg is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#14FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#65FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Ramazonbek Temirov (3-0-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#24FLY] Charles Johnson (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-12: W vs. [*] C.J. Vergara (12-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:50 of round 1
2023-09-24: W vs. [#224FLY] Takaki Soya (13-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Steve Erceg | -122 | 52.35% | |
| Elo K170 | Steve Erceg | 1819.41 | +23.69 | 53.40% |
| Elo Modified | Ramazonbek Temirov | 1803.60 | +8.34 | 51.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Ramazonbek Temirov | 1857.01 | +24.71 | 53.55% |
| WHR | Ramazonbek Temirov | 1696.92 | +4.01 | 50.58% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 31.0, Ramazonbek Temirov 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 84, Ramazonbek Temirov 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Welterweight (170)
[#117][#57UFC] Islam Dulatov (12-1-0, -734) vs. [*] Wellington Turman (18-8-0, +519)
Last 3 Fights: Islam Dulatov (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#459WW] Adam Fugitt (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2024-10-08: W vs. [#339MW] Vanilton Antunes (16-9-0) via KO (Elbow) in 2:44 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#735MW] Ioannis Palaiologos (20-15-1) via TKO (Knee to the Body) in 4:59 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (0-3-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#217MW] Jared Gooden (23-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-06-24: L vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#93MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Dulatov | -734 | 84.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Dulatov | 1667.86 | +228.68 | 78.86% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Dulatov | 1650.34 | +187.98 | 74.69% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Dulatov | 1745.79 | +291.68 | 84.27% |
| WHR | Islam Dulatov | 1592.21 | +239.28 | 79.86% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Dulatov 28.0, Wellington Turman 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Dulatov 371, Wellington Turman 966
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman (07-18-2026)
Middleweight (185)
[#8DD][#13P4P][#3][#3UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0, -275) vs. [#6WW][#6WWUFC] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0, +222)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #6 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #12 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: L vs. [#5P4P][#6DD][#2MW] Khamzat Chimaev (15-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#3P4P][#5DD][#1MW] Sean Strickland (31-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#11MW] Israel Adesanya (24-6-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (1-2-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#11WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-8-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#5P4P][#6DD][#2MW] Khamzat Chimaev (15-1-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Dricus Du Plessis | -275 | 70.24% | |
| Elo K170 | Dricus Du Plessis | 2276.74 | +12.88 | 51.85% |
| Elo Modified | Kamaru Usman | 2275.98 | +57.60 | 58.21% |
| Glicko-1 | Kamaru Usman | 2387.11 | +78.25 | 61.08% |
| WHR | Dricus Du Plessis | 2124.27 | +64.74 | 59.21% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dricus Du Plessis 32.5, Kamaru Usman 39.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 336, Kamaru Usman 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dricus Du Plessis leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#13][#11UFC] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0, +250) vs. [#15][#12UFC] Christian Leroy Duncan (14-2-0, -314)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2025-08-16: L vs. [#12WW] Michael Page (25-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#12MW] Gregory Rodrigues (19-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 4
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
Last 3 Fights: Christian Leroy Duncan (3-0-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#12LHW] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#84MW] Marco Tulio (14-3-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist and Punches) in 3:28 of round 2
2025-08-09: W vs. [#41MW] Eryk Anders (18-9-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches) in 3:53 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Christian Leroy Duncan | -314 | 72.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 1946.35 | +5.18 | 50.75% |
| Elo Modified | Christian Leroy Duncan | 1957.85 | +31.76 | 54.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 2041.27 | +53.44 | 57.63% |
| WHR | Jared Cannonier | 1917.30 | +61.11 | 58.71% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jared Cannonier 42.3, Christian Leroy Duncan 31.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 336, Christian Leroy Duncan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jared Cannonier leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#106][#52UFC] Chase Hooper (16-5-1, -319) vs. [#460][#82UFC] Mitch Ramirez (8-3-0, +255)
Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (1-2-0)
2026-03-28: L vs. [#85LW] Lance Gibson Jr. (10-2-0) via NC in 2:56 of round 1
2025-08-16: L vs. [#41LW] Alexander Hernandez (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#52LW] Jim Miller (39-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Mitch Ramirez (1-2-0)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#119LW] Mike Davis (12-3-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-03-16: L vs. [#91LW] Thiago Moises (19-10-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 0:15 of round 3
2023-12-15: W vs. [#979WW] Aireon Tavarres (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Chase Hooper | -319 | 72.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Chase Hooper | 1564.26 | +153.57 | 70.77% |
| Elo Modified | Chase Hooper | 1588.93 | +138.36 | 68.92% |
| Glicko-1 | Chase Hooper | 1605.19 | +161.02 | 71.64% |
| WHR | Chase Hooper | 1616.90 | +193.97 | 75.34% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chase Hooper 26.8, Mitch Ramirez 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Hooper 112, Mitch Ramirez 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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