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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder (07-26-2025)

Posted on July 21, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#6][#6UFC] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0, -162) vs. [#18][#15UFC] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0, +133)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-06-22: W vs. [#30MW] Ikram Aliskerov (16-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#34MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-11-09: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -162 59.02%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2124.73 +148.96 70.21%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2110.57 +109.07 65.20%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2173.56 +98.11 63.76%
WHR Robert Whittaker 2000.64 +34.83 55.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Whittaker 34.6, Reinier de Ridder 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 273, Reinier de Ridder 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3][#3UFC] Petr Yan (18-5-0, -375) vs. [#19][#17UFC] Marcus McGhee (10-1-0, +289)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#7BW] Yadong Song (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#1P4P][#2DD][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (20-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus McGhee (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#24BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#365BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] J.P. Buys (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -375 75.43%
Elo K170 Petr Yan 2126.82 +441.67 92.70%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2157.81 +467.66 93.66%
Glicko-1 Petr Yan 2214.70 +451.07 93.07%
WHR Petr Yan 2073.60 +465.75 93.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Petr Yan 32.4, Marcus McGhee 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 245, Marcus McGhee 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#29][#22UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-1-0, -555) vs. [#42][#30UFC] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0, +400)

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#16MW] Michael Page (23-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#100MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#66MW] Bruno Silva (23-13-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2024-11-02: L vs. [#59MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2024-06-29: L vs. [#19MW] Joe Pyfer (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -555 80.90%
Elo K170 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1853.64 +291.74 84.28%
Elo Modified Sharabutdin Magomedov 1865.19 +242.12 80.12%
Glicko-1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1926.51 +242.50 80.15%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1855.07 +261.83 81.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sharabutdin Magomedov 31.2, Marc-Andre Barriault 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sharabutdin Magomedov 175, Marc-Andre Barriault 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-20-2025)

Posted on July 20, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 17, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays are back in the green!  Woohoo!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 (07-19-2025)

Posted on July 14, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Max Holloway (26-8-0, -126) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0, +104)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #8 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #5 ranked Lightweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#2DD][#3P4P][#1LW] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2024-03-09: W vs. [#25LW] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-07-29: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -126 53.21%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2262.92 +25.76 53.70%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2221.02 +46.60 56.67%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2300.02 +40.62 55.82%
WHR Max Holloway 2119.62 +112.04 65.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Max Holloway 33.6, Dustin Poirier 36.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 266, Dustin Poirier 413
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-5
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Paulo Costa (14-4-0, +222) vs. [#22][#19UFC] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0, -272)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #27 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#26WW] Chris Curtis (32-12-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:59 of round 3
2024-06-01: W vs. [#62MW] Cesar Almeida (7-1-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#13MW] Anthony Hernandez (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roman Kopylov -272 70.18%
Elo K170 Paulo Costa 1895.83 +59.57 58.49%
Elo Modified Paulo Costa 1962.10 +131.01 68.01%
Glicko-1 Paulo Costa 2053.41 +169.37 72.61%
WHR Paulo Costa 1860.66 +24.63 53.54%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paulo Costa 34.2, Roman Kopylov 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paulo Costa 413, Roman Kopylov 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#15][#12UFC] Kevin Holland (28-13-0, -436) vs. [#30][#24UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (19-5-0, +327)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#21WW] Vicente Luque (23-11-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#47WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#17MW] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#50WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-10-12: W vs. [#57WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#21MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -436 77.64%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1968.48 +102.06 64.28%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1961.99 +136.07 68.64%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 2064.18 +193.38 75.27%
WHR Kevin Holland 1868.00 +154.25 70.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.7, Daniel Rodriguez 38.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 42, Daniel Rodriguez 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 3-2
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-13-2025)

Posted on July 13, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 10, 2025 by Jason

We took off last week.  Time to get back to it!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Ranking of promising MMA fighters to watch out for

Posted on July 8, 2025 by A. J. Riot

The MMA network, especially the UFC is a very interesting sport and brings out some raw emotions when watching.

Almost every fight night, we get new crop of fighters from every corner of the globe. Either boxers making a transition to the MMA or a committed young fighter determined to prove himself on tour.

Some of the most exciting fighters we’ll be highlighting to watch out for this year include:

  • Felipe Lima
  • Tallison Texiera
  • Vinicius Oliveira
  • Baysangur Chamsoudinov
  • Carlos Prates
  • Esteban Ribovics
  • Raul Rosas Jr.

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-06-2025)

Posted on July 6, 2025 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Fluctuations caused by semi-annual community adjustment.

All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (07-02-2025)

Posted on July 2, 2025 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-29-2025)

Posted on June 29, 2025 by Jason

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