Middleweight (185)
[#12] Tim Kennedy (16-4-0, -374) vs. [#47] Rafael Natal (17-4-1, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Kennedy (2-1-0)
2013-07-06: W vs. [#20MW] Roger Gracie (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-01-12: W vs. [#87MW] Trevor Smith (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:36 of round 3
2012-07-14: L vs. [#10MW] Luke Rockhold (10-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Natal (3-0-0)
2013-09-04: W vs. [#66MW] Tor Troeng (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-05-18: W vs. [#297WW] Joao Zeferino (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#226WW] Sean Spencer (10-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:13 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Kennedy 123, Rafael Natal 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#5DD/#4P4P] Alexis Davis (14-5-0, +178) vs. [#8] Liz Carmouche (9-3-0, -219)
Alexis Davis is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexis Davis (3-0-0)
2013-06-15: W vs. [#15BW] Rosi Sexton (13-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-01-05: W vs. [#12BW] Shayna Baszler (15-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2012-07-28: W vs. [NA] Hitomi Akano (18-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2013-07-27: W vs. [#11BW] Jessica Andrade (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:57 of round 2
2013-02-23: L vs. [#1BW/#2DD/#1P4P] Ronda Rousey (7-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:49 of round 1
2012-07-28: W vs. [#32BW] Kaitlin Young (7-8-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:34 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexis Davis 144, Liz Carmouche 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#21] Ronny Markes (14-1-0, +162) vs. [#110] Yoel Romero Palacio (5-1-0, -198)

Last 3 Fights: Ronny Markes (3-0-0)
2013-01-19: W vs. [#46MW] Andrew Craig (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-02-15: W vs. [#66WW] Aaron Simpson (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2011-08-14: W vs. [#116MW] Karlos Vemola (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yoel Romero Palacio (2-1-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#114LHW] Clifford Starks (9-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2011-09-10: L vs. [#31LHW] Rafael Cavalcante (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 2
2011-05-27: W vs. [NA] Laszlo Eck (0-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:33 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronny Markes 291, Yoel Romero Palacio 200
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#3LHW] Lyoto Machida (19-4-0, -367) vs. [#5] Mark Munoz (13-3-0, +292)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #14 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mark Munoz is the All-Time #22 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (2-1-0)
2013-08-03: L vs. [#2LHW] Phil Davis (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-02-23: W vs. [#9LHW] Dan Henderson (29-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-08-04: W vs. [#12LHW] Ryan Bader (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mark Munoz (2-1-0)
2013-07-06: W vs. [#16MW] Tim Boetsch (17-6-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-27)
2012-07-11: L vs. [#1MW/#2DD/#5P4P] Chris Weidman (10-0-0) via KO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:37 of round 2
2011-11-05: W vs. [#40MW] Chris Leben (22-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 84, Mark Munoz 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#24] Melvin Guillard (31-13-2, -151) vs. [#29] Ross Pearson (15-6-0, +126)

Last 3 Fights: Melvin Guillard (1-2-0)
2013-07-27: W vs. [#80LW] Mac Danzig (21-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 2
2012-12-29: L vs. [#33LW] Jamie Varner (21-8-1) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 30-27)
2012-08-11: L vs. [#15LW] Donald Cerrone (20-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ross Pearson (2-1-0)
2013-04-06: W vs. [#142LW] Ryan Couture (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 2
2012-12-15: W vs. [#160LW] George Sotiropoulos (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 3
2012-06-22: L vs. [#4FW] Cub Swanson (20-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melvin Guillard 91, Ross Pearson 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Ryan Jimmo (18-2-0, +168) vs. [#24] Jimi Manuwa (13-0-0, -203)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Jimmo (2-1-0)
2013-06-15: W vs. [#43LHW] Igor Pokrajac (25-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-02-16: L vs. [#20LHW] James Te Huna (16-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-07-21: W vs. [#25LHW] Anthony Perosh (14-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jimi Manuwa (3-0-0)
2013-02-16: W vs. [#40LHW] Cyrille Diabate (19-9-1) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 1
2012-09-29: W vs. [*] Kyle Kingsbury (11-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2011-12-10: W vs. [#57LHW] Antony Rea (26-14-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Jimmo 133, Jimi Manuwa 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#2DD/#4P4P] Cain Velasquez (12-1-0, -206) vs. [#2/#9DD] Junior dos Santos (16-2-0, +167)
Cain Velasquez is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #4 ranked Heavyweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cain Velasquez (3-0-0)
2013-05-25: W vs. [#4HW+] Antonio Silva (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
2012-12-29: W vs. [#2HW+/#9DD] Junior dos Santos (16-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2012-05-26: W vs. [#4HW+] Antonio Silva (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2013-05-25: W vs. [#9HW+] Mark Hunt (9-8-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick) in 4:18 of round 3
2012-12-29: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#4P4P] Cain Velasquez (12-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2012-05-26: W vs. [#10HW+] Frank Mir (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cain Velasquez 147, Junior dos Santos 147
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 1-1-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Daniel Cormier (12-0-0, -576) vs. [#13] Roy Nelson (19-8-0, +415)
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #19 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (3-0-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#10HW+] Frank Mir (16-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-01-12: W vs. [#141LHW] Dion Staring (28-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2012-05-19: W vs. [#7HW+] Josh Barnett (33-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Roy Nelson (2-1-0)
2013-06-15: L vs. [#11HW+] Stipe Miocic (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-04-27: W vs. [#24HW+] Cheick Kongo (19-8-2) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2012-12-15: W vs. [#37HW+] Matt Mitrione (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Cormier 182, Roy Nelson 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Daniel Cormier leads 2-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#3] Gilbert Melendez (21-3-0, -744) vs. [#10] Diego Sanchez (24-5-0, +492)
Gilbert Melendez is the All-Time #5 ranked Lightweight and #17 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Melendez (2-1-0)
2013-04-20: L vs. [#2LW/#10DD] Ben Henderson (19-3-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2012-05-19: W vs. [#8LW] Josh Thomson (20-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2011-12-17: W vs. [#15LW] Jorge Masvidal (25-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Sanchez (2-1-0)
2013-03-03: W vs. [#29LW] Takanori Gomi (34-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-02-15: L vs. [#7WW] Jake Ellenberger (29-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-03-03: W vs. [#14WW] Martin Kampmann (20-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Melendez 182, Diego Sanchez 230
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#5] Demian Maia (18-4-0, -282) vs. [#9] Jake Shields (28-6-1, +227)
Jake Shields is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (3-0-0)
2013-02-02: W vs. [#24WW] Jon Fitch (24-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-10-13: W vs. [#28WW] Rick Story (15-7-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 2:30 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#15WW] Dong Hyun Kim (17-2-1) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 0:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jake Shields (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2013-06-15: W vs. [#16WW] Tyron Woodley (11-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-08-11: NC vs. [#40MW] Ed Herman (21-9-0) via NC (Overturned by Commission) in 5:00 of round 3
2012-02-26: W vs. [*] Yoshihiro Akiyama (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 249, Jake Shields 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#15] Dong Hyun Kim (17-2-1, +210) vs. [#26] Erick Silva (15-3-0, -260)

Last 3 Fights: Dong Hyun Kim (2-1-0)
2013-03-03: W vs. [#27WW] Siyar Bahadurzada (21-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-11-10: W vs. [#56WW] Paulo Thiago (15-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-07-07: L vs. [#5WW] Demian Maia (18-4-0) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 0:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Erick Silva (2-1-0)
2013-06-08: W vs. [#33WW] Jason High (17-4-0) via Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) in 1:11 of round 1
2012-10-13: L vs. [#24WW] Jon Fitch (24-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-06-08: W vs. [#63LW] Charlie Brenneman (18-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:33 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dong Hyun Kim 220, Erick Silva 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#19] Thiago Silva (15-3-0, -364) vs. [#22] Matt Hamill (11-4-0, +290)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Silva (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2013-06-08: W vs. [#31LHW] Rafael Cavalcante (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:29 of round 1
2012-11-10: NC vs. [#103MW] Stanislav Nedkov (12-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:45 of round 3
2012-04-14: L vs. [#6LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Hamill (1-2-0)
2012-09-22: W vs. [#65LHW] Roger Hollett (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2011-08-06: L vs. [#6LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:41 of round 2
2011-05-28: L vs. [#14LHW] Quinton Jackson (32-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Silva 123, Matt Hamill 382
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#5DD/#2P4P] Jon Jones (18-1-0, -1014) vs. [#6] Alexander Gustafsson (15-1-0, +622)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #5 ranked Light Heavyweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.
Alexander Gustafsson is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2013-04-27: W vs. [#8LHW] Chael Sonnen (28-13-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2012-09-22: W vs. [#3MW] Vitor Belfort (23-10-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 0:54 of round 4
2012-04-21: W vs. [#4LHW] Rashad Evans (23-3-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Gustafsson (3-0-0)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#10LHW] Mauricio Rua (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2012-04-14: W vs. [#19LHW] Thiago Silva (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2011-12-30: W vs. [#30LHW] Vladimir Matyushenko (27-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 147, Alexander Gustafsson 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Gustafsson leads 3-2
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8P4P] Renan Barao (30-1-0, -717) vs. [#8] Eddie Wineland (20-8-1, +491)
Renan Barao is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Eddie Wineland is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Renan Barao (3-0-0)
2013-02-16: W vs. [#5BW] Michael McDonald (16-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 4
2012-07-21: W vs. [#2BW] Urijah Faber (29-6-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2012-02-04: W vs. [#36BW] Scott Jorgensen (14-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Wineland (2-1-0)
2012-12-29: W vs. [#21BW] Brad Pickett (23-8-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2012-06-08: W vs. [#36BW] Scott Jorgensen (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 2
2011-08-14: L vs. [#2FLY/#8DD] Joseph Benavidez (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renan Barao 217, Eddie Wineland 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Renan Barao leads 3-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Brendan Schaub (9-3-0, +107) vs. [#32] Matt Mitrione (6-2-0, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Schaub (1-2-0)
2013-02-23: W vs. [#42HW+] Lavar Johnson (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-04-21: L vs. [#20HW+] Ben Rothwell (33-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2011-08-27: L vs. [#12HW+] Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Matt Mitrione (1-2-0)
2013-04-06: W vs. [#87HW+] Philip De Fries (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 1
2012-12-15: L vs. [#13HW+] Roy Nelson (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2011-10-29: L vs. [#23HW+] Cheick Kongo (18-8-2) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Schaub 210, Matt Mitrione 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#6DD] Ben Henderson (19-2-0, -113) vs. [#5] Anthony Pettis (16-2-0, +110)
Ben Henderson is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Henderson (3-0-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#2LW] Gilbert Melendez (21-3-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#13LW] Nate Diaz (16-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-43)
2012-08-11: W vs. [#2FW] Frankie Edgar (16-4-1) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Pettis (3-0-0)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#16LW] Donald Cerrone (20-6-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:35 of round 1
2012-02-26: W vs. [#33LW] Joe Lauzon (22-9-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
2011-10-08: W vs. [#21FW] Jeremy Stephens (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Henderson 133, Anthony Pettis 217
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Pettis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ben Henderson leads 4-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Frank Mir (16-7-0, +158) vs. [#10] Josh Barnett (32-6-0, -169)
Frank Mir is the All-Time #8 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Josh Barnett is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #22 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Frank Mir (1-2-0)
2013-04-20: L vs. [#3HW+] Daniel Cormier (12-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-05-26: L vs. [#2HW+/#10DD] Junior dos Santos (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2011-12-10: W vs. [#12HW+] Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-8-1) via Technical Submission (Kimura) in 3:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Josh Barnett (2-1-0)
2013-01-12: W vs. [#57HW+] Nandor Guelmino (11-4-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2012-05-19: L vs. [#3HW+] Daniel Cormier (12-0-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2011-09-10: W vs. [*] Sergei Kharitonov (20-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:28 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frank Mir 133, Josh Barnett 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Frank Mir leads 3-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#5] Clay Guida (30-13-0, +400) vs. [#6] Chad Mendes (14-1-0, -440)
Chad Mendes is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#17FW] Hatsu Hioki (26-7-2) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-06-22: L vs. [#11LW] Gray Maynard (11-2-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2011-11-12: L vs. [#1LW/#6DD] Ben Henderson (19-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Chad Mendes (3-0-0)
2013-04-20: W vs. [#9FW] Darren Elkins (17-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1
2012-12-15: W vs. [#64BW] Yaotzin Meza (20-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#73FW] Cody McKenzie (14-3-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 0:31 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 217, Chad Mendes 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bryan Stone has another Fight Matrix-fueled preview for the upcoming UFC card. Check out his video below and give him some thumbs up!

Welterweight (170)
[#7] Carlos Condit (28-7-0, -240) vs. [#8] Martin Kampmann (20-6-0, +216)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #7 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Martin Kampmann is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (1-2-0)
2013-03-16: L vs. [#2WW] Johny Hendricks (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-11-17: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD] Georges St. Pierre (24-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2012-02-04: W vs. [#11WW] Nick Diaz (26-9-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Martin Kampmann (2-1-0)
2012-11-17: L vs. [#2WW] Johny Hendricks (15-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:46 of round 1
2012-06-01: W vs. [#5WW] Jake Ellenberger (29-7-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2
2012-03-03: W vs. [*] Thiago Alves (19-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 165, Martin Kampmann 284
Previous Match-up Record: Martin Kampmann leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#8] Rafael dos Anjos (19-6-0, +148) vs. [#14] Donald Cerrone (20-5-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (3-0-0)
2013-05-18: W vs. [#23LW] Evan Dunham (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-11-17: W vs. [#31LW] Mark Bocek (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-07-11: W vs. [#57LW] Anthony Njokuani (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (2-1-0)
2013-05-25: W vs. [#89LW] K.J. Noons (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2013-01-26: L vs. [#5LW] Anthony Pettis (16-2-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:35 of round 1
2012-08-11: W vs. [#20LW] Melvin Guillard (31-13-2) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:16 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 102, Donald Cerrone 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donald Cerrone leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#65] Brian Melancon (7-2-0, +190) vs. [#202MW] Kelvin Gastelum (6-0-0, -212)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Melancon (2-1-0)
2013-07-06: W vs. [#80WW] Seth Baczynski (18-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2011-09-23: W vs. [*] Felipe Portela (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2011-06-18: L vs. [#34LW] Isaac Vallie-Flagg (14-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (3-0-0)
2013-04-13: W vs. [#214MW] Uriah Hall (7-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-07-20: W vs. [NA] Mike Ashford (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#627LHW] Bill Smallwood (2-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:55 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Melancon 53, Kelvin Gastelum 137
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#8] Mauricio Rua (21-7-0, +120) vs. [#15] Chael Sonnen (27-13-1, -125)
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #6 ranked Light Heavyweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (1-2-0)
2012-12-08: L vs. [#6LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2012-08-04: W vs. [#36LHW] Brandon Vera (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2011-11-19: L vs. [#5LHW] Dan Henderson (29-10-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Chael Sonnen (1-2-0)
2013-04-27: L vs. [#1LHW/#4DD] Jon Jones (18-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2012-07-07: L vs. [#2MW/#8DD] Anderson Silva (33-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:55 of round 2
2012-01-28: W vs. [#8MW] Michael Bisping (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mauricio Rua 252, Chael Sonnen 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mauricio Rua leads 2-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Alistair Overeem (36-12-0, -200) vs. [#11] Travis Browne (14-1-1, +190)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #13 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2013-02-02: L vs. [#4HW+] Antonio Silva (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 3
2011-12-30: W vs. [*] Brock Lesnar (5-3-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 2:26 of round 1
2011-06-18: W vs. [#5HW+] Fabricio Werdum (17-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Travis Browne (2-1-0)
2013-04-13: W vs. [#18HW+] Gabriel Gonzaga (15-7-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:11 of round 1
2012-10-05: L vs. [#4HW+] Antonio Silva (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:27 of round 1
2012-04-21: W vs. [#137LHW] Chad Griggs (11-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 196, Travis Browne 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Urijah Faber (28-6-0, -244) vs. [#10] Iuri Alcantara (28-4-0, +230)
Urijah Faber is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #10 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Urijah Faber (2-1-0)
2013-04-13: W vs. [#31BW] Scott Jorgensen (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 4
2013-02-23: W vs. [#62BW] Ivan Menjivar (25-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1
2012-07-21: L vs. [#1BW] Renan Barao (30-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Iuri Alcantara (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2013-05-18: W vs. [#33FLY] Iliarde Santos (27-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 1
2013-01-19: NC vs. [#19FLY] Pedro Nobre (15-1-2) via NC (Accidental Foul) in 2:11 of round 1
2012-06-23: L vs. [#28FW] Hacran Dias (21-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Urijah Faber 126, Iuri Alcantara 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds.  Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary fighter rating that is focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.

With that said, there are some caveats to using the rating vs. odds comparison straight-up — the “Gotcha” list:

1. System inability to project the exact effects of a recent divisional change.
2. System inability to project the exact effects of recent inactivity or short-notice.
3. Poor matchmaking / limited careers / “changing of the guard”.
4. Notable home advantage.
5. System inability to project style differences.
6. System inability to factor in bad judging or overturned decisions.

But this stuff (especially #5) is pretty much common sense.  We try to partially factor in #1-#3 when we compute the ratings, but #5 and #6 is something that the human can factor in, that the system can’t.  For the sake of these articles, we’ll attempt to factor in #4 when relevant.  Home advantage can have a slight effect, but likely not enough to sway the “I’d bet on” decision.

Experienced gamblers know that it’s not about being right the most, it’s about making the most money.  So in the usual table, I’ll add the “I’d bet on” column and analyze the rating/odds gap plus points #1-4 that I listed above.  I’ll leave #5 and #6 to the fully subjective analyses — of which I’m sure there will be plenty.

The gotchas aren’t necessarily comprehensive, but I have noted them as I come across them and when they are considered in the decision.

Having said all that, let’s get started:

Ratings vs. Odds

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#4DD] Jose Aldo (22-1-0, -645) vs. [#16] Chan Sung Jung (13-3-0, +530)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #1 ranked Featherweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (3-0-0)
2013-02-02: W vs. [#2FW] Frankie Edgar (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2012-01-14: W vs. [#6FW] Chad Mendes (14-1-0) via KO (Knee) in 4:59 of round 1
2011-10-08: W vs. [*] Kenny Florian (14-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (3-0-0)
2012-05-15: W vs. [#30FW] Dustin Poirier (13-3-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:07 of round 4
2011-12-10: W vs. [*] Mark Hominick (20-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:07 of round 1
2011-03-26: W vs. [#98FW] Leonard Garcia (16-11-1) via Submission (Twister) in 4:59 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 182, Chan Sung Jung 445
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2] Lyoto Machida (19-3-0, -340) vs. [#15] Phil Davis (11-1-0, +306)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #7 ranked Light Heavyweight and #16 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (2-1-0)
2013-02-23: W vs. [#4LHW] Dan Henderson (29-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-08-04: W vs. [#9LHW] Ryan Bader (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2
2011-12-10: L vs. [#1LHW/#3DD] Jon Jones (18-1-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Phil Davis (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2013-04-27: W vs. [#32LHW] Vinny Magalhaes (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2012-10-13: W vs. [#233LHW] Wagner Prado (8-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:29 of round 2
2012-08-04: NC vs. [#233LHW] Wagner Prado (8-2-0) via NC (Accidental Eye Poke) in 1:28 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 161, Phil Davis 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Lyoto Machida leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#265] Cezar Ferreira (5-2-0, -412) vs. [#800WW] Thiago Santos (8-1-0, +328)

Last 3 Fights: Cezar Ferreira (2-1-0)
2012-06-23: W vs. [#436WW] Sergio Moraes (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-08-20: L vs. [#38MW] Elvis Mutapcic (13-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:25 of round 1
2011-04-16: W vs. [*] Chaun Sims (5-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (2-1-0)
2012-07-27: W vs. [NA] Denis Figueira da Silva (1-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in ? of round 1
2012-04-28: L vs. [#399MW] Vicente Luque (6-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1
2012-03-03: W vs. [#1237WW] Junior Vidal (3-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cezar Ferreira 406, Thiago Santos 372
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading

This is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds.  Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary fighter rating that is focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.

With that said, there are some caveats to using the rating vs. odds comparison straight-up — the “Gotcha” list:

1. System inability to project the exact effects of a recent divisional change.
2. System inability to project the exact effects of recent inactivity or short-notice.
3. Poor matchmaking / limited careers / “changing of the guard”.
4. Notable home advantage.
5. System inability to project style differences.
6. System inability to factor in bad judging or overturned decisions.

But this stuff (especially #5) is pretty much common sense.  We try to partially factor in #1-#3 when we compute the ratings, but #5 and #6 is something that the human can factor in, that the system can’t.  For the sake of these articles, we’ll attempt to factor in #4 when relevant.  Home advantage can have a slight effect, but likely not enough to sway the “I’d bet on” decision.

Experienced gamblers know that it’s not about being right the most, it’s about making the most money.  So in the usual table, I’ll add the “I’d bet on” column and analyze the rating/odds gap plus points #1-4 that I listed above.  I’ll leave #5 and #6 to the fully subjective analyses — of which I’m sure there will be plenty.

The gotchas aren’t necessarily comprehensive, but I have noted them as I come across them and when they are considered in the decision.

Having said all that, let’s get started:

Ratings vs. Odds

One of our viewers, Bryan Stone has been using our rankings to preview upcoming UFC events. Check out his video below and give him some thumbs up!

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#9DD] Demetrious Johnson (17-2-1, -438) vs. [#5] John Moraga (13-1-0, +389)
Demetrious Johnson is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demetrious Johnson (3-0-0)
2013-01-26: W vs. [#6FLY] John Dodson (14-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2012-09-22: W vs. [#2FLY/#10DD] Joseph Benavidez (18-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 49-46)
2012-06-08: W vs. [#8FLY] Ian McCall (11-4-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: John Moraga (3-0-0)
2012-12-29: W vs. [#26FLY] Chris Cariaso (14-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:11 of round 3
2012-08-04: W vs. [#72FLY] Ulysses Gomez (9-4-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:46 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#763BW] Jose Carbajal (5-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demetrious Johnson 182, John Moraga 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Demetrious Johnson leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#3] Jake Ellenberger (29-6-0, +206) vs. [#10] Rory MacDonald (14-1-0, -225)
Jake Ellenberger is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jake Ellenberger (2-1-0)
2013-03-16: W vs. [#20WW] Nate Marquardt (32-12-2) via KO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 1
2012-10-05: W vs. [#34WW] Jay Hieron (23-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-06-01: L vs. [#6WW] Martin Kampmann (20-6-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rory MacDonald (3-0-0)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#23WW] B.J. Penn (16-9-2) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2012-04-21: W vs. [#89WW] Che Mills (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 2
2011-08-06: W vs. [#13WW] Mike Pyle (25-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Ellenberger 133, Rory MacDonald 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#11] Robbie Lawler (20-9-0, -265) vs. [#152] Bobby Voelker (24-9-0, +246)

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (2-1-0)
2013-02-23: W vs. [#17WW] Josh Koscheck (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2012-07-14: L vs. [#25MW] Lorenz Larkin (13-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-01-07: W vs. [#45WW] Adlan Amagov (12-2-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Voelker (2-1-0)
2013-03-16: L vs. [#46WW] Patrick Cote (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-07-22: W vs. [#259LW] Roger Bowling (11-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:16 of round 2
2010-10-22: W vs. [#259LW] Roger Bowling (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robbie Lawler 154, Bobby Voelker 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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