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Fight Matrix

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on August 28, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang (08-23-2025)

Posted on August 18, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15][#12UFC] Johnny Walker (21-9-0, +297) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-6-0, -398)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#12LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2024-01-13: L vs. [#10DD][#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#10DD][#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1)

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#102MW] Osman Diaz (10-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#57LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mingyang Zhang -398 76.03%
Elo K170 Johnny Walker 1791.23 +52.03 57.43%
Elo Modified Johnny Walker 1802.87 +67.03 59.53%
Glicko-1 Johnny Walker 1856.33 +37.60 55.39%
WHR Mingyang Zhang 1777.98 +58.76 58.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Johnny Walker 33.4, Mingyang Zhang 27.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 427, Mingyang Zhang 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#4][#4UFC] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0, -310) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Brian Ortega (16-4-0, +243)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #47 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (1-2-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FW] Movsar Evloev (19-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#48FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#5FW] Diego Lopes (26-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aljamain Sterling -310 72.17%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2161.58 +181.21 73.95%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2045.40 +103.34 64.45%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2073.64 +44.65 56.39%
WHR Aljamain Sterling 1936.22 +69.73 59.90%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Aljamain Sterling 36.0, Brian Ortega 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 259, Brian Ortega 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#5][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0, -263) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-1-0, +210)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #35 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#12HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#13HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-05-11: W vs. [#208HW+] Robelis Despaigne (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -263 69.19%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 1997.75 +109.86 65.30%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 1987.45 +84.49 61.92%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2065.40 +133.36 68.30%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 1965.29 +152.62 70.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 33.3, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on August 14, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Chimaev, du Plessis and 49ers

Posted on August 12, 2025 by Vincent Juico

This content originally appeared on https://businessmirror.com.ph/2025/08/11/chimaev-du-plessis-and-49ers/

[#1 MW](C)  Dricus Du Plessis (DDP) and [#4 MW] Khamzat Chimaev, two of the most dynamic athletes in the UFC middleweight division, will exchange strikes, takedowns and submission attempts at UFC 319 at the United Center in Chicago on Friday.

Many questions heading into what many think and feel will be an absolute banger and barnburner of a fight.

Can Chimaev neutralize DDP’s rhythm?

Chimaev’s takedown-heavy offense could suffocate DDP if he maintains relentless pressure.

Will DDP bait mistakes and finish?

DDP’s offensive creativity and endurance could frustrate Chimaev, opening paths to strikes or submissions.

This fight is a classic clash of relentless aggression vs unconventional adaptability.

Keep Reading

Vincent Juico

Vincent Juicio is a sports journalist covering basketball, mixed martial arts, boxing, American football-especially the San Francisco 49ers-and global sports issues. Known for his insightful analysis and a keen eye on both game strategy and broader sports trends, his work offers fans in-depth perspectives across multiple disciplines.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev (08-16-2025)

Posted on August 11, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (23-2-0, +174) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0, -210)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #31 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -210 64.98%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2382.91 +88.41 62.46%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2309.13 +50.66 57.24%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2396.54 +42.21 56.04%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2200.82 +45.60 56.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dricus Du Plessis 31.6, Khamzat Chimaev 31.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 189, Khamzat Chimaev 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#8][#8UFC] Lerone Murphy (16-0-1, +116) vs. [*] Aaron Pico (13-4-0, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#12FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#19FW] Dan Ige (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#47FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Aaron Pico (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Henry Corrales (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2023-09-23: W vs. [#65FW] Pedro Carvalho (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#311MW] James Gonzalez (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aaron Pico -140 55.74%
Elo K170 Lerone Murphy 2107.74 +240.04 79.93%
Elo Modified Lerone Murphy 2049.17 +165.04 72.11%
Glicko-1 Lerone Murphy 2082.95 +156.57 71.12%
WHR Lerone Murphy 1941.92 +177.74 73.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lerone Murphy 34.0, Aaron Pico 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerone Murphy 133, Aaron Pico 539
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#10][#10UFC] Geoff Neal (16-6-0, +212) vs. [#26][#22UFC] Carlos Prates (21-7-0, -260)
Geoff Neal is the All-Time #50 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#35WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:30 of round 1
2024-02-17: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#34WW] Neil Magny (30-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1
2024-08-17: W vs. [#66WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Prates -260 69.26%
Elo K170 Geoff Neal 1973.64 +62.62 58.91%
Elo Modified Geoff Neal 1977.26 +74.60 60.57%
Glicko-1 Geoff Neal 2045.31 +55.97 57.98%
WHR Carlos Prates 1934.25 +34.28 54.92%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Geoff Neal 34.9, Carlos Prates 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Geoff Neal 294, Carlos Prates 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Prates leads 1-0
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on August 7, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Four Rematches Boxing Fans Could See in the Second Half of 2025

Posted on August 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

A boxer on his way to the ring

Unsplash

As we stride into the latter half of 2025, boxing is primed to deliver spectacle after spectacle. Already, the calendar boasts seismic encounters: Canelo Alvarez versus Terence Crawford in Las Vegas on September 13th in a contest between two of the greatest fighters of their generation, with streaming giant Netflix broadcasting worldwide. Two months later, KO artist extraordinaire David Benavidez puts his reputation and WBC light heavyweight title on the line against Britain’s Anthony Yarde in Riyadh. But that’s not all.

But boxing’s heartbeat doesn’t just pulse with fresh matchups; it throbs on the echo of unfinished business. Four blockbuster rematches could also take place before the year is out, each heavy with legacy and possibility. The potential clashes have drifted to the top of every pundit’s wishlist. The stakes? Pride, closure, and a rewrite of the record books.

So, which fighters could be meeting familiar foes in the coming months? Let’s find out.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez (08-09-2025)

Posted on August 4, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0, +258) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Anthony Hernandez (14-2-0, -323)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (3-0-0)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#18MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#48MW] Michel Pereira (32-13-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#23MW] Roman Kopylov (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -323 73.21%
Elo K170 Anthony Hernandez 2085.29 +34.75 54.98%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 2072.54 +25.70 53.69%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2141.02 +11.40 51.64%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2024.77 +89.16 62.55%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 37.0, Anthony Hernandez 31.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 147, Anthony Hernandez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Roman Dolidze leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#11][#9UFC] Steve Erceg (12-4-0, -400) vs. [#51][#23UFC] Ode Osbourne (13-8-0, +300)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (0-3-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#6FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2024-05-04: L vs. [#4DD][#5P4P][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (1-2-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#99FLY] Luis Gurule (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2024-09-14: L vs. [#91FLY] Ronaldo Rodriguez (18-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-03-16: L vs. [#83FLY] Jafel Filho (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Erceg -400 76.19%
Elo K170 Steve Erceg 1640.75 +109.70 65.28%
Elo Modified Steve Erceg 1645.13 +130.71 67.97%
Glicko-1 Steve Erceg 1676.92 +174.36 73.18%
WHR Steve Erceg 1663.23 +209.59 76.97%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 30.0, Ode Osbourne 33.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 133, Ode Osbourne 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12][#11UFC] Angela Hill (18-14-0, +153) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-6-0, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#25SW] Ketlen Souza (15-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#7SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#38SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#4SW] Amanda Lemos (15-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#49SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iasmin Lucindo -184 62.10%
Elo K170 Angela Hill 1635.09 +40.21 55.76%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1606.47 +46.65 56.67%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1596.50 +54.19 57.74%
WHR Angela Hill 1541.10 +65.28 59.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Angela Hill 40.6, Iasmin Lucindo 23.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 175, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk: Will There Be a Third Epic Fight?

Posted on August 4, 2025 by A. J. Riot

After two unforgettable battles between Tyson Fury and Oleksandr Usyk, boxing fans are now focused on a potential trilogy. The first bout was decided by a narrow split decision, while the second was clearly won by Usyk. Both fights generated tens of millions of dollars in revenue and record-breaking viewership. The next logical step? A third fight to settle the rivalry once and for all. But will it actually happen?

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 31, 2025 by Jason

We hit a huge parlay last week!  Let’s try again..

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

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