Event Previews – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos (09-26-2026)

Posted on September 21, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#20][#15UFC] Raoni Barcelos (22-5-0, +154) vs. [#22][#17UFC] Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#24BW] Montel Jackson (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#46BW] Ricky Simon (22-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#66BW] Cody Garbrandt (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#26BW] Rob Font (22-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#183BW] Vince Morales (16-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#172BW] Qileng Aori (28-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Raul Rosas Jr.	-186		62.28%
Elo K170	Raoni Barcelos	1998.41	+187.39	74.63%
Elo Modified	Raoni Barcelos	1953.75	+157.66	71.25%
Glicko-1	Raoni Barcelos	1983.76	+176.94	73.47%
WHR	Raoni Barcelos	1854.84	+157.21	71.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Raoni Barcelos 39.4, Raul Rosas Jr. 21.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 154, Raul Rosas Jr. 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#61][#39UFC] Robert Bryczek (18-7-0, -102) vs. [#78][#47UFC] Rodolfo Vieira (11-5-0, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Bryczek (1-2-0)
2026-05-02: L vs. [#40MW] Cameron Rowston (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#64MW] Brad Tavares (21-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 3
2024-02-10: L vs. [#100LHW] Ihor Potieria (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (1-2-0)
2026-04-25: L vs. [#95MW] Eric McConico (11-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#22MW] Bo Nickal (9-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:24 of round 3
2025-08-02: W vs. [#28MW] Tresean Gore (7-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rodolfo Vieira	-116		51.53%
Elo K170	Robert Bryczek	1551.57	+91.85	62.92%
Elo Modified	Robert Bryczek	1582.81	+69.09	59.82%
Glicko-1	Robert Bryczek	1658.41	+162.83	71.85%
WHR	Robert Bryczek	1559.11	+39.53	55.66%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Bryczek 36.2, Rodolfo Vieira 37.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Bryczek 147, Rodolfo Vieira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#81][#39UFC] Rinya Nakamura (10-1-0, -334) vs. [*] Brady Hiestand (8-2-0, +257)

Last 3 Fights: Rinya Nakamura (2-1-0)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#144BW] Nathan Fletcher (11-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:02 of round 1
2025-01-18: L vs. [#54BW] Muin Gafurov (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [*] Carlos Vera (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Brady Hiestand (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [*] Garrett Armfield (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Batgerel Danaa (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 3
2022-11-19: W vs. [*] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rinya Nakamura	-334		73.31%
Elo K170	Rinya Nakamura	1643.38	+31.81	54.56%
Elo Modified	Rinya Nakamura	1687.42	+76.72	60.86%
Glicko-1	Rinya Nakamura	1727.18	+87.98	62.40%
WHR	Rinya Nakamura	1636.93	+102.56	64.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rinya Nakamura 31.5, Brady Hiestand 27.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rinya Nakamura 420, Brady Hiestand 833
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Four UFC Fights That Give Fall 2026 a Real Championship Shape

Posted on September 18, 2026 by A. J. Riot

An “anticipated” UFC list should start with bouts the promotion has actually announced. As of September 14, 2026, the next six weeks contain two flyweight title fights, a welterweight main event, and a featherweight championship bout. Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja meet again on September 19, Natalia Silva and Wang Cong fight for vacant gold on October 3, Joaquin Buckley faces Mike Malott in Edmonton on October 17, and Alexander Volkanovski defends against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333 on October 24. Cards can still change, so the dates below reflect UFC listings at the time of writing.

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UFC 331 Main Card Predictions

Posted on September 17, 2026 by Jack Latham

The UFC makes its way to Los Angeles, California, this coming weekend as Joshua Van defends his flyweight title in a much-anticipated rematch with Alexandre Pantoja.

Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski

A light heavyweight bout kicks off the main card as Alonzo Menifield looks to get his second win of the year against the undefeated Iwo Baraniewski.

Menifield made his UFC debut in 2019 and has since recorded 11 victories, with five of these coming via knockout.

‘Atomic’ has a background in college football, which has led to him having an explosive fighting style in the octagon, constantly looking to finish his opponents with powerful left hooks and overhand rights.

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Jack Latham

My name is Jack Latham.

I am 20 years old and am currently studying Sports Journalism at the University of Chester.

I became interested in combat sports, particularly MMA, in the lockdown period and have followed it closely ever since.

I have previously created my own website titled ‘Combat Corner,’ where I produce MMA content.

Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury: Event Preview

Posted on September 15, 2026 by Heather

Joshua vs Fury is finally happening. The fight is targeted for November 2026. It will stream globally on Netflix.

The rivalry has lasted over ten years. Negotiations stalled many times. This is the first meeting between Britain’s two biggest heavyweights of the last decade.

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Heather

Combat Sports & Martial Arts Writer| Partnership Marketing and Digital Strategy Lead (Combat Sports)
I have been an avid viewer of Boxing and MMA for almost three decades. Since 2001, I have enjoyed watching the UFC. I hold an academic background in Gerontology from Madonna University, and spent 25 years working across both clinical and non-clinical healthcare settings. But a lifelong passion for writing and martial arts eventually pulled me toward a new chapter. Today, I write for FightMatrix.com. Additionally, I interview professionals in the Combat Sports sector.

www.fightmatrix.com

Fury vs Joshua: the two records side by side

Posted on September 15, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Eddie Hearn called it “signed, sealed, delivered” on 27 April this year. More than four months later there is a target date of 20 November, no confirmed venue and a public argument over whether an all-British heavyweight fight belongs at Wembley or at Madison Square Garden. Fury spent the first week of September claiming it was off altogether and calling for a third fight with Oleksandr Usyk instead.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja II (09-19-2026)

Posted on September 14, 2026 by Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1][#1UFC] Joshua Van (17-2-0, -128) vs. [#11P4P][#2][#2UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0, +107)
Joshua Van is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #2 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#4FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-2-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:32 of round 5
2025-12-06: W vs. [#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#1DD][#2P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (17-2-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#10FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 3
2024-12-07: W vs. [#44BW] Kai Asakura (23-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joshua Van	-128		53.74%
Elo K170	Joshua Van	2173.26	+88.25	62.43%
Elo Modified	Joshua Van	2111.80	+91.16	62.83%
Glicko-1	Joshua Van	2212.36	+124.26	67.16%
WHR	Joshua Van	1924.17	+13.82	51.99%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joshua Van 24.9, Alexandre Pantoja 36.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 133, Alexandre Pantoja 287
Previous Match-up Record: Joshua Van leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0, -333) vs. [#9][#8UFC] Mauricio Ruffy (14-2-0, +259)
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #35 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#20LW] Dan Hooker (24-15-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#10DD][#3LW] Charles Oliveira (37-11-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#17LW] Beneil Dariush (23-8-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Ruffy (2-1-0)
2026-06-14: W vs. [#34LW] Michael Chandler (23-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 4:29 of round 1
2026-01-31: W vs. [#11LW] Rafael Fiziev (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 2
2025-09-06: L vs. [#10LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:56 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Arman Tsarukyan	-333		73.40%
Elo K170	Arman Tsarukyan	2345.61	+362.13	88.94%
Elo Modified	Arman Tsarukyan	2231.06	+271.72	82.69%
Glicko-1	Arman Tsarukyan	2310.73	+254.06	81.19%
WHR	Arman Tsarukyan	2126.37	+184.89	74.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Arman Tsarukyan 29.9, Mauricio Ruffy 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arman Tsarukyan 301, Mauricio Ruffy 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#18][#14UFC] Patricio Freire (37-9-0, +206) vs. [#34][#21UFC] Doo Ho Choi (17-4-1, -260)
Patricio Freire is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Patricio Freire (1-2-0)
2026-04-11: L vs. [#13FW] Aaron Pico (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#34BW] Dan Ige (19-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-12: L vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Doo Ho Choi (3-0-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#102FW] Daniel Santos (15-3-0) via NC in 4:29 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#105FW] Nate Landwehr (18-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:21 of round 3
2024-07-20: W vs. [*] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Submission to Punch) in 3:38 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Doo Ho Choi	-260		68.84%
Elo K170	Patricio Freire	1902.53	+37.31	55.35%
Elo Modified	Patricio Freire	1893.75	+35.67	55.11%
Glicko-1	Doo Ho Choi	1927.64	+20.48	52.94%
WHR	Doo Ho Choi	1870.69	+147.63	70.05%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Patricio Freire 39.2, Doo Ho Choi 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricio Freire 161, Doo Ho Choi 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado (09-12-2026)

Posted on September 7, 2026 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#9][#7UFC] Jean Silva (17-3-0, -433) vs. [#50][#31UFC] Jose Delgado (12-2-0, +323)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#8FW] Arnold Allen (21-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#3FW] Diego Lopes (28-8-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
2025-04-12: W vs. [#17BW] Bryce Mitchell (19-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jose Delgado (2-1-0)
2026-07-18: W vs. [#161FW] Austin Bashi (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#73FW] Andre Fili (25-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#37FW] Nathaniel Wood (23-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jean Silva	-433		77.45%
Elo K170	Jean Silva	1989.75	+187.43	74.63%
Elo Modified	Jean Silva	1977.91	+232.43	79.21%
Glicko-1	Jean Silva	2042.89	+299.23	84.85%
WHR	Jean Silva	1968.04	+357.10	88.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jean Silva 29.7, Jose Delgado 28.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jean Silva 231, Jose Delgado 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#7][#7UFC] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2, +111) vs. [#25][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (14-2-0, -133)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2026-02-28: L vs. [#8FLY] Loneer Kavanagh (10-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#4FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-03-29: W vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (14-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#127FLY] Matt Schnell (17-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2025-08-16: W vs. [#48FLY] Alibi Idiris (11-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [*] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joseph Morales	-133		54.63%
Elo K170	Joseph Morales	1846.22	+102.29	64.31%
Elo Modified	Joseph Morales	1802.06	+27.99	54.02%
Glicko-1	Joseph Morales	1848.69	+25.41	53.65%
WHR	Joseph Morales	1805.92	+65.60	59.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Moreno 32.7, Joseph Morales 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 196, Joseph Morales 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#97][#50UFC] Marwan Rahiki (9-0-0, +130) vs. [#175][#70UFC] Tommy McMillen (11-0-0, -155)

Last 3 Fights: Marwan Rahiki (3-0-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#998FW] Oliver Schmid (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 1
2026-03-14: W vs. [#171FW] Harry Hardwick (13-5-1) via TKO (Jaw Injury) in 5:00 of round 2
2025-10-14: W vs. [#343FW] Ananias Mulumba (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tommy McMillen (3-0-0)
2026-07-18: W vs. [#492FW] Alberto Montes (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2026-04-04: W vs. [#1093FW] Manolo Zecchini (11-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2025-09-02: W vs. [#116FW] David Mgoyan (9-1-0) via MD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tommy McMillen	-155		58.29%
Elo K170	Marwan Rahiki	1651.88	+15.88	52.28%
Elo Modified	Marwan Rahiki	1679.60	+27.11	53.89%
Glicko-1	Marwan Rahiki	1730.15	+59.17	58.44%
WHR	Tommy McMillen	1635.79	+33.47	54.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marwan Rahiki 24.3, Tommy McMillen 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marwan Rahiki 133, Tommy McMillen 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Month Ahead: September’s MMA Calendar and Betting Odds

Posted on September 1, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Picture Credit

September gives MMA fans and bettors a full month to follow, with a UFC event scheduled for every Saturday. The action moves from Paris to Arizona and Los Angeles before finishing in Las Vegas, with each card presenting a different kind of matchup to assess.

That variety also means there isn’t one formula for evaluating the month. A high-profile UFC debut creates different questions from a late opponent change, while a championship rematch provides evidence that a first-time meeting cannot. Looking beyond records and considering styles, recent performances, and fight circumstances can provide a clearer picture before each event begins.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse (09-05-2026)

Posted on August 31, 2026 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#15][#13UFC] Dan Hooker (24-14-0, +409) vs. [#29] Salahdine Parnasse (23-2-0, -567)
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (1-2-0)
2026-01-31: L vs. [#10LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 2
2025-11-22: L vs. [#4LW] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-08-17: W vs. [#13LW] Mateusz Gamrot (26-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Salahdine Parnasse (3-0-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#123LW] Kenneth Cross (17-5-0) via KO in 4:18 of round 1
2026-01-17: W vs. [#127LW] Marcin Held (31-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 2
2025-05-10: W vs. [#172LW] Marian Ziolkowski (26-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Salahdine Parnasse	-567		81.22%
Elo K170	Salahdine Parnasse	2065.29	+74.13	60.51%
Elo Modified	Salahdine Parnasse	2059.77	+167.85	72.44%
Glicko-1	Salahdine Parnasse	2157.17	+251.49	80.97%
WHR	Salahdine Parnasse	2006.89	+258.77	81.60%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dan Hooker 36.5, Salahdine Parnasse 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 217, Salahdine Parnasse 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#46][#27UFC] Fares Ziam (18-5-0, -158) vs. [#82][#43UFC] Axel Sola (12-1-1, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2026-06-06: L vs. [#37LW] Tom Nolan (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#109LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-3-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2025-02-01: W vs. [#163LW] Mike Davis (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Axel Sola (2-1-0)
2026-07-25: W vs. [#190LW] Ismael Bonfim (20-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:44 of round 1
2026-03-21: L vs. [#75LW] Mason Jones (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#93MW] Rhys McKee (15-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Fares Ziam	-158		58.47%
Elo K170	Fares Ziam	1835.65	+86.79	62.24%
Elo Modified	Fares Ziam	1810.71	+30.66	54.40%
Glicko-1	Fares Ziam	1842.93	+10.87	51.57%
WHR	Fares Ziam	1745.70	+6.12	50.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Fares Ziam 29.4, Axel Sola 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 91, Axel Sola 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#12][#12UFC] Michael Page (25-3-0, -177) vs. [#40MW][#27MWUFC] Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (3-0-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#55WW] Sam Patterson (15-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#15MW] Jared Cannonier (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#22MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (3-0-0)
2026-06-27: W vs. [#178MW] Andrey Pulyaev (10-5-0) via NC in 3:58 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#53MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#97MW] Eric McConico (11-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Michael Page	-177		61.01%
Elo K170	Michael Page	2146.11	+323.50	86.56%
Elo Modified	Michael Page	2140.53	+305.71	85.32%
Glicko-1	Michael Page	2190.49	+256.90	81.44%
WHR	Michael Page	2034.86	+218.36	77.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Page 39.4, Nursulton Ruziboev 32.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 168, Nursulton Ruziboev 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song (08-29-2026)

Posted on August 24, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4][#4UFC] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0, -496) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Yadong Song (23-10-1, +374)
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Yadong Song is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#5BW] Mario Bautista (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#4DD][#9P4P][#2BW] Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:42 of round 2
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-496		79.77%
Elo K170	Umar Nurmagomedov	2243.88	+185.08	74.37%
Elo Modified	Umar Nurmagomedov	2188.14	+147.57	70.05%
Glicko-1	Umar Nurmagomedov	2243.11	+146.48	69.92%
WHR	Umar Nurmagomedov	2137.53	+193.37	75.27%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Umar Nurmagomedov 30.6, Yadong Song 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Umar Nurmagomedov 217, Yadong Song 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Umar Nurmagomedov leads 2-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[*] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0, -160) vs. [#8][#8UFC] Denise Gomes (12-3-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1SW] Weili Zhang (26-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#13SW] Tecia Pennington (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#105SW] Elise Reed (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#66SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Xiaonan Yan	-160		59.12%
Elo K170	Xiaonan Yan	1754.74	+22.29	53.20%
Elo Modified	Xiaonan Yan	1752.89	+24.23	53.48%
Glicko-1	Denise Gomes	1734.21	+15.44	52.22%
WHR	Denise Gomes	1629.58	+6.11	50.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Xiaonan Yan 37.2, Denise Gomes 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 504, Denise Gomes 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Xiaonan Yan leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#46][#28UFC] Kai Asakura (22-6-0, -429) vs. [#173][#55UFC] Qileng Aori (28-13-0, +332)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#214BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 1
2025-08-16: L vs. [#15FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: L vs. [#86BW] Cody Haddon (9-1-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2025-10-18: W vs. [#175BW] Cody Gibson (21-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2024-09-14: L vs. [#23BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kai Asakura	-429		77.79%
Elo K170	Kai Asakura	1849.72	+373.73	89.58%
Elo Modified	Kai Asakura	1809.05	+322.26	86.48%
Glicko-1	Kai Asakura	1835.42	+330.52	87.02%
WHR	Kai Asakura	1681.93	+191.42	75.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kai Asakura 32.8, Qileng Aori 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Asakura 91, Qileng Aori 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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