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Fight Matrix

How the MMA Rankings Could Change Before the End of 2026

Posted on September 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

FightMatrix’s September 6 release is already becoming outdated in useful ways. Salahdine Parnasse jumped from No. 29 to No. 15 at lightweight after stopping Dan Hooker at 2:35 of the first round in his UFC debut in Paris, while results from Super RIZIN 5 and Noche UFC happened after that ranking snapshot. Several title fights are still scheduled before December. The board can move quickly.

Van-Pantoja Can Reshape the Pound-for-Pound Order

Joshua Van enters UFC 331 on September 19 as FightMatrix’s No. 1 flyweight and No. 2 pound-for-pound fighter, with Alexandre Pantoja ranked second at 125 pounds. Their first fight lasted just 26 seconds after Pantoja suffered an arm injury, handing Van the UFC title. Van later added to his case by stopping Tatsuro Taira in the fifth round in May. A decisive win over Pantoja this time would mean much more than the injury-shortened result of their first meeting. Pantoja, however, can erase that argument by winning back the championship in Los Angeles.

Abu Dhabi Could Produce a New Featherweight No. 1

Alexander Volkanovski leads FightMatrix’s featherweight rankings with 1,762 points, while unbeaten Movsar Evloev sits fourth and brings a 20-0 record into UFC 333 on October 24. Evloev is also undefeated through 10 UFC appearances, so beating the division’s established No. 1 would create an obvious ranking jump rather than a gradual climb. Another name has already forced the issue: Rajabali Shaidullaev was ranked sixth on September 6, then defeated No. 5 A.J. McKee by unanimous decision at Super RIZIN 5 on September 10. That result has not yet appeared in the published FightMatrix table, meaning featherweight already has pending movement before Volkanovski and Evloev even enter the cage.

Yan and Dvalishvili Have Almost No Space Between Them

Bantamweight is just as close. Petr Yan sits first with 2,103 FightMatrix points, followed by Merab Dvalishvili at 1,936. Yan is also fifth in the pound-for-pound rankings, with Dvalishvili at No. 10. UFC 333 will mark their third meeting, this time with the UFC title on the line, after Yan beat Dvalishvili in December 2025. A clear winner could reshape the division and settle some of the pound-for-pound debate before November.

Rankings and Betting Prices Answer Different Questions

Computer rankings measure completed fights, opponent quality, and accumulated performance, while betting markets try to price the bout that has not happened yet. Anyone studying Volkanovski-Evloev in a sports betting (French: paris sportif) market currently sees an almost even fight, with UFC pricing Volkanovski around -115 and Evloev near -105 despite FightMatrix placing them first and fourth at featherweight. The disagreement is useful rather than contradictory: rankings describe résumé strength, while odds account for the specific matchup, age, style, and current information. A fixed bankroll still matters because one takedown, cut, or counter can overturn a pre-fight read within seconds.

Grasso Has Already Forced a Flyweight Recalculation

The September 6 women’s flyweight rankings had Valentina Shevchenko at No. 1, Manon Fiorot at No. 2, Natalia Silva at No. 3, and Alexa Grasso at No. 5. That list needs an update after Grasso defeated Fiorot by unanimous decision at Noche UFC on September 12, taking all three judges’ scorecards by 29-28. The division will shift again on October 3, when Silva faces Wang Cong for the vacant UFC flyweight title at UFC 332. Shevchenko told the promotion she will be unavailable for at least a year, leaving the belt open. Silva enters the Salt Lake City fight on a 14-fight winning streak, while Grasso has just beaten the fighter ranked directly ahead of Silva in the September rankings.

Heavyweight Has More Movement Behind Gane Than Around Him

Ciryl Gane’s 2,755 FightMatrix points leave a large gap to Alexander Volkov in second on 1,423, so the top position is unlikely to disappear after one autumn fight. The more realistic movement sits underneath him: Volkov faces seventh-ranked Rizvan Kuniev at UFC 333, while sixth-ranked Vadim Nemkov defends the PFL heavyweight world title against No. 15 Sergey Bilostenniy in Dubai on November 14. Bilostenniy earned that position after stopping Renan Ferreira in May, so Nemkov is not taking a low-value maintenance defense. Gane may still finish 2026 comfortably first, but places two through seven have enough scheduled head-to-head fights to change significantly.

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