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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley (06-14-2025)

Posted on June 9, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#6][#6UFC] Joaquin Buckley (21-6-0, -273) vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0, +212)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#11WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:42 of round 3
2024-10-05: W vs. [#16WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#37MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (36-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (0-3-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -273 69.54%
Elo K170 Joaquin Buckley 2203.42 +32.44 54.65%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2191.46 +40.90 55.86%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2319.42 +49.08 57.02%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2039.52 +62.39 58.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joaquin Buckley 31.1, Kamaru Usman 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 182, Kamaru Usman 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#6][#6UFC] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0, -284) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0, +221)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#9P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#15FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (12-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Miranda Maverick (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#31FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#39FLY] Dione Barbosa (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#33FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rose Namajunas -284 70.36%
Elo K170 Rose Namajunas 1783.83 +137.77 68.85%
Elo Modified Rose Namajunas 1762.72 +85.46 62.06%
Glicko-1 Rose Namajunas 1759.79 +78.05 61.05%
WHR Rose Namajunas 1718.21 +93.69 63.17%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rose Namajunas 32.9, Miranda Maverick 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 224, Miranda Maverick 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#45][#32UFC] Andre Petroski (13-3-0, +166) vs. [#65][#42UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Petroski (3-0-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#69MW] Rodolfo Vieira (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#130MW] Josh Fremd (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2024-08-24: L vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2024-03-23: W vs. [#180MW] A.J. Dobson (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edmen Shahbazyan -208 64.24%
Elo K170 Andre Petroski 1737.48 +156.61 71.13%
Elo Modified Andre Petroski 1745.67 +123.15 67.02%
Glicko-1 Andre Petroski 1740.31 +86.32 62.17%
WHR Andre Petroski 1647.43 +61.18 58.71%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Andre Petroski 34.0, Edmen Shahbazyan 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Petroski 119, Edmen Shahbazyan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andre Petroski leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#37][#28UFC] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0, +121) vs. [#40][#30UFC] Raoni Barcelos (19-5-0, -150)
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-16: W vs. [#371BW] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:42 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#110BW] Trevin Jones (15-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#117BW] Payton Talbott (9-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Cristian Quinonez (18-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:04 of round 3
2023-08-05: L vs. [#17BW] Kyler Phillips (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raoni Barcelos -150 57.00%
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1769.52 +6.36 50.92%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1797.99 +32.74 54.70%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1842.84 +49.27 57.04%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1769.98 +154.19 70.84%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cody Garbrandt 33.9, Raoni Barcelos 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Garbrandt 427, Raoni Barcelos 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#92][#47UFC] Cody Brundage (11-6-0, +390) vs. [#96][#48UFC] Mansur Abdul-Malik (8-0-0, -564)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#277MW] Julian Marquez (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#115MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mansur Abdul-Malik (3-0-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#165MW] Nick Klein (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#211MW] Dusko Todorovic (12-6-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:44 of round 1
2024-08-13: W vs. [#338MW] Wesley Schultz (7-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mansur Abdul-Malik -564 80.62%
Elo K170 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1551.76 +71.46 60.14%
Elo Modified Mansur Abdul-Malik 1590.73 +118.47 66.42%
Glicko-1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1636.11 +159.60 71.48%
WHR Mansur Abdul-Malik 1538.61 +93.23 63.10%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cody Brundage 31.1, Mansur Abdul-Malik 27.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 105, Mansur Abdul-Malik 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#23][#17UFC] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1, +356) vs. [#30][#20UFC] Oumar Sy (11-0-0, -506)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (1-2-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#73LHW] Julius Walker (6-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#14LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (15-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 2
2024-05-11: L vs. [#4LHW] Carlos Ulberg (13-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Oumar Sy (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#90LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#149LHW] George Tokkos (10-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:43 of round 1
2023-06-30: W vs. [*] Ildemar Alcantara (26-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Oumar Sy -506 79.19%
Elo K170 Alonzo Menifield 1693.13 +0.95 50.14%
Elo Modified Oumar Sy 1729.22 +41.13 55.89%
Glicko-1 Oumar Sy 1754.90 +82.73 61.69%
WHR Oumar Sy 1705.58 +75.41 60.68%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alonzo Menifield 37.6, Oumar Sy 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 112, Oumar Sy 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34MW][#27MWUFC] Paul Craig (17-9-1, +268) vs. [#48][#26UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1, -355)

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (0-3-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (2-0-1)
2025-02-08: D vs. [#39LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-12-02: W vs. [#116MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-10-03: W vs. [#361MW] Murtaza Talha Ali (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Bellato -355 74.17%
Elo K170 Paul Craig 1618.39 +5.50 50.79%
Elo Modified Paul Craig 1662.79 +16.31 52.35%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Bellato 1676.69 +9.60 51.38%
WHR Rodolfo Bellato 1602.60 +10.34 51.49%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paul Craig 37.5, Rodolfo Bellato 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Craig 210, Rodolfo Bellato 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#17][#14UFC] Michael Chiesa (18-7-0, -327) vs. [#50][#33UFC] Court McGee (22-13-0, +247)
Michael Chiesa is the All-Time #50 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#43WW] Max Griffin (20-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#117LW] Tony Ferguson (25-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 1
2023-07-29: L vs. [#14WW] Kevin Holland (28-13-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Court McGee (1-2-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#66WW] Tim Means (33-17-1) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:19 of round 1
2024-04-06: L vs. [#53WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [*] Matt Brown (24-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Chiesa -327 72.65%
Elo K170 Michael Chiesa 1959.51 +398.29 90.83%
Elo Modified Michael Chiesa 1929.74 +326.53 86.76%
Glicko-1 Michael Chiesa 2006.71 +376.95 89.75%
WHR Michael Chiesa 1826.15 +295.76 84.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Chiesa 37.5, Court McGee 40.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chiesa 189, Court McGee 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Chiesa leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#144] Kris Moutinho (14-6-0) vs. [#157][#60UFC] Malcolm Wellmaker (9-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kris Moutinho (3-0-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#437BW] Johnny Campbell (22-17-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#1581LW] Elijah Harris (6-12-0) via TKO in 1:44 of round 3
2023-11-18: W vs. [#317BW] Jay Pressley (8-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Malcolm Wellmaker (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#389BW] Cameron Saaiman (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:59 of round 1
2024-08-27: W vs. [#417BW] Adam Bramhald (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-01-20: W vs. [#1094FW] Chase Boutwell (6-3-0) via TKO in 4:06 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Malcolm Wellmaker 1566.06 +101.51 64.21%
Elo Modified Malcolm Wellmaker 1550.35 +55.23 57.88%
Glicko-1 Malcolm Wellmaker 1567.20 +31.19 54.48%
WHR Kris Moutinho 1473.30 +21.51 53.09%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kris Moutinho 32.8, Malcolm Wellmaker 31.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kris Moutinho 217, Malcolm Wellmaker 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#40][#22UFC] Cody Durden (17-7-1, +139) vs. [#221][#53UFC] Jose Ochoa (7-1-0, -173)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (1-2-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#13FLY] Joshua Van (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#66FLY] Matt Schnell (17-10-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2
2024-07-20: L vs. [#39FLY] Bruno Silva (14-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#48FLY] Loneer Kavanagh (9-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-03: W vs. [#206FLY] Juscelino Pantoja (8-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:30 of round 1
2023-09-30: W vs. [NA] Jeferson Guilherme Pereir (4-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jose Ochoa -173 60.23%
Elo K170 Cody Durden 1539.48 +176.97 73.47%
Elo Modified Cody Durden 1549.64 +131.52 68.07%
Glicko-1 Cody Durden 1568.97 +154.44 70.87%
WHR Cody Durden 1541.79 +88.53 62.47%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cody Durden 34.2, Jose Ochoa 24.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Durden 189, Jose Ochoa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#26][#21UFC] Charles Jourdain (16-8-1, +145) vs. [#33][#26UFC] Ricky Simon (22-6-0, -181)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#46BW] Victor Henry (25-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:43 of round 2
2024-06-29: L vs. [#15FW] Jean Silva (16-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 2
2024-01-20: L vs. [#39FW] Sean Woodson (13-2-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (1-2-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#99BW] Javid Basharat (14-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 1
2024-06-29: L vs. [#22BW] Vinicius Oliveira (23-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#6BW] Mario Bautista (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricky Simon -181 61.20%
Elo K170 Ricky Simon 1769.84 +92.89 63.06%
Elo Modified Ricky Simon 1752.03 +30.76 54.42%
Glicko-1 Ricky Simon 1816.75 +17.55 52.52%
WHR Ricky Simon 1743.32 +22.12 53.18%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Jourdain 29.5, Ricky Simon 32.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 224, Ricky Simon 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#56][#36UFC] Philip Rowe (10-5-0) vs. [#126][#57UFC] Ange Loosa (10-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Philip Rowe (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#37WW] Jake Matthews (21-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#31WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#68WW] Niko Price (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ange Loosa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#33WW] Gabriel Bonfim (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-16: NC vs. [#26WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#92WW] Rhys McKee (14-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Philip Rowe 1555.44 +7.02 51.01%
Elo Modified Philip Rowe 1595.42 +28.16 54.04%
Glicko-1 Philip Rowe 1673.40 +91.41 62.86%
WHR Philip Rowe 1562.73 +16.51 52.37%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Philip Rowe 34.9, Ange Loosa 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Philip Rowe 378, Ange Loosa 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#31][#21UFC] Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) vs. [#57SW][#32SWUFC] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-7-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jamey-Lyn Horth (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#12FLY] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#64FLY] Ivana Petrovic (7-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#30FLY] Veronica Hardy (9-5-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Demopoulos (1-2-0)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#36SW] Talita Alencar (6-1-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#16SW] Jaqueline Amorim (10-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:28 of round 1
2024-05-18: W vs. [#28FLY] Emily Ducote (15-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jamey-Lyn Horth 1394.18 +65.44 59.31%
Elo Modified Jamey-Lyn Horth 1436.02 +131.79 68.11%
Glicko-1 Jamey-Lyn Horth 1410.29 +142.02 69.37%
WHR Jamey-Lyn Horth 1410.51 +217.46 77.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jamey-Lyn Horth 35.2, Vanessa Demopoulos 36.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamey-Lyn Horth 182, Vanessa Demopoulos 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Joaquin Buckley
Highest Stored DD Rating: Joaquin Buckley
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Joaquin Buckley vs. Kamaru Usman
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Joaquin Buckley vs. Kamaru Usman
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-6-8

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