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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze (03-15-2025)

Posted on March 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0, +135) vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1, -162)
Marvin Vettori is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#27WW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#11MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -162 59.23%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 2009.39 +57.86 58.25%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1985.59 +20.87 53.00%
Glicko-1 Marvin Vettori 2053.34 +4.01 50.58%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1907.49 +23.92 53.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 36.6, Marvin Vettori 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Marvin Vettori 637
Previous Match-up Record: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#47][#31UFC] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1, -186) vs. [#54][#36UFC] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#296WW] Zach Scroggin (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26WW] Randy Brown (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#87WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#127WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1844.67 +114.94 65.96%
Elo Modified Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1838.39 +95.93 63.46%
Glicko-1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1888.49 +118.79 66.46%
WHR Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1808.24 +131.27 68.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 38.3, Chidi Njokuani 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 126, Chidi Njokuani 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-0-0, -346) vs. [#104][#35UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0, +270)

Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#133LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (8-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#85LHW] Emiliano Sordi (26-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-08-21: W vs. [*] Konstantin Andreitsev (19-17-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#149LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#113LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#45LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diyar Nurgozhay -346 74.16%
Elo K170 Diyar Nurgozhay 1628.60 +185.41 74.41%
Elo Modified Diyar Nurgozhay 1664.08 +229.62 78.95%
Glicko-1 Diyar Nurgozhay 1692.56 +218.75 77.89%
WHR Diyar Nurgozhay 1685.27 +213.68 77.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diyar Nurgozhay 27.9, Brendson Ribeiro 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 165, Brendson Ribeiro 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#45][#33UFC] DaMon Blackshear (15-7-1, -453) vs. [#46][#34UFC] Cody Gibson (21-10-0, +337)

Last 3 Fights: DaMon Blackshear (1-2-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#135BW] Cody Stamann (21-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 1
2024-07-13: L vs. [#25BW] Montel Jackson (14-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-08-19: L vs. [#9BW] Mario Bautista (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Gibson (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#251BW] Chad Anheliger (13-8-0) via UD ()
2024-07-20: W vs. [#334BW] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:58 of round 1
2024-03-23: L vs. [#100FW] Miles Johns (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds DaMon Blackshear -453 78.16%
Elo K170 Cody Gibson 1714.16 +72.94 60.35%
Elo Modified Cody Gibson 1705.97 +63.62 59.06%
Glicko-1 Cody Gibson 1750.05 +56.12 58.01%
WHR DaMon Blackshear 1668.69 +21.20 53.05%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: DaMon Blackshear 30.6, Cody Gibson 37.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: DaMon Blackshear 126, Cody Gibson 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#93][#42UFC] Alexander Hernandez (15-8-0, -197) vs. [#104][#47UFC] Kurt Holobaugh (21-8-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (1-2-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#141LW] Austin Hubbard (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2024-04-06: L vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#80FW] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kurt Holobaugh (2-1-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#194LW] Kaynan Kruschewsky (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#61LW] Trey Ogden (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#141LW] Austin Hubbard (16-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:39 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Hernandez -197 63.56%
Elo K170 Kurt Holobaugh 1733.83 +69.85 59.92%
Elo Modified Kurt Holobaugh 1745.99 +93.33 63.12%
Glicko-1 Kurt Holobaugh 1799.27 +106.78 64.90%
WHR Kurt Holobaugh 1679.86 +128.00 67.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Hernandez 32.4, Kurt Holobaugh 38.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 161, Kurt Holobaugh 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#123][#54UFC] Seung Woo Choi (11-7-0, +400) vs. [#199] Kevin Vallejos (14-1-0, -554)

Last 3 Fights: Seung Woo Choi (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#24FW] Steve Garcia (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2023-08-26: W vs. [#185FW] Jarno Errens (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [*] Michael Trizano (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Vallejos (3-0-0)
2024-09-24: W vs. [#577FW] Cam Teague (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 1
2024-03-02: W vs. [#1537FW] Gonzalo Contreras (6-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:23 of round 2
2023-12-22: W vs. [#778BW] Maximiliano Perez (13-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:30 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Vallejos -554 80.89%
Elo K170 Kevin Vallejos 1575.06 +123.42 67.05%
Elo Modified Kevin Vallejos 1607.41 +108.07 65.07%
Glicko-1 Kevin Vallejos 1668.58 +176.49 73.42%
WHR Kevin Vallejos 1606.61 +112.34 65.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Seung Woo Choi 32.3, Kevin Vallejos 23.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Seung Woo Choi 238, Kevin Vallejos 172
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#37][#20UFC] Andre Lima (10-0-0, -349) vs. [#107][#38UFC] Daniel Barez (17-6-0, +270)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Lima (3-0-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#96FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#158FLY] Mitch Raposo (10-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#78BW] Igor da Silva (9-1-0) via Disqualification (Biting) in 2:52 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Barez (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#124FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#45FLY] Jafel Filho (16-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:26 of round 1
2023-02-24: W vs. [#1011BW] Soslenis da Silva Carvalh (16-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andre Lima -349 74.19%
Elo K170 Andre Lima 1724.62 +216.89 77.71%
Elo Modified Andre Lima 1633.42 +102.85 64.38%
Glicko-1 Andre Lima 1608.31 +49.83 57.12%
WHR Andre Lima 1513.39 +43.38 56.21%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Andre Lima 26.1, Daniel Barez 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Lima 189, Daniel Barez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#18LHW][#14UFCLHW] Ryan Spann (22-10-0, +138) vs. [#47][#17UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (12-1-0, -167)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (1-2-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#36LHW] Ovince St. Preux (27-18-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:35 of round 1
2024-04-27: L vs. [#17LHW] Bogdan Guskov (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 2
2023-08-26: L vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#217HW+] Robelis Despaigne (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#93HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-24-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#127HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (9-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Waldo Cortes-Acosta -167 59.81%
Elo K170 Ryan Spann 1707.98 +7.83 51.13%
Elo Modified Waldo Cortes-Acosta 1743.83 +7.45 51.07%
Glicko-1 Ryan Spann 1809.45 +68.92 59.79%
WHR Ryan Spann 1693.68 +51.22 57.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ryan Spann 33.5, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 161, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#69] Yuneisy Duben (6-0-0, +299) vs. [#151] Carli Judice (3-2-0, -390)

Last 3 Fights: Yuneisy Duben (3-0-0)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#62FLY] Shannon Clark (6-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:13 of round 1
2024-04-18: W vs. [NA] Ingrid Garcia (0-1-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 3:58 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [NA] Andrea Velasquez (0-4-0) via KO (Headkick) in 1:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Carli Judice (1-2-0)
2024-06-15: L vs. [#34FLY] Gabriella Fernandes (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-26: L vs. [#46FLY] Ernesta Kareckaite (6-1-1) via SD ()
2023-05-27: W vs. [NA] Monica Medina (5-7-0) via TKO in 3:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carli Judice -390 76.05%
Elo K170 Yuneisy Duben 1386.03 +337.10 87.44%
Elo Modified Yuneisy Duben 1442.38 +231.24 79.10%
Glicko-1 Yuneisy Duben 1446.12 +254.57 81.23%
WHR Yuneisy Duben 1422.39 +236.11 79.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yuneisy Duben 28.7, Carli Judice 26.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yuneisy Duben 193, Carli Judice 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#30][#22UFC] Sam Hughes (9-6-0, +198) vs. [#37][#25UFC] Stephanie Luciano (6-1-1, -244)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (2-1-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#59SW] Victoria Dudakova (8-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#46SW] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#16SW] Jaqueline Amorim (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Luciano (2-0-1)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#74SW] Talita Alencar (5-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-19: D vs. [#74SW] Talita Alencar (5-1-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-11-13: W vs. [#216FLY] Karina Aryadne (5-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Stephanie Luciano -244 67.88%
Elo K170 Sam Hughes 1469.33 +58.36 58.32%
Elo Modified Stephanie Luciano 1448.28 +13.17 51.89%
Glicko-1 Sam Hughes 1387.64 +3.92 50.56%
WHR Stephanie Luciano 1290.33 +16.34 52.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sam Hughes 32.7, Stephanie Luciano 25.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Hughes 224, Stephanie Luciano 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#156] Josias Musasa (8-0-0, -697) vs. [#201][#64UFC] Carlos Vera (11-4-0, +474)

Last 3 Fights: Josias Musasa (3-0-0)
2024-09-10: W vs. [#174BW] Otari Tanzilovi (10-1-0) via SD ()
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2353BW] Marvin Malunes (5-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:28 of round 1
2024-03-02: W vs. [#741FW] Abdelghani Saber (13-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Vera (2-1-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#83BW] Rinya Nakamura (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-09-23: W vs. [#852BW] Isaiah Gutierrez (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-04-24: W vs. [#527BW] Kale Moniz (7-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:18 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josias Musasa -697 83.38%
Elo K170 Josias Musasa 1561.66 +116.55 66.17%
Elo Modified Josias Musasa 1563.86 +104.15 64.55%
Glicko-1 Josias Musasa 1561.13 +91.57 62.88%
WHR Josias Musasa 1473.81 +74.53 60.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josias Musasa 25.4, Carlos Vera 37.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josias Musasa 186, Carlos Vera 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#139][#59UFC] Su Young You (15-3-0, -671) vs. [#665] A.J. Cunningham (11-4-0, +460)

Last 3 Fights: Su Young You (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#139BW] Jieleyisi Baergeng (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#380FW] Zhawupasi Daermisi (10-3-0) via SD ()
2024-05-19: W vs. [#227BW] Shohei Nose (13-6-2) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: A.J. Cunningham (1-2-0)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#40LW] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:36 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [#1670LW] Justice Lamperez (9-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 1
2023-09-12: L vs. [#460FW] Steven Nguyen (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Su Young You -671 82.97%
Elo K170 Su Young You 1726.29 +445.40 92.85%
Elo Modified Su Young You 1677.93 +375.58 89.68%
Glicko-1 Su Young You 1684.40 +417.03 91.68%
WHR Su Young You 1606.06 +367.35 89.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Su Young You 29.2, A.J. Cunningham 30.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Su Young You 112, A.J. Cunningham 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#29][#19UFC] Josiane Nunes (10-3-0, -184) vs. [#46][#22UFC] Priscila Cachoeira (12-6-0, +152)

Last 3 Fights: Josiane Nunes (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#11BW] Jacqueline Cavalcanti (9-1-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-16: L vs. [#21BW] Chelsea Chandler (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#27FW] Zarah Fairn (6-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (1-2-0)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#17FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (13-3-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:21 of round 3
2023-07-29: L vs. [#13FLY] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 3
2022-08-13: W vs. [#24FLY] Ariane Lipski (17-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josiane Nunes -184 62.01%
Elo K170 Josiane Nunes 1310.53 +16.49 52.37%
Elo Modified Josiane Nunes 1415.10 +66.06 59.39%
Glicko-1 Josiane Nunes 1425.90 +110.77 65.42%
WHR Josiane Nunes 1405.89 +81.02 61.45%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josiane Nunes 31.2, Priscila Cachoeira 36.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josiane Nunes 203, Priscila Cachoeira 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Roman Dolidze
Highest Stored DD Rating: Roman Dolidze
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Roman Dolidze vs. Marvin Vettori
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Roman Dolidze vs. Marvin Vettori
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2025-3-11

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