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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez (10-19-2024)

Posted on October 15, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#17] Michel Pereira (32-11-0, +125) vs. [#25] Anthony Hernandez (12-2-0, -152)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#80MW] Ihor Potieria (25-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:54 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#41MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-10-14: W vs. [#49MW] Andre Petroski (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#53MW] Roman Kopylov (13-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#48MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-09-17: W vs. [#38MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-8-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:53 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -152 57.57%
Elo K170 Michel Pereira 2007.89 +128.77 67.73%
Elo Modified Michel Pereira 1975.95 +71.18 60.10%
Glicko-1 Michel Pereira 2046.14 +87.61 62.35%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 1906.78 +51.07 57.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michel Pereira 168, Anthony Hernandez 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Kyler Phillips (12-2-0, -347) vs. [#16] Rob Font (20-8-0, +268)
Rob Font is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#18BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-12: W vs. [*] Marcelo Rojo (17-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 1:48 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#4BW/#9P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#7BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#56BW] Adrian Yanez (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kyler Phillips -347 74.07%
Elo K170 Kyler Phillips 1860.64 +28.08 54.03%
Elo Modified Kyler Phillips 1882.25 +86.67 62.22%
Glicko-1 Kyler Phillips 1954.83 +75.99 60.76%
WHR Kyler Phillips 1866.25 +145.47 69.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyler Phillips 224, Rob Font 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kyler Phillips leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#15] Charles Johnson (16-6-0, -223) vs. [#258] Su Mudaerji (16-6-0, +182)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (3-0-0)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#32FLY] Joshua Van (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#110BW] Jake Hadley (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#79FLY] Azat Maksum (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#22FLY] Tim Elliott (20-13-1) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
2022-07-16: L vs. [*] Matt Schnell (16-10-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Johnson -223 66.06%
Elo K170 Charles Johnson 1727.60 +338.88 87.55%
Elo Modified Charles Johnson 1731.40 +327.51 86.82%
Glicko-1 Charles Johnson 1798.25 +406.55 91.22%
WHR Charles Johnson 1634.06 +309.95 85.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 98, Su Mudaerji 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#46] Brady Hiestand (8-2-0, -149) vs. [#110] Jake Hadley (11-3-0, +124)

Last 3 Fights: Brady Hiestand (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#67BW] Garrett Armfield (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Batgerel Danaa (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 3
2022-11-19: W vs. [#863FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Hadley (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#164BW] Caolan Loughran (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#15FLY] Charles Johnson (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#28FLY] Cody Durden (17-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brady Hiestand -149 57.27%
Elo K170 Brady Hiestand 1610.97 +54.62 57.80%
Elo Modified Brady Hiestand 1609.94 +22.44 53.23%
Glicko-1 Brady Hiestand 1638.32 +9.62 51.38%
WHR Jake Hadley 1576.20 +26.62 53.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brady Hiestand 126, Jake Hadley 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#65] Darren Elkins (28-11-0, +106) vs. [#74] Daniel Pineda (28-16-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#199LW] T.J. Brown (19-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:23 of round 3
2022-12-03: L vs. [#86FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-30: W vs. [*] Tristan Connelly (14-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Pineda (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#56FW] Nathaniel Wood (20-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#38FW] Alex Caceres (21-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-25: W vs. [*] Tucker Lutz (12-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Pineda -128 53.63%
Elo K170 Darren Elkins 1669.36 +89.39 62.59%
Elo Modified Darren Elkins 1676.38 +72.86 60.34%
Glicko-1 Darren Elkins 1740.12 +86.80 62.24%
WHR Darren Elkins 1615.33 +63.57 59.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Elkins 371, Daniel Pineda 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Darren Elkins leads 4-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#14] Asu Almabaev (20-2-0, -183) vs. [#20] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1, +152)
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabaev (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#141FLY] Jose Johnson (17-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#130FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#103FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (1-2-0)
2024-04-27: L vs. [#17FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:16 of round 2
2023-04-15: L vs. [#2FLY/#7DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [*] Matt Schnell (16-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Asu Almabaev -183 61.97%
Elo K170 Asu Almabaev 1859.85 +168.42 72.50%
Elo Modified Asu Almabaev 1824.63 +161.27 71.67%
Glicko-1 Asu Almabaev 1855.94 +185.74 74.44%
WHR Asu Almabaev 1766.60 +184.75 74.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Asu Almabaev 126, Matheus Nicolau 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#36] Brad Katona (14-3-0, +211) vs. [#63] Jean Matsumoto (15-0-0, -262)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Katona (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#255BW] Jesse Butler (12-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#67BW] Garrett Armfield (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#50BW] Cody Gibson (20-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#199BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#417BW] Kasey Tanner (7-1-0) via UD ()
2023-03-10: W vs. [#427BW] Marlon Basilio de Oliveir (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Matsumoto -262 69.24%
Elo K170 Brad Katona 1785.47 +5.05 50.73%
Elo Modified Jean Matsumoto 1802.98 +42.48 56.08%
Glicko-1 Jean Matsumoto 1827.07 +101.24 64.17%
WHR Jean Matsumoto 1735.22 +75.50 60.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Katona 133, Jean Matsumoto 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#48] Tamires Vidal (7-3-0, +185) vs. [#52] Joselyne Edwards (13-6-0, -228)

Last 3 Fights: Tamires Vidal (1-2-0)
2024-05-18: L vs. [#18BW] Melissa Gatto (9-2-2) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 0:37 of round 3
2023-09-23: L vs. [#42BW] Montserrat Rendon (6-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#46FW] Ramona Pascual (6-6-0) via TKO (Flying Knee to the Body) in 3:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#15BW] Ailin Perez (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#14BW] Nora Cornolle (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#63BW] Lucie Pudilova (15-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joselyne Edwards -228 66.45%
Elo K170 Joselyne Edwards 1274.05 +7.14 51.03%
Elo Modified Tamires Vidal 1328.40 +57.48 58.20%
Glicko-1 Tamires Vidal 1292.37 +46.29 56.62%
WHR Tamires Vidal 1289.74 +92.45 63.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tamires Vidal 154, Joselyne Edwards 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tamires Vidal leads 2-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#58] Elise Reed (7-4-0, -155) vs. [*] Jessica Penne (14-7-0, +128)

Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (1-2-0)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#14SW] Lupita Godinez (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 2
2023-06-03: W vs. [#100SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#17SW] Konklak Suphisara (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#8SW] Tabatha Ricci (11-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:14 of round 2
2022-07-16: L vs. [#39SW] Emily Ducote (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#32SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:32 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elise Reed -155 58.08%
Elo K170 Elise Reed 1322.16 +17.38 52.50%
Elo Modified Elise Reed 1338.81 +39.00 55.59%
Glicko-1 Elise Reed 1266.77 +21.80 53.13%
WHR Jessica Penne 1285.40 +90.05 62.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elise Reed 399, Jessica Penne 595
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Penne leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#98] Alice Ardelean (9-6-0, +127) vs. [*] Melissa Martinez (7-1-0, -152)

Last 3 Fights: Alice Ardelean (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#83SW] Shauna Bannon (6-1-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-08-12: W vs. [NA] Dilia Ordonez (0-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:10 of round 1
2023-03-02: W vs. [*] Jessica Mouneimne (2-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Martinez (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#58SW] Elise Reed (7-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#124FLY] Desiree Yanez (7-5-0) via SD (27-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-26: W vs. [*] Caroline Gallardo (9-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Martinez -152 57.79%
Elo K170 Melissa Martinez 1292.60 +115.17 65.99%
Elo Modified Melissa Martinez 1309.15 +32.80 54.71%
Glicko-1 Alice Ardelean 1302.11 +44.58 56.38%
WHR Alice Ardelean 1315.82 +121.48 66.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alice Ardelean 84, Melissa Martinez 770
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#156] Austen Lane (12-5-0, +323) vs. [#157] Robelis Despaigne (5-1-0, -428)

Last 3 Fights: Austen Lane (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2024-04-27: L vs. [#53HW+] Jhonata Diniz (8-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-09-09: L vs. [#79HW+] Justin Tafa (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#79HW+] Justin Tafa (7-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Robelis Despaigne (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#42HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#238HW+] Josh Parisian (15-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-12-03: W vs. [#556HW+] Miles Banks (3-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robelis Despaigne -428 77.42%
Elo K170 Robelis Despaigne 1336.77 +11.98 51.72%
Elo Modified Austen Lane 1395.87 +0.17 50.03%
Glicko-1 Robelis Despaigne 1385.74 +5.72 50.82%
WHR Robelis Despaigne 1317.94 +7.15 51.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Austen Lane 175, Robelis Despaigne 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Kyler Phillips
Highest Stored DD Rating: Kyler Phillips
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Kyler Phillips vs. Rob Font
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Kyler Phillips vs. Rob Font
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2024-10-13

1 thought on “Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez (10-19-2024)”

  1. Albert says:
    October 19, 2024 at 2:48 pm

    Gooodd job and tyfor all.

    Reply

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