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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs Till (09-04-2021)

Posted on August 30, 2021 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#7] Derek Brunson (22-7-0, +145) vs. [#8] Darren Till (18-3-1, -175)
Derek Brunson is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derek Brunson (3-0-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#29MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#22MW] Ian Heinisch (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Till (1-2-0)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#2MW/#7P4P] Robert Whittaker (23-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#10MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#4WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Darren Till -175 60.92%
Elo K170 Derek Brunson 2100.75 +111.94 62.52%
Elo Modified Derek Brunson 2081.45 +155.76 66.41%
Glicko-1 Derek Brunson 2128.74 +159.16 71.43%
WHR Derek Brunson 1932.63 +132.41 64.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derek Brunson 168, Darren Till 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#32] Tom Aspinall (10-2-0, -179) vs. [*] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2021-02-20: W vs. [#33HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#222HW+] Alan Baudot (8-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2020-07-25: W vs. [#72HW+] Jake Collier (12-6-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#59HW+] Maurice Greene (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2019-04-20: W vs. [#102HW+] Marcelo Golm (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:06 of round 1
2018-11-24: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -179 61.40%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 1775.98 +116.83 63.04%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 1783.43 +102.13 60.99%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 1840.35 +110.20 65.35%
WHR Tom Aspinall 1714.07 +6.81 50.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Aspinall 196, Sergei Pavlovich 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#181] Paddy Pimblett (16-3-0, -141) vs. [#293] Luigi Vendramini (9-2-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#805LW] Davide Martinez (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 1
2020-03-20: W vs. [*] Decky Dalton (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:51 of round 1
2018-09-01: L vs. [#70LW] Soren Bak (14-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Luigi Vendramini (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#151LW] Fares Ziam (12-3-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#429LW] Jessin Ayari (16-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:12 of round 1
2018-09-22: L vs. [#45WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:20 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Paddy Pimblett -141 55.71%
Elo K170 Paddy Pimblett 1605.60 +216.24 72.87%
Elo Modified Paddy Pimblett 1623.85 +189.97 69.67%
Glicko-1 Paddy Pimblett 1683.81 +180.75 73.89%
WHR Paddy Pimblett 1620.57 +138.22 65.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paddy Pimblett 168, Luigi Vendramini 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#41] Mandy Bohm (7-0-0, -119) vs. [#48] Ariane Lipski (13-7-0, -105)

Last 3 Fights: Mandy Bohm (3-0-0)
2020-10-01: W vs. [#106FLY] Griet Eeckhout (5-4-1) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [*] Jade Masson-Wong (3-2-0) via SUB in 3:43 of round 3
2018-09-01: W vs. [NA] Lili Panegirico (0-4-0) via TKO in 1:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (1-2-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#23FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 2
2020-11-21: L vs. [#24FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 2
2020-07-18: W vs. [#59FLY] Luana Carolina (7-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mandy Bohm -119 51.47%
Elo K170 Mandy Bohm 1395.40 +99.53 61.18%
Elo Modified Mandy Bohm 1480.64 +134.21 64.28%
Glicko-1 Mandy Bohm 1397.85 +61.32 58.73%
WHR Mandy Bohm 1340.41 +48.87 55.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mandy Bohm 338, Ariane Lipski 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#59] Modestas Bukauskas (11-4-0, -156) vs. [#61] Khalil Rountree (8-6-0, +128)

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (1-2-0)
2021-03-27: L vs. [#46LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#24LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1
2020-07-15: W vs. [#93MW] Andreas Michailidis (13-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (1-2-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#49LHW] Marcin Prachnio (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#36LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-04-13: W vs. [#29LHW] Eryk Anders (14-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Modestas Bukauskas -156 58.14%
Elo K170 Modestas Bukauskas 1452.00 +97.88 61.00%
Elo Modified Modestas Bukauskas 1538.57 +113.59 62.18%
Glicko-1 Modestas Bukauskas 1580.58 +165.84 72.21%
WHR Modestas Bukauskas 1557.11 +130.65 64.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Modestas Bukauskas 161, Khalil Rountree 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#58] Molly McCann (10-4-0, -107) vs. [#66] Ji Yeon Kim (9-3-2, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Molly McCann (1-2-0)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#49FLY] Lara Procopio (7-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#11FLY] Taila Santos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#75SW] Diana Belbita (14-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Ji Yeon Kim (1-2-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-05: W vs. [*] Nadia Kassem (5-2-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:59 of round 2
2018-11-30: L vs. [#24FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ji Yeon Kim -116 50.95%
Elo K170 Ji Yeon Kim 1310.00 +16.28 51.86%
Elo Modified Molly McCann 1342.42 +15.30 51.67%
Glicko-1 Molly McCann 1348.21 +46.23 56.62%
WHR Molly McCann 1294.60 +30.96 53.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Molly McCann 210, Ji Yeon Kim 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#57] Marc-Andre Barriault (13-4-0, -144) vs. [#67] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-2-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (2-1-0)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#229MW] Abu Azaitar (14-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:56 of round 3
2020-06-20: W vs. [#236MW] Oskar Piechota (11-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:50 of round 2
2019-12-21: L vs. [#47MW] Jun Yong Park (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Dalcha Lungiambula (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#126MW] Markus Perez (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#12LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-06-29: W vs. [#210MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marc-Andre Barriault -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Dalcha Lungiambula 1659.77 +39.84 54.54%
Elo Modified Marc-Andre Barriault 1672.34 +16.88 51.85%
Glicko-1 Marc-Andre Barriault 1715.25 +63.94 59.10%
WHR Marc-Andre Barriault 1618.84 +52.07 55.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marc-Andre Barriault 161, Dalcha Lungiambula 227
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#97] Jonathan Martinez (13-4-0, -158) vs. [#173] Marcelo Rojo (16-7-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (2-1-0)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#77BW] Davey Grant (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:03 of round 2
2020-10-17: W vs. [#312BW] Thomas Almeida (22-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#276BW] Frankie Saenz (12-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:57 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcelo Rojo (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#63FW] Charles Jourdain (11-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 3
2019-09-27: W vs. [*] Victor Hugo Madrigal (8-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-04-12: L vs. [#66BW] John Castaneda (18-5-0) via SUB in 2:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -158 58.47%
Elo K170 Jonathan Martinez 1511.76 +102.41 61.49%
Elo Modified Jonathan Martinez 1576.60 +109.92 61.80%
Glicko-1 Jonathan Martinez 1572.73 +107.05 64.94%
WHR Jonathan Martinez 1475.26 +71.17 58.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 175, Marcelo Rojo 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#60] Julian Erosa (25-9-0, +145) vs. [#63] Charles Jourdain (11-3-1, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#43FW] Seung Woo Choi (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1
2021-02-20: W vs. [#52FW] Nate Landwehr (14-4-0) via TKO (Flying Knee) in 0:56 of round 1
2020-06-27: W vs. [#135FW] Sean Woodson (8-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (1-1-1)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#173BW] Marcelo Rojo (16-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 3
2020-10-03: D vs. [#118FW] Joshua Culibao (10-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-06-13: L vs. [#34FW] Andre Fili (21-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Jourdain -184 61.34%
Elo K170 Charles Jourdain 1608.14 +29.06 53.31%
Elo Modified Charles Jourdain 1650.71 +48.83 55.32%
Glicko-1 Charles Jourdain 1710.92 +94.55 63.28%
WHR Charles Jourdain 1585.31 +15.95 51.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 77, Charles Jourdain 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#51] Jack Shore (14-0-0) vs. [#295] Liudvik Sholinian (8-1-1)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Shore (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#71BW] Hunter Azure (9-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#268BW] Aaron Phillips (12-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:29 of round 2
2019-09-28: W vs. [#223BW] Nohelin Hernandez (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Liudvik Sholinian (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#184FLY] Yuma Horiuchi (8-4-0) via SD ()
2019-09-28: W vs. [NA] David Eduardo (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:19 of round 2
2019-08-30: W vs. [#340BW] Vince Cachero (7-4-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jack Shore 1781.21 +385.14 85.32%
Elo Modified Jack Shore 1741.89 +370.74 83.52%
Glicko-1 Jack Shore 1757.26 +409.20 91.34%
WHR Jack Shore 1683.16 +385.54 85.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Shore 147, Liudvik Sholinian 659
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24] Alex Morono (19-7-0) vs. [#91] David Zawada (17-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#33WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-12-19: L vs. [#26LW] Anthony Pettis (24-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-14: W vs. [#230WW] Rhys McKee (10-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: David Zawada (1-2-0)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#38WW] Ramazan Emeev (20-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#143WW] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (16-3-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2018-11-24: L vs. [#18WW] Jingliang Li (18-6-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:07 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1768.19 +188.60 70.30%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1779.53 +90.11 59.74%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1820.52 +52.36 57.48%
WHR David Zawada 1715.40 +8.68 50.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 119, David Zawada 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Derek Brunson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Derek Brunson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Derek Brunson vs. Darren Till
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Derek Brunson vs. Darren Till
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-8-29

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