Eddie Hearn called it “signed, sealed, delivered” on 27 April this year. More than four months later there is a target date of 20 November, no confirmed venue and a public argument over whether an all-British heavyweight fight belongs at Wembley or at Madison Square Garden. Fury spent the first week of September claiming it was off altogether and calling for a third fight with Oleksandr Usyk instead.
None of that changes what the two men carry into it, and the Fury vs Joshua odds are built on a pair of records that look alike from a distance and come apart the moment you count rounds.
The bare numbers
Fury is 36-2-1 with 25 knockouts. Joshua is 30-4 with 27. The shorter man with more defeats is the heavier puncher by ratio, having stopped 90% of the opponents he has beaten against Fury’s 69%.
The losses divide just as sharply. Fury has never been stopped in 39 professional fights. Joshua has been stopped twice, by Andy Ruiz Jr in June 2019 and by Daniel Dubois in September 2024, and he has been dropped in fights he went on to win. Kristian Prenga put him down twice inside the opening round in Jeddah on 25 July before Joshua knocked him out in the second.
Rounds are the real gap
Fury has boxed 273 professional rounds. Joshua has boxed 175. Those 98 rounds are the distance between a man who turned professional in December 2008 and one who followed in October 2013, and between two ways of working. Fury averages seven rounds a fight, Joshua 5.1.
Recent form pulls them further apart. Fury’s last five bouts have taken 56 rounds, an average of 11.2, including the 12-round unanimous decision over Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 11 April that ended the retirement he announced in January 2025. Joshua’s last five have taken 25 rounds in total. He stopped four of those five opponents, and none of them lasted beyond the sixth.
Age, height and reach
Fury will be 38 on 20 November. Joshua turns 37 on 15 October, five weeks before it. The physical advantage runs the other way from the age: Fury stands 6ft 9in to Joshua’s 6ft 6in, with 85in of reach against 82in.
Usyk beat both of them, twice each
One opponent appears on both records, and he won all four meetings. Usyk outpointed Joshua in September 2021, then took the rematch on a split decision in August 2022. He edged Fury on a split decision in May 2024 and won the December rematch unanimously. Joshua and Fury are 0-4 against him between them, and nobody else has beaten the pair.
No belt is on the line in November. Fury is the WBC’s number one contender and Joshua its number two, so the winner has the clearest route back to Usyk. Anyone weighing that up will find the current free bet offers on the promotions page.
Wembley, one way or another
Both men have already headlined the stadium at the center of the row. Fury stopped Dillian Whyte there in the sixth round on 23 April 2022 in front of 94,000, a post-war British record at the time. Joshua was knocked down four times by Dubois on the same turf on 21 September 2024 in front of 96,000, which broke it.
If the curfew talks fail and the fight moves to New York, only one of them will have been in the building before. Fury knocked out Steve Cunningham in the seventh round at Madison Square Garden in April 2013. Joshua has never boxed there.