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Fight Matrix
Writer's Game PR, LLC - Public Relations Agency
Writer's Game PR, LLC - Public Relations Agency

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland (05-09-2026)

Posted on May 6, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#3P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (15-0-0, -564) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Sean Strickland (30-7-0, +414)
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-02-08: L vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LHW] Paulo Costa (16-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -564 81.36%
Elo K170 Khamzat Chimaev 2400.67 +201.21 76.10%
Elo Modified Khamzat Chimaev 2339.86 +172.16 72.93%
Glicko-1 Khamzat Chimaev 2443.19 +188.84 74.78%
WHR Khamzat Chimaev 2250.51 +166.82 72.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Khamzat Chimaev 32.0, Sean Strickland 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 266, Sean Strickland 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khamzat Chimaev leads 2-0
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#3DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Joshua Van (16-2-0, +147) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0, -176)
Joshua Van is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #17 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#10DD][#10P4P][#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#30FLY] Bruno Silva (15-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-08-02: W vs. [#75FLY] Hyun Sung Park (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:06 of round 2
2024-10-12: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -176 61.16%
Elo K170 Joshua Van 2116.14 +118.65 66.44%
Elo Modified Joshua Van 2043.32 +41.04 55.88%
Glicko-1 Joshua Van 2124.85 +15.97 52.30%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1936.96 +98.88 63.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joshua Van 24.5, Tatsuro Taira 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 154, Tatsuro Taira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joshua Van leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#3][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (39-11-0, -179) vs. [#7][#6UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-2-0, +150)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#17HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 2
2025-11-22: W vs. [#44HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 1
2025-11-01: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkov -179 61.59%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 2113.59 +83.77 61.83%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 2101.16 +63.56 59.05%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2191.29 +74.86 60.61%
WHR Alexander Volkov 2004.06 +101.67 64.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.5, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 196, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#8][#8UFC] Sean Brady (18-2-0, -168) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0, +141)
Sean Brady is the All-Time #33 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#2WW] Michael Morales (19-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:27 of round 1
2025-03-22: W vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 4
2024-09-07: W vs. [#36WW] Gilbert Burns (22-10-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2025-06-14: L vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-12-14: W vs. [*] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:42 of round 3
2024-10-05: W vs. [#26WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Brady -168 60.17%
Elo K170 Sean Brady 2158.50 +48.12 56.88%
Elo Modified Sean Brady 2116.67 +34.35 54.93%
Glicko-1 Joaquin Buckley 2202.58 +27.13 53.90%
WHR Sean Brady 1960.51 +20.95 53.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sean Brady 33.4, Joaquin Buckley 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Brady 175, Joaquin Buckley 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#43][#26UFC] Bobby Green (34-17-1, -336) vs. [#1454][#92UFC] Jeremy Stephens (29-22-0, +267)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-1-0)
2026-02-28: W vs. [#104LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 2
2025-12-13: W vs. [#82LW] Lance Gibson Jr. (10-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#12LW] Mauricio Ruffy (13-2-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#51LW] Mason Jones (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-25: L vs. [#60LW] Natan Schulte (25-6-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:32 of round 2
2022-06-17: W vs. [*] Myles Price (11-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bobby Green -336 73.87%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1792.39 +262.88 81.95%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1766.10 +267.44 82.34%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 1813.08 +313.38 85.87%
WHR Bobby Green 1749.82 +329.42 86.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bobby Green 39.6, Jeremy Stephens 39.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 70, Jeremy Stephens 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#100][#53UFC] Ateba Abega Gautier (10-1-0, -1244) vs. [#119][#58UFC] Osman Diaz (10-3-0, +741)

Last 3 Fights: Ateba Abega Gautier (3-0-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#178MW] Andrey Pulyaev (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#325MW] Treston Vines (10-4-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2025-07-19: W vs. [#146MW] Robert Valentin (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Osman Diaz (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#138MW] Djorden Santos (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#25LHW] Mingyang Zhang (19-7-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2024-05-17: W vs. [#95HW+] Bevon Lewis (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ateba Abega Gautier -1244 88.61%
Elo K170 Ateba Abega Gautier 1623.26 +96.47 63.54%
Elo Modified Ateba Abega Gautier 1646.69 +94.92 63.33%
Glicko-1 Ateba Abega Gautier 1697.98 +138.40 68.93%
WHR Ateba Abega Gautier 1596.71 +12.41 51.78%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ateba Abega Gautier 24.1, Osman Diaz 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ateba Abega Gautier 105, Osman Diaz 427
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#19][#16UFC] Yaroslav Amosov (29-1-0, -182) vs. [#23][#19UFC] Joel Alvarez (23-3-0, +152)

Last 3 Fights: Yaroslav Amosov (2-1-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#27WW] Neil Magny (31-14-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:14 of round 1
2025-03-14: W vs. [#208MW] Curtis Millender (22-13-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2023-11-17: L vs. [#14WW] Jason Jackson (19-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:08 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#20MW] Vicente Luque (24-12-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#102LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yaroslav Amosov -182 61.92%
Elo K170 Yaroslav Amosov 2108.56 +78.85 61.15%
Elo Modified Yaroslav Amosov 2066.20 +45.90 56.57%
Glicko-1 Yaroslav Amosov 2107.94 +7.56 51.09%
WHR Joel Alvarez 2051.10 +48.91 56.99%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yaroslav Amosov 32.6, Joel Alvarez 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yaroslav Amosov 147, Joel Alvarez 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#25][#17UFC] Grant Dawson (23-3-1, -176) vs. [#57][#32UFC] Mateusz Rebecki (21-4-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#20LW] Manuel Torres (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [#42LW] Diego Ferreira (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#22LW] Rafa Garcia (19-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Rebecki (1-2-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#34LW] Ludovit Klein (24-5-1) via MD (28-27, 29-28, 28-28)
2025-08-02: L vs. [#46LW] Chris Duncan (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#24WW] Myktybek Orolbai (16-2-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -176 61.26%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 1941.93 +223.82 78.39%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 1940.77 +202.57 76.24%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 1952.67 +141.37 69.29%
WHR Grant Dawson 1852.01 +98.52 63.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Grant Dawson 32.2, Mateusz Rebecki 33.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 154, Mateusz Rebecki 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Grant Dawson leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#54][#31UFC] Jared Gordon (21-8-0, -317) vs. [#89][#48UFC] Jim Miller (38-19-0, +253)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#22LW] Rafa Garcia (19-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:27 of round 3
2025-05-17: W vs. [#86LW] Thiago Moises (19-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2024-06-22: L vs. [#63LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#98LW] Chase Hooper (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-11-16: W vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:44 of round 1
2024-04-13: L vs. [#43LW] Bobby Green (34-17-1) via UD (29-27, 30-25, 29-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jared Gordon -317 72.85%
Elo K170 Jared Gordon 1752.63 +83.97 61.85%
Elo Modified Jared Gordon 1759.80 +94.48 63.27%
Glicko-1 Jared Gordon 1789.73 +36.02 55.17%
WHR Jared Gordon 1720.13 +107.64 65.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jared Gordon 37.7, Jim Miller 42.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 238, Jim Miller 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#25][#20UFC] Roman Kopylov (14-5-0, +161) vs. [#86][#48UFC] Marco Tulio (14-2-0, -193)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (1-2-0)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#13MW] Gregory Rodrigues (19-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#6LHW] Paulo Costa (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#32WW] Chris Curtis (32-13-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marco Tulio (2-1-0)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#17MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (14-2-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist and Punches) in 3:28 of round 2
2025-04-12: W vs. [#95MW] Tresean Gore (6-4-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 2
2025-01-11: W vs. [*] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marco Tulio -193 63.22%
Elo K170 Roman Kopylov 1713.10 +74.35 60.54%
Elo Modified Roman Kopylov 1734.36 +45.09 56.45%
Glicko-1 Roman Kopylov 1796.97 +68.33 59.71%
WHR Roman Kopylov 1745.11 +31.01 54.45%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Kopylov 34.0, Marco Tulio 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Kopylov 175, Marco Tulio 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#21][#16UFC] Pat Sabatini (21-5-0, -216) vs. [#33][#21UFC] William Gomis (15-3-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: Pat Sabatini (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#46FW] Jose Mariscal (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#49FW] Joanderson Brito (18-5-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-10-12: W vs. [*] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#81FW] Robert Ruchala (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#82FW] Hyder Amil (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#49FW] Joanderson Brito (18-5-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Pat Sabatini -216 65.51%
Elo K170 Pat Sabatini 1934.61 +93.02 63.08%
Elo Modified Pat Sabatini 1935.01 +142.93 69.48%
Glicko-1 Pat Sabatini 1985.60 +157.97 71.29%
WHR Pat Sabatini 1887.88 +199.91 75.96%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Pat Sabatini 35.5, William Gomis 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pat Sabatini 175, William Gomis 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#88][#49UFC] Baisangur Susurkaev (11-0-0, -704) vs. [#138][#61UFC] Djorden Santos (11-2-0, +488)

Last 3 Fights: Baisangur Susurkaev (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#76MW] Eric McConico (11-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:38 of round 3
2025-08-16: W vs. [#295MW] Eric Nolan (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:01 of round 2
2025-08-12: W vs. [#504MW] Murtaza Talha Ali (7-2-0) via KO (Front Kick to the Body) in 3:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Djorden Santos (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#293MW] Danny Barlow (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#119MW] Osman Diaz (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#236MW] Will Currie (13-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Baisangur Susurkaev -704 83.73%
Elo K170 Baisangur Susurkaev 1661.72 +144.21 69.64%
Elo Modified Baisangur Susurkaev 1710.93 +185.05 74.37%
Glicko-1 Baisangur Susurkaev 1742.98 +230.71 79.05%
WHR Baisangur Susurkaev 1683.18 +188.85 74.78%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Baisangur Susurkaev 25.3, Djorden Santos 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Baisangur Susurkaev 175, Djorden Santos 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#56][#29UFC] Jose Ochoa (8-2-0, -181) vs. [#83][#38UFC] Clayton Carpenter (8-2-0, +150)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (1-2-0)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#14FLY] Asu Almabayev (23-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (18-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#6FLY] Loneer Kavanagh (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Clayton Carpenter (1-2-0)
2025-10-11: L vs. [#60FLY] Jafel Filho (17-5-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:42 of round 1
2025-01-18: L vs. [#17FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#88FLY] Lucas Rocha (18-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jose Ochoa -181 61.68%
Elo K170 Clayton Carpenter 1489.33 +25.66 53.69%
Elo Modified Clayton Carpenter 1531.30 +33.98 54.88%
Glicko-1 Clayton Carpenter 1531.72 +10.20 51.47%
WHR Jose Ochoa 1565.49 +72.45 60.28%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jose Ochoa 25.3, Clayton Carpenter 29.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Ochoa 287, Clayton Carpenter 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Khamzat Chimaev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Joshua Van
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Joshua Van vs. Tatsuro Taira
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2026-5-6

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