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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady (03-22-2025)

Posted on March 17, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#2][#7DD][#10P4P][#2UFC] Leon Edwards (22-4-0, +122) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Sean Brady (17-1-0, -146)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.
Sean Brady is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#8WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#17MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Brady -146 56.84%
Elo K170 Leon Edwards 2392.96 +237.48 79.69%
Elo Modified Leon Edwards 2324.27 +207.69 76.78%
Glicko-1 Leon Edwards 2374.73 +201.45 76.13%
WHR Leon Edwards 2105.13 +83.24 61.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 33.6, Sean Brady 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Sean Brady 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1, +199) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Carlos Ulberg (12-1-0, -243)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #10 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (1-1-1)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#1LHW][#6P4P] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-05-14: W vs. [#21LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#11LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#23LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2023-09-09: W vs. [#90LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Ulberg -243 67.93%
Elo K170 Jan Blachowicz 2056.71 +103.47 64.47%
Elo Modified Jan Blachowicz 2123.58 +165.15 72.12%
Glicko-1 Jan Blachowicz 2218.42 +217.42 77.75%
WHR Jan Blachowicz 2026.68 +94.14 63.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jan Blachowicz 42.1, Carlos Ulberg 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 602, Carlos Ulberg 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#27][#21UFC] Kevin Holland (26-13-0, +119) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (19-5-1, -143)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#20MW] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-10-05: L vs. [#9MW] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#51MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#105MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:51 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#430WW] Takashi Sato (16-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gunnar Nelson -143 56.31%
Elo K170 Gunnar Nelson 1923.36 +191.41 75.06%
Elo Modified Gunnar Nelson 1945.14 +189.29 74.83%
Glicko-1 Gunnar Nelson 2019.31 +182.81 74.12%
WHR Gunnar Nelson 1906.38 +141.71 69.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.4, Gunnar Nelson 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 63, Gunnar Nelson 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 2-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#30] Alexia Thainara (11-1-0, -192) vs. [#64][#35UFC] Molly McCann (14-7-0, +156)

Last 3 Fights: Alexia Thainara (3-0-0)
2024-09-24: W vs. [#113SW] Rose Conceicao (7-2-0) via UD ()
2023-12-17: W vs. [*] Thaiane Souza (11-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:09 of round 1
2023-08-26: W vs. [#92FLY] Sabrina Oliveira (7-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Molly McCann (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#59FLY] Bruna Brasil (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#128SW] Diana Belbita (15-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-07-22: L vs. [#50FLY] Julija Stoliarenko (11-8-2) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexia Thainara -192 62.73%
Elo K170 Alexia Thainara 1519.50 +217.05 77.72%
Elo Modified Alexia Thainara 1505.44 +148.00 70.10%
Glicko-1 Alexia Thainara 1547.34 +230.23 79.01%
WHR Alexia Thainara 1488.54 +212.41 77.26%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexia Thainara 27.3, Molly McCann 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexia Thainara 179, Molly McCann 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#126][#54UFC] Chris Duncan (12-2-0, +272) vs. [#208][#71UFC] Jordan Vucenic (13-3-0, -351)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Duncan (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#249LW] Bolaji Oki (9-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-24: L vs. [#125LW] Manuel Torres (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#148LW] Yanal Ashmouz (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Vucenic (2-1-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#99LW] Guram Kutateladze (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#804LW] Adrian Kepa (12-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:22 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [#474FW] Simone DAnna (11-5-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:53 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jordan Vucenic -351 74.32%
Elo K170 Chris Duncan 1651.70 +96.45 63.54%
Elo Modified Chris Duncan 1644.06 +97.40 63.66%
Glicko-1 Chris Duncan 1644.88 +65.30 59.29%
WHR Jordan Vucenic 1605.08 +14.50 52.09%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chris Duncan 31.8, Jordan Vucenic 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Duncan 175, Jordan Vucenic 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#56][#34UFC] Nathaniel Wood (20-6-0, +143) vs. [#91][#43UFC] Morgan Charriere (20-10-1, -172)

Last 3 Fights: Nathaniel Wood (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Pineda (28-17-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#55FW] Muhammadjon Naimov (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#53FW] Andre Fili (24-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Morgan Charriere (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#451FW] Gabriel Miranda (17-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:27 of round 2
2024-04-06: L vs. [#29FW] Jose Mariscal (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [*] Manolo Zecchini (11-4-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Morgan Charriere -172 60.58%
Elo K170 Nathaniel Wood 1767.81 +141.33 69.29%
Elo Modified Nathaniel Wood 1753.88 +75.35 60.68%
Glicko-1 Nathaniel Wood 1795.69 +14.99 52.16%
WHR Nathaniel Wood 1705.65 +3.49 50.50%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nathaniel Wood 31.6, Morgan Charriere 29.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nathaniel Wood 238, Morgan Charriere 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Nathaniel Wood leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#94][#43UFC] Chris Padilla (15-6-0, +111) vs. [#106][#48UFC] Jai Herbert (13-5-1, -133)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Padilla (3-0-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#124LW] Zhu Rong (26-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-04-27: W vs. [#277WW] James Llontop (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:33 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#450LW] Justin Jaynes (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jai Herbert (1-1-1)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#355LW] Rolando Bedoya (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#36LW] Fares Ziam (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-18: D vs. [#40LW] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jai Herbert -133 54.63%
Elo K170 Chris Padilla 1659.28 +43.15 56.18%
Elo Modified Chris Padilla 1662.88 +11.59 51.67%
Glicko-1 Chris Padilla 1768.39 +127.24 67.54%
WHR Jai Herbert 1669.48 +10.92 51.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chris Padilla 29.5, Jai Herbert 36.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Padilla 196, Jai Herbert 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#66][#29UFC] Loneer Kavanagh (8-0-0, -395) vs. [#98][#34UFC] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0, +301)

Last 3 Fights: Loneer Kavanagh (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#204FLY] Jose Ochoa (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-13: W vs. [#393FLY] An Tuan Ho (6-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:35 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [#173FLY] Shawn Marcos da Silva (7-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Felipe dos Santos (1-2-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#29FLY] Andre Lima (11-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#142FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2023-09-09: L vs. [#8FLY] Manel Kape (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Loneer Kavanagh -395 76.18%
Elo K170 Loneer Kavanagh 1573.72 +76.53 60.84%
Elo Modified Loneer Kavanagh 1643.07 +202.35 76.22%
Glicko-1 Loneer Kavanagh 1605.32 +182.89 74.13%
WHR Loneer Kavanagh 1597.31 +152.09 70.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Loneer Kavanagh 25.8, Felipe dos Santos 24.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Loneer Kavanagh 119, Felipe dos Santos 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#15][#11UFC] Marcin Tybura (26-9-0, -135) vs. [#55][#20UFC] Mick Parkin (10-0-0, +113)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#63HW+] Jhonata Diniz (8-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-08-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:44 of round 1
2024-03-16: W vs. [#18HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mick Parkin (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#125HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (9-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#122HW+] Mohammed Usman (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#106LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcin Tybura -135 55.02%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1854.06 +158.58 71.36%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1876.79 +174.83 73.23%
Glicko-1 Marcin Tybura 1909.95 +191.46 75.06%
WHR Marcin Tybura 1787.46 +168.95 72.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcin Tybura 39.3, Mick Parkin 29.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 126, Mick Parkin 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#72][#45UFC] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0, -541) vs. [#208] Andrey Pulyaev (9-2-0, +400)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Leroy Duncan (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#26MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#144MW] Claudio Ribeiro (12-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:57 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:24 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andrey Pulyaev (3-0-0)
2024-08-27: W vs. [#373MW] Liam Anderson (6-3-0) via UD ()
2024-02-02: W vs. [#510MW] Weldon Silva de Oliveira (41-25-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1
2023-10-07: W vs. [NA] Nikita Kondratov (2-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:49 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Christian Leroy Duncan -541 80.84%
Elo K170 Christian Leroy Duncan 1604.27 +138.29 68.91%
Elo Modified Christian Leroy Duncan 1650.75 +150.79 70.43%
Glicko-1 Christian Leroy Duncan 1695.87 +180.37 73.85%
WHR Christian Leroy Duncan 1588.90 +188.94 74.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Christian Leroy Duncan 29.6, Andrey Pulyaev 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Christian Leroy Duncan 238, Andrey Pulyaev 207
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#51][#32UFC] Puja Tomar (9-4-0, +150) vs. [#82][#41UFC] Shauna Bannon (6-1-0, -182)

Last 3 Fights: Puja Tomar (3-0-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#73SW] Rayanne dos Santos (14-8-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 30-27)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#131FLY] Anastasia Feofanova (10-3-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-11-18: W vs. [*] Bi Nguyen (6-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:52 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shauna Bannon (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#145SW] Alice Ardelean (9-7-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#59FLY] Bruna Brasil (10-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-15: W vs. [*] Minna Grusander (6-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shauna Bannon -182 61.73%
Elo K170 Puja Tomar 1409.88 +57.37 58.18%
Elo Modified Shauna Bannon 1410.71 +79.23 61.21%
Glicko-1 Puja Tomar 1344.27 +42.82 56.13%
WHR Puja Tomar 1291.90 +24.53 53.52%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Puja Tomar 31.3, Shauna Bannon 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Puja Tomar 287, Shauna Bannon 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#103][#48UFC] Nathan Fletcher (9-1-0, -148) vs. [#168][#63UFC] Caolan Loughran (9-2-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Nathan Fletcher (3-0-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#320FW] Zygimantas Ramaska (9-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:14 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#732FW] Daan Duijs (10-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-12-31: W vs. [#264BW] Alessandro Giordano (9-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Caolan Loughran (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#148BW] Jake Hadley (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#783BW] Angel Pacheco (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#34BW] Taylor Lapilus (21-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nathan Fletcher -148 57.09%
Elo K170 Nathan Fletcher 1533.03 +91.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Nathan Fletcher 1567.81 +107.14 64.95%
Glicko-1 Nathan Fletcher 1594.80 +91.48 62.87%
WHR Nathan Fletcher 1519.46 +68.35 59.71%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nathan Fletcher 27.2, Caolan Loughran 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nathan Fletcher 196, Caolan Loughran 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#99][#46UFC] Guram Kutateladze (13-4-0, -440) vs. [#145][#61UFC] Kaue Fernandes (9-2-0, +328)

Last 3 Fights: Guram Kutateladze (1-2-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#208LW] Jordan Vucenic (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#90LW] Elves Brener (16-5-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2022-06-18: L vs. [#70LW] Damir Ismagulov (26-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kaue Fernandes (2-1-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#505LW] Mohammad Yahya (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2023-11-04: L vs. [#77LW] Marc Diakiese (18-7-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#160WW] Felipe Douglas (22-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Guram Kutateladze -440 77.71%
Elo K170 Guram Kutateladze 1708.39 +149.98 70.34%
Elo Modified Guram Kutateladze 1712.01 +60.30 58.59%
Glicko-1 Guram Kutateladze 1727.14 +35.69 55.12%
WHR Kaue Fernandes 1679.25 +23.63 53.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Guram Kutateladze 33.2, Kaue Fernandes 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Guram Kutateladze 231, Kaue Fernandes 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Leon Edwards
Highest Stored DD Rating: Leon Edwards
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-3-16

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