Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis (04-06-2024)

Apr 1, 2024
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#9] Brendan Allen (23-5-0, -208) vs. [#21] Chris Curtis (31-10-0, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#18MW] Paul Craig (17-7-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-06-24: W vs. [#42MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#20MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#38MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#13MW] Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#26WW] Kelvin Gastelum (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -208 64.41%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2095.28 +233.56 79.32%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2085.52 +251.76 80.99%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2185.78 +289.72 84.13%
WHR Brendan Allen 1973.53 +164.11 72.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 140, Chris Curtis 77
Previous Match-up Record: Chris Curtis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#41] Damon Jackson (22-6-1, +156) vs. [#82] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0, -192)

Last 3 Fights: Damon Jackson (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#38FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#16FW] Dan Ige (18-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2
2022-09-17: W vs. [#76FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 1:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (1-2-0)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#35FW] Bill Algeo (18-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#54LW] Jim Miller (37-17-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#38FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:30 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Hernandez -192 62.73%
Elo K170 Damon Jackson 1656.37 +37.89 55.43%
Elo Modified Damon Jackson 1661.48 +32.25 54.63%
Glicko-1 Damon Jackson 1704.49 +12.92 51.86%
WHR Damon Jackson 1665.57 +91.26 62.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damon Jackson 245, Alexander Hernandez 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#46] Jose Mariscal (15-6-0, +135) vs. [#110] Morgan Charriere (19-9-1, -166)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Mariscal (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#144FW] Jack Jenkins (12-3-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 3:19 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#159LW] Trevor Peek (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-17: W vs. [#118FW] Guilherme Faria de Souza (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Morgan Charriere (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#534FW] Manolo Zecchini (11-4-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2023-07-21: W vs. [#332LW] Diego Silva (16-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2023-04-29: W vs. [#924FW] Pedro Souza (18-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Morgan Charriere -166 59.46%
Elo K170 Jose Mariscal 1727.04 +106.94 64.92%
Elo Modified Jose Mariscal 1742.40 +109.44 65.25%
Glicko-1 Jose Mariscal 1774.05 +58.91 58.40%
WHR Jose Mariscal 1710.42 +82.76 61.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Mariscal 210, Morgan Charriere 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#97] Ignacio Bahamondes (15-5-0, -330) vs. [#103] Christos Giagos (20-11-0, +253)

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#70LW] Ludovit Klein (21-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#88LW] Trey Ogden (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#98LW] Zhu Rong (25-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:40 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Christos Giagos (1-2-0)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#61LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2023-04-22: W vs. [#138LW] Ricky Glenn (22-8-2) via KO (Punch) in 1:35 of round 1
2022-06-25: L vs. [#51LW] Thiago Moises (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ignacio Bahamondes -330 73.03%
Elo K170 Christos Giagos 1637.20 +7.55 51.09%
Elo Modified Christos Giagos 1641.99 +3.06 50.44%
Glicko-1 Ignacio Bahamondes 1690.70 +36.15 55.18%
WHR Ignacio Bahamondes 1638.16 +34.75 54.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ignacio Bahamondes 245, Christos Giagos 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#74] Valter Walker (11-0-0, -390) vs. [#173] Lukasz Brzeski (8-4-1, +288)

Last 3 Fights: Valter Walker (3-0-0)
2023-06-02: W vs. [#144HW+] Alex Nicholson (18-11-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:50 of round 4
2023-05-03: W vs. [#475WW] Cassio Oliveira (21-16-1) via KO in 1:47 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [NA] Ramdan Mohamed (6-6-0) via TKO in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Lukasz Brzeski (0-3-0)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (11-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2023-03-11: L vs. [#54HW+] Karl Williams (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#70HW+] Martin Buday (13-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valter Walker -390 75.54%
Elo K170 Valter Walker 1591.39 +289.06 84.08%
Elo Modified Valter Walker 1592.09 +198.69 75.84%
Glicko-1 Valter Walker 1634.55 +257.41 81.49%
WHR Valter Walker 1543.12 +203.96 76.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valter Walker 309, Lukasz Brzeski 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#159] Trevor Peek (9-1-0, +187) vs. [#434] Charlie Campbell (8-2-0, -232)

Last 3 Fights: Trevor Peek (2-1-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#467LW] Mohammad Yahya (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#46FW] Jose Mariscal (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#469LW] Erick Gonzalez (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Charlie Campbell (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#1741LW] Alex Reyes (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 1
2023-06-16: W vs. [#908LW] Josh Streacker (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1
2022-08-02: L vs. [#207LW] Chris Duncan (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charlie Campbell -232 66.73%
Elo K170 Trevor Peek 1562.18 +70.55 60.02%
Elo Modified Trevor Peek 1596.81 +100.26 64.04%
Glicko-1 Trevor Peek 1630.63 +80.06 61.32%
WHR Trevor Peek 1534.88 +109.80 65.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevor Peek 168, Charlie Campbell 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#35] Alex Morono (23-9-0, -343) vs. [#106] Court McGee (21-12-0, +259)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (1-2-0)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#12WW] Joaquin Buckley (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#36WW] Tim Means (33-15-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:09 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Court McGee (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#55WW] Matt Brown (24-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:09 of round 1
2022-06-18: L vs. [#60WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:34 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [*] Ramiz Brahimaj (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Morono -343 73.53%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1715.87 +227.82 78.78%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1755.31 +221.21 78.13%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1823.40 +285.69 83.82%
WHR Alex Morono 1682.23 +209.81 76.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 182, Court McGee 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#4FW] Norma Dumont (10-2-0, -199) vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0, +161)
Germaine de Randamie is the All-Time #29 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (3-0-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#11BW] Chelsea Chandler (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#9BW] Karol Rosa (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [*] Danyelle Wolf (1-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Germaine de Randamie (2-1-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [*] Julianna Pena (11-5-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:25 of round 3
2019-12-14: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#10FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Norma Dumont -199 63.46%
Elo K170 Germaine de Randamie 1757.76 +127.76 67.60%
Elo Modified Germaine de Randamie 1763.00 +80.58 61.39%
Glicko-1 Germaine de Randamie 1780.27 +156.06 71.06%
WHR Germaine de Randamie 1853.58 +287.12 83.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 266, Germaine de Randamie 1281
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#68] Victor Hugo Silva (24-4-0, -134) vs. [#74] Heili Alateng (16-9-2, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Hugo Silva (3-0-0)
2023-10-03: W vs. [#308BW] Eduardo Torres Cant (16-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:16 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#492BW] Cristiano Cruz (16-10-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-08-23: W vs. [#859LW] Sanzhar Azhibaev (24-12-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:41 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#21BW] Chris Gutierrez (20-6-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#184BW] Chad Anheliger (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-16: W vs. [*] Kevin Croom (24-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Victor Hugo Silva -134 54.59%
Elo K170 Victor Hugo Silva 1717.52 +105.01 64.67%
Elo Modified Victor Hugo Silva 1717.37 +131.72 68.10%
Glicko-1 Victor Hugo Silva 1795.90 +187.82 74.67%
WHR Victor Hugo Silva 1763.28 +285.56 83.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victor Hugo Silva 186, Heili Alateng 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#22] Cynthia Calvillo (9-6-1, +138) vs. [#37] Piera Rodriguez (9-1-0, -168)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (0-3-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (12-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2022-08-13: L vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#20FLY] Andrea Lee (13-9-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Piera Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#13SW] Gillian Robertson (13-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-10-15: W vs. [#46SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Kay Hansen (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Piera Rodriguez -168 59.87%
Elo K170 Piera Rodriguez 1473.38 +196.02 75.55%
Elo Modified Piera Rodriguez 1514.41 +80.20 61.34%
Glicko-1 Piera Rodriguez 1474.40 +44.84 56.42%
WHR Piera Rodriguez 1396.07 +3.43 50.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cynthia Calvillo 364, Piera Rodriguez 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cynthia Calvillo leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#99] Jean Matsumoto (14-0-0, -190) vs. [#143] Dan Argueta (9-2-0, +155)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (3-0-0)
2023-09-12: W vs. [#486BW] Kasey Tanner (6-1-0) via UD ()
2023-03-10: W vs. [#354BW] Marlon Basilio de Oliveir (10-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:00 of round 2
2022-11-04: W vs. [#500BW] Inaildo Santos (9-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Dan Argueta (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#45BW] Miles Johns (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-06-17: NC vs. [#176BW] Ronnie Lawrence (9-2-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#871BW] Nick Aguirre (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Matsumoto -190 62.55%
Elo K170 Jean Matsumoto 1749.04 +258.47 81.58%
Elo Modified Jean Matsumoto 1777.20 +280.67 83.42%
Glicko-1 Jean Matsumoto 1785.55 +300.24 84.92%
WHR Jean Matsumoto 1712.83 +277.00 83.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jean Matsumoto 207, Dan Argueta 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#132] Dylan Budka (7-2-0, -153) vs. [#169] Cesar Almeida (4-0-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Dylan Budka (2-1-0)
2023-09-05: W vs. [#194MW] Chad Hanekom (9-3-0) via UD ()
2023-08-26: W vs. [NA] Dan Stevenson (2-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1
2023-06-16: L vs. [#75MW] Azamat Bekoev (17-3-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Cesar Almeida (3-0-0)
2023-08-08: W vs. [#191MW] Lucas Fernando (9-3-0) via UD ()
2021-12-18: W vs. [NA] Danilo de Souza Silva (8-34-1) via KO in 0:38 of round 1
2021-06-27: W vs. [#195MW] Vitor Ferreira Costa (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 04:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dylan Budka -153 57.85%
Elo K170 Dylan Budka 1440.61 +109.90 65.31%
Elo Modified Dylan Budka 1552.56 +156.09 71.06%
Glicko-1 Dylan Budka 1523.93 +146.00 69.86%
WHR Cesar Almeida 1523.64 +143.75 69.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dylan Budka 214, Cesar Almeida 242
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Melissa Dixon (6-0-0, -301) vs. [#14] Nora Cornolle (7-1-0, +235)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Dixon (3-0-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#29BW] Irina Alekseeva (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-11-03: W vs. [#19BW] Dariya Zheleznyakova (9-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#16BW] Rizlen Zouak (8-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Nora Cornolle (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#35BW] Joselyne Edwards (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-17: W vs. [#146BW] Hassna Gaber (4-3-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 2:45 of round 1
2023-02-26: W vs. [NA] Sanaa Mandar (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Dixon -301 71.54%
Elo K170 Melissa Dixon 1487.50 +48.73 56.97%
Elo Modified Melissa Dixon 1557.54 +115.27 66.01%
Glicko-1 Melissa Dixon 1510.37 +65.40 59.30%
WHR Melissa Dixon 1443.47 +70.36 59.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melissa Dixon 175, Nora Cornolle 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Brendan Allen
Highest Stored DD Rating: Brendan Allen
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2024-3-31

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