WHR Parlays – The Rest of March…

We debuted the “WHR Parlay” series recently and you can view that here.  We got so very close to hitting and as a result, I thought we’d try again.

An issue with the parlays, is that there are a lot checkboxes that a fight must tick off to qualify.  Therefore, I am combining multiple events in one post and am also opening it up to all of MMA.  Though there is not much betting action on non-UFC fights (as far as I can tell), if they qualify and I have the info, I will throw them in.

In this post, I will also throw in a second parlay… a collection of the best bets (favorites included).  This one is a bit more subjective as I need to “draw the line” on the amount of fights to include.

Without further ado…

• Only bouts with the following criteria are considered:
  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 1 draw or 1 loss.  Unblemished records have no known “ceiling”.
• Our odds are “composite” odds — an average of many major bookmakers.
• This is not “vanilla” WHR (although it is very advanced by default).  Read the FAQ for more info.
• As WHR is an Elo-variant, I’m using the same win probability formula as is the standard in Elo.  If one of you math nerds has a better approach, please let me know.
• “Odds Win %” does not factor in the juice.
• If the “FM Agree” column is “YES”, the standard ratings agree with WHR that the underdog is indeed the underdog and vice-versa.
• Don’t blame us if you lose money.  Gamble at your own risk.

WHR Underdog Parlay

Underdogs with negative odds are not included (“pick’em fights”)

WHR Best Bets Parlay