Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura (03-16-2024)

Mar 11, 2024
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Tai Tuivasa (14-6-0, -128) vs. [#16] Marcin Tybura (24-8-0, +104)
Tai Tuivasa is the All-Time #49 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (0-3-0)
2023-09-09: L vs. [#6HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2022-12-03: L vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#3HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-02-04: W vs. [#25HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (19-6-0) via UD ()
2022-08-20: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tai Tuivasa -128 53.38%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1862.59 +104.08 64.55%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1878.58 +104.84 64.65%
Glicko-1 Marcin Tybura 1900.89 +78.35 61.09%
WHR Marcin Tybura 1781.69 +89.16 62.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tai Tuivasa 189, Marcin Tybura 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 5 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#31] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-4-0, -493) vs. [#45] Ovince St. Preux (26-17-0, +350)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#22LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#44LHW] Devin Clark (14-9-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:28 of round 2
2022-11-19: W vs. [#29LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-10-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#18LHW] Philipe Lins (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#64LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kennedy Nzechukwu -493 78.91%
Elo K170 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1615.71 +83.10 61.74%
Elo Modified Kennedy Nzechukwu 1662.55 +112.03 65.59%
Glicko-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1701.10 +149.64 70.29%
WHR Kennedy Nzechukwu 1659.57 +120.40 66.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 224, Ovince St. Preux 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Mike Davis (10-2-0, -260) vs. [*] Natan Levy (8-1-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Davis (3-0-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#176LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (7-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#86LW] Mason Jones (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Thomas Gifford (17-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:45 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Natan Levy (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#715LW] Genaro Valdez (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#209LW] Mike Breeden (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#41LW] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Davis -260 68.91%
Elo K170 Mike Davis 1626.84 +90.45 62.73%
Elo Modified Mike Davis 1661.28 +100.34 64.05%
Glicko-1 Mike Davis 1678.91 +148.62 70.17%
WHR Mike Davis 1664.94 +201.00 76.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Davis 532, Natan Levy 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Pannie Kianzad (16-7-0, +140) vs. [*] Macy Chiasson (8-3-0, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Pannie Kianzad (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#3BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-16: W vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#1BW/#6DD/#10P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (1-2-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#2BW] Irene Aldana (15-7-0) via KO (Upkick to the Body) in 2:21 of round 3
2022-05-07: W vs. [#4FW] Norma Dumont (10-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#1BW/#6DD/#10P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Macy Chiasson -171 60.22%
Elo K170 Pannie Kianzad 1514.82 +8.71 51.25%
Elo Modified Pannie Kianzad 1541.55 +15.22 52.19%
Glicko-1 Pannie Kianzad 1501.81 +68.52 59.73%
WHR Pannie Kianzad 1489.19 +47.32 56.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pannie Kianzad 238, Macy Chiasson 553
Previous Match-up Record: Macy Chiasson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Pannie Kianzad leads 2-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#86] Joshua Culibao (12-2-1, -177) vs. [#307] Danny Silva (8-1-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Culibao (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#34FW] Lerone Murphy (13-0-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#146FW] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 2
2022-06-11: W vs. [#91FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Danny Silva (2-1-0)
2023-09-26: W vs. [#866FW] Angel Pacheco (8-2-0) via UD ()
2023-06-23: W vs. [#2554FW] Alex Valentino Arteaga (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 1
2022-12-09: L vs. [#167FW] Canaan Kawaihae (9-2-0) via MD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joshua Culibao -177 60.82%
Elo K170 Joshua Culibao 1646.59 +237.02 79.65%
Elo Modified Joshua Culibao 1592.93 +90.88 62.79%
Glicko-1 Joshua Culibao 1591.84 +120.80 66.72%
WHR Joshua Culibao 1533.91 +64.04 59.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Culibao 238, Danny Silva 172
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#51] Thiago Moises (17-7-0) vs. [#273] Mitch Ramirez (8-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#16LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2
2023-01-21: W vs. [#193LW] Melquizael Costa (20-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:05 of round 2
2022-06-25: W vs. [#98LW] Christos Giagos (20-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mitch Ramirez (2-1-0)
2023-12-15: W vs. [#958LW] Eiycaireon Tavarres (5-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
2023-08-29: L vs. [#73WW] Carlos Prates (19-6-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:14 of round 2
2023-05-03: W vs. [#709WW] Jeremie Holloway (10-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:59 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Thiago Moises 1761.10 +277.03 83.13%
Elo Modified Thiago Moises 1776.69 +229.90 78.98%
Glicko-1 Thiago Moises 1819.72 +275.65 83.02%
WHR Thiago Moises 1737.51 +188.14 74.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Moises 196, Mitch Ramirez 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#63] Ode Osbourne (12-6-0, +139) vs. [#91] Jafel Filho (15-3-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#17FLY] Asu Almabaev (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#34FLY] Charles Johnson (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#81FLY] Tyson Nam (21-14-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jafel Filho (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#287FLY] Daniel Barez (16-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:26 of round 1
2023-03-18: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (12-0-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 4:32 of round 3
2022-09-20: W vs. [#600BW] Roybert Echeverria (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:31 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jafel Filho -169 60.02%
Elo K170 Jafel Filho 1571.51 +63.99 59.11%
Elo Modified Jafel Filho 1585.30 +105.96 64.79%
Glicko-1 Jafel Filho 1629.44 +170.93 72.79%
WHR Jafel Filho 1593.54 +178.33 73.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ode Osbourne 224, Jafel Filho 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#131] Christian Rodriguez (10-1-0, +107) vs. [#245] Isaac Dulgarian (6-0-0, -130)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#197BW] Cameron Saaiman (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#212BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (8-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#541LW] Joshua Weems (13-5-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Isaac Dulgarian (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#379FW] Francis Marshall (7-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:48 of round 1
2022-02-06: W vs. [*] Terry Britton (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2021-12-10: W vs. [NA] Ray Ostrander (3-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Isaac Dulgarian -130 53.91%
Elo K170 Christian Rodriguez 1630.23 +213.68 77.38%
Elo Modified Christian Rodriguez 1630.51 +179.03 73.70%
Glicko-1 Christian Rodriguez 1619.10 +151.60 70.53%
WHR Christian Rodriguez 1596.68 +177.45 73.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Christian Rodriguez 154, Isaac Dulgarian 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#87] Bryan Battle (10-2-0, -150) vs. [#97] Ange Loosa (10-3-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Battle (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#203WW] A.J. Fletcher (10-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 2
2023-05-13: W vs. [#204WW] Gabriel Green (11-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:14 of round 1
2022-12-17: L vs. [#46WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (23-2-1) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ange Loosa (2-1-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#120WW] Rhys McKee (13-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#203WW] A.J. Fletcher (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#173WW] Mounir Lazzez (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryan Battle -150 57.23%
Elo K170 Bryan Battle 1692.58 +89.69 62.63%
Elo Modified Bryan Battle 1719.58 +97.85 63.72%
Glicko-1 Bryan Battle 1776.44 +146.69 69.94%
WHR Bryan Battle 1646.27 +77.38 60.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Battle 175, Ange Loosa 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#33] Cory McKenna (8-2-0, -106) vs. [#54] Jaqueline Amorim (7-1-0, -117)

Last 3 Fights: Cory McKenna (2-1-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#89SW] Cheyanne Vlismas (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-06: W vs. [*] Miranda Granger (7-3-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2022-03-19: L vs. [#51SW] Elise Reed (7-4-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jaqueline Amorim (2-1-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#130SW] Montserrat Ruiz (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:41 of round 3
2023-04-08: L vs. [#47SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-16: W vs. [*] Ashley Nichols (7-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jaqueline Amorim -117 51.16%
Elo K170 Cory McKenna 1487.54 +102.37 64.32%
Elo Modified Cory McKenna 1555.53 +127.49 67.57%
Glicko-1 Cory McKenna 1535.65 +111.35 65.50%
WHR Cory McKenna 1397.14 +52.14 57.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory McKenna 455, Jaqueline Amorim 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#218] Charalampos Grigoriou (8-3-0, -202) vs. [#263] Chad Anheliger (12-7-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Charalampos Grigoriou (3-0-0)
2023-08-15: W vs. [#217BW] Cameron Smotherman (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2023-02-10: W vs. [#1353BW] Chris Disonell (6-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:01 of round 5
2022-04-15: W vs. [*] Joey Crisostomo Jr. (2-7-0) via KO in 4:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chad Anheliger (1-2-0)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#130BW] Jose Johnson (17-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3
2022-09-10: L vs. [#75BW] Heili Alateng (16-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#492FW] Jesse Strader (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charalampos Grigoriou -202 63.84%
Elo K170 Chad Anheliger 1406.14 +31.96 54.59%
Elo Modified Chad Anheliger 1405.01 +42.99 56.15%
Glicko-1 Chad Anheliger 1429.43 +39.98 55.73%
WHR Charalampos Grigoriou 1362.71 +19.66 52.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charalampos Grigoriou 214, Chad Anheliger 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Chad Anheliger leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#51] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0, -193) vs. [#90] Bryan Barberena (18-11-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#50MW] Andre Petroski (10-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#29MW] Joe Pyfer (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-08-13: W vs. [#33MW] Bruno Silva (23-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (0-3-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#41MW] Makhmud Muradov (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#28WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:51 of round 1
2022-12-03: L vs. [#11LW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-16-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:20 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gerald Meerschaert -193 62.95%
Elo K170 Bryan Barberena 1604.21 +41.60 55.96%
Elo Modified Gerald Meerschaert 1640.88 +32.50 54.66%
Glicko-1 Gerald Meerschaert 1695.23 +56.46 58.06%
WHR Gerald Meerschaert 1626.94 +88.88 62.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 210, Bryan Barberena 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gerald Meerschaert leads 1-0
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#15FW] Josiane Nunes (10-1-0, -152) vs. [#18FW] Chelsea Chandler (5-2-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Josiane Nunes (3-0-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#39FW] Zarah Fairn (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-26: W vs. [*] Ramona Pascual (6-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-08-21: W vs. [*] Bea Malecki (4-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chelsea Chandler (2-1-0)
2023-07-15: L vs. [#4FW] Norma Dumont (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#37FLY] Julija Stoliarenko (11-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-05-11: W vs. [*] Courtney King (4-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josiane Nunes -152 57.79%
Elo K170 Josiane Nunes 1528.03 +147.72 70.06%
Elo Modified Josiane Nunes 1539.93 +67.82 59.64%
Glicko-1 Josiane Nunes 1559.30 +161.48 71.70%
WHR Josiane Nunes 1514.72 +187.98 74.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josiane Nunes 420, Chelsea Chandler 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Tai Tuivasa
Highest Stored DD Rating: Tai Tuivasa
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Tai Tuivasa vs. Marcin Tybura
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Tai Tuivasa vs. Marcin Tybura
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2024-3-10

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