Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 (02-23-2024)

Feb 19, 2024
Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2, -253) vs. [#5] Brandon Royval (15-7-0, +201)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #26 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#10BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (22-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#4FLY] Kai Kara-France (24-11-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#10FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [#41FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -253 68.32%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 2022.28 +171.15 68.61%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 2026.57 +266.16 76.23%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 2145.82 +329.02 86.92%
WHR Brandon Moreno 2027.83 +281.22 78.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 231, Brandon Royval 70
Previous Match-up Record: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-1
.

Featherweight (145)
[#4] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0, -173) vs. [*] Brian Ortega (15-3-0, +141)
Yair Rodriguez is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-07-16: W vs. [*] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#4FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-10-17: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yair Rodriguez -173 60.43%
Elo K170 Yair Rodriguez 2113.37 +125.87 63.99%
Elo Modified Yair Rodriguez 2044.32 +99.92 60.76%
Glicko-1 Yair Rodriguez 2128.98 +138.90 68.99%
WHR Yair Rodriguez 1955.28 +117.46 63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yair Rodriguez 231, Brian Ortega 588
Previous Match-up Record: Yair Rodriguez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brian Ortega leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#64] Daniel Zellhuber (14-1-0, -261) vs. [#186] Francisco Prado (13-1-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Zellhuber (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#95LW] Christos Giagos (20-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#263LW] Lando Vannata (12-7-2) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#176LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (2-1-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#522LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#114LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-16: W vs. [#717WW] Jose Barrios Vargas (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Zellhuber -261 68.87%
Elo K170 Daniel Zellhuber 1740.90 +145.15 66.00%
Elo Modified Daniel Zellhuber 1768.02 +165.55 67.36%
Glicko-1 Daniel Zellhuber 1802.83 +124.56 67.20%
WHR Daniel Zellhuber 1659.94 +127.03 64.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Zellhuber 161, Francisco Prado 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#213] Raul Rosas Jr. (8-1-0, -267) vs. [*] Ricky Turcios (12-3-0, +210)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#614BW] Terrence Mitchell (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2023-04-08: L vs. [#136FW] Christian Rodriguez (10-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#350BW] Jay Perrin (11-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Turcios (2-1-0)
2022-11-19: W vs. [*] Kevin Natividad (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#111BW] Aiemann Zahabi (10-2-0) via UD ()
2021-08-28: W vs. [#150BW] Brady Hiestand (7-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -267 69.27%
Elo K170 Ricky Turcios 1502.52 +47.07 55.36%
Elo Modified Raul Rosas Jr. 1478.22 +64.49 57.01%
Glicko-1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1498.17 +132.92 68.25%
WHR Raul Rosas Jr. 1437.99 +48.95 55.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raul Rosas Jr. 161, Ricky Turcios 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#34] Sam Hughes (8-5-0, +351) vs. [#45] Yazmin Jauregui (10-1-0, -484)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#56SW] Jaqueline Amorim (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#33SW] Piera Rodriguez (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#52SW] Elise Reed (7-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Yazmin Jauregui (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#20SW] Denise Gomes (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#159SW] Istela Nunes (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-08-13: W vs. [#24SW] Iasmin Lucindo (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yazmin Jauregui -484 78.89%
Elo K170 Yazmin Jauregui 1450.62 +31.34 53.57%
Elo Modified Yazmin Jauregui 1480.54 +70.79 57.69%
Glicko-1 Yazmin Jauregui 1479.66 +95.37 63.39%
WHR Yazmin Jauregui 1408.65 +110.66 62.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Hughes 322, Yazmin Jauregui 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#118] Manuel Torres (14-2-0, -124) vs. [#133] Chris Duncan (11-1-0, +101)

Last 3 Fights: Manuel Torres (3-0-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#145LW] Nikolas Motta (14-5-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:50 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [*] Frank Camacho (22-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:27 of round 1
2021-10-26: W vs. [#344LW] Kolton Englund (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Duncan (3-0-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#207LW] Yanal Ashmoz (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#306LW] Omar Morales (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2022-08-02: W vs. [#430LW] Charlie Campbell (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manuel Torres -124 52.66%
Elo K170 Manuel Torres 1664.43 +29.47 53.36%
Elo Modified Manuel Torres 1669.43 +40.58 54.43%
Glicko-1 Manuel Torres 1695.55 +75.84 60.75%
WHR Manuel Torres 1646.00 +70.63 58.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manuel Torres 252, Chris Duncan 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#62] Raoni Barcelos (17-5-0) vs. [#171] Cristian Quinonez (18-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#31BW] Kyler Phillips (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#17BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (16-0-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1
2022-10-01: W vs. [#76BW] Trevin Jones (15-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Cristian Quinonez (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#83BW] Kyung Ho Kang (19-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:25 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#358FW] Khalid Taha (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2021-10-26: W vs. [#105BW] Long Xiao (26-7-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1615.34 +30.83 53.52%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1665.87 +68.02 57.39%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1706.77 +98.31 63.78%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1652.68 +111.62 62.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 203, Cristian Quinonez 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#101] Jesus Santos Aguilar (9-2-0) vs. [#197] Mateus Mendonca (10-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jesus Santos Aguilar (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#507FLY] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#22FLY] Tatsuro Taira (15-0-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1
2022-08-23: W vs. [#893FW] Erisson Ferreira da Silva (14-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:56 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Mateus Mendonca (1-2-0)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#25FLY] Nathan Maness (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2023-01-14: L vs. [#44BW] Javid Basharat (14-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-27: W vs. [#616BW] Ashiek Ajim (6-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jesus Santos Aguilar 1530.93 +58.37 56.63%
Elo Modified Jesus Santos Aguilar 1547.09 +32.44 53.54%
Glicko-1 Jesus Santos Aguilar 1579.52 +73.43 60.41%
WHR Jesus Santos Aguilar 1500.25 +86.39 59.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jesus Santos Aguilar 231, Mateus Mendonca 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#155] Edgar Chairez (10-5-0, -349) vs. [#454] Daniel da Silva (12-5-0, +267)

Last 3 Fights: Edgar Chairez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-09-16: NC vs. [#454FLY] Daniel da Silva (12-5-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#22FLY] Tatsuro Taira (15-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-03-24: W vs. [#209FLY] Gianni Di Chiara Vazquez (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:04 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Daniel da Silva (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2023-09-16: NC vs. [#155FLY] Edgar Chairez (10-5-0)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#72FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 2
2022-08-20: L vs. [#79FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edgar Chairez -349 74.04%
Elo K170 Edgar Chairez 1380.86 +153.99 66.90%
Elo Modified Edgar Chairez 1394.32 +123.18 63.16%
Glicko-1 Edgar Chairez 1423.42 +195.23 75.47%
WHR Edgar Chairez 1398.34 +156.68 67.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edgar Chairez 161, Daniel da Silva 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Claudio Puelles (12-4-0, +172) vs. [#97] Fares Ziam (14-4-0, -214)

Last 3 Fights: Claudio Puelles (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-04-23: W vs. [#94LW] Clay Guida (38-24-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:01 of round 1
2021-12-04: W vs. [*] Chris Gruetzemacher (15-5-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#128LW] Jai Herbert (12-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [*] Michal Figlak (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-26: L vs. [#144LW] Terrance McKinney (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Fares Ziam -214 64.96%
Elo K170 Claudio Puelles 1752.63 +54.27 56.17%
Elo Modified Claudio Puelles 1760.71 +59.59 56.48%
Glicko-1 Claudio Puelles 1774.52 +102.73 64.37%
WHR Claudio Puelles 1696.17 +83.52 59.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudio Puelles 469, Fares Ziam 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#157BW] Ronaldo Rodriguez (17-2-0) vs. [#384] Denys Bondar (19-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2023-05-19: W vs. [#704FW] Angel Rodriguez (14-13-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:00 of round 3
2022-12-09: W vs. [#808BW] Jaime Londono (7-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:17 of round 2
2022-07-15: W vs. [#621BW] Victor Moreno (7-3-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Denys Bondar (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#134FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-3-0) via TUD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#169FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-8-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 1:22 of round 1
2020-08-23: W vs. [*] Kenan Jafarli (23-13-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ronaldo Rodriguez 1585.85 +233.32 74.38%
Elo Modified Ronaldo Rodriguez 1567.94 +197.96 70.40%
Glicko-1 Ronaldo Rodriguez 1571.58 +182.67 74.11%
WHR Ronaldo Rodriguez 1485.63 +199.73 71.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronaldo Rodriguez 281, Denys Bondar 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#79] Victor Altamirano (12-3-0, +232) vs. [#133] Felipe dos Santos (8-1-0, -299)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Altamirano (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#21FLY] Tim Elliott (20-13-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#216FLY] Vinicius Salvador (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#454FLY] Daniel da Silva (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felipe dos Santos (2-1-0)
2023-09-09: L vs. [#6FLY] Manel Kape (19-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-04: W vs. [#304FLY] Hugo Paiva (6-2-0) via UD ()
2022-05-29: W vs. [#523BW] Rafael Montouro Ribeiro (7-3-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Felipe dos Santos -299 71.33%
Elo K170 Victor Altamirano 1536.55 +86.33 59.73%
Elo Modified Victor Altamirano 1554.91 +99.63 60.73%
Glicko-1 Victor Altamirano 1553.29 +102.35 64.32%
WHR Felipe dos Santos 1502.28 +58.89 56.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victor Altamirano 266, Felipe dos Santos 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#31] Muhammadjon Naimov (10-2-0, -293) vs. [#354] Erik Silva (9-2-0, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Muhammadjon Naimov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#35FW] Nathaniel Wood (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#114LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-03-03: W vs. [#2098FW] Dylan Schulte (4-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Erik Silva (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#257LW] T.J. Brown (17-11-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:41 of round 3
2022-08-09: W vs. [#1539FW] Anvar Boynazarov (6-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-02-11: W vs. [#752FW] Edgar Garcia (19-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Muhammadjon Naimov -293 70.85%
Elo K170 Muhammadjon Naimov 1682.44 +269.72 77.42%
Elo Modified Muhammadjon Naimov 1640.97 +206.69 71.19%
Glicko-1 Muhammadjon Naimov 1677.04 +232.70 79.24%
WHR Muhammadjon Naimov 1572.88 +179.75 69.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muhammadjon Naimov 126, Erik Silva 441
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Yair Rodriguez
Highest Stored DD Rating: Brandon Moreno
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Yair Rodriguez vs. Brian Ortega
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2024-2-18

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