Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-3-0,
-115) vs. [#4] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0, -106)
Alexander Volkanovski is the
All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #7 ranked Absolute
fighter.
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time
#45 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights:
Alexander Volkanovski (1-2-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P]
Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via KO
(Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P]
Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via UD
(48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Ilia
Topuria (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via UD
(49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#128LW] Jai Herbert (12-5-1) via KO
(Punches) in 1:07 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexander Volkanovski | -115 | 50.96% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Volkanovski | 2321.36 | +256.15 | 76.32% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Volkanovski | 2262.80 | +222.64 | 72.61% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Volkanovski | 2350.37 | +251.14 | 80.93% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkanovski | 2221.72 | +172.17 | 68.71% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Alexander
Volkanovski 119, Ilia
Topuria 238
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Middleweight (185)
[#7] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0, -217)
vs. [*] Paulo Costa (14-2-0, +174)
Robert Whittaker is the
All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Paulo Costa is the All-Time
#26 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Robert
Whittaker (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD]
Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via
TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD
()
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD]
Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD
(49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Paulo
Costa (1-2-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD
(30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD
(48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD]
Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO
(Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Robert Whittaker | -217 | 65.22% | |
| Elo K170 | Robert Whittaker | 2141.38 | +140.79 | 65.55% |
| Elo Modified | Robert Whittaker | 2118.40 | +114.65 | 62.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Robert Whittaker | 2177.03 | +93.48 | 63.14% |
| WHR | Robert Whittaker | 1951.77 | +57.07 | 56.48% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Robert Whittaker
224, Paulo Costa
546
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: Robert Whittaker leads 4-2
.
Welterweight (170)
[#11] Ian Garry (13-0-0, -231) vs.
[#13] Geoff Neal (15-5-0, +184)
Last 3 Fights: Ian
Garry (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via UD
(30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#38WW] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0) via
TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#166WW] Kenan Song (20-8-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 4:22 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Geoff
Neal (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-08-06: W vs. [#9WW] Vicente Luque (22-9-1) via KO
(Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2021-12-11: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0)
via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ian Garry | -231 | 66.46% | |
| Elo K170 | Geoff Neal | 1980.69 | +1.27 | 50.15% |
| Elo Modified | Ian Garry | 1970.17 | +39.99 | 54.37% |
| Glicko-1 | Ian Garry | 2004.00 | +34.99 | 55.02% |
| WHR | Ian Garry | 1918.30 | +74.75 | 58.46% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Ian Garry
182, Geoff Neal
350
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: Ian Garry leads 1-0
.
Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Merab Dvalishvili (16-4-0, -188)
vs. [#6] Henry Cejudo (16-3-0, +154)
Merab Dvalishvili is the
All-Time #27 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time
#7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Merab
Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#8BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via UD (50-45,
50-45, 50-45)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0) via UD
(30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-25: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via TKO
(Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Henry
Cejudo (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (23-4-0) via
SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via TKO
(Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via TKO
(Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Merab Dvalishvili | -188 | 62.37% | |
| Elo K170 | Henry Cejudo | 2212.56 | +44.37 | 55.05% |
| Elo Modified | Henry Cejudo | 2175.04 | +18.04 | 51.97% |
| Glicko-1 | Henry Cejudo | 2277.40 | +52.07 | 57.44% |
| WHR | Merab Dvalishvili | 2062.19 | +51.03 | 55.80% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Merab Dvalishvili
343, Henry Cejudo
287
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common
opposition.
.
Middleweight (185)
[#31] Anthony Hernandez (11-2-0, -196)
vs. [#51] Roman Kopylov (12-2-0, +159)
Last 3 Fights: Anthony
Hernandez (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#65MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (12-4-0) via
TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-09-17: W vs. [#39MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0)
via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:53 of round
3
2022-04-09: W vs. [#128MW] Josh Fremd (11-5-0) via UD
(29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Roman
Kopylov (3-0-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#128MW] Josh Fremd (11-5-0) via KO
(Punch to the Body) in 4:44 of round 2
2023-07-29: W vs. [#157MW] Claudio Ribeiro (11-4-0) via KO
(Head Kick) in 0:33 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#118MW] Punahele Soriano (9-4-0) via TKO
(Body Kick and Punches) in 3:19 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Anthony Hernandez | -196 | 63.16% | |
| Elo K170 | Anthony Hernandez | 1799.93 | +26.16 | 52.99% |
| Elo Modified | Anthony Hernandez | 1829.82 | +14.28 | 51.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Roman Kopylov | 1890.78 | +26.64 | 53.83% |
| WHR | Anthony Hernandez | 1833.08 | +61.90 | 57.02% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Anthony Hernandez
273, Roman Kopylov
154
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common
opposition.
.
Women Strawweight (115)
[#4] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1, -131) vs.
[#9] Mackenzie Dern (13-4-0,
+108)
Last 3 Fights: Amanda
Lemos (2-1-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW/#1DD/#1P4P]
Weili Zhang (24-3-0) via UD
(50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#8SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-3-2) via
TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
2022-07-16: W vs. [#53SW] Michelle Waterson-Gomez
(18-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round
2
Last 3 Fights:
Mackenzie Dern (1-2-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#5SW] Jessica Andrade (25-12-0) via
TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD
(49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#2SW/#9DD]
Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via MD
(48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Amanda Lemos | -131 | 54.11% | |
| Elo K170 | Amanda Lemos | 1756.66 | +185.68 | 70.02% |
| Elo Modified | Amanda Lemos | 1728.55 | +131.81 | 64.04% |
| Glicko-1 | Amanda Lemos | 1745.61 | +168.76 | 72.54% |
| WHR | Amanda Lemos | 1614.49 | +39.20 | 54.47% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Amanda Lemos
182, Mackenzie Dern
98
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: Amanda Lemos leads 2-1
.
Heavyweight (265)
[#24] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (21-9-1,
-146) vs. [#58] Justin Tafa (7-3-0, +120)
Last 3 Fights: Marcos
Rogerio de Lima (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#13HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-04-29: W vs. [#47HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (11-1-0) via
UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#70HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-23-0) via
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round
1
Last 3 Fights: Justin
Tafa (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#126HW+] Austen Lane (12-4-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#126HW+]
Austen Lane (12-4-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#124HW+] Parker Porter (13-9-0) via KO
(Punches) in 1:06 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | -146 | 56.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1703.43 | +187.71 | 70.21% |
| Elo Modified | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1738.73 | +166.32 | 67.44% |
| Glicko-1 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1748.41 | +124.63 | 67.20% |
| WHR | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1623.07 | +104.22 | 61.68% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Marcos Rogerio de
Lima 203, Justin Tafa
161
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Bantamweight (135)
[#68] Rinya Nakamura (8-0-0, -920) vs.
[#159] Carlos Vera (11-3-0, +565)
Last 3 Fights: Rinya
Nakamura (3-0-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#807FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via UD
(30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#291BW] Toshiomi Kazama (10-4-0) via KO
(Punch) in 0:33 of round 1
2022-10-23: W vs. [#211BW] Shohei Nose (11-4-2) via KO
(Punches) in 2:21 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Carlos
Vera (3-0-0)
2022-09-23: W vs. [*] Isaiah Gutierrez (8-2-0) via
Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-04-24: W vs. [#342BW] Kale Moniz (7-2-0) via
Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:18 of round 3
2021-12-19: W vs. [#225BW] Peter Caballero (14-6-0) via UD
()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rinya Nakamura | -920 | 85.70% | |
| Elo K170 | Rinya Nakamura | 1643.71 | +147.88 | 66.28% |
| Elo Modified | Rinya Nakamura | 1681.04 | +162.56 | 67.07% |
| Glicko-1 | Rinya Nakamura | 1697.38 | +187.44 | 74.63% |
| WHR | Rinya Nakamura | 1611.36 | +118.69 | 63.23% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Rinya Nakamura
175, Carlos Vera
512
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#90] Brendson Ribeiro (15-5-0, +121)
vs. [*] Mingyang Zhang (16-6-0,
-147)
Last 3 Fights:
Brendson Ribeiro (3-0-0)
2023-09-05: W vs. [#111LHW] Bruno Lopes (12-1-0) via KO
(Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2022-12-16: W vs. [#146LHW] Joao Paulo Fagundes (9-2-0) via
TKO in 4:35 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#421HW+] Gilmar Dutra Lima (29-19-1) via
TKO in 0:52 of round 1
Last 3 Fights:
Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2022-06-09: W vs. [#133LHW] George Tokkos (9-3-0) via KO
(Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2021-04-30: W vs. [NA] Changsheng Huo (2-5-0) via KO
(Punches) in 2:31 of round 1
2021-01-14: W vs. [NA] Caibao Zhang (4-11-0) via KO in
2:12 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mingyang Zhang | -147 | 56.80% | |
| Elo K170 | Brendson Ribeiro | 1524.17 | +35.37 | 54.03% |
| Elo Modified | Brendson Ribeiro | 1556.47 | +84.74 | 59.17% |
| Glicko-1 | Brendson Ribeiro | 1603.71 | +49.92 | 57.14% |
| WHR | Brendson Ribeiro | 1565.45 | +138.52 | 65.31% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Brendson Ribeiro
165, Mingyang Zhang
618
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Welterweight (170)
[#233] Josh Quinlan (6-1-0, +157) vs.
[#269] Danny Barlow (7-0-0, -193)
Last 3 Fights: Josh
Quinlan (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-04-29: L vs. [#164WW] Trey Waters (8-1-0) via UD
(30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Jason Witt (19-10-0) via KO
(Punch) in 2:09 of round 1
2021-09-07: NC vs. [#854WW] Logan Urban
(6-2-0)
Last 3 Fights: Danny
Barlow (3-0-0)
2023-09-26: W vs. [#524WW] Raheam Forest (7-2-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 1:19 of round 1
2023-07-14: W vs. [NA] Jarious Gill (2-4-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2023-03-18: W vs. [#875WW] Trevor Ollison (5-6-0) via TKO
in 4:13 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Danny Barlow | -193 | 62.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Danny Barlow | 1425.29 | +76.12 | 58.61% |
| Elo Modified | Danny Barlow | 1447.97 | +32.15 | 53.51% |
| Glicko-1 | Danny Barlow | 1440.61 | +33.30 | 54.78% |
| WHR | Danny Barlow | 1347.59 | +17.86 | 52.04% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Josh Quinlan
294, Danny Barlow
144
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Welterweight (170)
[#92] Oban Elliott (9-2-0, -288) vs.
[#396MW] Valentine Woodburn (7-1-0,
+225)
Last 3 Fights: Oban
Elliott (3-0-0)
2023-08-22: W vs. [#99WW] Kaik Brito (17-5-0) via MD
()
2023-04-29: W vs. [#230WW] James Sheehan (7-3-0) via UD
()
2022-11-04: W vs. [#1146MW] Sean Mccormac (3-2-0) via UD
()
Last 3 Fights:
Valentine Woodburn (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#123MW] Bo Nickal (5-0-0) via TKO
(Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luis Sergio Teotonio da F
(30-17-3) via UD ()
2022-03-19: W vs. [NA] Wesley Almeida (16-12-0) via UD
()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Oban Elliott | -288 | 70.69% | |
| Elo K170 | Oban Elliott | 1601.35 | +276.06 | 77.92% |
| Elo Modified | Oban Elliott | 1584.66 | +181.70 | 68.90% |
| Glicko-1 | Oban Elliott | 1569.44 | +210.16 | 77.02% |
| WHR | Oban Elliott | 1493.12 | +229.53 | 74.05% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Oban Elliott
179, Valentine Woodburn
224
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Women Flyweight (125)
[#16] Miranda Maverick (12-5-0, -203)
vs. [#17] Andrea Lee (13-8-0, +164)
Last 3 Fights: Miranda
Maverick (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#34BW] Priscila Cachoeira (12-6-0) via
Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 3
2023-06-10: L vs. [#10BW] Jasmine Jasudavicius (10-3-0)
via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#53FLY] Shanna Young (9-5-0) via UD
()
Last 3 Fights: Andrea
Lee (0-3-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#8FLY] Natalia Silva (17-5-1) via UD
(30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#6FLY] Maycee Barber (13-2-0) via SD
(29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2022-05-14: L vs. [#11FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD
(29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Miranda Maverick | -203 | 63.88% | |
| Elo K170 | Miranda Maverick | 1489.36 | +117.56 | 63.11% |
| Elo Modified | Miranda Maverick | 1535.39 | +83.65 | 59.05% |
| Glicko-1 | Miranda Maverick | 1556.10 | +72.06 | 60.22% |
| WHR | Miranda Maverick | 1532.17 | +70.59 | 57.99% |
Days Since Last Pro
Fight: Miranda Maverick
203, Andrea Lee
182
Previous Match-up
Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common
Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless
against common opposition.
.
Notes about the Fight
Card
– Highest-rated fighter always
listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a
fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the
fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info
for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info
includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home
advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is
approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw
occurring.
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw
Rating: Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alexander
Volkanovski
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alexander
Volkanovski vs. Ilia Topuria
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alexander
Volkanovski vs. Ilia Topuria
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*):
Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large
[***½]
Run Date: 2024-2-11


