Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi (06-03-2023)

May 29, 2023
Jason

Flyweight (126)
[#4] Kai Kara-France (24-10-0, 125.5lb, -104) vs. [#15] Amir Albazi (16-1-0, 126.0lb, -118)
Kai Kara-France is the All-Time #24 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-6-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3
2022-03-26: W vs. [#8FLY] Askar Askarov (14-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#25BW] Cody Garbrandt (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#94FLY] Alessandro Costa (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3
2022-08-20: W vs. [#115FLY] Francisco Figueiredo (13-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1
2021-01-23: W vs. [#57FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amir Albazi -118 51.49%
Elo K170 Kai Kara-France 1861.89 +73.25 58.29%
Elo Modified Kai Kara-France 1824.80 +42.04 54.59%
Glicko-1 Kai Kara-France 1875.90 +29.90 54.29%
WHR Amir Albazi 1773.55 +4.28 50.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Kara-France 308, Amir Albazi 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#21] Alex Caceres (20-13-0, 145.0lb, -183) vs. [#50] Daniel Pineda (28-14-0, 145.5lb, +147)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#100FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2022-03-12: L vs. [#20FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#96FW] Seung Woo Choi (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Pineda (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#160FW] Tucker Lutz (12-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:50 of round 2
2021-06-26: NC vs. [#47FW] Andre Fili (22-9-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#35BW] Cub Swanson (28-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Caceres -183 61.49%
Elo K170 Alex Caceres 1815.96 +98.39 61.05%
Elo Modified Alex Caceres 1808.82 +70.01 57.60%
Glicko-1 Alex Caceres 1842.87 +42.89 56.14%
WHR Alex Caceres 1731.78 +23.90 52.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 168, Daniel Pineda 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Daniel Pineda leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#52] Jim Miller (35-17-0, 155.5lb, -258) vs. [#124FW] Jesse Butler (12-5-0, 154.5lb, +204)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#31LW] Alexander Hernandez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Donald Cerrone (36-17-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:32 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#165LW] Nikolas Motta (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jesse Butler (3-0-0)
2023-02-17: W vs. [#240FW] Anselmo Luis Luna Jr. (20-10-0) via UD ()
2022-02-06: W vs. [#549FW] Masio Fullen (14-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 1
2021-09-05: W vs. [#493FW] Dimitre Ivy (12-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:14 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jim Miller -258 68.66%
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1670.29 +150.51 66.54%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1669.03 +151.30 65.98%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1734.46 +187.74 74.66%
WHR Jim Miller 1637.45 +165.54 68.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 105, Jesse Butler 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (126)
[*] Tim Elliott (18-12-1, 126.0lb, -179) vs. [#60] Victor Altamirano (12-2-0, 124.5lb, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#14FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#9FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#288BW] Jordan Espinosa (15-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Altamirano (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#158FLY] Vinicius Salvador (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#371FLY] Daniel da Silva (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1
2022-02-26: L vs. [#155FLY] Carlos Hernandez (8-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tim Elliott -179 61.11%
Elo K170 Tim Elliott 1709.57 +115.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Tim Elliott 1681.22 +82.78 58.96%
Glicko-1 Tim Elliott 1705.15 +94.26 63.24%
WHR Tim Elliott 1641.45 +160.00 67.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Elliott 455, Victor Altamirano 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Karine Silva (15-4-0, 125.5lb, -229) vs. [#42] Ketlen Souza (13-3-0, 124.5lb, +180)

Last 3 Fights: Karine Silva (3-0-0)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#62FLY] Poliana Botelho (9-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:55 of round 1
2021-10-26: W vs. [#46BW] Qihui Yan (23-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:44 of round 2
2020-10-31: W vs. [*] Sidy Rocha (12-8-2) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 2:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Souza (3-0-0)
2023-01-18: W vs. [#87FLY] Kristina Williams (6-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-09-28: W vs. [#179FLY] Maiju Suotama (8-7-0) via UD ()
2021-08-05: W vs. [#16BW] Gisele Moreira (12-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karine Silva -229 66.09%
Elo K170 Karine Silva 1558.11 +97.67 60.98%
Elo Modified Karine Silva 1585.91 +126.62 63.51%
Glicko-1 Karine Silva 1663.74 +222.87 78.30%
WHR Karine Silva 1556.68 +151.48 66.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karine Silva 364, Ketlen Souza 136
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (171)
[*] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23-7-0, 171.0lb, -108) vs. [#117] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (17-3-1, 170.0lb, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#100LW] Benoit St. Denis (10-1-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-26)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#33WW] Muslim Salikhov (19-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#38WW] Alexey Kunchenko (21-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Abubakar Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#384WW] Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#100MW] Jared Gooden (22-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#113WW] David Zawada (18-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abubakar Nurmagomedov -116 50.84%
Elo K170 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1886.85 +257.34 76.42%
Elo Modified Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1929.32 +257.50 75.53%
Glicko-1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1985.68 +298.06 84.76%
WHR Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1876.20 +204.80 71.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 581, Abubakar Nurmagomedov 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (136)
[#133] Daniel Santos (12-2-0, 135.5lb, -226) vs. [#203] Johnny Munoz Jr. (12-2-0, 136.0lb, +177)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Santos (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#91BW] John Castaneda (19-6-0) via KO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 2
2022-04-09: L vs. [#70BW] Julio Arce (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#359FW] Zhunus Nizambek (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Munoz Jr. (2-1-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#547BW] Liudvik Sholinian (9-3-1) via UD ()
2022-06-04: L vs. [#78BW] Tony Gravely (23-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [*] Jamey Simmons (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:35 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Santos -226 65.75%
Elo K170 Daniel Santos 1613.95 +107.45 62.03%
Elo Modified Daniel Santos 1630.52 +98.45 60.61%
Glicko-1 Daniel Santos 1686.22 +164.28 72.03%
WHR Daniel Santos 1606.21 +169.66 68.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Santos 245, Johnny Munoz Jr. 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (262)
[#46] Andrei Arlovski (34-21-0, 245.0lb, +112) vs. [#111] Dontale Mayes (9-6-0, 262.5lb, -138)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #18 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (2-1-0)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#22HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (21-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 1
2022-04-30: W vs. [#87HW+] Jake Collier (13-9-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#96HW+] Jared Vanderaa (13-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2023-02-25: L vs. [#39HW+] Augusto Sakai (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#104HW+] Hamdy Abdelwahab (4-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#182HW+] Josh Parisian (15-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:26 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dontale Mayes -138 55.14%
Elo K170 Andrei Arlovski 1669.28 +363.46 84.03%
Elo Modified Andrei Arlovski 1642.02 +219.28 72.31%
Glicko-1 Andrei Arlovski 1614.45 +202.44 76.23%
WHR Andrei Arlovski 1529.71 +147.61 66.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 217, Dontale Mayes 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (136)
[#58] Muin Gafurov (19-4-0, 136.0lb, +103) vs. [#91] John Castaneda (19-6-0, 136.0lb, -129)

Last 3 Fights: Muin Gafurov (2-1-0)
2022-10-14: W vs. [#172BW] Diego Silva (15-8-0) via KO (Spinning Back Kick) in 0:23 of round 3
2022-06-10: W vs. [#391BW] Herbeth Reis de Sousa (15-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:56 of round 2
2021-09-07: L vs. [#147BW] Chad Anheliger (12-6-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: John Castaneda (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#133BW] Daniel Santos (12-2-0) via KO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 2
2022-02-05: W vs. [#90BW] Miles Johns (13-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:38 of round 3
2021-02-20: W vs. [*] Eddie Wineland (24-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds John Castaneda -129 53.34%
Elo K170 Muin Gafurov 1675.00 +134.35 64.88%
Elo Modified Muin Gafurov 1716.89 +140.60 64.92%
Glicko-1 Muin Gafurov 1803.27 +190.34 74.95%
WHR Muin Gafurov 1717.62 +182.40 69.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muin Gafurov 232, John Castaneda 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (156)
[#87] Jamie Mullarkey (16-5-0, 156.0lb, +254) vs. [#302FW] Muhammadjon Naimov (8-2-0, 155.5lb, +350)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#301LW] Francisco Prado (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#82LW] Michael Johnson (21-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-05: L vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Muhammadjon Naimov (3-0-0)
2023-03-03: W vs. [#1996FW] Dylan Schulte (4-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:34 of round 1
2022-08-12: W vs. [#335FW] Sitik Muduev (11-4-0) via SD ()
2021-09-17: W vs. [*] Andres Ponce (4-7-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:53 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamie Mullarkey +350 55.97%
Elo K170 Jamie Mullarkey 1670.59 +273.29 77.71%
Elo Modified Jamie Mullarkey 1643.71 +257.43 75.53%
Glicko-1 Jamie Mullarkey 1670.50 +291.83 84.29%
WHR Jamie Mullarkey 1614.42 +290.34 79.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Mullarkey 112, Muhammadjon Naimov 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (116)
[#43] Jinh Yu Frey (11-8-0, 116.0lb, +104) vs. [#65] Elise Reed (6-3-0, 115.0lb, -130)

Last 3 Fights: Jinh Yu Frey (1-2-0)
2022-11-05: L vs. [#27SW] Polyana Viana (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1
2022-06-25: L vs. [#37SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (9-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-07-31: W vs. [*] Ashley Yoder (8-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (1-2-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#20SW] Konklak Suphisara (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 2
2022-09-10: W vs. [#127SW] Melissa Martinez (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#29SW] Sam Hughes (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elise Reed -130 53.55%
Elo K170 Elise Reed 1309.38 +114.95 62.83%
Elo Modified Elise Reed 1311.93 +28.90 53.16%
Glicko-1 Jinh Yu Frey 1263.37 +37.33 55.35%
WHR Jinh Yu Frey 1194.71 +10.00 51.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jinh Yu Frey 210, Elise Reed 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (136)
[#113] Luan Lacerda (12-2-0, 136.0lb, -150) vs. [#154] DaMon Blackshear (12-5-1, 136.0lb, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Luan Lacerda (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#103FW] Cody Stamann (21-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-13: W vs. [#112BW] Marcirley Alves da Silva (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:24 of round 2
2021-07-16: W vs. [#309BW] Tayron Pedro (10-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: DaMon Blackshear (1-1-1)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#93BW] Farid Basharat (10-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-13: D vs. [#114FW] Youssef Zalal (12-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-05-14: W vs. [#221FLY] Josh Smith (10-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:34 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luan Lacerda -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Luan Lacerda 1587.46 +186.57 70.11%
Elo Modified Luan Lacerda 1582.32 +115.97 62.43%
Glicko-1 Luan Lacerda 1649.91 +173.82 73.12%
WHR Luan Lacerda 1677.19 +181.04 69.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luan Lacerda 133, DaMon Blackshear 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Philipe Lins (16-5-0, 205.5lb, +107) vs. [*] Maxim Grishin (32-9-2, 205.0lb, -133)

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (2-1-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#43LHW] Ovince St. Preux (26-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [#45LHW] Marcin Prachnio (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#68LHW] Tanner Boser (20-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Maxim Grishin (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#126HW+] William Knight (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-02-27: L vs. [#25LHW] Dustin Jacoby (18-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#132LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Maxim Grishin -133 54.16%
Elo K170 Maxim Grishin 1699.47 +12.95 51.48%
Elo Modified Maxim Grishin 1731.71 +8.65 50.95%
Glicko-1 Maxim Grishin 1748.42 +10.00 51.44%
WHR Maxim Grishin 1697.71 +13.41 51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Philipe Lins 105, Maxim Grishin 476
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Kai Kara-France
Highest Stored DD Rating: Kai Kara-France
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2023-6-3

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