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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen (04-15-2023)

Posted on April 10, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2] Max Holloway (23-7-0, -171) vs. [#5] Arnold Allen (19-1-0, +138)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #10 ranked Absolute fighter.
Arnold Allen is the All-Time #37 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (25-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (15-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#9FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via UD (50-43, 50-43, 50-42)

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#9FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#12LW] Dan Hooker (22-12-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:33 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#21FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -171 60.02%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2180.89 +61.16 56.94%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2176.60 +79.97 58.66%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2252.53 +97.50 63.67%
WHR Arnold Allen 2070.20 +14.92 51.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 287, Arnold Allen 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#25] Billy Quarantillo (17-4-0, -167) vs. [#36] Edson Barboza (22-11-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#29LW] Alexander Hernandez (14-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:30 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#18FW] Shane Burgos (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#307LW] Gabriel Benitez (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2022-03-05: L vs. [#24FW] Bryce Mitchell (15-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#15FW] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3
2021-05-15: W vs. [#18FW] Shane Burgos (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:16 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Billy Quarantillo -167 59.51%
Elo K170 Edson Barboza 1732.38 +4.53 50.52%
Elo Modified Edson Barboza 1763.69 +23.18 52.53%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1812.10 +16.39 52.36%
WHR Billy Quarantillo 1722.22 +54.75 56.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Billy Quarantillo 126, Edson Barboza 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Edson Barboza leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20] Dustin Jacoby (18-6-1, -201) vs. [#28] Azamat Murzakanov (12-0-0, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (2-1-0)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#19LHW] Khalil Rountree (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#44LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:13 of round 1
2022-03-05: W vs. [#30MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Azamat Murzakanov (3-0-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#32LHW] Devin Clark (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2022-03-12: W vs. [#101LHW] Tafon Nchukwi (6-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:44 of round 3
2021-08-31: W vs. [#56HW+] Matheus Scheffel (17-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -201 63.54%
Elo K170 Azamat Murzakanov 1760.59 +12.89 51.47%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1823.52 +31.66 53.46%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1874.59 +26.29 53.78%
WHR Azamat Murzakanov 1933.76 +156.76 67.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 168, Azamat Murzakanov 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#42HW+] Tanner Boser (20-9-1, -106) vs. [#46] Ion Cutelaba (16-9-1, -118)

Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (1-2-0)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#39HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (10-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#41LHW] Ovince St. Preux (26-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [#21HW+] Ilir Latifi (16-8-0) via SD (27-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (0-3-0)
2022-11-19: L vs. [#45LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (11-3-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2
2022-09-10: L vs. [#11LHW] Johnny Walker (20-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2022-05-14: L vs. [#13LHW] Ryan Spann (21-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -118 51.26%
Elo K170 Tanner Boser 1489.62 +35.63 54.06%
Elo Modified Tanner Boser 1645.74 +141.14 64.97%
Glicko-1 Tanner Boser 1713.99 +224.85 78.49%
WHR Tanner Boser 1639.61 +110.42 62.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tanner Boser 210, Ion Cutelaba 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#10] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0, +170) vs. [#11] Chris Gutierrez (19-4-2, -216)
Pedro Munhoz is the All-Time #29 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2022-07-02: NC vs. [#4BW] Sean OMalley (16-1-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#9BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-07: L vs. [*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (3-0-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1
2022-03-26: W vs. [#147BW] Batgerel Danaa (11-4-0) via TKO (Spinning Backfist and Elbows) in 2:34 of round 2
2021-10-09: W vs. [#197FW] Felipe Dias Colares (11-4-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chris Gutierrez -216 64.85%
Elo K170 Chris Gutierrez 1912.79 +98.41 61.05%
Elo Modified Pedro Munhoz 1838.46 +2.38 50.26%
Glicko-1 Pedro Munhoz 1889.12 +29.79 54.28%
WHR Pedro Munhoz 1747.17 +8.61 50.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pedro Munhoz 287, Chris Gutierrez 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Chris Gutierrez leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#56] Clay Guida (38-22-0, +174) vs. [#59] Rafa Garcia (15-3-0, -222)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #33 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [*] Scott Holtzman (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#51LW] Claudio Puelles (12-4-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:01 of round 1
2021-12-04: W vs. [#97LW] Leonardo Santos (18-6-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#195LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#41LW] Drakkar Klose (13-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#148WW] Jesse Ronson (24-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafa Garcia -222 65.38%
Elo K170 Clay Guida 1736.84 +55.44 56.30%
Elo Modified Clay Guida 1703.89 +41.51 54.53%
Glicko-1 Clay Guida 1729.90 +22.17 53.19%
WHR Clay Guida 1654.03 +6.31 50.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 133, Rafa Garcia 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#56] Bill Algeo (16-7-0, -163) vs. [#97] T.J. Brown (17-9-0, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Bill Algeo (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#50FW] Andre Fili (22-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#115FW] Herbert Burns (11-4-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 1:50 of round 2
2022-01-15: W vs. [#47FW] Joanderson Brito (14-3-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Brown (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#276FW] Erik Silva (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:41 of round 3
2022-06-25: L vs. [#89FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#133FW] Charles Rosa (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bill Algeo -163 58.87%
Elo K170 Bill Algeo 1629.48 +103.39 61.60%
Elo Modified Bill Algeo 1687.33 +191.36 69.80%
Glicko-1 Bill Algeo 1743.43 +213.60 77.38%
WHR Bill Algeo 1707.69 +253.64 76.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bill Algeo 210, T.J. Brown 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#5] Matheus Nicolau (19-2-1, -163) vs. [#10] Brandon Royval (14-6-0, +132)
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #30 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #48 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (3-0-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#24FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2
2022-03-26: W vs. [#23FLY] David Dvorak (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#15FLY] Tim Elliott (18-12-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#24FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [#105BW] Rogerio Bontorin (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#3FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (25-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matheus Nicolau -163 58.98%
Elo K170 Matheus Nicolau 1917.53 +140.37 65.51%
Elo Modified Matheus Nicolau 1863.49 +154.87 66.33%
Glicko-1 Matheus Nicolau 1899.13 +174.44 73.19%
WHR Matheus Nicolau 1799.99 +114.05 62.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matheus Nicolau 133, Brandon Royval 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Ed Herman (26-15-0, +197) vs. [*] Zak Cummings (24-7-0, -254)

Last 3 Fights: Ed Herman (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#31LHW] Alonzo Menifield (13-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#135HW+] Mike Rodriguez (12-8-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:01 of round 3
2019-11-09: W vs. [#88HW+] Khadis Ibragimov (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Zak Cummings (2-1-0)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#119MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#36LHW] Omari Akhmedov (24-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#93WW] Trevin Giles (16-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:01 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Zak Cummings -254 68.06%
Elo K170 Zak Cummings 1782.52 +217.96 73.02%
Elo Modified Zak Cummings 1802.28 +186.71 69.37%
Glicko-1 Zak Cummings 1855.95 +187.83 74.67%
WHR Zak Cummings 1746.26 +216.97 72.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ed Herman 616, Zak Cummings 959
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#22FLY] Gillian Robertson (11-7-0, -109) vs. [#14] Piera Rodriguez (9-0-0, -113)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#68FLY] Mariya Agapova (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:19 of round 2
2022-03-12: L vs. [#42FLY] J.J. Aldrich (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#28FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (12-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Piera Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#29SW] Sam Hughes (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#57SW] Kay Hansen (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-19: W vs. [#36SW] Valesca Machado (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Piera Rodriguez -113 50.42%
Elo K170 Piera Rodriguez 1589.62 +133.30 64.77%
Elo Modified Piera Rodriguez 1617.12 +117.69 62.60%
Glicko-1 Piera Rodriguez 1591.73 +90.13 62.69%
WHR Piera Rodriguez 1487.57 +54.26 56.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gillian Robertson 210, Piera Rodriguez 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#178] Lando Vannata (12-6-2, -103) vs. [#247] Daniel Zellhuber (12-1-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (1-2-0)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#44FW] Charles Jourdain (13-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:32 of round 1
2021-05-15: W vs. [#123FW] Mike Grundy (12-4-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 30-27)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#28LW] Bobby Green (29-14-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Zellhuber (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#150LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-09-28: W vs. [#98FW] Lucas Almeida (14-1-0) via UD ()
2021-05-07: W vs. [#867LW] Martin Gonzalez (2-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Zellhuber -121 51.90%
Elo K170 Daniel Zellhuber 1546.67 +16.24 51.85%
Elo Modified Daniel Zellhuber 1603.83 +95.66 60.32%
Glicko-1 Daniel Zellhuber 1647.60 +130.13 67.90%
WHR Daniel Zellhuber 1529.23 +103.29 61.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lando Vannata 357, Daniel Zellhuber 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#24] Bruna Brasil (8-3-0, -227) vs. [#50] Denise Gomes (6-2-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: Bruna Brasil (3-0-0)
2022-09-13: W vs. [#112SW] Marnic Mann (5-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:33 of round 2
2022-05-13: W vs. [#118SW] Yasmin Castanho (5-1-0) via UD ()
2021-08-21: W vs. [#236SW] Ingrid Silva (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#18SW] Konklak Suphisara (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-08-23: W vs. [#11AW] Rayanne Amanda dos Santos (13-6-0) via UD ()
2022-03-09: W vs. [#146FLY] Milana Dudieva (12-9-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 1:56 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruna Brasil -227 65.86%
Elo K170 Bruna Brasil 1472.29 +163.01 67.80%
Elo Modified Bruna Brasil 1473.60 +85.53 59.25%
Glicko-1 Bruna Brasil 1485.47 +148.86 70.20%
WHR Bruna Brasil 1490.32 +117.41 63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruna Brasil 214, Denise Gomes 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#548FW] Gaston Bolanos (6-3-0, -190) vs. [*] Aaron Phillips (12-4-0, +152)

Last 3 Fights: Gaston Bolanos (1-2-0)
2022-04-15: W vs. [#1009FW] Daniel Carey (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-02-21: L vs. [#727FW] Chris Hatley Jr. (11-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#1009FW] Daniel Carey (7-6-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aaron Phillips (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#45FW] Jack Shore (17-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:29 of round 2
2019-11-07: W vs. [#560FW] Ariston Franca (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:16 of round 2
2019-03-21: W vs. [#611FW] Devante Sewell (10-8-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gaston Bolanos -190 62.28%
Elo K170 Aaron Phillips 1423.64 +208.20 72.13%
Elo Modified Aaron Phillips 1431.38 +167.69 67.57%
Glicko-1 Aaron Phillips 1446.37 +157.96 71.29%
WHR Aaron Phillips 1418.13 +162.04 67.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gaston Bolanos 365, Aaron Phillips 1004
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#19] Lucie Pudilova (14-7-0, -150) vs. [#26] Joselyne Edwards (12-4-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Lucie Pudilova (3-0-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#67BW] Yanan Wu (12-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:04 of round 2
2022-04-09: W vs. [#100BW] Caroline Yariwake da Cruz (8-5-0) via DEC ()
2021-11-06: W vs. [#58FLY] Marta Waliczek (6-6-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#97FLY] Ji Yeon Kim (9-6-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#56BW] Ramona Pascual (6-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#41BW] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lucie Pudilova -150 57.00%
Elo K170 Lucie Pudilova 1417.04 +48.18 55.48%
Elo Modified Lucie Pudilova 1416.94 +62.02 56.75%
Glicko-1 Lucie Pudilova 1419.29 +77.51 60.97%
WHR Lucie Pudilova 1357.35 +86.05 59.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucie Pudilova 238, Joselyne Edwards 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Stored DD Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2023-4-9

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