Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen (03-25-2023)

Mar 20, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Cory Sandhagen (15-4-0, -163) vs. [#5] Marlon Vera (21-7-1, +132)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #17 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #47 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (1-2-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#13BW] Yadong Song (19-8-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2021-10-30: L vs. [#6BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-07-24: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (17-5-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (3-0-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#9BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:17 of round 4
2022-04-30: W vs. [#7BW] Rob Font (19-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Front Kick) in 3:50 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory Sandhagen -163 58.98%
Elo K170 Marlon Vera 2114.84 +92.93 60.46%
Elo Modified Marlon Vera 2066.36 +32.59 53.56%
Glicko-1 Marlon Vera 2129.19 +18.67 52.68%
WHR Marlon Vera 1929.87 +46.48 55.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 189, Marlon Vera 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 3-1
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Holly Holm (14-6-0, -215) vs. [*] Yana Santos (14-6-0, +152)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (14-6-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yana Santos (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 1
2021-02-20: W vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#24BW] Julija Stoliarenko (10-7-2) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Holly Holm -215 63.23%
Elo K170 Holly Holm 1601.04 +69.59 57.88%
Elo Modified Holly Holm 1664.93 +112.98 62.12%
Glicko-1 Holly Holm 1667.64 +162.89 71.86%
WHR Holly Holm 1710.30 +229.37 74.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 308, Yana Santos 623
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#40] Nate Landwehr (16-4-0, -282) vs. [*] Austin Lingo (9-1-0, +223)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#105FW] David Onama (10-2-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#94LW] Ludovit Klein (19-4-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:22 of round 3
2021-02-20: L vs. [#57FW] Julian Erosa (28-10-0) via TKO (Flying Knee) in 0:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (2-1-0)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#143FW] Luis Saldana (16-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#869FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#146FW] Youssef Zalal (11-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nate Landwehr -282 70.45%
Elo K170 Nate Landwehr 1771.26 +266.81 77.19%
Elo Modified Nate Landwehr 1736.52 +205.92 71.12%
Glicko-1 Nate Landwehr 1748.27 +208.50 76.86%
WHR Nate Landwehr 1652.39 +176.16 69.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 224, Austin Lingo 581
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#12] Maycee Barber (11-2-0, -210) vs. [#16] Andrea Lee (13-6-0, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Jessica Eye (15-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#43FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#21FLY] Miranda Maverick (11-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Andrea Lee (2-1-0)
2022-05-14: L vs. [#15FLY] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#27FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-5-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-05-15: W vs. [#33FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (10-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:52 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Maycee Barber -210 64.31%
Elo K170 Maycee Barber 1634.82 +187.18 70.17%
Elo Modified Maycee Barber 1609.48 +114.89 62.32%
Glicko-1 Maycee Barber 1594.42 +75.43 60.69%
WHR Maycee Barber 1547.48 +71.53 58.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maycee Barber 266, Andrea Lee 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#8] Manel Kape (18-6-0, -222) vs. [#11] Alex Perez (24-7-0, +173)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alex Perez is the All-Time #34 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#21FLY] David Dvorak (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#52FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [#117BW] Ode Osbourne (12-5-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (1-2-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#3FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (25-5-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
2020-11-21: L vs. [#2FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#18FLY] Jussier Formiga (24-8-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:06 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -222 65.30%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1772.67 +2.82 50.32%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1786.83 +28.67 53.13%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1859.09 +87.33 62.31%
WHR Manel Kape 1816.01 +167.64 68.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 98, Alex Perez 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#53] Chidi Njokuani (22-8-0, -177) vs. [#71] Albert Duraev (15-4-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#43MW] Gregory Rodrigues (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#110MW] Dusko Todorovic (12-4-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:48 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#57MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Albert Duraev (2-1-0)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#45MW] Joaquin Buckley (15-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-10-30: W vs. [#60MW] Roman Kopylov (10-2-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)
2021-09-14: W vs. [*] Caio Bittencourt (14-7-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chidi Njokuani -177 60.82%
Elo K170 Albert Duraev 1804.47 +103.39 61.60%
Elo Modified Albert Duraev 1807.05 +59.03 56.42%
Glicko-1 Albert Duraev 1847.29 +51.84 57.41%
WHR Albert Duraev 1718.48 +26.25 52.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chidi Njokuani 189, Albert Duraev 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0, +185) vs. [*] Tucker Lutz (12-2-0, -238)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Pineda (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2021-06-26: NC vs. [#49FW] Andre Fili (22-9-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#31BW] Cub Swanson (28-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 2
2020-08-15: W vs. [#114FW] Herbert Burns (11-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tucker Lutz (2-1-0)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#59FW] Pat Sabatini (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [*] Kevin Aguilar (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-11-17: W vs. [*] Sherrard Blackledge (5-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tucker Lutz -238 66.73%
Elo K170 Daniel Pineda 1659.60 +114.35 62.77%
Elo Modified Daniel Pineda 1684.41 +106.56 61.46%
Glicko-1 Daniel Pineda 1729.74 +124.10 67.14%
WHR Daniel Pineda 1631.39 +126.38 64.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Pineda 637, Tucker Lutz 490
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#100] Steven Peterson (19-10-0, -177) vs. [#339] Lucas Alexander (7-3-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Steven Peterson (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#57FW] Julian Erosa (28-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#191FW] Chase Hooper (11-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-09-21: W vs. [*] Martin Bravo (13-3-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 1:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lucas Alexander (2-1-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#47FW] Joanderson Brito (14-3-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2022-02-11: W vs. [#869FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-7-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 1:51 of round 2
2021-06-05: W vs. [#445FW] Ty Kalista (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steven Peterson -177 60.82%
Elo K170 Steven Peterson 1474.51 +114.60 62.80%
Elo Modified Steven Peterson 1579.39 +198.33 70.44%
Glicko-1 Steven Peterson 1627.05 +255.54 81.32%
WHR Steven Peterson 1567.50 +241.23 75.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steven Peterson 413, Lucas Alexander 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#131] Trevin Giles (15-4-0, -116) vs. [#168] Preston Parsons (10-3-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Trevin Giles (1-2-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#547WW] Louis Cosce (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#61WW] Michael Morales (14-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2021-07-10: L vs. [#8MW] Dricus Du Plessis (19-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Preston Parsons (2-1-0)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#657LW] Evan Elder (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-07-17: L vs. [#30WW] Daniel Rodriguez (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-06-05: W vs. [*] Jeff Peterson (11-10-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Trevin Giles -116 50.84%
Elo K170 Trevin Giles 1596.07 +68.95 57.81%
Elo Modified Trevin Giles 1605.08 +52.59 55.73%
Glicko-1 Trevin Giles 1619.78 +57.13 58.15%
WHR Trevin Giles 1593.01 +48.42 55.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Giles 189, Preston Parsons 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#87] C.J. Vergara (10-4-1, -276) vs. [#330] Daniel da Silva (12-4-0, +213)

Last 3 Fights: C.J. Vergara (1-2-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#20FLY] Tatsuro Taira (13-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-07: W vs. [#88FLY] Kleydson Rodrigues (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#117BW] Ode Osbourne (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel da Silva (0-3-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#141FLY] Victor Altamirano (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#103FLY] Francisco Figueiredo (13-5-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:18 of round 1
2021-10-23: L vs. [#28FLY] Jeff Molina (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:46 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds C.J. Vergara -276 69.67%
Elo K170 C.J. Vergara 1444.48 +172.44 68.74%
Elo Modified C.J. Vergara 1448.01 +127.06 63.56%
Glicko-1 C.J. Vergara 1433.77 +142.35 69.41%
WHR C.J. Vergara 1427.58 +128.21 64.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: C.J. Vergara 161, Daniel da Silva 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#120] Trey Ogden (16-5-0, +160) vs. [#182] Manuel Torres (13-2-0, -201)

Last 3 Fights: Trey Ogden (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#236LW] Daniel Zellhuber (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#136LW] Jordan Leavitt (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-11-14: W vs. [*] J.J. Okanovich (8-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Manuel Torres (3-0-0)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#509LW] Frank Camacho (22-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:27 of round 1
2021-10-26: W vs. [#364LW] Kolton Englund (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2021-06-11: W vs. [#742LW] Carlos Enrique Canada (11-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manuel Torres -201 63.45%
Elo K170 Trey Ogden 1606.70 +34.07 53.89%
Elo Modified Trey Ogden 1667.13 +101.93 60.98%
Glicko-1 Trey Ogden 1707.96 +108.68 65.15%
WHR Trey Ogden 1612.78 +83.48 59.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trey Ogden 189, Manuel Torres 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#96] Vinicius Salvador (14-4-0, -116) vs. [#141] Victor Altamirano (11-2-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Salvador (3-0-0)
2022-08-02: W vs. [#407FLY] Shannon Ross (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [NA] Wallace Vampirinho (0-1-0) via TKO in 2:38 of round 1
2020-12-06: W vs. [*] Tarcizio Gomes Ribeiro (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Victor Altamirano (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#330FLY] Daniel da Silva (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1
2022-02-26: L vs. [#140FLY] Carlos Hernandez (8-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-08-31: W vs. [#299FLY] Carlos Candelario (8-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vinicius Salvador -116 50.73%
Elo K170 Victor Altamirano 1517.68 +37.59 54.28%
Elo Modified Victor Altamirano 1551.07 +68.57 57.45%
Glicko-1 Vinicius Salvador 1544.47 +16.05 52.31%
WHR Vinicius Salvador 1472.97 +29.14 53.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vinicius Salvador 235, Victor Altamirano 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Tamires Vidal (7-1-0, -225) vs. [#33] Hailey Cowan (7-2-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Tamires Vidal (3-0-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#57BW] Ramona Pascual (6-5-0) via TKO (Flying Knee to the Body) in 3:06 of round 1
2022-03-11: W vs. [#47BW] Queila Pereira Americo Br (5-2-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 3:36 of round 2
2021-11-06: W vs. [#29FW] Ailin Perez (7-2-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Knees) in 3:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Hailey Cowan (2-1-0)
2022-08-16: W vs. [#46BW] Claudia Leite (8-3-0) via SD ()
2022-01-12: W vs. [#113BW] Monica Franco (2-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2020-09-11: L vs. [*] Kelly Clayton (2-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tamires Vidal -225 66.04%
Elo K170 Tamires Vidal 1465.20 +134.72 64.92%
Elo Modified Tamires Vidal 1447.94 +147.99 65.65%
Glicko-1 Tamires Vidal 1429.56 +194.99 75.44%
WHR Tamires Vidal 1407.55 +182.88 69.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tamires Vidal 140, Hailey Cowan 221
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Stored DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Cory Sandhagen vs. Marlon Vera
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen vs. Marlon Vera
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2023-3-19

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