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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Spann vs. Krylov (02-25-2023)

Posted on February 20, 2023 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Ryan Spann (21-7-0, +132) vs. [#11] Nikita Krylov (29-9-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#22LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#45LHW] Ion Cutelaba (16-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2021-09-18: L vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-17-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (2-1-0)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#48LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#16LHW] Paul Craig (16-6-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nikita Krylov -161 58.87%
Elo K170 Ryan Spann 1917.51 +5.97 50.68%
Elo Modified Nikita Krylov 1931.39 +26.50 52.90%
Glicko-1 Nikita Krylov 2003.44 +39.14 55.61%
WHR Nikita Krylov 1833.13 +50.14 55.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 105, Nikita Krylov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Andre Muniz (23-4-0, -181) vs. [#19] Brendan Allen (20-5-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Muniz (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Uriah Hall (17-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#39MW] Eryk Anders (15-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:13 of round 1
2021-05-15: W vs. [*] Ronaldo Souza (26-10-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 3:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#27MW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-06-11: W vs. [#90MW] Jacob Malkoun (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#79MW] Sam Alvey (33-18-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andre Muniz -181 61.50%
Elo K170 Andre Muniz 2005.54 +80.75 59.12%
Elo Modified Andre Muniz 2008.39 +62.98 56.85%
Glicko-1 Andre Muniz 2075.48 +101.80 64.25%
WHR Andre Muniz 2008.74 +193.40 70.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Muniz 238, Brendan Allen 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andre Muniz leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#30] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1, -112) vs. [#102] Dontale Mayes (9-5-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (0-3-0)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#9HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2021-12-11: L vs. [#6HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [#8HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#100HW+] Hamdy Abdelwahab (6-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#181HW+] Josh Parisian (15-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:26 of round 3
2020-11-14: W vs. [#165HW+] Roque Martinez (16-8-2) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Augusto Sakai -112 50.00%
Elo K170 Augusto Sakai 1545.24 +178.09 69.29%
Elo Modified Augusto Sakai 1565.94 +62.86 56.84%
Glicko-1 Augusto Sakai 1569.26 +74.07 60.50%
WHR Augusto Sakai 1508.67 +34.28 53.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Augusto Sakai 203, Dontale Mayes 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#42] Montana De La Rosa (12-7-1, +510) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (8-0-0, -808)

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-1-1)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#11FLY] Maycee Barber (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#52FLY] Ariane Lipski (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 2
2021-02-27: D vs. [#8BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#2SW/#6DD/#5P4P] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 3
2018-05-19: W vs. [#8FLY] Alexa Grasso (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatiana Suarez -808 84.44%
Elo K170 Tatiana Suarez 1777.18 +393.31 85.78%
Elo Modified Tatiana Suarez 1793.30 +408.98 85.70%
Glicko-1 Tatiana Suarez 1785.26 +388.68 90.36%
WHR Tatiana Suarez 1725.15 +379.24 84.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montana De La Rosa 308, Tatiana Suarez 1358
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#107] Mike Malott (8-1-1, -216) vs. [#178] Yohan Lainesse (9-1-0, +173)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#137WW] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
2021-10-05: W vs. [#361WW] Shimon Smotritsky (9-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1
2020-12-18: W vs. [#331LW] Solomon Renfro (10-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yohan Lainesse (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#369WW] Darian Weeks (5-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#159WW] Gabriel Green (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2021-11-02: W vs. [#211WW] Justin Burlinson (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -216 65.10%
Elo K170 Mike Malott 1581.97 +63.96 57.25%
Elo Modified Mike Malott 1601.21 +58.42 56.36%
Glicko-1 Mike Malott 1615.62 +117.71 66.32%
WHR Mike Malott 1683.09 +234.01 74.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Malott 322, Yohan Lainesse 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#140] Trevor Peek (7-0-0, -179) vs. [#330] Erick Gonzalez (14-7-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Trevor Peek (3-0-0)
2022-09-13: W vs. [#462LW] Malik Lewis (5-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-08-13: W vs. [#261LW] Khama Worthy (18-10-0) via KO in 4:44 of round 1
2022-04-16: W vs. [#585WW] Warren Smith (9-14-0) via KO in 1:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Erick Gonzalez (1-2-0)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#136LW] Terrance McKinney (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:17 of round 1
2021-10-16: L vs. [#48LW] Jim Miller (35-17-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:14 of round 2
2021-08-07: W vs. [#528LW] Samuel Alvarez (7-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Trevor Peek -179 61.21%
Elo K170 Trevor Peek 1528.97 +153.90 66.89%
Elo Modified Trevor Peek 1582.96 +201.17 70.70%
Glicko-1 Trevor Peek 1599.80 +219.44 77.96%
WHR Trevor Peek 1478.33 +110.21 62.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevor Peek 165, Erick Gonzalez 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#29] Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes (8-1-0, -124) vs. [#51] Jasmine Jasudavicius (7-2-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes (3-0-0)
2022-09-30: W vs. [#88FLY] Karoline Martins Moreira (9-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 2
2022-05-13: W vs. [#95SW] Edna Oliveira Ajala (10-11-1) via TKO (Submission to Strikes) in 3:17 of round 3
2021-07-16: W vs. [#49BW] Queila Pereira Americo Br (5-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (2-1-0)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#18FLY] Natalia Silva (14-5-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#50SW] Kay Hansen (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-09-14: W vs. [#24SW] Julia Polastri (11-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes -124 52.41%
Elo K170 Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes 1502.14 +143.43 65.82%
Elo Modified Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes 1566.73 +141.43 65.00%
Glicko-1 Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes 1531.82 +110.56 65.39%
WHR Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes 1495.02 +117.68 63.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriella Fernandes Hermogenes 148, Jasmine Jasudavicius 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Victor Martinez (13-4-0, +103) vs. [#208] Jordan Leavitt (10-2-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Martinez (3-0-0)
2021-09-21: W vs. [#410LW] Jacob Rosales (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#390FW] Anselmo Luis Luna Jr. (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#389LW] Nico Echeverry (13-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#42LW] Paddy Pimblett (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#125LW] Trey Ogden (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#690LW] Matt Sayles (8-4-0) via Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jordan Leavitt -128 53.26%
Elo K170 Victor Martinez 1635.78 +55.25 56.28%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1581.59 +0.27 50.03%
Glicko-1 Victor Martinez 1581.69 +7.33 51.05%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1548.34 +75.91 58.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victor Martinez 522, Jordan Leavitt 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jordan Leavitt leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#27] Charles Johnson (13-3-0, -191) vs. [#60] Ode Osbourne (11-5-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#94FLY] Jimmy Flick (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2022-11-19: W vs. [#50FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#17FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (9-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#22FLY] Tyson Nam (21-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#165FLY] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1
2021-11-06: W vs. [#89FLY] C.J. Vergara (10-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Johnson -191 62.87%
Elo K170 Charles Johnson 1655.61 +245.84 75.45%
Elo Modified Charles Johnson 1619.98 +181.09 68.84%
Glicko-1 Charles Johnson 1670.42 +212.63 77.27%
WHR Charles Johnson 1546.86 +120.27 63.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 42, Ode Osbourne 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#96] Rafael Alves (20-11-0, +136) vs. [#173] Nurullo Aliev (8-0-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Alves (1-2-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#13LW] Drew Dober (26-11-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 1:30 of round 3
2021-11-13: W vs. [#92LW] Marc Diakiese (16-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 1
2021-05-22: L vs. [*] Damir Ismagulov (24-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Nurullo Aliev (3-0-0)
2022-09-20: W vs. [#395LW] Josh Wick (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 1
2021-09-18: W vs. [#728WW] Kirill Kryukov (10-6-1) via UD ()
2020-12-24: W vs. [#453WW] Alexander Grebnev (7-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nurullo Aliev -169 59.72%
Elo K170 Rafael Alves 1661.04 +49.68 55.65%
Elo Modified Rafael Alves 1668.57 +1.60 50.18%
Glicko-1 Rafael Alves 1712.90 +98.81 63.85%
WHR Rafael Alves 1690.47 +140.09 65.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Alves 210, Nurullo Aliev 158
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#34] Hailey Cowan (7-2-0, -158) vs. [#27FW] Ailin Perez (7-2-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Hailey Cowan (2-1-0)
2022-08-16: W vs. [#48BW] Claudia Leite (8-3-0) via SD ()
2022-01-12: W vs. [#117BW] Monica Franco (2-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2020-09-11: L vs. [*] Kelly Clayton (2-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ailin Perez (2-1-0)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#15FW] Stephanie Egger (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:54 of round 2
2022-05-22: W vs. [#68BW] Stephanie Bragayrac (8-5-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2022-02-12: W vs. [NA] Romina Aguirre (0-2-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hailey Cowan -158 58.37%
Elo K170 Hailey Cowan 1330.62 +90.10 60.15%
Elo Modified Ailin Perez 1324.31 +23.94 52.62%
Glicko-1 Ailin Perez 1325.40 +90.69 62.76%
WHR Ailin Perez 1284.04 +62.14 57.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hailey Cowan 193, Ailin Perez 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#127] Jose Johnson (16-7-0, +131) vs. [#344] Garrett Armfield (8-3-0, -162)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Johnson (3-0-0)
2022-08-16: W vs. [#212BW] Jack Cartwright (10-1-0) via UD ()
2022-02-11: W vs. [#1452FW] Dulani Perry (4-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:12 of round 1
2021-11-14: W vs. [#602BW] Mo Miller (7-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Garrett Armfield (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#101FW] David Onama (10-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2022-05-06: W vs. [#632FW] Steven Graham (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:33 of round 1
2021-10-09: W vs. [*] Mark Slyter (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Garrett Armfield -162 58.81%
Elo K170 Jose Johnson 1569.39 +244.36 75.33%
Elo Modified Jose Johnson 1568.75 +242.07 74.26%
Glicko-1 Jose Johnson 1591.62 +239.37 79.87%
WHR Jose Johnson 1470.13 +180.21 69.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Johnson 193, Garrett Armfield 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#78] Joe Solecki (12-3-0) vs. [#239] Carl Deaton (17-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Solecki (2-1-0)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#250LW] Alex da Silva Coelho (21-4-0) via MD (28-28, 28-27, 29-27)
2021-10-02: L vs. [#70LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#48LW] Jim Miller (35-17-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Carl Deaton (2-1-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#953LW] Antoine Blassingame (7-9-0) via NC in 3:53 of round 2
2022-02-05: W vs. [#333LW] Justin Jaynes (16-9-0) via UD ()
2021-08-27: L vs. [#157FW] Alejandro Flores Garcia (22-4-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Joe Solecki 1694.93 +267.05 77.21%
Elo Modified Joe Solecki 1712.35 +251.64 75.06%
Glicko-1 Joe Solecki 1711.45 +204.92 76.49%
WHR Joe Solecki 1625.83 +197.68 71.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joe Solecki 266, Carl Deaton 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Andre Muniz
Highest Stored DD Rating: Andre Muniz
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Andre Muniz vs. Brendan Allen
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Andre Muniz vs. Brendan Allen
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2023-2-19

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