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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski (02-11-2023)

Posted on February 6, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#3DD/#6P4P] Islam Makhachev (23-1-0, -407) vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#1P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (25-1-0, +303)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #20 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #9 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#2LW/#5DD] Charles Oliveira (33-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2
2022-02-26: W vs. [#28LW] Bobby Green (29-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1
2021-10-30: W vs. [#12LW] Dan Hooker (22-12-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (23-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#8FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 4
2021-09-25: W vs. [#7FW] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -407 76.39%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2461.32 +119.12 63.28%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2404.57 +117.67 62.60%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2467.17 +63.12 58.99%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2292.66 +46.44 55.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 112, Alexander Volkanovski 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#5] Josh Emmett (18-2-0, +135) vs. [#6] Yair Rodriguez (14-3-0, -166)
Josh Emmett is the All-Time #25 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (3-0-0)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#9FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#11FW] Dan Ige (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#17FW] Shane Burgos (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#7FW] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-11-13: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (23-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#56LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-21-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yair Rodriguez -166 59.46%
Elo K170 Josh Emmett 2142.82 +100.02 61.23%
Elo Modified Josh Emmett 2037.32 +46.12 55.03%
Glicko-1 Josh Emmett 2082.10 +3.53 50.51%
WHR Yair Rodriguez 1926.73 +42.70 54.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 238, Yair Rodriguez 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Yair Rodriguez leads 1-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#25] Randy Brown (16-4-0, +252) vs. [#46] Jack Della Maddalena (13-2-0, -334)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (3-0-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#40WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#49WW] Kalinn Williams (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#149MW] Jared Gooden (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#70WW] Danny Roberts (18-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 1
2022-06-11: W vs. [#73WW] Ramazan Emeev (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 1
2022-01-22: W vs. [#761LW] Pete Rodriguez (5-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Della Maddalena -334 73.03%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1978.12 +170.83 68.58%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1896.67 +76.20 58.26%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1934.02 +61.74 58.79%
WHR Randy Brown 1781.19 +18.84 52.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 133, Jack Della Maddalena 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#93] Parker Porter (12-7-0, +118) vs. [#142] Justin Tafa (5-3-0, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Parker Porter (2-1-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#31HW+] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:35 of round 1
2022-02-19: W vs. [#284HW+] Alan Baudot (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#72HW+] Chase Sherman (16-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-2-0)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#233LHW] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:54 of round 1
2021-05-22: L vs. [#91HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-01-16: L vs. [*] Carlos Felipe (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Justin Tafa -146 56.40%
Elo K170 Parker Porter 1480.86 +206.63 71.99%
Elo Modified Parker Porter 1510.45 +118.73 62.71%
Glicko-1 Parker Porter 1509.67 +122.34 66.91%
WHR Parker Porter 1492.66 +172.93 68.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Parker Porter 266, Justin Tafa 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#29] Alonzo Menifield (13-3-0, +179) vs. [#37] Jimmy Crute (12-3-0, -221)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#74LHW] Misha Cirkunov (15-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#193LHW] Askar Mozharov (20-13-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 1
2021-12-04: L vs. [#47LHW] William Knight (11-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Crute (1-2-0)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2021-04-24: L vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-17-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-10-17: W vs. [#61LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jimmy Crute -221 65.76%
Elo K170 Alonzo Menifield 1659.15 +51.15 55.82%
Elo Modified Alonzo Menifield 1693.77 +34.34 53.75%
Glicko-1 Alonzo Menifield 1757.41 +96.25 63.51%
WHR Jimmy Crute 1631.54 +17.12 51.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 119, Jimmy Crute 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alonzo Menifield leads 2-1
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#61] Modestas Bukauskas (13-5-0, +202) vs. [#62] Tyson Pedro (9-3-0, -254)

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (2-1-0)
2022-12-31: W vs. [#173LHW] Chuck Campbell (5-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:22 of round 4
2022-11-04: W vs. [#118LHW] Lee Chadwick (28-17-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#17LHW] Khalil Rountree (11-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Pedro (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#233LHW] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [#192LHW] Isaac Villanueva (18-14-0) via KO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 4:55 of round 1
2018-12-01: L vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tyson Pedro -254 68.42%
Elo K170 Tyson Pedro 1549.59 +16.79 51.92%
Elo Modified Modestas Bukauskas 1592.56 +1.88 50.21%
Glicko-1 Modestas Bukauskas 1615.98 +3.78 50.54%
WHR Modestas Bukauskas 1606.69 +29.76 53.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Modestas Bukauskas 42, Tyson Pedro 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tyson Pedro leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#68] Joshua Culibao (11-1-1, -113) vs. [*] Melsik Baghdasaryan (7-1-0, -111)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Culibao (2-0-1)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#90FW] Seung Woo Choi (10-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#56FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-03: D vs. [#42FW] Charles Jourdain (13-6-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Melsik Baghdasaryan (3-0-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#276FW] Bruno Souza (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#918FW] Collin Anglin (8-5-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:50 of round 2
2020-09-01: W vs. [#162FW] Dennis Buzukja (9-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joshua Culibao -113 50.20%
Elo K170 Joshua Culibao 1634.71 +97.88 61.00%
Elo Modified Joshua Culibao 1581.04 +60.81 56.62%
Glicko-1 Joshua Culibao 1533.91 +12.31 51.77%
WHR Melsik Baghdasaryan 1486.64 +9.04 51.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Culibao 245, Melsik Baghdasaryan 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#101] Kleydson Rodrigues (7-2-0, -282) vs. [#382] Shannon Ross (12-6-0, +220)

Last 3 Fights: Kleydson Rodrigues (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#88FLY] C.J. Vergara (10-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-09-21: W vs. [#446FLY] Santo Curatolo (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#81FLY] Eduardo Henrique (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shannon Ross (1-2-0)
2022-08-02: L vs. [#94FLY] Vinicius Salvador (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 2
2020-11-27: W vs. [*] Donavon Frelow (6-5-0) via UD ()
2020-03-07: L vs. [*] Steve Erceg (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kleydson Rodrigues -282 70.25%
Elo K170 Kleydson Rodrigues 1356.72 +57.49 56.53%
Elo Modified Kleydson Rodrigues 1461.10 +124.34 63.28%
Glicko-1 Kleydson Rodrigues 1480.71 +174.43 73.19%
WHR Kleydson Rodrigues 1486.64 +230.84 74.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kleydson Rodrigues 280, Shannon Ross 193
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#87] Jamie Mullarkey (15-5-0, -267) vs. [#249] Francisco Prado (12-0-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#74LW] Michael Johnson (21-18-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-05: L vs. [#32LW] Jalin Turner (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 2
2021-10-02: W vs. [#176LW] Devonte Smith (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (3-0-0)
2022-12-16: W vs. [#679LW] Jose Barrios Vargas (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1
2022-10-15: W vs. [#935LW] Adrian Perrone (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2022-06-19: W vs. [#2033LW] Mauricio Ariel Pare (22-16-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:07 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamie Mullarkey -267 69.07%
Elo K170 Jamie Mullarkey 1600.12 +60.94 56.92%
Elo Modified Jamie Mullarkey 1583.08 +13.58 51.49%
Glicko-1 Francisco Prado 1640.31 +56.60 58.08%
WHR Francisco Prado 1571.39 +27.94 53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Mullarkey 217, Francisco Prado 57
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#179] Jack Jenkins (10-2-0, -333) vs. [#189] Don Shainis (14-4-0, +252)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (3-0-0)
2022-09-27: W vs. [#536FW] Freddy Emiliano Linares (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 3
2022-03-19: W vs. [#349FW] Rod Costa (7-4-0) via UD ()
2021-12-05: W vs. [NA] Jason Petropoulos (4-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 1:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Don Shainis (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#19FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#665FW] Brice Picaud (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2022-05-06: W vs. [#741LW] Cody Pfister (16-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Jenkins -333 73.02%
Elo K170 Jack Jenkins 1495.65 +64.35 57.30%
Elo Modified Jack Jenkins 1530.40 +87.76 59.49%
Glicko-1 Jack Jenkins 1537.84 +65.19 59.27%
WHR Jack Jenkins 1524.45 +121.85 63.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Jenkins 137, Don Shainis 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#27] Konklak Suphisara (7-3-0) vs. [#42] Elise Reed (6-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Konklak Suphisara (2-1-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#47SW] Denise Gomes (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#17SW] Lupita Godinez (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#32SW] Sam Hughes (7-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#131SW] Melissa Martinez (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32SW] Sam Hughes (7-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3
2022-03-19: W vs. [#20SW] Cory McKenna (8-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Konklak Suphisara 1393.07 +2.83 50.32%
Elo Modified Konklak Suphisara 1403.48 +19.73 52.16%
Glicko-1 Konklak Suphisara 1366.97 +71.19 60.10%
WHR Konklak Suphisara 1351.69 +133.74 64.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Konklak Suphisara 147, Elise Reed 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Konklak Suphisara leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#121] Blake Bilder (7-0-1, +104) vs. [*] Shane Young (13-6-0, -130)

Last 3 Fights: Blake Bilder (3-0-0)
2022-08-30: W vs. [#274FW] Alex Morgan (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-04-15: W vs. [#818FW] Regivaldo Carvalho (6-4-0) via KO in 2:53 of round 3
2021-12-17: W vs. [#739FW] Frank Buenafuente (10-6-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shane Young (1-2-0)
2021-03-27: L vs. [#241LW] Omar Morales (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#101LW] Ludovit Klein (19-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:16 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [#264LW] Austin Arnett (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Young -130 53.55%
Elo K170 Blake Bilder 1549.46 +106.59 61.94%
Elo Modified Blake Bilder 1551.88 +71.55 57.77%
Glicko-1 Blake Bilder 1585.69 +78.40 61.09%
WHR Blake Bilder 1548.82 +155.11 67.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blake Bilder 165, Shane Young 686
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Zubaira Tukhugov (20-5-1, -534) vs. [#448] Elves Brener Oliveira (13-3-0, +374)

Last 3 Fights: Zubaira Tukhugov (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#70FW] Ricardo Ramos (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#54FW] Hakeem Dawodu (13-3-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2020-02-22: W vs. [*] Kevin Aguilar (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Elves Brener Oliveira (2-1-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#1566FW] Victor Nunez (4-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:46 of round 1
2021-07-10: W vs. [#735FW] Adilson Ramos Silva (9-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:49 of round 1
2020-10-16: L vs. [#78FW] Gabriel Santos (10-0-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Zubaira Tukhugov -534 79.96%
Elo K170 Zubaira Tukhugov 1738.48 +369.85 84.42%
Elo Modified Zubaira Tukhugov 1767.17 +346.52 82.01%
Glicko-1 Zubaira Tukhugov 1779.84 +325.05 86.66%
WHR Zubaira Tukhugov 1749.08 +279.65 78.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zubaira Tukhugov 469, Elves Brener Oliveira 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Islam Makhachev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2023-2-5

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