Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ferguson vs. Diaz (09-10-2022)

Sep 5, 2022
Jason

Welterweight (171)
[#16LW] Tony Ferguson (25-7-0, 171.0lb) vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-13-0, 171.0lb)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#4LW] Michael Chandler (23-7-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-05-15: L vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Charles Oliveira (33-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#7WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#89LW] Anthony Pettis (25-14-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Nate Diaz 1967.53 +25.62 52.92%
Elo Modified Nate Diaz 1951.57 +47.68 55.20%
Glicko-1 Nate Diaz 2040.26 +70.78 60.05%
WHR Nate Diaz 1850.60 +80.89 59.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 126, Nate Diaz 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 4-3
.

Middleweight (179)
[#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0, 178.5lb) vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0, 179.5lb)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#22MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (32-13-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#98WW] Alex Oliveira (23-13-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:38 of round 2
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Khamzat Chimaev 2010.81 +90.93 60.24%
Elo Modified Khamzat Chimaev 2035.68 +123.42 63.19%
Glicko-1 Khamzat Chimaev 2125.94 +130.44 67.93%
WHR Khamzat Chimaev 1986.34 +179.45 69.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 154, Kevin Holland 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (179)
[#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0, 170.5lb) vs. [#29WW] Daniel Rodriguez (16-2-0, 179.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#41WW] Muslim Salikhov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2
2021-10-30: L vs. [#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#40WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#39WW] Kevin Lee (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#167WW] Preston Parsons (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [*] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jingliang Li 1946.08 +55.14 56.27%
Elo Modified Jingliang Li 1931.65 +28.20 53.08%
Glicko-1 Jingliang Li 2012.11 +53.62 57.66%
WHR Jingliang Li 1880.74 +74.78 58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jingliang Li 56, Daniel Rodriguez 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (139)
[#6] Irene Aldana (13-6-0, 137.5lb, -177) vs. [#8] Macy Chiasson (8-2-0, 139.5lb, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Irene Aldana (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#13BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 1
2020-10-03: L vs. [#5BW] Holly Holm (14-6-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#5FW] Norma Dumont (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (14-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Irene Aldana -177 61.01%
Elo K170 Irene Aldana 1643.79 +69.30 57.85%
Elo Modified Irene Aldana 1650.24 +78.43 58.50%
Glicko-1 Irene Aldana 1662.88 +167.49 72.40%
WHR Irene Aldana 1621.54 +150.07 66.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Irene Aldana 427, Macy Chiasson 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20] Johnny Walker (18-7-0, 205.0lb, +169) vs. [#31] Ion Cutelaba (16-7-1, 205.5lb, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (1-2-0)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (12-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 1
2021-10-02: L vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#15LHW] Ryan Spann (20-7-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-1-1)
2022-05-14: L vs. [#15LHW] Ryan Spann (20-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2021-09-18: W vs. [#44LHW] Devin Clark (13-7-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 30-26)
2021-05-01: D vs. [#17LHW] Dustin Jacoby (18-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -208 64.49%
Elo K170 Johnny Walker 1635.63 +8.20 50.94%
Elo Modified Johnny Walker 1667.70 +19.56 52.14%
Glicko-1 Johnny Walker 1721.19 +74.85 60.61%
WHR Johnny Walker 1651.64 +15.16 51.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 203, Ion Cutelaba 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Johnny Walker leads 4-2
.

Featherweight (149)
[#41] Julian Erosa (27-9-0, 146.0lb, +180) vs. [#54] Hakeem Dawodu (13-2-1, 149.5lb, -221)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#92FW] Steven Peterson (19-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-04: W vs. [#45FW] Charles Jourdain (13-6-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:56 of round 3
2021-06-19: L vs. [#77FW] Seung Woo Choi (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#154FW] Michael Trizano (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#11FW] Movsar Evloev (16-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#47FW] Zubaira Tukhugov (20-5-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hakeem Dawodu -221 65.84%
Elo K170 Hakeem Dawodu 1838.22 +116.40 62.99%
Elo Modified Hakeem Dawodu 1753.49 +65.50 57.12%
Glicko-1 Hakeem Dawodu 1738.90 +28.20 54.05%
WHR Hakeem Dawodu 1706.51 +82.06 59.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 217, Hakeem Dawodu 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Hakeem Dawodu leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (216)
[#38] Jailton Almeida (17-2-0, 216.5lb, -699) vs. [#105LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-0-0, 214.0lb, +489)

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (3-0-0)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#87HW+] Parker Porter (12-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:35 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#95LHW] Danilo Marques (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2021-09-14: W vs. [#67LHW] Nasrudin Nasrudinov (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anton Turkalj (3-0-0)
2022-07-26: W vs. [#181LHW] Acacio dos Santos (14-5-0) via UD ()
2021-04-01: W vs. [#1063MW] Konstantin Soldatov (5-3-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 0:13 of round 1
2020-08-24: W vs. [#184LHW] Ibo Aslan (10-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -699 83.74%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1757.81 +221.22 73.31%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 1775.14 +224.29 72.75%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 1864.01 +295.34 84.55%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1761.17 +269.80 77.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 112, Anton Turkalj 46
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (186)
[#105] Jamie Pickett (13-7-0, 185.5lb, -137) vs. [#170] Denis Tiuliulin (9-6-0, 186.0lb, +112)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Pickett (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [#181MW] Joseph Holmes (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#113WW] Laureano Staropoli (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Denis Tiuliulin (1-2-0)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#42MW] Aliaskhab Khizriev (15-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:58 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [#123MW] Juscelino Ferreira Caetan (12-3-0) via TKO in 3:51 of round 1
2020-09-17: L vs. [#89MW] Ikram Aliskerov (12-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:48 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamie Pickett -137 55.06%
Elo K170 Jamie Pickett 1391.04 +71.79 58.13%
Elo Modified Jamie Pickett 1439.20 +72.18 57.83%
Glicko-1 Jamie Pickett 1421.79 +2.46 50.36%
WHR Denis Tiuliulin 1439.35 +59.05 56.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Pickett 203, Denis Tiuliulin 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (267)
[#56] Jake Collier (13-7-0, 265.0lb, -392) vs. [#101] Chris Barnett (22-8-0, 267.5lb, +295)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Collier (1-2-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-20-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#68HW+] Chase Sherman (16-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#78HW+] Carlos Felipe (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Barnett (1-2-0)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#64HW+] Martin Buday (11-1-0) via TUD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Gian Villante (17-14-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: L vs. [#39HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-14-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jake Collier -392 75.88%
Elo K170 Jake Collier 1458.88 +57.95 56.58%
Elo Modified Jake Collier 1562.94 +157.44 66.58%
Glicko-1 Jake Collier 1594.24 +166.52 72.29%
WHR Jake Collier 1580.81 +212.25 72.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Collier 133, Chris Barnett 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (146)
[#5] Norma Dumont (7-2-0, 146.0lb, -349) vs. [*] Danyelle Wolf (1-0-0, 146.0lb, +268)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#8BW] Macy Chiasson (8-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#10BW] Aspen Ladd (9-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Felicia Spencer (9-3-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Danyelle Wolf (1-0-0)
2020-09-15: W vs. [#25BW] Taneisha Tennant (5-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Norma Dumont -349 74.09%
Elo K170 Norma Dumont 1460.58 +328.56 81.77%
Elo Modified Norma Dumont 1531.35 +294.14 78.38%
Glicko-1 Norma Dumont 1486.88 +358.02 88.71%
WHR Norma Dumont 1436.45 +333.63 82.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 126, Danyelle Wolf 725
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#83] Heili Alateng (15-8-2, 135.0lb, -172) vs. [#96] Chad Anheliger (12-5-0, 135.5lb, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (1-1-1)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#242LW] Kevin Croom (23-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1
2021-09-18: D vs. [#149BW] Gustavo Lopez (12-6-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-10-03: L vs. [#36BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Chad Anheliger (3-0-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#733BW] Jesse Strader (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 3
2021-09-07: W vs. [#81BW] Muin Gafurov (18-4-0) via SD ()
2019-11-30: W vs. [#315BW] Brady Hiestand (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Heili Alateng -172 60.28%
Elo K170 Chad Anheliger 1582.83 +4.02 50.46%
Elo Modified Heili Alateng 1561.59 +9.15 51.00%
Glicko-1 Chad Anheliger 1588.53 +10.37 51.49%
WHR Chad Anheliger 1565.23 +70.03 57.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Heili Alateng 147, Chad Anheliger 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#58] Elise Reed (5-2-0, 115.5lb, +137) vs. [*] Melissa Martinez (7-0-0, 113.5lb, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (1-2-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32SW] Sam Hughes (7-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3
2022-03-19: W vs. [#26SW] Cory McKenna (7-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-24: L vs. [#35FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Martinez (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#133FLY] Desiree Yanez (5-4-0) via SD (27-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-26: W vs. [#41SW] Caroline Gallardo (6-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:50 of round 2
2018-09-28: W vs. [NA] Francis Hernandez (3-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 2:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Martinez -170 59.87%
Elo K170 Melissa Martinez 1395.26 +117.49 63.11%
Elo Modified Melissa Martinez 1389.16 +107.64 61.57%
Glicko-1 Melissa Martinez 1358.94 +187.28 74.61%
WHR Melissa Martinez 1305.45 +151.29 66.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elise Reed 112, Melissa Martinez 1008
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (171)
[#170] Yohan Lainesse (8-1-0, 171.0lb, +106) vs. [#363] Darian Weeks (5-2-0, 170.5lb, -131)

Last 3 Fights: Yohan Lainesse (2-1-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#149WW] Gabriel Green (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2021-11-02: W vs. [#205WW] Justin Burlinson (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1
2021-07-03: W vs. [#214WW] Evan Cutts (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches to the Body) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Darian Weeks (1-2-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#96WW] Ian Garry (10-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#36WW] Bryan Barberena (18-8-0) via UD ()
2021-02-12: W vs. [NA] Craig Fairley (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:51 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Darian Weeks -131 53.88%
Elo K170 Yohan Lainesse 1478.96 +210.54 72.35%
Elo Modified Yohan Lainesse 1555.03 +187.47 69.44%
Glicko-1 Yohan Lainesse 1526.12 +182.08 74.04%
WHR Yohan Lainesse 1470.25 +167.98 68.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yohan Lainesse 133, Darian Weeks 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Khamzat Chimaev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Khamzat Chimaev
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2022-9-9

Leave A Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Before asking where a specific fighter is ranked or why they aren't ranked:


- We update the rankings once per week, usually on Sunday or Monday.

- Fighters who have not fought in 450 days or more ARE NOT RANKED UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

- Use the "Fighter Search" option in the upper-right of the page. The fighter may be ranked in a different division.

- Most of the divisions have multiple pages beyond this one. See the clickable ranges above and below the ranking table.

Furthermore, we do not maintain the "next fight" data. This is gathered from Sherdog. Any issues regarding this data should be forwarded to them.