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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ferguson vs. Diaz (09-10-2022)

Posted on September 5, 2022 by Jason

Welterweight (171)
[#16LW] Tony Ferguson (25-7-0, 171.0lb) vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-13-0, 171.0lb)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#4LW] Michael Chandler (23-7-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-05-15: L vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Charles Oliveira (33-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#7WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#89LW] Anthony Pettis (25-14-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Nate Diaz 1967.53 +25.62 52.92%
Elo Modified Nate Diaz 1951.57 +47.68 55.20%
Glicko-1 Nate Diaz 2040.26 +70.78 60.05%
WHR Nate Diaz 1850.60 +80.89 59.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 126, Nate Diaz 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 4-3
.

Middleweight (179)
[#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0, 178.5lb) vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0, 179.5lb)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#22MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (32-13-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#98WW] Alex Oliveira (23-13-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:38 of round 2
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Khamzat Chimaev 2010.81 +90.93 60.24%
Elo Modified Khamzat Chimaev 2035.68 +123.42 63.19%
Glicko-1 Khamzat Chimaev 2125.94 +130.44 67.93%
WHR Khamzat Chimaev 1986.34 +179.45 69.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 154, Kevin Holland 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (179)
[#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0, 170.5lb) vs. [#29WW] Daniel Rodriguez (16-2-0, 179.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#41WW] Muslim Salikhov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2
2021-10-30: L vs. [#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#40WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#39WW] Kevin Lee (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#167WW] Preston Parsons (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [*] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jingliang Li 1946.08 +55.14 56.27%
Elo Modified Jingliang Li 1931.65 +28.20 53.08%
Glicko-1 Jingliang Li 2012.11 +53.62 57.66%
WHR Jingliang Li 1880.74 +74.78 58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jingliang Li 56, Daniel Rodriguez 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (139)
[#6] Irene Aldana (13-6-0, 137.5lb, -177) vs. [#8] Macy Chiasson (8-2-0, 139.5lb, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Irene Aldana (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#13BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 1
2020-10-03: L vs. [#5BW] Holly Holm (14-6-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#5FW] Norma Dumont (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (14-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Irene Aldana -177 61.01%
Elo K170 Irene Aldana 1643.79 +69.30 57.85%
Elo Modified Irene Aldana 1650.24 +78.43 58.50%
Glicko-1 Irene Aldana 1662.88 +167.49 72.40%
WHR Irene Aldana 1621.54 +150.07 66.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Irene Aldana 427, Macy Chiasson 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20] Johnny Walker (18-7-0, 205.0lb, +169) vs. [#31] Ion Cutelaba (16-7-1, 205.5lb, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (1-2-0)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (12-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 1
2021-10-02: L vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#15LHW] Ryan Spann (20-7-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-1-1)
2022-05-14: L vs. [#15LHW] Ryan Spann (20-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2021-09-18: W vs. [#44LHW] Devin Clark (13-7-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 30-26)
2021-05-01: D vs. [#17LHW] Dustin Jacoby (18-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -208 64.49%
Elo K170 Johnny Walker 1635.63 +8.20 50.94%
Elo Modified Johnny Walker 1667.70 +19.56 52.14%
Glicko-1 Johnny Walker 1721.19 +74.85 60.61%
WHR Johnny Walker 1651.64 +15.16 51.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 203, Ion Cutelaba 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Johnny Walker leads 4-2
.

Featherweight (149)
[#41] Julian Erosa (27-9-0, 146.0lb, +180) vs. [#54] Hakeem Dawodu (13-2-1, 149.5lb, -221)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#92FW] Steven Peterson (19-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-04: W vs. [#45FW] Charles Jourdain (13-6-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:56 of round 3
2021-06-19: L vs. [#77FW] Seung Woo Choi (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#154FW] Michael Trizano (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#11FW] Movsar Evloev (16-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#47FW] Zubaira Tukhugov (20-5-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hakeem Dawodu -221 65.84%
Elo K170 Hakeem Dawodu 1838.22 +116.40 62.99%
Elo Modified Hakeem Dawodu 1753.49 +65.50 57.12%
Glicko-1 Hakeem Dawodu 1738.90 +28.20 54.05%
WHR Hakeem Dawodu 1706.51 +82.06 59.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 217, Hakeem Dawodu 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Hakeem Dawodu leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (216)
[#38] Jailton Almeida (17-2-0, 216.5lb, -699) vs. [#105LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-0-0, 214.0lb, +489)

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (3-0-0)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#87HW+] Parker Porter (12-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:35 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#95LHW] Danilo Marques (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2021-09-14: W vs. [#67LHW] Nasrudin Nasrudinov (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anton Turkalj (3-0-0)
2022-07-26: W vs. [#181LHW] Acacio dos Santos (14-5-0) via UD ()
2021-04-01: W vs. [#1063MW] Konstantin Soldatov (5-3-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 0:13 of round 1
2020-08-24: W vs. [#184LHW] Ibo Aslan (10-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -699 83.74%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1757.81 +221.22 73.31%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 1775.14 +224.29 72.75%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 1864.01 +295.34 84.55%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1761.17 +269.80 77.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 112, Anton Turkalj 46
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (186)
[#105] Jamie Pickett (13-7-0, 185.5lb, -137) vs. [#170] Denis Tiuliulin (9-6-0, 186.0lb, +112)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Pickett (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-01-15: W vs. [#181MW] Joseph Holmes (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#113WW] Laureano Staropoli (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Denis Tiuliulin (1-2-0)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#42MW] Aliaskhab Khizriev (15-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:58 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [#123MW] Juscelino Ferreira Caetan (12-3-0) via TKO in 3:51 of round 1
2020-09-17: L vs. [#89MW] Ikram Aliskerov (12-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:48 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamie Pickett -137 55.06%
Elo K170 Jamie Pickett 1391.04 +71.79 58.13%
Elo Modified Jamie Pickett 1439.20 +72.18 57.83%
Glicko-1 Jamie Pickett 1421.79 +2.46 50.36%
WHR Denis Tiuliulin 1439.35 +59.05 56.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Pickett 203, Denis Tiuliulin 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (267)
[#56] Jake Collier (13-7-0, 265.0lb, -392) vs. [#101] Chris Barnett (22-8-0, 267.5lb, +295)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Collier (1-2-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-20-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#68HW+] Chase Sherman (16-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#78HW+] Carlos Felipe (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Barnett (1-2-0)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#64HW+] Martin Buday (11-1-0) via TUD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Gian Villante (17-14-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: L vs. [#39HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-14-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jake Collier -392 75.88%
Elo K170 Jake Collier 1458.88 +57.95 56.58%
Elo Modified Jake Collier 1562.94 +157.44 66.58%
Glicko-1 Jake Collier 1594.24 +166.52 72.29%
WHR Jake Collier 1580.81 +212.25 72.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Collier 133, Chris Barnett 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (146)
[#5] Norma Dumont (7-2-0, 146.0lb, -349) vs. [*] Danyelle Wolf (1-0-0, 146.0lb, +268)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#8BW] Macy Chiasson (8-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#10BW] Aspen Ladd (9-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Felicia Spencer (9-3-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Danyelle Wolf (1-0-0)
2020-09-15: W vs. [#25BW] Taneisha Tennant (5-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Norma Dumont -349 74.09%
Elo K170 Norma Dumont 1460.58 +328.56 81.77%
Elo Modified Norma Dumont 1531.35 +294.14 78.38%
Glicko-1 Norma Dumont 1486.88 +358.02 88.71%
WHR Norma Dumont 1436.45 +333.63 82.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 126, Danyelle Wolf 725
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#83] Heili Alateng (15-8-2, 135.0lb, -172) vs. [#96] Chad Anheliger (12-5-0, 135.5lb, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (1-1-1)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#242LW] Kevin Croom (23-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1
2021-09-18: D vs. [#149BW] Gustavo Lopez (12-6-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-10-03: L vs. [#36BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Chad Anheliger (3-0-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#733BW] Jesse Strader (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 3
2021-09-07: W vs. [#81BW] Muin Gafurov (18-4-0) via SD ()
2019-11-30: W vs. [#315BW] Brady Hiestand (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Heili Alateng -172 60.28%
Elo K170 Chad Anheliger 1582.83 +4.02 50.46%
Elo Modified Heili Alateng 1561.59 +9.15 51.00%
Glicko-1 Chad Anheliger 1588.53 +10.37 51.49%
WHR Chad Anheliger 1565.23 +70.03 57.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Heili Alateng 147, Chad Anheliger 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#58] Elise Reed (5-2-0, 115.5lb, +137) vs. [*] Melissa Martinez (7-0-0, 113.5lb, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (1-2-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32SW] Sam Hughes (7-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3
2022-03-19: W vs. [#26SW] Cory McKenna (7-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-24: L vs. [#35FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Martinez (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#133FLY] Desiree Yanez (5-4-0) via SD (27-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-26: W vs. [#41SW] Caroline Gallardo (6-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:50 of round 2
2018-09-28: W vs. [NA] Francis Hernandez (3-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 2:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Martinez -170 59.87%
Elo K170 Melissa Martinez 1395.26 +117.49 63.11%
Elo Modified Melissa Martinez 1389.16 +107.64 61.57%
Glicko-1 Melissa Martinez 1358.94 +187.28 74.61%
WHR Melissa Martinez 1305.45 +151.29 66.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elise Reed 112, Melissa Martinez 1008
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (171)
[#170] Yohan Lainesse (8-1-0, 171.0lb, +106) vs. [#363] Darian Weeks (5-2-0, 170.5lb, -131)

Last 3 Fights: Yohan Lainesse (2-1-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#149WW] Gabriel Green (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2021-11-02: W vs. [#205WW] Justin Burlinson (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1
2021-07-03: W vs. [#214WW] Evan Cutts (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches to the Body) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Darian Weeks (1-2-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#96WW] Ian Garry (10-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#36WW] Bryan Barberena (18-8-0) via UD ()
2021-02-12: W vs. [NA] Craig Fairley (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:51 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Darian Weeks -131 53.88%
Elo K170 Yohan Lainesse 1478.96 +210.54 72.35%
Elo Modified Yohan Lainesse 1555.03 +187.47 69.44%
Glicko-1 Yohan Lainesse 1526.12 +182.08 74.04%
WHR Yohan Lainesse 1470.25 +167.98 68.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yohan Lainesse 133, Darian Weeks 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Khamzat Chimaev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Khamzat Chimaev
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2022-9-9

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