Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa (09-03-2022)

Aug 29, 2022
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#2] Ciryl Gane (10-1-0, -574) vs. [#4] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0, +418)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-06-26: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (3-0-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-11: W vs. [#26HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2021-07-10: W vs. [#55HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -574 81.51%
Elo K170 Ciryl Gane 2077.14 +154.09 66.91%
Elo Modified Ciryl Gane 2098.59 +173.95 68.17%
Glicko-1 Ciryl Gane 2153.37 +130.05 67.89%
WHR Ciryl Gane 1980.97 +164.48 67.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 224, Tai Tuivasa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#2] Robert Whittaker (23-6-0, -236) vs. [#5] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1, +191)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #7 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#3MW] Jared Cannonier (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#9MW] Paulo Costa (14-2-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -236 67.15%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2204.74 +126.51 64.06%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2163.56 +72.23 57.84%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2233.00 +83.12 61.74%
WHR Robert Whittaker 2002.15 +16.33 51.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 203, Marvin Vettori 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#87] Alessio Di Chirico (13-6-0, -121) vs. [#252] Roman Kopylov (8-2-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (1-2-0)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#75MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#41MW] Joaquin Buckley (15-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:12 of round 1
2020-08-29: L vs. [*] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (1-2-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#62MW] Albert Duraev (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#113LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2018-12-27: W vs. [#89WW] Yasubey Enomoto (22-14-0) via KO (Punch to the body) in 3:42 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alessio Di Chirico -121 52.14%
Elo K170 Roman Kopylov 1578.78 +116.78 63.03%
Elo Modified Roman Kopylov 1635.31 +164.45 67.26%
Glicko-1 Roman Kopylov 1657.61 +179.37 73.74%
WHR Roman Kopylov 1528.30 +27.95 53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alessio Di Chirico 371, Roman Kopylov 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#74] Nasrat Haqparast (13-5-0, -216) vs. [*] John Makdessi (18-7-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Nasrat Haqparast (1-2-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#18LW] Bobby Green (29-13-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (21-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#75LW] Rafa Garcia (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: John Makdessi (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#85LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (14-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#42WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#139FW] Jesus Pinedo (20-5-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nasrat Haqparast -216 65.35%
Elo K170 John Makdessi 1715.81 +72.12 58.16%
Elo Modified Nasrat Haqparast 1657.84 +2.47 50.27%
Glicko-1 Nasrat Haqparast 1661.74 +2.83 50.41%
WHR John Makdessi 1609.70 +33.01 53.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nasrat Haqparast 203, John Makdessi 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#35] Charles Jourdain (13-5-1, -139) vs. [#66] Nathaniel Wood (18-5-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#21FW] Shane Burgos (15-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#61FW] Lando Vannata (12-6-2) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:32 of round 1
2021-12-18: W vs. [#360FW] Andre Ewell (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Nathaniel Wood (2-1-0)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#115FW] Charles Rosa (14-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#36BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#61BW] John Castaneda (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Jourdain -139 55.56%
Elo K170 Nathaniel Wood 1684.22 +51.03 55.80%
Elo Modified Nathaniel Wood 1704.39 +47.79 55.21%
Glicko-1 Charles Jourdain 1731.68 +3.13 50.45%
WHR Nathaniel Wood 1657.35 +45.94 55.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 49, Nathaniel Wood 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Abusupiyan Magomedov (24-4-1, -253) vs. [#96] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-4-0, +204)

Last 3 Fights: Abusupiyan Magomedov (2-1-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#120MW] Cezary Kesik (13-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2
2019-05-04: W vs. [NA] Slavis Simeunovic (0-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:47 of round 1
2018-12-31: L vs. [*] Louis Taylor (18-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#171MW] Dwight Grant (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#22MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 3
2021-07-17: L vs. [#70MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abusupiyan Magomedov -253 68.54%
Elo K170 Abusupiyan Magomedov 1726.60 +212.47 72.53%
Elo Modified Abusupiyan Magomedov 1772.48 +233.30 73.52%
Glicko-1 Abusupiyan Magomedov 1821.92 +281.61 83.49%
WHR Abusupiyan Magomedov 1775.72 +319.78 81.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abusupiyan Magomedov 623, Dustin Stoltzfus 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#177] Michal Figlak (8-0-0, -196) vs. [#250] Fares Ziam (12-4-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Figlak (3-0-0)
2022-07-22: W vs. [#278LW] Agy Sardari (15-5-0) via UD ()
2021-12-11: W vs. [#754LW] Steve McIntosh (7-3-0) via UD ()
2021-10-02: W vs. [#761LW] Kieran Lister (7-3-2) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2022-02-26: L vs. [#104LW] Terrance McKinney (13-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2021-06-12: W vs. [#346LW] Luigi Vendramini (9-3-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#89LW] Jamie Mullarkey (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michal Figlak -196 63.52%
Elo K170 Michal Figlak 1544.14 +53.64 56.09%
Elo Modified Michal Figlak 1588.63 +78.33 58.49%
Glicko-1 Michal Figlak 1548.63 +54.97 57.85%
WHR Michal Figlak 1504.69 +64.68 57.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michal Figlak 43, Fares Ziam 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#16] Nassourdine Imavov (11-3-0, -256) vs. [#41] Joaquin Buckley (15-4-0, +208)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (2-1-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#29MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:42 of round 2
2021-07-24: W vs. [#26MW] Ian Heinisch (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2021-02-20: L vs. [#63MW] Phil Hawes (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#62MW] Albert Duraev (15-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#75MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#256MW] Antonio Arroyo (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nassourdine Imavov -256 68.89%
Elo K170 Joaquin Buckley 1785.43 +58.11 56.60%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 1777.59 +43.14 54.71%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 1839.38 +40.83 55.85%
WHR Nassourdine Imavov 1720.00 +48.99 55.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 301, Joaquin Buckley 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#102] Benoit St. Denis (9-1-0, -249) vs. [#504] Gabriel Miranda (16-5-0, +204)

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (2-1-0)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#473LW] Niklas Stolze (12-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:32 of round 2
2021-10-30: L vs. [#49WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23-7-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-26)
2021-08-01: W vs. [#757WW] Arkaitz Ramos Gudari (7-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Miranda (3-0-0)
2021-10-23: W vs. [NA] Diego Siqueira (5-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1
2021-09-24: W vs. [#1026MW] Jefferson Morais (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Jhon Zarate (8-12-0) via Submission in of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Benoit St. Denis -249 68.44%
Elo K170 Benoit St. Denis 1636.42 +197.08 71.10%
Elo Modified Benoit St. Denis 1691.52 +234.57 73.63%
Glicko-1 Benoit St. Denis 1718.54 +215.83 77.60%
WHR Benoit St. Denis 1594.24 +128.03 64.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Benoit St. Denis 91, Gabriel Miranda 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#114] Cristian Quinonez (17-3-0) vs. [#203] Khalid Taha (14-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Cristian Quinonez (3-0-0)
2021-10-26: W vs. [#155BW] Long Xiao (24-7-0) via UD ()
2021-02-26: W vs. [#206BW] Adonilton Matos (22-10-0) via UD ()
2020-11-13: W vs. [#195BW] Erick Rogelio Ruano Barre (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Khalid Taha (1-2-0)
2021-07-17: L vs. [#60BW] Sergey Morozov (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#50BW] Raoni Barcelos (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-05: W vs. [*] Bruno Silva (12-6-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Cristian Quinonez 1586.75 +64.34 57.30%
Elo Modified Cristian Quinonez 1585.77 +30.25 53.30%
Glicko-1 Cristian Quinonez 1622.67 +56.92 58.12%
WHR Cristian Quinonez 1619.97 +180.42 69.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristian Quinonez 312, Khalid Taha 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#23BW] Stephanie Egger (7-3-0) vs. [#31BW] Ailin Perez (7-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Egger (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#11BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (9-2-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1
2022-02-19: W vs. [#36BW] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2021-10-02: W vs. [#70FLY] Shanna Young (8-4-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ailin Perez (2-1-0)
2022-05-22: W vs. [#63BW] Stephanie Bragayrac (8-5-0) via NC in 5:00 of round 2
2022-02-12: W vs. [NA] Romina Aguirre (0-2-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2021-11-06: L vs. [#12FW] Tamires Vidal (6-1-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Knees) in 3:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Stephanie Egger 1349.39 +31.40 53.58%
Elo Modified Ailin Perez 1403.30 +6.30 50.69%
Glicko-1 Ailin Perez 1419.40 +34.10 54.89%
WHR Ailin Perez 1369.64 +20.98 52.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephanie Egger 28, Ailin Perez 104
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#133] William Gomis (10-2-0) vs. [#184] Jarno Errens (13-3-1)

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#881LW] Jose Marcos Lima Santiago (11-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2022-03-26: W vs. [#1252LW] Arip Yakubov (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:56 of round 1
2021-10-30: W vs. [#930LW] Boundjou Baba Nadjombe (7-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jarno Errens (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#628FW] Alisher Abdulloev (8-3-0) via UD ()
2022-04-02: L vs. [#186FW] Mert Oezyildirim (10-3-0) via UD ()
2021-12-18: W vs. [#215LW] Max Coga (24-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 William Gomis 1549.98 +121.70 63.55%
Elo Modified William Gomis 1544.42 +78.37 58.49%
Glicko-1 William Gomis 1589.21 +109.77 65.29%
WHR William Gomis 1563.51 +87.17 59.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Gomis 70, Jarno Errens 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jarno Errens leads 2-1
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Ciryl Gane
Highest Stored DD Rating: Ciryl Gane
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2022-8-28