Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill (08-06-2022)

1 Aug , 2022,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Thiago Santos (22-10-0, +219) vs. [#12] Jamahal Hill (11-1-0, -276)
Thiago Santos is the All-Time #43 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (1-2-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#7LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-10-02: W vs. [#19LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#9LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#19LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 1
2021-12-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#14LHW] Paul Craig (16-5-1) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -276 70.07%
Elo K170 Thiago Santos 1853.14 +22.34 52.55%
Elo Modified Thiago Santos 1888.41 +37.73 54.12%
Glicko-1 Thiago Santos 1975.24 +60.59 58.63%
WHR Thiago Santos 1844.95 +68.07 57.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 147, Jamahal Hill 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#6] Vicente Luque (21-8-1, -175) vs. [#25] Geoff Neal (14-4-0, +145)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (21-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#13WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#44WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#16WW] Neil Magny (26-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#15WW] Stephen Thompson (16-6-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -175 60.92%
Elo K170 Vicente Luque 2090.51 +159.13 67.41%
Elo Modified Vicente Luque 2057.09 +183.77 69.09%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 2151.03 +245.50 80.42%
WHR Vicente Luque 1952.47 +212.07 72.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 112, Geoff Neal 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 4-3
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#99] Zac Pauga (5-0-0, -239) vs. [#189] Mohammed Usman (7-2-0, +199)

Last 3 Fights: Zac Pauga (3-0-0)
2021-10-17: W vs. [#127MW] Markus Perez (13-6-0) via UD ()
2021-08-01: W vs. [#107HW+] Terrance Jean-Jacques (8-3-0) via UD ()
2021-04-23: W vs. [#295LHW] Logan Nail (3-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mohammed Usman (2-1-0)
2021-05-06: L vs. [#136HW+] Brandon Sayles (6-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
2020-08-28: W vs. [NA] Terrance Hodges (2-7-0) via UD ()
2019-12-20: W vs. [*] Reggie Cato (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Zac Pauga -239 67.82%
Elo K170 Zac Pauga 1552.34 +165.33 68.03%
Elo Modified Zac Pauga 1619.14 +246.67 74.64%
Glicko-1 Zac Pauga 1570.55 +248.46 80.70%
WHR Zac Pauga 1490.45 +187.02 70.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zac Pauga 293, Mohammed Usman 457
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#67] Brogan Walker (7-2-0, +119) vs. [#90] Juliana Miller (2-1-0, -141)

Last 3 Fights: Brogan Walker (1-2-0)
2021-08-27: W vs. [NA] Emilee King (5-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1
2020-07-30: L vs. [#10FLY] Erin Blanchfield (9-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-04: L vs. [*] Pearl Gonzalez (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Juliana Miller (2-1-0)
2021-05-21: L vs. [#171FLY] Claire Guthrie (3-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-11-20: W vs. [#184FLY] Kendal Holowell (2-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:49 of round 1
2019-06-09: W vs. [NA] Sadie Hubbard (0-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Juliana Miller -141 56.16%
Elo K170 Brogan Walker 1413.83 +160.59 67.56%
Elo Modified Brogan Walker 1417.24 +136.13 64.47%
Glicko-1 Brogan Walker 1339.11 +67.65 59.62%
WHR Brogan Walker 1296.58 +77.99 58.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brogan Walker 344, Juliana Miller 442
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Augusto Sakai (15-4-1, +179) vs. [#22] Sergey Spivak (14-3-0, -224)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (0-3-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#4HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [#10HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-09-05: L vs. [*] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:26 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#55HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2021-09-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Tom Aspinall (12-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2021-06-19: W vs. [#23HW+] Alexey Oleynik (60-16-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergey Spivak -224 65.86%
Elo K170 Sergey Spivak 1677.90 +63.25 57.18%
Elo Modified Sergey Spivak 1705.79 +80.47 58.72%
Glicko-1 Sergey Spivak 1720.49 +76.59 60.85%
WHR Sergey Spivak 1666.20 +95.39 60.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Augusto Sakai 238, Sergey Spivak 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#40] Ariane Lipski (14-7-0, -166) vs. [#50] Priscila Cachoeira (11-4-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (1-2-0)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#107FLY] Mandy Bohm (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#39FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 2
2020-11-21: L vs. [#29FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (2-1-0)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#53BW] Ji Yeon Kim (9-6-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#31FLY] Gillian Robertson (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2021-05-15: W vs. [#116FLY] Gina Mazany (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ariane Lipski -166 59.66%
Elo K170 Ariane Lipski 1404.65 +65.77 57.45%
Elo Modified Ariane Lipski 1448.30 +66.91 57.27%
Glicko-1 Ariane Lipski 1430.58 +82.17 61.61%
WHR Ariane Lipski 1329.98 +33.75 53.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ariane Lipski 322, Priscila Cachoeira 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ariane Lipski leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#40LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (18-5-0, -529) vs. [#60] Sam Alvey (33-17-1, +382)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (2-1-0)
2022-03-05: L vs. [#17LHW] Dustin Jacoby (18-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#69LHW] Shamil Gamzatov (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1
2021-03-27: W vs. [#74LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (11-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Alvey (0-3-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#27MW] Brendan Allen (19-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2021-08-28: L vs. [#35MW] Wellington Turman (18-5-0) via SD (28-27, 27-28, 28-27)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#67MW] Julian Marquez (9-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michal Oleksiejczuk -529 80.20%
Elo K170 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1663.53 +308.24 80.35%
Elo Modified Michal Oleksiejczuk 1641.63 +167.97 67.60%
Glicko-1 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1663.65 +167.86 72.44%
WHR Michal Oleksiejczuk 1588.73 +130.61 64.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michal Oleksiejczuk 154, Sam Alvey 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#128] Terrance McKinney (12-4-0, -947) vs. [#238] Erick Gonzalez (14-6-0, +588)

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (2-1-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#26LW] Drew Dober (25-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:17 of round 1
2022-02-26: W vs. [#247LW] Fares Ziam (12-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2021-06-12: W vs. [#160LW] Matt Frevola (9-3-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Erick Gonzalez (2-1-0)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#24LW] Jim Miller (35-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:14 of round 2
2021-08-07: W vs. [#446LW] Samuel Alvarez (7-5-0) via UD ()
2021-03-19: W vs. [#968WW] Oziel Rodriguez Lopez (5-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Terrance McKinney -947 86.15%
Elo K170 Terrance McKinney 1566.59 +138.73 65.33%
Elo Modified Terrance McKinney 1569.78 +138.45 64.70%
Glicko-1 Terrance McKinney 1596.14 +155.61 71.01%
WHR Terrance McKinney 1552.01 +113.55 62.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Terrance McKinney 147, Erick Gonzalez 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#104] Takashi Sato (16-5-0, +185) vs. [#140MW] Bryan Battle (7-1-0, -231)

Last 3 Fights: Takashi Sato (1-2-0)
2022-03-19: L vs. [#36WW] Gunnar Nelson (18-5-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#73WW] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:28 of round 2
2020-06-27: W vs. [#149WW] Jason Witt (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Battle (3-0-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#320MW] Tresean Gore (3-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#397MW] Gilbert Urbina (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 2
2021-02-06: W vs. [NA] Ben Fowler (2-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryan Battle -231 66.54%
Elo K170 Takashi Sato 1583.77 +11.94 51.36%
Elo Modified Bryan Battle 1605.53 +15.65 51.71%
Glicko-1 Takashi Sato 1608.74 +17.04 52.45%
WHR Takashi Sato 1499.73 +47.54 55.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Takashi Sato 140, Bryan Battle 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#149] Jason Witt (19-9-0, +178) vs. [#286] Josh Quinlan (6-0-0, -222)

Last 3 Fights: Jason Witt (1-2-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#100WW] Philip Rowe (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 2
2021-07-31: W vs. [#38WW] Bryan Barberena (18-8-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-28)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#119WW] Matthew Semelsberger (10-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Josh Quinlan (3-0-0)
2021-09-07: W vs. [#881WW] Logan Urban (5-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1
2021-03-26: W vs. [#825WW] Dallas Jennings (4-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:36 of round 3
2021-01-15: W vs. [#1242LW] Joe Boerschig (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josh Quinlan -222 65.71%
Elo K170 Jason Witt 1468.45 +71.08 58.05%
Elo Modified Josh Quinlan 1479.61 +22.94 52.51%
Glicko-1 Josh Quinlan 1456.25 +29.35 54.22%
WHR Josh Quinlan 1399.64 +9.04 51.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jason Witt 182, Josh Quinlan 333
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#34] Cory McKenna (6-2-0, -218) vs. [*] Miranda Granger (7-2-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Cory McKenna (2-1-0)
2022-03-19: L vs. [#56SW] Elise Reed (5-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-14: W vs. [#53SW] Kay Hansen (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-11: W vs. [#20SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Miranda Granger (1-2-0)
2020-11-14: L vs. [#38SW] Ashley Yoder (8-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 30-26)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (12-2-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2019-08-03: W vs. [#139FLY] Hannah Goldy (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory McKenna -218 65.42%
Elo K170 Cory McKenna 1353.19 +106.80 61.96%
Elo Modified Cory McKenna 1447.55 +106.01 61.40%
Glicko-1 Cory McKenna 1419.07 +152.53 70.64%
WHR Cory McKenna 1298.67 +66.21 57.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory McKenna 140, Miranda Granger 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#13] Stephanie Egger (7-2-0, +109) vs. [#24] Mayra Bueno Silva (8-2-1, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Egger (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#35BW] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2021-10-02: W vs. [#70FLY] Shanna Young (8-4-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 2:22 of round 2
2020-10-10: L vs. [#14FLY] Tracy Cortez (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (1-1-1)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#69BW] Yanan Wu (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#6FLY] Manon Fiorot (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-02-27: D vs. [#39FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mayra Bueno Silva -134 54.47%
Elo K170 Stephanie Egger 1445.48 +46.73 55.32%
Elo Modified Stephanie Egger 1465.91 +29.79 53.26%
Glicko-1 Stephanie Egger 1487.04 +49.19 57.03%
WHR Stephanie Egger 1438.16 +33.37 53.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephanie Egger 168, Mayra Bueno Silva 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Stored DD Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Geoff Neal
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Geoff Neal
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2022-7-31