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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 3: Ortega vs. Rodriguez (07-16-2022)

Posted on July 11, 2022 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#5] Brian Ortega (15-2-0, -164) vs. [#10] Yair Rodriguez (13-3-0, +137)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (25-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#9FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (23-7-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (23-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#47LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-20-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-21: NC vs. [#47LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-20-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brian Ortega -164 59.55%
Elo K170 Brian Ortega 2115.85 +202.56 71.61%
Elo Modified Brian Ortega 2057.47 +180.72 68.81%
Glicko-1 Brian Ortega 2127.23 +189.58 74.86%
WHR Brian Ortega 1976.90 +179.72 69.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 294, Yair Rodriguez 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brian Ortega leads 2-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Amanda Lemos (11-2-1, -437) vs. [#11] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0, +332)
Michelle Waterson is the All-Time #46 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (2-1-0)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#2FLY/#9DD/#8P4P] Jessica Andrade (23-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 1
2021-12-18: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-12-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#47SW] Montserrat Ruiz (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (1-2-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#4SW/#10DD] Marina Rodriguez (16-1-2) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Carla Esparza (19-6-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Lemos -437 77.85%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1628.87 +115.95 62.94%
Elo Modified Amanda Lemos 1618.19 +97.53 60.51%
Glicko-1 Amanda Lemos 1600.28 +102.20 64.30%
WHR Amanda Lemos 1541.74 +70.82 58.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 84, Michelle Waterson 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Muslim Salikhov (18-2-0, -184) vs. [#41] Jingliang Li (18-7-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#33WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#51WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#114WW] Laureano Staropoli (10-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (1-2-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#3WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#46WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1
2020-03-07: L vs. [#15WW] Neil Magny (26-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Muslim Salikhov -184 62.20%
Elo K170 Muslim Salikhov 2009.57 +191.17 70.55%
Elo Modified Muslim Salikhov 1948.32 +120.45 62.89%
Glicko-1 Muslim Salikhov 1990.22 +96.46 63.54%
WHR Muslim Salikhov 1874.82 +93.89 60.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 406, Jingliang Li 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Muslim Salikhov leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[*] Su Mudaerji (16-4-0, -241) vs. [#34] Matt Schnell (15-7-0, +199)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (3-0-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#148FLY] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#38FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-08-31: W vs. [#251BW] Andre Soukhamthath (14-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#10FLY] Brandon Royval (14-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2021-05-15: L vs. [#21FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Tyson Nam (20-12-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Su Mudaerji -241 67.88%
Elo K170 Matt Schnell 1534.13 +38.10 54.34%
Elo Modified Su Mudaerji 1519.01 +34.24 53.74%
Glicko-1 Su Mudaerji 1539.22 +62.60 58.91%
WHR Su Mudaerji 1525.74 +87.87 59.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Su Mudaerji 542, Matt Schnell 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Matt Schnell leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#23] Shane Burgos (14-3-0, -208) vs. [#33] Charles Jourdain (13-4-1, +171)

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (1-2-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#54FW] Billy Quarantillo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#31FW] Edson Barboza (22-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:16 of round 3
2020-06-20: L vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (18-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (2-1-0)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#57FW] Lando Vannata (12-6-2) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:32 of round 1
2021-12-18: W vs. [#297FW] Andre Ewell (17-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-26)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#41FW] Julian Erosa (27-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:56 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Burgos -208 64.66%
Elo K170 Shane Burgos 1817.24 +129.57 64.38%
Elo Modified Shane Burgos 1793.84 +109.43 61.75%
Glicko-1 Shane Burgos 1828.67 +97.83 63.72%
WHR Shane Burgos 1673.54 +59.79 56.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shane Burgos 252, Charles Jourdain 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Lauren Murphy (15-5-0, +136) vs. [#9BW] Miesha Tate (19-8-0, -162)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Murphy (2-1-0)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#1P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:00 of round 4
2021-06-12: W vs. [#22FLY] Joanne Wood (15-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-24: W vs. [*] Liliya Shakirova (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (1-2-0)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2021-07-17: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 3
2016-11-12: L vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miesha Tate -162 59.33%
Elo K170 Lauren Murphy 1669.27 +188.77 70.32%
Elo Modified Lauren Murphy 1585.88 +82.31 58.91%
Glicko-1 Lauren Murphy 1554.55 +51.84 57.41%
WHR Miesha Tate 1532.06 +31.36 53.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lauren Murphy 294, Miesha Tate 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Miesha Tate leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#74] Punahele Soriano (8-2-0, -273) vs. [#122] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-4-0, +222)

Last 3 Fights: Punahele Soriano (1-2-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#113MW] Nick Maximov (8-1-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-07-24: L vs. [#29MW] Brendan Allen (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#97MW] Dusko Todorovic (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dalcha Lungiambula (1-2-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#96MW] Cody Brundage (8-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2021-09-04: L vs. [#56MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#121MW] Markus Perez (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Punahele Soriano -273 70.20%
Elo K170 Punahele Soriano 1481.66 +64.47 57.31%
Elo Modified Punahele Soriano 1595.55 +140.24 64.88%
Glicko-1 Punahele Soriano 1620.01 +186.93 74.58%
WHR Punahele Soriano 1527.53 +137.80 65.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Punahele Soriano 161, Dalcha Lungiambula 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#16] Ricky Simon (20-3-0, +120) vs. [#28] Jack Shore (16-0-0, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (3-0-0)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#86BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:14 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#75BW] Brian Kelleher (24-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#389BW] Gaetano Pirrello (15-7-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jack Shore (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#40BW] Timur Valiev (18-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2021-09-04: W vs. [#348BW] Liudvik Sholinian (9-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#116BW] Hunter Azure (9-3-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Shore -146 56.63%
Elo K170 Ricky Simon 1923.25 +22.85 52.61%
Elo Modified Ricky Simon 1879.98 +22.66 52.48%
Glicko-1 Ricky Simon 1905.93 +48.36 56.92%
WHR Ricky Simon 1788.55 +32.20 53.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 210, Jack Shore 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Dustin Jacoby (17-5-1, -148) vs. [#27] Da Un Jung (15-2-1, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (3-0-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#41LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#102LHW] John Allan (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#59MW] Darren Stewart (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Da Un Jung (2-0-1)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#53LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (10-3-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:04 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#58HW+] William Knight (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-10-24: D vs. [#60MW] Sam Alvey (33-17-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -148 56.98%
Elo K170 Dustin Jacoby 1830.42 +94.30 60.61%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1840.40 +85.41 59.24%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1861.85 +54.60 57.79%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1748.12 +17.47 51.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 133, Da Un Jung 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#63] Bill Algeo (15-6-0) vs. [*] Herbert Burns (11-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Bill Algeo (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#49FW] Joanderson Brito (13-3-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#75FW] Ricardo Ramos (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#48LW] Spike Carlyle (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Herbert Burns (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#58FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:37 of round 2
2020-06-06: W vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-9-1) via Submission Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#42FW] Nate Landwehr (15-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Herbert Burns 1696.92 +43.17 54.91%
Elo Modified Herbert Burns 1722.73 +48.50 55.29%
Glicko-1 Herbert Burns 1748.85 +63.21 59.00%
WHR Herbert Burns 1694.94 +25.40 52.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bill Algeo 182, Herbert Burns 700
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#118WW] Dwight Grant (11-5-0, -174) vs. [#159] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-4-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Dwight Grant (1-2-0)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#96WW] Sergey Khandozhko (28-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 2
2021-10-23: L vs. [#33WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-8-0) via SD (29-27, 27-29, 29-27)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#187WW] Stefan Sekulic (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (0-3-0)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#33MW] Gerald Meerschaert (34-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 3
2021-07-17: L vs. [#72MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 3
2020-11-21: L vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dwight Grant -174 60.96%
Elo K170 Dwight Grant 1506.84 +101.45 61.38%
Elo Modified Dwight Grant 1513.46 +65.46 57.11%
Glicko-1 Dwight Grant 1530.55 +80.44 61.37%
WHR Dwight Grant 1485.88 +112.34 62.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dwight Grant 84, Dustin Stoltzfus 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#100] Philip Rowe (9-3-0, +116) vs. [*] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (16-3-1, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Philip Rowe (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#151WW] Jason Witt (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 2
2021-07-31: W vs. [#231WW] Orion Cosce (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2021-02-13: L vs. [#154WW] Gabriel Green (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Abubakar Nurmagomedov (1-1-1)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#109MW] Jared Gooden (20-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#93WW] David Zawada (18-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2018-10-20: D vs. [#126WW] Bojan Velickovic (21-11-2) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abubakar Nurmagomedov -140 55.74%
Elo K170 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1544.27 +19.58 52.23%
Elo Modified Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1602.16 +83.49 59.04%
Glicko-1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1608.51 +27.15 53.90%
WHR Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1590.96 +92.41 60.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Philip Rowe 161, Abubakar Nurmagomedov 476
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#13] Emily Ducote (11-6-0, -136) vs. [#21] Jessica Penne (14-5-0, +113)

Last 3 Fights: Emily Ducote (3-0-0)
2022-05-11: W vs. [#52SW] Alesha Zappitella (9-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-08-27: W vs. [#75SW] Danielle Taylor (11-7-0) via KO (Punch and Head Kick) in 2:51 of round 1
2020-07-02: W vs. [*] Juliana Lima (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#37SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (13-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:32 of round 1
2021-04-17: W vs. [#15SW] Lupita Godinez (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#75SW] Danielle Taylor (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Emily Ducote -136 55.10%
Elo K170 Emily Ducote 1516.49 +58.10 56.60%
Elo Modified Emily Ducote 1542.69 +128.35 63.69%
Glicko-1 Emily Ducote 1567.51 +209.87 76.99%
WHR Emily Ducote 1450.02 +18.59 52.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Emily Ducote 66, Jessica Penne 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Emily Ducote leads 1-0
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Brian Ortega
Highest Stored DD Rating: Brian Ortega
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Brian Ortega vs. Yair Rodriguez
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Brian Ortega vs. Yair Rodriguez
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2022-7-10

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