Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 (04-16-2022)

Apr 11, 2022
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#4] Vicente Luque (21-7-1, -170) vs. [#7] Belal Muhammad (20-3-0, +141)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #43 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (3-0-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#12WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1
2021-03-27: W vs. [#28WW] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:56 of round 1
2020-08-01: W vs. [#44WW] Randy Brown (14-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#14WW] Stephen Thompson (16-6-1) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#25WW] Demian Maia (28-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#8WW] Leon Edwards (19-3-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -170 60.27%
Elo K170 Vicente Luque 2180.15 +18.36 52.10%
Elo Modified Vicente Luque 2137.91 +12.72 51.39%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 2238.35 +85.43 62.05%
WHR Vicente Luque 2011.65 +20.88 52.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 252, Belal Muhammad 119
Previous Match-up Record: Vicente Luque leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Belal Muhammad leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#96] Caio Borralho (10-1-0, +115) vs. [#116] Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (13-0-0, -141)

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2021-10-19: W vs. [#209LHW] Jesse Murray (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2021-09-28: W vs. [#107MW] Aaron Jeffery (11-3-0) via UD ()
2020-10-16: W vs. [#259HW+] Wildemar Matheus Souza do (8-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (3-0-0)
2021-10-26: W vs. [#342MW] Jansey Silva (7-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:19 of round 1
2020-11-14: W vs. [#159MW] Vladimir Vasilyev (9-2-1) via UD ()
2019-10-30: W vs. [NA] Alexey Novikov (7-13-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gadzhi Omargadzhiev -141 55.71%
Elo K170 Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 1625.38 +6.18 50.70%
Elo Modified Caio Borralho 1646.51 +9.78 51.07%
Glicko-1 Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 1690.17 +38.22 55.48%
WHR Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 1678.33 +46.65 55.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Caio Borralho 179, Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 172
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#48] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23-7-0, -196) vs. [#160] Mounir Lazzez (10-2-0, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#131WW] Benoit St. Denis (8-1-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-26)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#21WW] Muslim Salikhov (18-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#163WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mounir Lazzez (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#87WW] Warlley Alves (14-5-0) via TKO (Body Kicks and Punches) in 2:35 of round 1
2020-07-15: W vs. [#76MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-07: W vs. [*] Arber Murati (10-9-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -196 63.25%
Elo K170 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1885.95 +336.66 82.32%
Elo Modified Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1927.85 +340.32 81.61%
Glicko-1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1984.25 +386.34 90.24%
WHR Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1860.52 +314.76 80.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 168, Mounir Lazzez 451
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#43FLY] Mayra Bueno Silva (7-2-1, -390) vs. [#60] Yanan Wu (13-4-0, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (1-1-1)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#3FLY] Manon Fiorot (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-02-27: D vs. [#25FLY] Montana De La Rosa (12-6-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-09-19: W vs. [*] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yanan Wu (1-2-0)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#37BW] Joselyne Edwards (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-08-31: L vs. [*] Mizuki Inoue (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#70BW] Lauren Mueller (5-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mayra Bueno Silva -390 75.77%
Elo K170 Mayra Bueno Silva 1353.32 +160.59 67.56%
Elo Modified Mayra Bueno Silva 1384.21 +107.01 61.50%
Glicko-1 Mayra Bueno Silva 1370.88 +35.13 55.04%
WHR Mayra Bueno Silva 1390.50 +168.87 68.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mayra Bueno Silva 182, Yanan Wu 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#60] Miguel Baeza (10-2-0, -182) vs. [#84] Andre Fialho (14-4-0, +150)

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (1-2-0)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#45WW] Kalinn Williams (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 3
2021-06-05: L vs. [#36WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#103WW] Takashi Sato (16-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fialho (2-1-0)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#47WW] Michel Pereira (28-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-29: W vs. [#195WW] Stefan Sekulic (14-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:53 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#687WW] Lincoln Henrique (11-4-0) via TKO in 4:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miguel Baeza -182 61.73%
Elo K170 Miguel Baeza 1622.86 +25.46 52.90%
Elo Modified Miguel Baeza 1623.47 +5.69 50.62%
Glicko-1 Andre Fialho 1663.59 +11.89 51.71%
WHR Andre Fialho 1605.24 +43.78 54.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miguel Baeza 154, Andre Fialho 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#42] Pat Sabatini (16-3-0, -362) vs. [*] T.J. Laramie (12-4-0, +276)

Last 3 Fights: Pat Sabatini (3-0-0)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#91FW] Tucker Lutz (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#152FW] Jamall Emmers (18-6-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:53 of round 1
2021-04-24: W vs. [#185FW] Tristan Connelly (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Laramie (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#82FW] Darrick Minner (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2020-08-11: W vs. [#438LW] Daniel Swain (20-11-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2019-12-06: W vs. [#220FW] Andrew Cruz (7-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Pat Sabatini -362 74.65%
Elo K170 Pat Sabatini 1745.01 +243.24 75.24%
Elo Modified Pat Sabatini 1760.54 +214.20 71.86%
Glicko-1 Pat Sabatini 1820.92 +273.05 82.80%
WHR Pat Sabatini 1726.69 +249.76 75.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pat Sabatini 147, T.J. Laramie 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1, -409) vs. [#304] Brandon Jenkins (15-8-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Drakkar Klose (2-1-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#4LW] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2
2019-08-17: W vs. [#79LW] Christos Giagos (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#17LW] Bobby Green (29-13-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Jenkins (2-1-0)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#178LW] Zhu Rong (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 3
2021-08-27: W vs. [#578FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-6-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:56 of round 1
2021-03-26: W vs. [#379LW] Aaron Mitchell (10-4-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drakkar Klose -409 76.49%
Elo K170 Drakkar Klose 1763.87 +368.93 84.36%
Elo Modified Drakkar Klose 1747.06 +320.11 80.24%
Glicko-1 Drakkar Klose 1740.42 +275.57 83.01%
WHR Drakkar Klose 1668.55 +315.46 80.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drakkar Klose 770, Brandon Jenkins 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Jesse Ronson (22-10-0, +102) vs. [#131] Rafa Garcia (13-2-0, -126)

Last 3 Fights: Jesse Ronson (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#56WW] Nicolas Dalby (19-5-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:48 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#526FW] Troy Lamson (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 1
2019-10-11: L vs. [#75WW] Nikolay Aleksakhin (26-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (1-2-0)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#475LW] Natan Levy (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-31: L vs. [#113LW] Chris Gruetzemacher (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#66LW] Nasrat Haqparast (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafa Garcia -126 52.96%
Elo K170 Jesse Ronson 1707.54 +136.81 65.14%
Elo Modified Jesse Ronson 1683.82 +109.76 61.79%
Glicko-1 Jesse Ronson 1756.19 +183.29 74.17%
WHR Jesse Ronson 1672.52 +193.59 70.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jesse Ronson 630, Rafa Garcia 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#80] Chris Barnett (22-7-0, +172) vs. [#95] Martin Buday (9-1-0, -213)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Barnett (2-1-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Gian Villante (17-14-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: L vs. [#38HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-14-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:07 of round 2
2020-09-25: W vs. [NA] Ahmed Tijani Shehu (0-1-0) via TKO in 0:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Martin Buday (3-0-0)
2021-10-12: W vs. [#626HW+] Lorenzo Hood (12-5-0) via TKO (Knee) in 4:56 of round 1
2021-06-19: W vs. [#200HW+] Kamil Minda (7-2-0) via TKO in 4:01 of round 2
2019-09-14: W vs. [#581HW+] Daniel Dittrich (6-6-0) via SUB in of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Martin Buday -213 64.92%
Elo K170 Chris Barnett 1485.83 +7.35 50.84%
Elo Modified Chris Barnett 1498.02 +5.84 50.64%
Glicko-1 Martin Buday 1544.97 +51.38 57.34%
WHR Martin Buday 1532.14 +108.81 62.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Barnett 161, Martin Buday 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0, -311) vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0, +242)

Last 3 Fights: Pannie Kianzad (2-1-0)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#3BW/#8DD] Raquel Pennington (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#11BW] Alexis Davis (21-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#27FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Lina Lansberg (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#8BW] Sara McMann (13-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#13FW] Macy Chiasson (7-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Tonya Evinger (19-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Pannie Kianzad -311 72.12%
Elo K170 Pannie Kianzad 1526.26 +103.37 61.59%
Elo Modified Pannie Kianzad 1552.86 +84.91 59.19%
Glicko-1 Pannie Kianzad 1499.22 +57.74 58.23%
WHR Pannie Kianzad 1525.04 +104.51 61.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pannie Kianzad 210, Lina Lansberg 812
Previous Match-up Record: Pannie Kianzad leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Lina Lansberg leads 2-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#92] Sam Hughes (5-4-0, +168) vs. [#117] Istela Nunes (6-2-0, -206)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (0-3-0)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#18SW] Luana Pinheiro (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-05-01: L vs. [#45SW] Konklak Suphisara (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#8SW] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Istela Nunes (1-2-0)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#25SW] Ariane Carnelossi (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 3
2018-07-07: W vs. [*] Gina Iniong (9-4-0) via UD ()
2017-05-26: L vs. [#12SW] Angela Lee (11-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Istela Nunes -206 64.34%
Elo K170 Istela Nunes 1303.94 +179.83 69.46%
Elo Modified Istela Nunes 1329.60 +169.32 67.73%
Glicko-1 Istela Nunes 1268.53 +143.64 69.57%
WHR Istela Nunes 1231.74 +125.17 63.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Hughes 147, Istela Nunes 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#106FW] Kevin Croom (23-14-0, +153) vs. [#170] Heili Alateng (14-8-2, -187)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Croom (1-2-0)
2022-01-15: L vs. [#57BW] Brian Kelleher (24-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-02-27: L vs. [#38FW] Alex Caceres (19-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#151WW] Roosevelt Roberts (11-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (1-1-1)
2021-09-18: D vs. [#146BW] Gustavo Lopez (12-6-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-10-03: L vs. [#35BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#181FLY] Ryan Benoit (10-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Heili Alateng -187 62.24%
Elo K170 Heili Alateng 1499.95 +42.91 54.88%
Elo Modified Kevin Croom 1485.64 +8.21 50.90%
Glicko-1 Heili Alateng 1486.29 +5.54 50.80%
WHR Heili Alateng 1413.32 +18.88 52.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Croom 91, Heili Alateng 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#128] Trey Ogden (15-4-0, -135) vs. [#219] Jordan Leavitt (9-1-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Trey Ogden (3-0-0)
2021-11-14: W vs. [#298LW] J.J. Okanovich (8-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 2
2020-08-14: W vs. [#804LW] Cody Carrillo (15-21-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1
2019-12-06: W vs. [*] Brad Grelck (6-5-0) via SUB in 1:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#587LW] Matt Sayles (8-4-0) via Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [#88LW] Claudio Puelles (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-05: W vs. [*] Matt Wiman (16-10-0) via KO (Slam) in 0:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Trey Ogden -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Jordan Leavitt 1575.82 +17.82 52.03%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1623.38 +53.15 55.79%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1630.25 +42.08 56.03%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1566.41 +53.64 56.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trey Ogden 153, Jordan Leavitt 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#50] William Knight (11-3-0, +140) vs. [#47LHW] Devin Clark (12-6-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: William Knight (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#25LHW] Maxim Grishin (32-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#43LHW] Alonzo Menifield (11-3-0) via UD ()
2021-08-21: W vs. [#172LHW] Fabio Cherant (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#26LHW] Ion Cutelaba (16-6-1) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 30-26)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#12LHW] Anthony Smith (36-16-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:34 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#43LHW] Alonzo Menifield (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Devin Clark -169 60.12%
Elo K170 William Knight 1552.92 +10.01 51.14%
Elo Modified William Knight 1590.22 +21.61 52.36%
Glicko-1 William Knight 1613.07 +32.14 54.61%
WHR William Knight 1539.85 +28.89 53.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Knight 63, Devin Clark 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Stored DD Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2022-4-10

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