Fight Matrix Program – UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. Zombie (04-09-2022)

Apr 7, 2022
Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (23-1-0, -761) vs. [#9] Chan Sung Jung (17-6-0, +510)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chan Sung Jung is the All-Time #23 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#4FW] Brian Ortega (15-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Max Holloway (23-6-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Max Holloway (23-6-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#12FW] Dan Ige (15-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#4FW] Brian Ortega (15-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#10BW] Frankie Edgar (24-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -761 84.35%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2404.59 +398.92 86.09%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2316.81 +360.06 82.86%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2376.83 +367.01 89.21%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2179.76 +333.02 82.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 196, Chan Sung Jung 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Volkanovski leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#10DD/#8P4P] Petr Yan (16-2-0, -480) vs. [#3] Aljamain Sterling (20-3-0, +358)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #11 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (14-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (20-3-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Knee) in 4:29 of round 4
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2BW] Jose Aldo (31-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#1BW/#10DD/#8P4P] Petr Yan (16-2-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Knee) in 4:29 of round 4
2020-06-06: W vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-06-08: W vs. [#11BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -480 79.12%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2242.11 +113.09 62.64%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2176.41 +38.34 54.19%
Glicko-1 Petr Yan 2246.39 +49.33 57.05%
WHR Petr Yan 2099.51 +103.99 61.66%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 161, Aljamain Sterling 399
Previous Match-up Record: Aljamain Sterling leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#3] Gilbert Burns (20-4-0) vs. [#16] Khamzat Chimaev (10-0-0)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #33 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#13WW] Stephen Thompson (16-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3
2020-05-30: W vs. [#28WW] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#38WW] Jingliang Li (18-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#25MW] Gerald Meerschaert (34-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1
2020-07-25: W vs. [#200WW] Rhys McKee (11-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Gilbert Burns 2254.65 +398.40 86.06%
Elo Modified Gilbert Burns 2216.10 +313.62 79.78%
Glicko-1 Gilbert Burns 2273.21 +295.19 84.55%
WHR Gilbert Burns 1995.26 +100.42 61.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 273, Khamzat Chimaev 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Tecia Torres (13-5-0, -105) vs. [#8] Mackenzie Dern (11-2-0, -117)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (3-0-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#92SW] Sam Hughes (5-4-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-06-20: W vs. [*] Brianna Van Buren (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#4SW/#9DD/#8P4P] Marina Rodriguez (16-1-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#40SW] Nina Nunes (10-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-12-12: W vs. [#13SW] Virna Jandiroba (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -117 51.28%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1616.58 +4.76 50.54%
Elo Modified Tecia Torres 1628.43 +11.63 51.27%
Glicko-1 Tecia Torres 1645.88 +4.10 50.59%
WHR Tecia Torres 1602.21 +54.18 56.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tecia Torres 245, Mackenzie Dern 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#33] Vinc Pichel (14-2-0, -149) vs. [#58] Mark O. Madsen (11-0-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Vinc Pichel (3-0-0)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#125LW] Austin Hubbard (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#61LW] Jim Miller (34-16-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#150WW] Roosevelt Roberts (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mark O. Madsen (3-0-0)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#32LW] Clay Guida (37-21-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#125LW] Austin Hubbard (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#336MW] Danilo Belluardo (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vinc Pichel -149 57.16%
Elo K170 Vinc Pichel 1868.58 +120.87 63.46%
Elo Modified Vinc Pichel 1864.81 +156.84 66.52%
Glicko-1 Vinc Pichel 1861.83 +168.83 72.55%
WHR Vinc Pichel 1775.73 +92.34 60.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vinc Pichel 231, Mark O. Madsen 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#137] Ian Garry (8-0-0, -370) vs. [#344] Darian Weeks (5-1-0, +285)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#392WW] Jordan Williams (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2021-06-26: W vs. [#226WW] Jack Grant (18-7-0) via UD ()
2021-03-19: W vs. [#563WW] Rostem Akman (6-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Darian Weeks (2-1-0)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#67WW] Bryan Barberena (17-8-0) via UD ()
2021-02-12: W vs. [NA] Craig Fairley (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:51 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [*] Dustin Parrish (8-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ian Garry -370 75.19%
Elo K170 Ian Garry 1571.29 +273.83 77.75%
Elo Modified Ian Garry 1636.92 +220.28 72.40%
Glicko-1 Ian Garry 1655.99 +290.74 84.20%
WHR Ian Garry 1610.37 +303.82 80.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ian Garry 154, Darian Weeks 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-3-0, -143) vs. [#13] Marcin Tybura (22-7-0, +119)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #49 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#21HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2021-02-27: L vs. [#3HW+] Ciryl Gane (10-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#9HW+] Alexander Volkov (34-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#27HW+] Walt Harris (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-12-19: W vs. [#53HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jairzinho Rozenstruik -143 56.31%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1836.97 +15.78 51.80%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1864.78 +34.04 53.72%
Glicko-1 Marcin Tybura 1924.72 +20.81 52.99%
WHR Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1798.94 +48.29 55.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 196, Marcin Tybura 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jairzinho Rozenstruik leads 2-1
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Raquel Pennington (13-8-0, -197) vs. [#10] Aspen Ladd (9-2-0, +163)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #44 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#13FW] Macy Chiasson (7-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#6BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (1-2-0)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#5FW] Norma Dumont (7-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raquel Pennington -197 63.56%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1701.11 +192.08 70.63%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1704.65 +168.80 67.68%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1686.83 +172.57 72.98%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1648.60 +134.46 64.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 112, Aspen Ladd 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#118] Mickey Gall (7-4-0, +148) vs. [#232] Mike Malott (7-1-1, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (1-2-0)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#24WW] Alex Morono (21-7-0) via UD ()
2021-07-24: W vs. [#392WW] Jordan Williams (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 1
2020-06-27: L vs. [#62WW] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (3-0-0)
2021-10-05: W vs. [#298WW] Shimon Smotritsky (8-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1
2020-12-18: W vs. [#455WW] Solomon Renfro (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:42 of round 1
2017-02-03: W vs. [#731FW] Craig Shintani (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -186 61.72%
Elo K170 Mike Malott 1499.14 +7.40 50.85%
Elo Modified Mickey Gall 1527.72 +4.85 50.53%
Glicko-1 Mickey Gall 1574.27 +62.78 58.94%
WHR Mike Malott 1604.93 +102.08 61.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mickey Gall 126, Mike Malott 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#23] Alexey Oleynik (59-16-1, -112) vs. [#77] Jared Vanderaa (12-7-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (0-3-0)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#22HW+] Sergey Spivak (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#16HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2020-08-08: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jared Vanderaa (1-2-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#34HW+] Andrei Arlovski (33-20-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#37HW+] Alexander Romanov (15-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 2
2021-05-22: W vs. [#131HW+] Justin Tafa (5-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexey Oleynik -112 50.21%
Elo K170 Alexey Oleynik 1565.03 +163.17 67.82%
Elo Modified Alexey Oleynik 1579.02 +64.32 56.99%
Glicko-1 Alexey Oleynik 1608.36 +78.60 61.12%
WHR Alexey Oleynik 1563.79 +79.40 58.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Oleynik 294, Jared Vanderaa 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#74] Anthony Hernandez (8-2-0) vs. [#147] Josh Fremd (9-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (2-1-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#72MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2
2020-05-16: L vs. [#18WW] Kevin Holland (22-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 1:39 of round 1
2019-08-31: W vs. [#78MW] Jun Yong Park (13-5-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:39 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Josh Fremd (2-1-0)
2022-02-06: W vs. [#345MW] Joel Bauman (5-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 2
2021-10-22: W vs. [#307MW] Renato Valente Alves (8-5-0) via UD ()
2021-05-21: L vs. [#56MW] Gregory Rodrigues (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Anthony Hernandez 1575.47 +68.77 57.79%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 1620.89 +85.32 59.23%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 1634.74 +103.22 64.43%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 1615.43 +159.66 67.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Hernandez 420, Josh Fremd 62
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#22] Piera Rodriguez (7-0-0, -114) vs. [#43] Kay Hansen (7-5-0, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Piera Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-10-19: W vs. [#105FLY] Valesca Machado (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-04-23: W vs. [#63SW] Svetlana Gotsyk (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:16 of round 5
2020-01-31: W vs. [#183SW] Kayla Hracho (3-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kay Hansen (1-2-0)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#32FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-14: L vs. [#33SW] Cory McKenna (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#18SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:26 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Piera Rodriguez -114 50.75%
Elo K170 Piera Rodriguez 1510.07 +239.97 74.96%
Elo Modified Piera Rodriguez 1546.41 +203.53 70.91%
Glicko-1 Piera Rodriguez 1528.89 +189.78 74.88%
WHR Piera Rodriguez 1451.72 +163.47 67.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Piera Rodriguez 172, Kay Hansen 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#63] Julio Arce (17-5-0, -201) vs. [*] Daniel Gustavo Santos (9-1-0, +167)

Last 3 Fights: Julio Arce (1-2-0)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#13BW] Yadong Song (19-6-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:35 of round 2
2021-07-24: W vs. [#268FW] Andre Ewell (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 2
2019-11-02: L vs. [#51FW] Hakeem Dawodu (13-2-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Gustavo Santos (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#766FW] Zhunus Nizambek (8-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:00 of round 1
2019-06-28: W vs. [*] Henrique Fantini (7-2-1) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick) in 02:21 of round 1
2019-01-26: L vs. [#82BW] Murad Kalamov (14-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julio Arce -201 64.06%
Elo K170 Julio Arce 1607.26 +56.98 56.47%
Elo Modified Julio Arce 1662.29 +96.76 60.43%
Glicko-1 Julio Arce 1689.57 +118.52 66.42%
WHR Julio Arce 1631.47 +77.69 58.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julio Arce 147, Daniel Gustavo Santos 847
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Chan Sung Jung
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Chan Sung Jung
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2022-4-7

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