Fight Matrix Program – UFC 270: Ngannou vs Gane (01-22-2022)

17 Jan , 2022,
Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#4DD/#3P4P] Francis Ngannou (16-3-0, +126) vs. [#3] Ciryl Gane (10-0-0, -152)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #16 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #37 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#2HW+/#7DD] Stipe Miocic (20-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#11HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#4HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-06-26: W vs. [#6HW+] Alexander Volkov (34-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#7HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -152 57.68%
Elo K170 Francis Ngannou 2305.30 +184.11 69.87%
Elo Modified Francis Ngannou 2276.85 +146.48 65.50%
Glicko-1 Francis Ngannou 2434.20 +250.95 80.92%
WHR Francis Ngannou 2169.90 +112.32 62.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 301, Ciryl Gane 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#5DD/#5P4P] Brandon Moreno (19-5-2, -176) vs. [#2] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-2-1, +147)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #9 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-0-1)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#2FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-12-12: D vs. [#2FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2020-11-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Brandon Royval (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-1-1)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#5P4P] Brandon Moreno (19-5-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-12-12: D vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#5P4P] Brandon Moreno (19-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2020-11-21: W vs. [#8FLY] Alex Perez (24-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -176 61.16%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 2090.46 +100.31 61.26%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 2037.88 +74.37 58.07%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 2121.02 +104.65 64.62%
WHR Brandon Moreno 1923.44 +34.84 53.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 224, Deiveson Figueiredo 224
Previous Match-up Record: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#49] Michel Pereira (27-11-0, -285) vs. [#75] Andre Fialho (14-4-0, +228)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (3-0-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#53WW] Niko Price (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#42WW] Kalinn Williams (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-05: W vs. [*] Zelim Imadaev (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fialho (3-0-0)
2021-10-29: W vs. [#187WW] Stefan Sekulic (14-5-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:53 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#659WW] Lincoln Henrique (11-4-0) via TKO in 4:47 of round 1
2021-06-19: W vs. [#206MW] Sang Hoon Yoo (7-2-0) via TKO in 0:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michel Pereira -285 70.82%
Elo K170 Michel Pereira 1748.35 +96.68 60.86%
Elo Modified Michel Pereira 1780.13 +107.69 61.57%
Glicko-1 Michel Pereira 1817.59 +79.08 61.19%
WHR Michel Pereira 1702.17 +55.30 56.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michel Pereira 196, Andre Fialho 85
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#26] Cody Stamann (19-4-1, +163) vs. [*] Said Nurmagomedov (14-2-0, -196)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Stamann (1-2-0)
2021-05-01: L vs. [#7BW] Merab Dvalishvili (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#32BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#55FW] Brian Kelleher (24-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [*] Mark Striegl (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1
2019-12-21: L vs. [#27BW] Raoni Barcelos (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#85FW] Ricardo Ramos (15-4-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 2:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Said Nurmagomedov -196 63.52%
Elo K170 Said Nurmagomedov 1778.96 +56.10 56.37%
Elo Modified Said Nurmagomedov 1767.09 +49.42 55.39%
Glicko-1 Said Nurmagomedov 1806.17 +80.06 61.32%
WHR Said Nurmagomedov 1752.36 +98.20 61.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Stamann 266, Said Nurmagomedov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#53] Wellington Turman (17-5-0, +202) vs. [#73] Rodolfo Vieira (8-1-0, -253)

Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (1-2-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#91MW] Sam Alvey (33-16-1) via SD (28-27, 27-28, 28-27)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#19MW] Bruno Silva (22-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2020-08-08: L vs. [#64MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (2-1-0)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#144MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 3
2021-02-13: L vs. [#67MW] Anthony Hernandez (8-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2
2020-03-07: W vs. [*] Saparbek Safarov (9-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:58 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Vieira -253 68.40%
Elo K170 Rodolfo Vieira 1584.70 +23.93 52.73%
Elo Modified Rodolfo Vieira 1647.93 +95.96 60.35%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Vieira 1644.53 +108.29 65.10%
WHR Rodolfo Vieira 1563.60 +72.94 58.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Wellington Turman 147, Rodolfo Vieira 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#27] Raoni Barcelos (16-2-0, -451) vs. [#50] Victor Henry (21-5-0, +341)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (2-1-0)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#22BW] Timur Valiev (18-3-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#168BW] Khalid Taha (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-21: W vs. [*] Said Nurmagomedov (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Henry (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#233BW] Albert Morales (10-8-1) via SUB in 1:46 of round 2
2020-11-07: L vs. [#25BW] Denis Lavrentyev (12-2-0) via UD ()
2020-02-21: W vs. [#221FW] Masanori Kanehara (26-12-5) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raoni Barcelos -451 78.30%
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1814.95 +12.21 51.39%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1848.48 +35.89 53.92%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1911.75 +51.07 57.30%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1836.09 +68.65 57.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 210, Victor Henry 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#22] Ilia Topuria (11-0-0, -567) vs. [#72] Charles Jourdain (12-4-1, +409)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#50FW] Ryan Hall (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2020-12-05: W vs. [#44FW] Damon Jackson (19-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:38 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#187FW] Youssef Zalal (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (2-1-0)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#249FW] Andre Ewell (17-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-26)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#39FW] Julian Erosa (26-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:56 of round 3
2021-03-13: W vs. [#322BW] Marcelo Rojo (16-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ilia Topuria -567 81.22%
Elo K170 Ilia Topuria 1818.10 +222.62 73.44%
Elo Modified Ilia Topuria 1831.16 +201.49 70.73%
Glicko-1 Ilia Topuria 1895.57 +250.45 80.87%
WHR Ilia Topuria 1838.85 +281.69 78.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 196, Charles Jourdain 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#182] Jack Della Maddalena (10-2-0) vs. [#527] Pete Rodriguez (4-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2021-09-14: W vs. [#581WW] Ange Loosa (7-2-0) via UD ()
2020-10-10: W vs. [*] Aldin Bates (6-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:12 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [*] Glen Pettigrew (7-3-0) via TKO in 1:55 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Pete Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-06-11: W vs. [NA] Roberto Uriel Pixley Nava (2-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:21 of round 1
2021-04-02: W vs. [NA] Jose Luis Rios (1-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:41 of round 1
2020-11-20: W vs. [NA] Yasser Guzman de la Cruz (0-4-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jack Della Maddalena 1587.67 +320.02 81.18%
Elo Modified Jack Della Maddalena 1613.35 +224.11 72.73%
Glicko-1 Jack Della Maddalena 1640.76 +336.31 87.39%
WHR Jack Della Maddalena 1551.65 +371.68 84.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Della Maddalena 130, Pete Rodriguez 225
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#45MW] Trevin Giles (14-3-0, +121) vs. [#140] Michael Morales (12-0-0, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Trevin Giles (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#31MW] Dricus Du Plessis (16-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [#57MW] Roman Dolidze (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#140MW] Bevon Lewis (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2021-09-21: W vs. [#170WW] Nikolay Veretennikov (9-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-04-30: W vs. [#895FW] Miguel Arizmendi (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2020-10-03: W vs. [#411MW] Ricardo Centeno (9-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Morales -146 56.73%
Elo K170 Trevin Giles 1675.14 +94.93 60.68%
Elo Modified Trevin Giles 1684.20 +87.14 59.42%
Glicko-1 Trevin Giles 1689.78 +53.60 57.65%
WHR Trevin Giles 1626.71 +25.45 52.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Giles 196, Michael Morales 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#90] Tony Gravely (21-7-0) vs. [#139] Saimon Oliveira (18-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tony Gravely (2-1-0)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#41BW] Nathan Maness (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2021-04-17: W vs. [#266BW] Anthony Birchak (16-8-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:31 of round 2
2020-11-14: W vs. [#174FW] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Saimon Oliveira (3-0-0)
2021-09-07: W vs. [#272BW] Jose Alday (13-6-1) via SD ()
2019-12-08: W vs. [#462BW] Wataru Mimura (13-3-2) via SUB in 1:14 of round 1
2019-07-20: W vs. [*] Jeferson Bastos (5-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Tony Gravely 1628.56 +48.76 55.55%
Elo Modified Tony Gravely 1634.59 +117.90 62.63%
Glicko-1 Tony Gravely 1638.05 +70.36 59.99%
WHR Tony Gravely 1535.45 +63.45 57.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Gravely 126, Saimon Oliveira 137
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#58] Vanessa Demopoulos (6-4-0) vs. [#69] Silvana Gomez Juarez (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Demopoulos (1-2-0)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#32FLY] J.J. Aldrich (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-03-26: W vs. [#190SW] Cynthia Arceo (5-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 1
2020-10-30: L vs. [#22SW] Lupita Godinez (7-2-0) via MD ()

Last 3 Fights: Silvana Gomez Juarez (2-1-0)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#22SW] Lupita Godinez (7-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:14 of round 1
2021-02-26: W vs. [#151SW] Gilsely Perea (5-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:53 of round 2
2020-11-20: W vs. [#188FLY] Diana Reyes (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Silvana Gomez Juarez 1278.58 +91.49 60.30%
Elo Modified Silvana Gomez Juarez 1339.81 +66.93 57.27%
Glicko-1 Silvana Gomez Juarez 1326.13 +76.96 60.90%
WHR Silvana Gomez Juarez 1311.93 +96.52 60.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vanessa Demopoulos 147, Silvana Gomez Juarez 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#198] Matt Frevola (8-3-1, -207) vs. [#233] Genaro Valdez (10-0-0, +169)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#124LW] Terrance McKinney (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:07 of round 1
2021-01-23: L vs. [#17LW] Arman Tsarukyan (16-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#111LW] Luis Pena (9-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Genaro Valdez (3-0-0)
2021-10-05: W vs. [#909LW] Patrik White (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2
2020-07-17: W vs. [*] Edgar Diaz Guzman (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:34 of round 1
2020-02-14: W vs. [#895FW] Miguel Arizmendi (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matt Frevola -207 64.46%
Elo K170 Genaro Valdez 1530.75 +74.65 58.45%
Elo Modified Genaro Valdez 1584.22 +136.75 64.53%
Glicko-1 Genaro Valdez 1614.49 +186.43 74.52%
WHR Genaro Valdez 1566.06 +183.16 69.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Frevola 224, Genaro Valdez 109
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#43] Jasmine Jasudavicius (6-1-0, +200) vs. [#32SW] Kay Hansen (7-4-0, -249)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (2-1-0)
2021-09-14: W vs. [#60FLY] Julia Polastri (8-3-0) via UD ()
2021-03-12: W vs. [#175FLY] Ashley Deen (5-6-0) via UD ()
2020-08-13: L vs. [#59SW] Elise Reed (4-1-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kay Hansen (2-1-0)
2020-11-14: L vs. [#21SW] Cory McKenna (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#18SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-03-06: W vs. [*] Liana Ferreira Pirosin (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kay Hansen -249 68.16%
Elo K170 Kay Hansen 1355.31 +0.89 50.10%
Elo Modified Jasmine Jasudavicius 1425.57 +22.16 52.42%
Glicko-1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1419.78 +1.30 50.19%
WHR Kay Hansen 1350.73 +13.43 51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jasmine Jasudavicius 130, Kay Hansen 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Francis Ngannou
Highest Stored DD Rating: Francis Ngannou
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2022-1-19