Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum (08-21-2021)

Aug 16, 2021
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0, -160) vs. [#10] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0, +131)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#2MW/#7P4P] Robert Whittaker (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#9MW] Jack Hermansson (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
2019-05-11: W vs. [#43MW] Anderson Silva (34-11-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2021-04-17: L vs. [#2MW/#7P4P] Robert Whittaker (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#22MW] Ian Heinisch (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#9MW] Jack Hermansson (22-6-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jared Cannonier -160 58.70%
Elo K170 Kelvin Gastelum 1908.36 +13.61 51.55%
Elo Modified Kelvin Gastelum 1922.66 +46.61 55.08%
Glicko-1 Jared Cannonier 1995.43 +2.59 50.37%
WHR Jared Cannonier 1840.81 +77.25 58.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 301, Kelvin Gastelum 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jared Cannonier leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#49] Clay Guida (36-20-0, +136) vs. [*] Mark O. Madsen (10-0-0, -165)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #32 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#126LW] Michael Johnson (19-17-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#36LW] Bobby Green (27-12-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#67LW] Jim Miller (32-16-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mark O. Madsen (3-0-0)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#123LW] Austin Hubbard (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#267MW] Danilo Belluardo (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 1
2019-06-08: W vs. [NA] Patrick Nielsen (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mark O. Madsen -165 59.50%
Elo K170 Mark O. Madsen 1671.63 +36.30 54.14%
Elo Modified Mark O. Madsen 1689.23 +31.50 53.44%
Glicko-1 Mark O. Madsen 1690.73 +32.62 54.68%
WHR Mark O. Madsen 1636.12 +21.87 52.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 196, Mark O. Madsen 532
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#68] Chase Sherman (15-7-0, -182) vs. [#91] Parker Porter (10-6-0, +149)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Sherman (2-1-0)
2021-04-17: L vs. [#34HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#128LHW] Isaac Villanueva (18-12-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbow) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-05-09: W vs. [#255HW+] Rashaun Jackson (5-4-0) via TKO in 0:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Parker Porter (2-1-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#119HW+] Josh Parisian (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#13HW+] Chris Daukaus (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Dirlei Broenstrup (16-8-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Sherman -182 61.64%
Elo K170 Chase Sherman 1480.44 +107.01 61.98%
Elo Modified Chase Sherman 1514.66 +88.03 59.52%
Glicko-1 Chase Sherman 1553.92 +118.23 66.39%
WHR Chase Sherman 1516.68 +32.89 53.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Sherman 126, Parker Porter 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#37] Vinc Pichel (13-2-0, -116) vs. [#123] Austin Hubbard (13-5-0, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Vinc Pichel (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#67LW] Jim Miller (32-16-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#114LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#9LW] Gregor Gillespie (14-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Austin Hubbard (2-1-0)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#254LW] Dakota Bush (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-22: L vs. [#57LW] Joe Solecki (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:51 of round 1
2020-06-20: W vs. [#307LW] Max Rohskopf (6-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vinc Pichel -116 50.95%
Elo K170 Vinc Pichel 1840.58 +281.15 78.32%
Elo Modified Vinc Pichel 1817.74 +233.80 73.57%
Glicko-1 Vinc Pichel 1833.42 +242.42 80.15%
WHR Vinc Pichel 1709.78 +198.07 71.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vinc Pichel 371, Austin Hubbard 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#4] Alexandre Pantoja (23-5-0, -170) vs. [#13] Brandon Royval (12-5-0, +140)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #15 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Manel Kape (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#3FLY] Askar Askarov (14-0-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#27FLY] Matt Schnell (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#5P4P] Brandon Moreno (19-5-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-09-26: W vs. [#14FLY] Kai Kara France (22-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:48 of round 2
2020-05-30: W vs. [#16FLY] Tim Elliott (17-11-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -170 60.17%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 1818.67 +141.05 65.57%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 1794.62 +118.23 62.66%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 1855.92 +158.34 71.33%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 1806.65 +145.03 65.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 196, Brandon Royval 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#30] Trevin Jones (14-6-0) vs. [#156] Leomana Martinez (8-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Trevin Jones (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#102BW] Mario Bautista (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 2
2020-08-22: W vs. [#24BW] Timur Valiev (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 2
2019-05-12: W vs. [#123BW] Takafumi Otsuka (29-18-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Leomana Martinez (2-1-0)
2021-05-16: W vs. [#384BW] Jose Johnson (13-7-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 0:32 of round 1
2021-03-06: W vs. [#741BW] Casey Jones (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2020-09-08: L vs. [#359BW] Drako Rodriguez (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Trevin Jones 1750.14 +290.38 79.03%
Elo Modified Trevin Jones 1770.89 +280.03 77.31%
Glicko-1 Trevin Jones 1846.23 +363.37 89.01%
WHR Trevin Jones 1786.52 +400.85 86.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Jones 168, Leomana Martinez 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#78] William Knight (9-2-0, -232) vs. [#115] Fabio Cherant (7-2-0, +185)

Last 3 Fights: William Knight (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#36LHW] Da Un Jung (14-2-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#126LHW] Aleksa Camur (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-01: W vs. [#193MW] Cody Brundage (6-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Fabio Cherant (2-1-0)
2021-03-27: L vs. [#29LHW] Alonzo Menifield (11-2-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:11 of round 1
2021-02-12: W vs. [#116LHW] Myron Dennis (18-8-0) via UD ()
2020-10-14: W vs. [#278LHW] Yu Ji (3-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds William Knight -232 66.57%
Elo K170 William Knight 1472.38 +121.38 63.52%
Elo Modified William Knight 1523.57 +129.12 63.77%
Glicko-1 William Knight 1531.23 +189.88 74.90%
WHR William Knight 1468.44 +164.77 67.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Knight 133, Fabio Cherant 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: William Knight leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#111] Luis Saldana (15-6-0, -141) vs. [#251] Austin Lingo (8-1-0, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Luis Saldana (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#145FW] Jordan Griffin (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-04: W vs. [#654FW] Vince Murdock (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 3
2019-02-15: W vs. [*] Carl Wittstock (10-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (2-1-0)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#312FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#182FW] Youssef Zalal (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-02: W vs. [#491FW] Chris Hatley Jr. (8-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luis Saldana -141 55.59%
Elo K170 Luis Saldana 1496.71 +101.04 61.34%
Elo Modified Luis Saldana 1507.78 +67.59 57.34%
Glicko-1 Luis Saldana 1569.33 +127.33 67.54%
WHR Luis Saldana 1450.08 +74.40 58.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luis Saldana 133, Austin Lingo 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#43] Brian Kelleher (22-12-0, -171) vs. [*] Domingo Pilarte (8-2-0, +141)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Kelleher (1-2-0)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#32FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#154BW] Ray Rodriguez (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1
2020-06-06: L vs. [#23BW] Cody Stamann (19-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Domingo Pilarte (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2020-02-08: NC vs. [#341BW] Journey Newson (10-3-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#162FW] Felipe Dias Colares (10-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-07-17: W vs. [#189BW] Vince Morales (10-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brian Kelleher -171 60.33%
Elo K170 Brian Kelleher 1631.75 +251.10 75.90%
Elo Modified Brian Kelleher 1618.08 +208.86 71.39%
Glicko-1 Brian Kelleher 1653.27 +225.16 78.52%
WHR Brian Kelleher 1551.49 +111.01 62.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Kelleher 189, Domingo Pilarte 560
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#317] Ramiz Brahimaj (8-3-0, -125) vs. [#342] Sasha Palatnikov (6-3-0, +101)

Last 3 Fights: Ramiz Brahimaj (1-2-0)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#34WW] Max Griffin (18-8-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:03 of round 3
2019-03-22: W vs. [*] Carlos Martinez (5-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 0:55 of round 1
2018-11-30: L vs. [*] Justin Patterson (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sasha Palatnikov (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#153WW] Impa Kasanganay (9-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:26 of round 2
2020-11-21: W vs. [#416WW] Louis Cosce (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 3
2020-09-25: W vs. [] TBA/Unknown () via TKO in 1:23 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ramiz Brahimaj -125 52.75%
Elo K170 Ramiz Brahimaj 1307.70 +22.42 52.56%
Elo Modified Ramiz Brahimaj 1358.57 +29.34 53.21%
Glicko-1 Ramiz Brahimaj 1374.53 +104.83 64.65%
WHR Ramiz Brahimaj 1338.01 +74.71 58.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ramiz Brahimaj 287, Sasha Palatnikov 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#19] Josiane Nunes (7-1-0, +120) vs. [*] Bea Malecki (4-0-0, -148)

Last 3 Fights: Josiane Nunes (3-0-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#88BW] Quesia Zbonik (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Dione Silva Barbosa de Li (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches on the Ground) in 4:36 of round 2
2019-09-28: W vs. [NA] Juliana Araujo (1-1-0) via KO in 3:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bea Malecki (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [*] Veronica Macedo (6-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Duda Santana (3-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:59 of round 2
2018-02-02: W vs. [NA] Tracy Smith (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bea Malecki -148 56.76%
Elo K170 Josiane Nunes 1395.98 +117.58 63.12%
Elo Modified Josiane Nunes 1392.42 +12.83 51.40%
Glicko-1 Josiane Nunes 1420.38 +117.43 66.28%
WHR Josiane Nunes 1448.58 +225.61 73.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josiane Nunes 266, Bea Malecki 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#114] Roosevelt Roberts (10-3-0, -142) vs. [#177] Ignacio Bahamondes (12-4-0, +116)

Last 3 Fights: Roosevelt Roberts (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#81FW] Kevin Croom (23-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:31 of round 1
2020-06-20: L vs. [#67LW] Jim Miller (32-16-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1
2020-05-30: W vs. [#217LW] Brok Weaver (16-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#66LW] John Makdessi (18-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-11-04: W vs. [#761WW] Edson Gomez (6-2-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 2:31 of round 2
2020-09-04: W vs. [#245WW] Chris Brown (7-3-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roosevelt Roberts -142 55.89%
Elo K170 Roosevelt Roberts 1515.31 +101.32 61.37%
Elo Modified Roosevelt Roberts 1521.99 +76.45 58.29%
Glicko-1 Roosevelt Roberts 1518.66 +36.02 55.17%
WHR Roosevelt Roberts 1453.13 +71.35 58.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roosevelt Roberts 343, Ignacio Bahamondes 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#201] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-4-0, -132) vs. [*] Antonio Braga Neto (9-3-0, +107)

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (0-3-0)
2021-04-17: L vs. [#117MW] Jacob Malkoun (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-11-14: L vs. [#63WW] Kalinn Williams (12-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:30 of round 1
2020-07-15: L vs. [#131WW] Mounir Lazzez (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Braga Neto (1-2-0)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#42MW] Trevin Giles (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 3
2014-06-28: L vs. [*] Clint Hester (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2013-06-08: W vs. [#13LHW] Anthony Smith (35-16-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:52 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abdul Razak Alhassan -132 54.08%
Elo K170 Antonio Braga Neto 1433.88 +61.26 56.95%
Elo Modified Antonio Braga Neto 1512.90 +52.70 55.74%
Glicko-1 Antonio Braga Neto 1553.63 +110.40 65.37%
WHR Antonio Braga Neto 1463.80 +83.86 59.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abdul Razak Alhassan 126, Antonio Braga Neto 1351
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jared Cannonier
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alexandre Pantoja
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jared Cannonier vs. Kelvin Gastelum
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Brandon Royval
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-8-15

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